북한 김정은 정권의 국가목표와 군사정책 방향: 새로운 위협 요소의 등장과 한국의 대응전

이영종(Lee, Young-jong) 한국전략문제연구소 2020 전략연구 Vol.27 No.1

지난 2018년 초 대남 유화국면으로 급전환하며 대미협상을 주축으로 한 새로운 생존 전술을 구사하는 모습을 연출한 김정은 북한 국무위원장은 약 2년 만인 2019년 말 노동당 중앙위원회 제7기 5차 전원회의 개최를 계기로 다시 강경 노선 쪽으로 선회하며 “조·미 간의 교착 상태는 불가피하게 장기성을 띠게 되어있다”고 선언했다. 세계적 대유행 양상을 빚고 있는 신종 코로나바이러스(코로나19)는 대북 문제에 대한 관련국들의 집중력을 떨어트리고 있으며, 북한 또한 ‘셀프제재’로까지 불리는 사실상의 교류·교역 전면차단 조치를 취하면서 방역에 전력투구하고 있다. 이런 상황 속에서 북한이 향후 어떤 전술이나 전략을 앞세워 대남, 대미 정책을 펼쳐나갈지는 한반도와 주변 정세에 결정적 영향을 미칠 수 있는 변수가 될 수 있다. 하지만 2012년 김정은 체제 등장 이후에 북한의 핵 실험과 장거리 미사일 도발이 이어졌음에도 불구하고 이에 대한 면밀한 연구나 대응책 마련이 북한의 국가목표나 군사정책 차원에서 깊이 있게 다뤄지지 못한 측면이 있다. 김정은 집권 이후 통치노선이나 스타일에서 드러난 두드러진 특징 가운데 하나는 ‘국가’로서의 북한체제를 공식화하고 부각시키고 있다는 점이다. 김정은 스스로 ‘국무위원회 위원장’이란 직함을 사용하고, ‘조선인민군 최고사령관’이란 호칭 대신 ‘조선민주주의인민공화국 무력 최고사령관’으로 칭해지고 있는 점에서도 이를 확인할 수 있다. 김정은 체제는 대남 및 대미 외교와 경제·사회 등의 분야에서 이전과 다른 전향적 조치들을 취함으로써 변화와 개혁·개방에 대한 기대를 불러일으키기도 했으나 △당 국가 체제의 유지 △핵보유국 지위 굳히기 △경제·핵 병진 노선과 그 변용 △대미접근과 미국에 대한 이중적 인식 등에서 북한 체제의 국가목표 근간이 그대로 유지·고수되고 있음을 드러내고 있다고 볼 수 있다. 김정은 정권의 중요한 국가 목표 중 하나는 핵과 미사일의 완성을 기반으로 하는 한반도 적화통일이며, 군사정책도 이런 대목에 초점이 맞춰진 것이다. 북한의 이런 국가목표나 군사정책에 대한 우리의 정책적 대응은 △북핵 불용에 대한 공감대 형성과 대북압박 △사실상의 ‘핵보유국’ 북한에 대한 현실적 대응 △개혁ㆍ개방 및 국제무대 유인 등이 고려될 수 있다. North Korea"s policy in the midst of rapid changes in the situation on the Korean Peninsula can have a major impact on inter-Korean relations and surrounding circumstances. The need for closer analysis on North Korea"s military policy directions, the nature of its national strategy as well as its nuclear weapon and missile has grown. The purpose of this article is to analyze the ultimate national goal and military policy direction pursued by the Kim Jong-un regime and to diagnose Korea"s counterstrategy. One of the prominent features of Kim Jong-un"s policy line after his inauguration was his emphasis on the North Korean regime as a “state”. The Kim Jong-un regime"s national goals and visions were presented concretely at the Labor Party"s 7th Labor Party Congress held in May 2016, setting a five-year strategic period for national economic development (2016-2020) and building a socialist economic power as a banner. Yet, more national goals and visions still remain undisclosed, considering most of them are often secretly established and promoted. North Korea"s appeasement toward South Korea and the United States since 2018 has changed the impression of the Kim Jong-un regime from an aggressive, provocative regime to open, reconciling and cooperation-oriented regime. However, North Korea showed no more than superficial and tactical gestures, failing to take fundamental actions like denuclearization. As military policy line of Kim Jong-un regime backed by nuclear missile weapon gets more sophisticated and belligerent, importance of South Korea"s countermeasures have grown. Strategic counteractions based on military power should be taken against North Korea’s two-sided strategy such as nuclear and missile provocations and unification frontline tactics. Furthermore, counter strategies that can closely analyze and cope with the United States and China’s policies refer to Korean Peninsula are nessesary.

