김정은 체제의 구축과 변화전망

박종문 ( Jong Moon Park ) 이실학회(구 한국경찰이론과실무학회) 2012 경찰연구논집 Vol.10 No.-

북한을 철권통치 했던 김정일이 사망하면서 아들인 김정은이 3대 권력을 세습하였다. 3년이라는 짧은 후계수업 기간과 권력기반마저 미약하여 많은 우려를 자아냈으나, 현재까지 별다른 어려움 없이 최고사령관과 당 제1비서, 당 중앙군사위원장, 국방위원회 제1위원장으로 추대되면서 북한의 최고 지도자가 되었다. 김정은은 아버지와 달리 TV생중계와 공개연설 그리고 스킨십 등으로 대중 친화적이고 새로운 정치스타일을 보이면서 긍정적인 북한의 변화를 예측하게 하는 한편 공개연설을 통해 김일성 주체사상과 김정일의 선군정치를 계승·발전시켜 군사강국·경제강국을 달성하겠다는 다짐과 장거리 미사일을 발사하고 핵개발을 포기하지 않을 것이라는 입장을 보이고 있다. 앞으로 김정은은 체제 안정을 위하여 대내적으로 군부세력을 관리하고 당의 권한을 강화시켜 지도력을 강화하고, 주민의 생활을 개선과 경제난국을 타개하기 위한 경제정책을 펼칠 것이다. 대외적으로는 국제적인 고립을 피하고 정권의 존속을 위하여 절대적인 후원국인 중국과 협조관계를 공고히 하고, 미국에 대해서는 한국을 배제한 채 강온정책으로 평화협정 채결과 경제지원을 받기 위해 노력할 것이다. 또 한국에 대해서는 이명박 정부의 ``원칙 있는 대북정책``에 극도로 반감을 표출하고 있어 현 정권에서는 대남강경정책을 펼치다가 차기 정부와는 새로운 돌파구를 찾을 것으로 보인다. 특히 2012년은 한국의 대통령 선거를 비롯한 한반도 주변 주요국들의 정권교체가 있는 해로서 김정은 체제의 안정성과 향후 대내외정책에 따라 동북아와 한반도의 평화에 절대적인 영향을 미칠 것이다. 따라서 북한의 대내외 정책 변화를 신속정확하게 파악하고 국제사회와 긴밀한 협력으로 김정은의 군사적 모험주의에 대비하고 북한의 경제 개선전략을 지원함으로써 갈등과 대립에서 협력과 공동번영의 한반도로 거듭나야 할 것이다. Immediately after his father Kim Jong-il`s death, the younger Kim Jong-un was hailed as “the great successor”. Even though some of experts expressed their concerns that Kim Jong-un took only 3-year-class to be a successor and his political background was not strong enough, without any difficulty, he has held the titles of the First Secretary of the Workers` Party of Korea, the Chairman of the Central Military Commission, First Chairman of the National Defence Commission of North Korea and the Supreme Commander of the Korean People`s Army. And also he was officially declared the supreme leader of North Korea. 57) Kim Jong-un shows that he has new and public-friendly style of leadership which is different from that of his father. This implicates that North Korea will change in a positive way. He made his first public speech as North Korea marked the 100th anniversary of the birthday of Kim Il-sung on 15 April, praising the “military first” doctrine and emphasizing the need of economic growth. A few months into his leadership, North Korea launched a long-range missile which it said would put a satellite into orbit. It shows that Kim Jong-un will not give up reinforcing North Korea`s nuclear capability. In the future, Kim Jong-un will control military authorities, strengthen his leadership and push ahead economic policy to overcome financial difficulties internally. Externally, he will cement friendly relations which have existed between North Korea and China to avoid international isolation and maintain his regime. In addition, he will try to conclude a peace treaty between North Korea and the United States and demand economic aid. Regarding South Korea, Kim Jong-un has antagonism toward policy of Lee Myung-bak administration on North Korea. Therefore he has taken his hard-lined offensive movements against South Korea and he may shift to more moderate policy toward South Korea in the next government. In particular, there will be some of important events this year, such as an upcoming presidential election in South Korea and change of government in other neighboring countries. The stability and internal/external policy of North Korea will have a strong influence on peace of Northeast Asia and Korean peninsular. In conclusion, South Korea should analyze the whole situation of North Korea promptly and accurately, cooperate with the U.S., China and the International Society, develop national security strategy against Kim Jong-un`s “military first” doctrine and support the economic development plan of North Korea. By doing so, the relationship between South Korea and North Korea will be improved for the better.