Hepatic Cirrhosis Occurring in a Young Woodchuck(Marmota monax) Due to Vertical Transmission of Woodchuck Hepatitis Virus(WHV)

Kyu-shik Jeong,정원일,Jae-yong Chung,Mi-young An,Chae-yong Jung,Gyoung-jae Lee,Jong-soo Kang,Byeong-cheol Kang,Young-heun Jee,Bruce H Williams,Young-oh Kwon,Da-hee Jeong 대한수의학회 2003 Journal of Veterinary Science Vol.4 No.2

Cirrhosis Occurring in a Young Woodchuck (Marmota monax) Due to Vertical Transmission of Woodchuck Hepatitis Virus (WHV)Da-hee Jeong, Won-il Jeong, Jae-yong Chung, Mi-young An, Chae-yong Jung, Gyoung-jae Lee1, Jong-soo Kang1, Byeong-cheol Kang2, Young-heun Jee3, Bruce H Williams4, Young-oh Kwon5 and Kyu-shik Jeong*College of Veterinary Medicine, Kyungpook National University, Daegu 702-701, Korea1Shinwon Scientific Co., LTD, Research Institute, Suwon, Korea2Clinical Research Institute, Seoul National University, Seoul 110-744, Korea3College of Veterinary Medicine, Jeju National University, Jeju 690-756, Korea

Comparison of trophic factors changes in the hippocampal CA1 region between the young and adult gerbil induced by transient cerebral ischemia.

Yan, Bing Chun,Park, Joon Ha,Kim, Sung Koo,Choi, Jung Hoon,Lee, Choong Hyun,Yoo, Ki-Yeon,Kwon, Young-Geun,Kim, Young-Myeong,Kim, Jong-Dai,Won, Moo-Ho Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers 2012 Cellular and molecular neurobiology Vol.32 No.8

<P>In the present study, we investigated neuronal death/damage in the gerbil hippocampal CA1 region (CA1) and compared changes in some trophic factors, such as brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), glial cell line-derived neurotrophic factor (GDNF) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), in the CA1 between the adult and young gerbils after 5 min of transient cerebral ischemia. Most of pyramidal neurons (89%) were damaged 4 days after ischemia-reperfusion (I-R) in the adult; however, in the young, about 59% of pyramidal neurons were damaged 7 days after I-R. The immunoreactivity and levels of BDNF and VEGF, not GDNF, in the CA1 of the normal young were lower than those in the normal adult. Four days after I-R in the adult group, the immunoreactivity and levels of BDNF and VEGF were distinctively decreased, and the immunoreactivity and level of GDNF were increased. However, in the young group, all of their immunoreactivities and levels were much higher than those in the normal young group. From 7 days after I-R, all the immunoreactivities and levels were apparently decreased compared to those of the normal adult and young. In brief, we confirmed our recent finding: more delayed and less neuronal death occurred in the young following I-R, and we newly found that the immunoreactivities of trophic factors, such as BDNF, GDNF, and VEGF, in the stratum pyramidale of the CA1 in the young gerbil were much higher than those in the adult gerbil 4 days after transient cerebral ischemia.</P>

비지시적 지도방법에 의한 유아의 읽기와 쓰기 행동의 발달

이영자,이종숙 德成女子大學校 1985 德成女大論文集 Vol.14 No.-

Many studies(Clay, 1972; Rossman, 1980; Hildebreth, 1936; Schickedanz, 1978) showed that young children's reading-writing behaviors develop through certain fixed stages. To investigate whether Korean childern also follow similar developmental stages of reading, the authors of this study revised Clay and Rossman's reading development stages according to the results of a pilot study and proposed six hierachical stages of reading development. They are: (1) pre-reading stage, (2) making-up stage, (3) paraphrasing stage, (4) the stage of paraphrasing plus repeating actual words by memory, (5) the stage of paraphrasing plus reading actual words of the text, and (6) the stage of reading actual words of the text. The authors also proposed that there are two transitional stages between stages 1 and 2 and stages 5 and 6. The authors also revised the Hildebreth and Schickedanz' writing development stages as follow: (1) scribbling stage, (2) the stage of appearance of one or two distinctive features of print, (3) the stage of appearance of intentional markings that look like actual alphabet letters, (4) the stage of creating actual letters, (5) the stage creating actual words, and (6) the stage of creating sentences. The main purpose of this study were to see whether the development of reading and writing behavior followed the hypothesized stages in order and to examine the effects of undirective teaching method of reading. Besides of these purposes, this study had two additional purposes of seeing whether reading readiness had effects on young childen's development of reading and writing behaviors and of developing a good reading and writing readiness scale. For these purposes, 32 preschoolers of age 3 to 5, were selected from the kindergarten located in middle class neighbors on the basis of reading-writing readiness scores and classified into high and low readiness groups. Those who were able to read were excluded from the sample. A half of each group(while the other half served as controls) were observed individually during undirective reading sessions in which the children were read 4 storybooks and asked to read them back to the experimentet once everyweek over a three month period. The children's responses during these sessions were audiorecorede and transcribed on coding sheets afterwards. The data were analyzed with the stastical method of correlations and ANOVA. The results showed that preschooler's reading and writing behaviors progressed through the hypothesized stages and the undirective teaching method in reading facilitated their development. The results also showed that the reading and writing readiness scale consisting of subtests of visual discrimination, phonological awareness, and abilities of drawing basic lines, had a moderate predictability in reading and writing development in the future. Furthermore, this study demonstrated significant differences in reading ability between low and high readiness groups. The results of this study suggest that we, educators in early childhood education, should understand young children's reading-writing developmental stages and encourage them to read and write actively on their own level and to retain their initial interest in reading and writing. The results also imply that the undirective method of reading and writing could be a good example of such encouragement.

하치조신경 및 설신경 손상 평가를 위한 한국인 정상 성인의 하순-이부 및 혀의 감각 조사

이종호,이세영,송승일,이은진,안강민,김성민,명훈,황순정,서병무,최진영,정필훈,김명진 大韓顎顔面成形再建外科學會 2003 Maxillofacial Plastic Reconstructive Surgery Vol.25 No.2

In the head and neck area, there are so many sensory nerves, which are sometimes injuried iatrogenically or inadvertently so that involved patients complained of the loss of sensations. In such cases, it is important to judge the degree of injuries and regeneration of nerve for better diagnosis and treatment. Seddon and Sunderland's classification, which is commomly used, is focused on histological change and nerve conduction. As times goes by, it is difficult to access patient's sensory disturbance by this method. Until now, so many methods such as contract threshold, direction, two-point discrimination, pin prick, thermal discrimination and current perception threshold have been introduced for sensory evaluation. However, there hasn't been enough information regarding each methodology nor integrated standard methodology for the measurement. the purpose of this study is to get Korean adult normative sensory values of lower lip,chin and tongue using modified methods of contact thershold, ditection, two point discrimination, pin prick, thermal discrimination and assess degree of regeneration of sensory nerve damage.