老齡者의 建康을 위한 生活習慣 實態調査

申東敏,長鳳愚,李揆文,金賢俊,金昌範,崔宗洙,崔鍾晥,李鍾珏,金圭碩,趙庚旭,金鍾聲,朴鍾振 平生體育硏究所 論文集 1987 平生體育硏究所 論文集 Vol.2 No.-

With a view to examining the habit and method in which old people maintain and improve their health, we consulted 551 men and 444 women who were over 65 years old, and concluded as follows: 1. Habit of eating It's been revealed that most of the old people keep a regular eating hour, control the quantity of meal or eat a little food, and prefer vegetables to meat. 2. Mental health Old people feel the necessity for mental health and most of them (about 80%) keep good mental health without becoming pessimistic. Their chief concenrs have turned out to be about their sons and daughters and their own health and finance. 3. Managing Good Health It has been revelaed that old people do not possess any special kind of secret to keep good health but taking plenty of rest, regular meal, and proper exercise, and many of them (about 60%) have been shown to eat invigorant food that they can easily get around their living area. 4. Physical Functions It has been revealed that many old people are conscious of some symptoms about their parts of body and about to percent of them suffers from neuralgia. Some measures like medical aid especially for old people need to be taken as soon as possible. As we have found that the health-keeping method of old people consists plenty of rest, proper exercise, and appropriate nutrition, we can conclude that the recreatonal and culture facilities and programs for keeping old people in good health should be developed. It is also necessary to study food that contribute to their health and develop ways to get rid of the stresses to which they are exposed in their daily life. Presides, it is natural that government found an administrative department to deal with these matters effectively.

서울의 Penicillinase Producing Neisseria gonorrhoeae 발생빈도(1998)

김재홍,김준호,반재용,이정우,황성주,정준규,정성태,강진문,조흔정,홍창의,정혜신,이한승,김이선,이봉길,이종호,선영우,한기덕,윤성필,이성훈,안종성,박석범,문승현,조항래,김형섭,류지호,황재영,박준홍,손상욱 한양대학교 의과대학 2001 한양의대 학술지 Vol.21 No.1

In recent years, gonorrhea has been pandemic and remains one of the most common STDs in the world, especially in developing countries. For the detection of a more effective therapeutic regimen and assessing the prevalence of Penicillinase Producing Neisseria gonorrhoeae(PPNG), we have been trying to study the patients who have visited the Venereal Disease Clinic of Choong-Ku Public Health Center in Seoul since 1980 by menas of the chromogenic cephalosporin method. In 1998, 93 strians of N. genorrhoeae were isolated, among which 60(64.5%) were PPNG. The prevalence of PPNG in Seoul, which had been decreased to 39% in 1996 after a peak of 74.3% in 1993, is increased to 64.5% in 1998.

MRAC를 이용한 2 자유도 구륜 이동로보트의 경로추적

문종우,김원규,박종국 경희대학교 자연과학종합연구원 1997 자연과학논문집 Vol.3 No.-

본 논문은 2 자유도 구륜 이동로보트의 기구학 모델과 기준모델 적응제어기 설계를 다루었다. 구륜 속도와 본체 속도를 계산하기 위하여 정기구학(forward kinematics)과 역기구학(inverse kinematics)를 유도하였으며, 제어변수의 수와 제어입력의 수가 동일하게 되도록 제어변수를 극좌표로 변환하였다. 구륜 이동로보트의 경로추적을 위한 제어기를 제안하였으며, 제어기 매개변수는 기준모델 적응제어(reference-model adaptive control, MRAC)에 기초한 적응법칙(adaptation law)에 의해 매 단계마다 갱신된다. 설계된 적응제어기를 분석하고, 제어 시스템의 안정성과 수렴성을 증명한다. 제어시스템의 유효성을 입증하기위해 모의실험을 수행하고, 그 결과를 제시한다. This paper presents the kinematic model and the design of a model-reference adaptive controller for wheeled-mobile robots(WMRs) with 2 d.0.f. We derive the forward kinematics and the inverse kinematics to calculate the wheel-velocity and body-velocity. The controlled variables are represented in the polar coordinate so that the number of the controlled variable can be reduced to the same number as the control input. A controller is proposed for path tracking, and then controller parameters are modified by adaptation law based on reference-model adaptive control(MRAC) each step. The adaptive controller is analyzed, and its stability and convergence are proved. Simulation is conducted to prove efficiency of the control system and the results are showed.