소화성궤양 환자에 대한 Omeprazole(Losec^(�))의 임상 효과

이종선,이기천,허승식,안정기,윤세진,정현용,이헌영,김영건 최신의학사 1990 最新醫學 Vol.33 No.9

청장년에서 관찰된 관상동맥의 비죽종성 석회화와 동맥류 : 부검증례보고

이지신,이영직,박종태 大韓法醫學會 1997 대한법의학회지 Vol.21 No.1

Coronary artery calcification(CAC) is found frequently in the atheromatous plaques. CAC is known to have increased frequency above 40 years. CAC without evidence of atherosclerosis in young adults is quite rare, however, CAC combined with aneurysms in young adults have been infrequently reported in patients with a past history of a Kawasaki disease in child. We report an autopsy case showing CAC and aneurysm in the absence of macroscopically identified atherosclerotic lesions in a healthy 23-year-old man. The autopsy examination revealed aneurysmal dilatation of the right coronary artery, which was connected with calcified lesion. A calcified lesion of the left anterior descending coronary artery was aslo noted. Microscopically, aneurysmal wall was non-specific except for hyalinized wall and foci of calcification. A striking histologic finding of calcified mass was ring calcification along the wall of the coronary artery. Antecedent Kawasaki disease in the past was suggestive as other reports.

심혈관계 질환으로 관상질환 집중치료실에 입원한 환자들의 혜후 측정을 위한 APACHEⅢ점수 체계의 임상적 유용성

이공섭,이창선,최현주,홍종서,강지향,김도형,이민영,오인균,김병엽,김상억,김학찬,한승혜,이재용,지영우,안경주 대한순환기학회 2000 Korean Circulation Journal Vol.30 No.8

非晶質合金의 物理的 및 化學的 性質 Ⅲ. : 液體急冷法 Fe-Cr-B-Si系 및 Fe-Co-Cr-B-S系 合金의 諸特性 The Properties of Rapidly Quenched Fe-Cr-B-Si and Fe-Co-Cr-B-Si Alloys

李龍浩,姜鉉植,高錫梵,李國行,신영진,梁東翊,朴鎭夏,黃在順,이종명 全北大學校 1983 論文集 Vol.25 No.-

Some physical and chemical properties of liquid quenched Fe_75-χ Cr_χB_15Si_10(0≤χ≤6) and Fe_5Co_70-χ Cr_χB_15Si_10(0≤χ≤9) amorphous alloys are investigated. The χ dependencies of saturation magnetization B_s, coercive force H_c, magnetostriction λ, Young's modulus E, resistivity ρ and magnetoresistance ρ_mρ_m are measured with varying tension σand magnetic field H. When χ increases, B_s, H_c, λ and ρ_m decrease monotonically, while E and ρ increase monotonically. Effective moments of Cr and B_15Si_10 are estimated about -5 and -1∼-0.5 Bohr magneton respectively. Uniaxial Anisotropy of Fe_75B_15Si_10 is about 2.2×10^4 erg/c.c by thermodynamical calculation. Magnetoresitance is closely related to magnetostriction, and shows maximum value about 0.13% at magnetic saturation and no stress in Fe riched alloy. Giant ΔE effect of Fe_75B_15Si_10 alloy is about 70% by static tension experiment. Effect of the amount of Cr on the corrosion behavior of amorphous Fe_5Co70-χ Cr_χ B_15Si_10 alloys are compared by immersion tests. The addition of Cr to this alloys lowers the corrosion rate in 1N HCl, but it has a little effect in 1N H_2SO_4.

만성활동성간염과 간경변에서의 고-Alpha Fetoprotein 혈증의 의의(Ⅰ)

이현영,이종선,정현용,이복희 충남대학교 의과대학 지역사회의학연구소 1990 충남의대잡지 Vol.17 No.2

Ten patients with chronic liver disease, whose serum levels of AFP were markedly increased, were detected from Jan. 1985 to Sep. 1990. The clinical and laboratory findings were examined and the results were as follows. 1. The objective patients were 4 males and 6 females, and their mean age was 40.2 years old. Five cases were chronic active hepatitis-B, and the other 5 cases were liver cirrhosis. 2. At the time of first examination, the mean level of serum AFP was 499ng/ml and this initial level of AFP declined to 10.4ng/ml after 5.1 monthes. 3. Initially the mean levels of serum AST, ALT and ALP were 271.7, 299.1 and 177.1 IU/L, and after 5.1 monthes these levels were changed to 61.0, 53.6 and 72.1 IU/L.