한랭작업 근로자들의 건강위해에 관한 연구

박호추,정설미,문덕환,이종태,김대환,김정호,최재일,황용식,이용희,이채언 大韓産業醫學會 1999 대한직업환경의학회지 Vol.11 No.1

In order to evaluate the status of cold exposure and its health hazards of workers at cold storage workplaces and to provide basic data for effective health care, the author measured core temperature and also observed clinical symptoms and signs, past and present history, and general health examination data on 99 cold exposed workers for exposure group and 96 non-exposed workers for control group working at 2 food refrigerating companies in Pusan area from January 6, 1998 to February 24, 1998. The results were as follows: 1. There was statistically significant difference in water intake between the exposure and control group and increased urine volume, urine frequency in exposure group without statistically significant difference. 2. Past and present illness in exposure group were hypertension (18.2%), hepatopathy (8.1%), gastro-intestinal disease(7.1%), arthritis (4.0%), intervertebral disc herniation(4.0%), and so on, and hypertension, arthritis was statistically significant difference compared to control group. 3. Symptoms in exposure group were fatigue(89.9%), headache (64.6%). drowsy(63.6%), neck stiffness(59.6%), excessive food intake(59.6%). general weakness(58.6%), hunger(58.6%), numbness(54.5%), and so on, and there was statistically significant difference between the exposure and control group except fatigue, drowsy. 4. As results of clinical test abnormality rate of the systolic, diastolic blood pressure and electrocardiogram were significantly higher in exposed group than control. 5. Core temperature in exposure group was statistically significantly lower than control group and the highest statistically significant inverse correlation with the working hours and working frequency of daily mean cold storage. As above results, the author suggested that the further studies should be conducted to evaluate the health status of workers about chronic health effects in cold workplaces and to establish effective health care methods for them.

소아 혈액 종양 환자 및 가족의 심리적 특징

박종익,문형남,박인호 大韓神經精神醫學會 1995 신경정신의학 Vol.34 No.4

This study is to investigate the psychological characteristics of children suffering from hematologic cancer patients and to compare them with those of their siblings as control according to age groups. We also examined the psychopathology of their patents and family environment, Forthis reason, 1) We examined the difference in age groups(children vs adolescents) using the self-report psychological questionnaire for anxiety and depression. 2) We examined the difference of the study group by age variable using the child behavior checklist for parents. 3) We examined the difference of the result reported by adolescents and by the parents. 4) We also examined the psychopathology of the parents using self-reports for parents. So 22 leukemic outpatients(10 children and 12 adolescents) in their maintenance chemotherapy phase for acute lymphocytic leukemia or lymphoma have completed the psychiatric interviews and the self-reports. For the self-reports, we have used Children's Depression Inventory(CDI), revised Children's Manifest Anxiety Scale(RCMAS), State-trait Anxiety Inventory for Children(STAIC) for all age groups and in additon the Youth Self Report(YSR) for adolescents. To evaluate the children's problem behavior, Child behavior checklists(CBCL) were filled up by their parents. And 36 parents performed Symptomcheck List-90-Revison(SCL-90-R), Beck Depression Inventory(BDI). We concluded that the child hematologic cancer patients have the tendency to express no prominent depression or anxiety and no age effect when self-reports such as CDI, RCMAS, STAIC were administered. And the siblings showed no significant difference compared to cancer patients. However, when CBCL was administered to by the parents, there were high scores in the childhood leukemic patients and the adolescent sibling controls group comparing to the other groups and such trend was more prominent in the leukemic patients group(p<0.05). also when the YSR and CBCL were compared, the YSR showed high scores in the both adolescent leukemic patients(p<0.01) and sibling controls group(p<0.05). Therefore we can suggest that the leukemic patients have the tendency to repress their own symptoms as they grow older. the patents are relatively well adapted when there are leukemic patients in their family.

그레고리오 성가의 역사적 배경

朴鍾文 대구효성가톨릭대학교 1985 연구논문집 Vol.31 No.1

매우 빠른 운동에서의 시간 가변성과 힘가변성에 관한 연구

박종태,표내숙,문규진 釜山大學校 附設 體育科學硏究所 1996 體育科學硏究所 論文集 Vol.12 No.-

The present study achieved the following conclusion by analyzing of theoretical timing variability and fore variability which are controled in very rapid movement. 1. As common as the speed-accuracy trade-off phenomenon seems to be for movement behavior where spatial accuracy is major goal. 2. The primary determinant of timing accuracy is movement time, with longer movement time generating more timing error. 3. It is produced a kind of inverted-U effect that very rapid and very slow movement having the most spatial accuracy and the moderate - speed movement having the least spatial accuracy. 4. The future research require experimental study on the more complicated action because these are very simple skill.

시(도)민체전과 생활체육대회의 효과적인 운영 방안

박종진,정문현 충북대학교 평생체육연구소 2000 平生體育硏究所 論文集 Vol.12 No.-

This study was carried to suggest a more effective scheme for Local Sports For All Festival and Local Sports Festival. In this study, we gave priority to existing administrative problems and to further improvement in sports events. It was completed by means of questionnaires and statistical data. The conclusions are as follows : First, the best season for Local Sports For All Festival is right after National Sports Festival. In Local Sports For All Festival, not only competitive games but also harmonious games must be held evenly. The games should be carried by the Local Council of Sports For All and supported by the Local Amateur Sports Association. Second, Local Sports Festival should be paralleled the preliminary contest of National Sports Festival so that the local athlete representatives could take part in National Sports Festival, after properly having been supported by the Local Amateur Sports Association. Consequently, the most appropriate time for Local Sports Festival is between April and May. Third, the municipal(provincial) authorities should supervise and support Local Sports Festival and National Sports Festival for the organic cooperation between the Local Amateur Sports Association and the Local Council of Sports For All. Fourth, the Local Council of Sports For All and the Local Amateur Sports Association should make a united effort for sports development, although the Local Council of Sports For All is in charge of the related matters and the Local Amateur Sports Association is in charge of the business connected with elite sports. For example, during the elite sports games, the Local Council of Sports For All should support volunteering and drawing a large audience. Also the Local Amateur Sports Association should support the Local Council of Sports For All by dispatching umpires and athletes as helpers.

Increased expression of P53 and Bax in the spinal cords of rats with experimental autoimmune encephalomylitis

문창종,김승준,위명복,김희석,정종태,박전홍,지영흔,Tanumab, Naoyuki,Matsumoto, Yoh,신태균 濟州大學校 農科大學 動物科學硏究所 2000 動物科學論叢 Vol.15 No.1

The expression of pro-apoptotic molecules, p53 and Bax, in the spinal cord of rats with experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis (EAE) was examined. Apoptosis was confirmed by the terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferasemediated dUTP nick end-labeling (TUNEL) method. TUSEL (+) apoptotic cells were mainly either ED1 (+) macrophages or T-cells in the parenchyma of E N . Western blot analysis showed that both p53 and Bax expression significantly ( p < 0.01) increased in the spinal cords of EAE rats at the peak stage, and thereafter declined. An immunohistochemical study showed that inflammatory cells (notably T cells) in the parenchyma express p53 and Bax, while brain cells, includng neurons and glia, were devoid of these nuclear staining of these molecules. The nuclear expression of p53 largely matches apoptotic cells in the parenchyma of EAE. These finchngs suggest that pro-apoptotic molecules, p53 and Bax, may play an important role in eliminating T cells in the parenchyma in EAE.