데이터 마이닝을 활용한 한국 프로야구 구단의 승패예측과 승률 향상을 위한 전략 도출 연구

김원종 ( Kim Won-jong ),최연식 ( Choi Yeon-sik ),유동희 ( Yoo Dong-hee ) 한국스포츠산업경영학회 2018 한국스포츠산업경영학회지 Vol.23 No.3

본 연구에서는 데이터 마이닝 기법을 활용하여 한국 프로야구의 승패예측모형을 구축하는 실험을 진행하였다. 이를 위해, 2017년에 실시된 한국 프로야구 10개 구단의 전체 경기 중 무승부 경기를 제외한 1,418경기에 대한 자료를 사용하였다. 승패예측모형에는 의사결정나무, 베이즈넷, 인공신경망 알고리즘과 앙상블 기법인 배깅과 부스팅이 사용되었으며, 그 결과 배깅 기법에 인공신경망을 적용한 예측모형에서 가장 높은 예측률인 85.18%를 기록하였다. 다음으로 의사결정나무 기반 예측모형을 활용하여 한국 프로야구 전체 구단에 관한 8개의 승패규칙을 도출하였다. 여기에서 승패규칙은 승패예측에 영향을 미치는 주요 요인들인 팀출루율, 팀타율, 피안타, 안타, 타석, 타수로 표현되며, 도출된 규칙을 바탕으로 구단의 승률 향상에 도움을 주는 전략을 제안하였다. 또한 플레이오프 진출 구단과 미진출 구단에 관한 승리규칙을 각각 4개씩 도출하였고 이를 바탕으로 두 집단에 맞춤화된 승률 향상 전략을 제시하였으며, 실제 구단에서 선수를 영입한 방향과의 비교를 통해 제시된 전략의 활용 가능성을 확인하였다. This study conducted an experiment to develop win-loss prediction models for the Korean professional baseball league using data mining techniques. To this end, we used data on 1,418 games from all games played by the ten Korean professional baseball teams in 2017, except draw games. We developed win-loss prediction models using not only a decision tree, Bayse net, and artificial neural network algorithms, but also ensemble methods, such as bagging and boosting. As a result, first, we found that the artificial neural network-based prediction model using the bagging method reported the best accuracy (85.18%). Second, we derived eight win-loss rules for entire teams from the decision tree-based prediction model. These rules consist of six influential factors: team on base average, team batting average, hit by opponent, hit, plate appearances, and at bat. Using the derived rules, we proposed helpful strategies for improving the winning rate. Third, we derived four winning rules for both playoff teams and non-playoff teams; using the rules we proposed customized strategies for improving the winning rate of the two different groups. Finally, we confirmed the feasibility of the proposed strategies by comparing non-playoff teams’ actual player recruitment strategies.

야뇨증 환아들의 심리사회적 특성에 대한 다기관 연구 : 행동 및 정서 문제를 중심으로

조수철,김재원,신민섭,황준원,한상원,박관현,이상돈,김경도,김건석,서홍진,이유식,정재용,김영균,문두건,남궁미경,한창희,조원열,김영식,배기수,이종국,정우영,신의진 大韓神經精神醫學會 2005 신경정신의학 Vol.44 No.6

Objectives : The aim of this study was to examine the behavioral and emotional problems associated with nocturnal enuresis in Korean children. Methods : Three hundred eighteen children with nocturnal enuresis, together with their parents, completed the Child Behavior Checklist (CBCL), Disruptive Behavior Disorder Scale according to DSM-IV (DBDS), Children's Depression Inventory (CDI), State-Trait Anxiety Inventory for Children (STAIC), and Piers-Harris Children's Self-Concept Scale (PHCSC). Ninety-three normal students were selected as the control group. Results : Compared to the normal control group, the mean scores with regard to the withdrawn, social problems, attention problems, delinquent behavior, aggressive behavior, externalizing problems and total problems profiles were significantly higher in the nocturnal enuresis group according to the CBCL results. The nocturnal enuresis group also scored significantly higher in the ADHD and ODD profiles of the DBDS. The nocturnal enuresis group was more depressed and anxious than the control group according to the results of the CDI and STAI. The mean score of the PHCSC was significantly lower in the nocturnal enuresis group when compared to the normal control group. Conclusion : The results of this study suggest that children with nocturnal enuresis in Korea have clinically relevant behavioral and emotional problems. The findings support the link between nocturnal enuresis and psychopathology in Korean children.

인쇄체 영문자·숫자·특수문자 인식을 위한 특징 추출에 관한 연구

유우종,박종원 충남대학교 자연과학연구소 1989 忠南科學硏究誌 Vol.16 No.2

This paper proposes new feature extraction and recognition method for alphanumeric and special characters printed in various type fonts. The method consists of two stages-feature extraction and recognition stages. This method is very capable of recognition multi-font printed alphanumeric and special characters and can correct the tilt input data. The recognition rate is 99.689% for the printed Bold, Roman, and Italic type faces.

주파수 영역에서 다변수 제어 분석

유삼현,이종원 중앙대학교 생산공학연구소 1998 생산공학연구소 논문집 Vol.7 No.1

본 연구는 2개 이상의 입력과 출력으로 표현되는 다변수 시스템의 제어에 필요한 설계 요구 조건을 주파수 영역에서 분석하여 시스템에 적용하는 방법에 대하여 알아본다. 설계 요구 조건은 정상편차, 절점 주파수(cross-over frequency), 다변수에 의한 최대 및 최소 특이 값(singular value), 그리고 교란 및 잡음제거 등이며 목표 루프(target loop)는 Kalman 필터가 적용된다. 이러한 설계 요구 조건을 만족시키는 제어장치를 설계하는 주파수 영역에서의 분석은 LQG/LTR(Linear-Quadratic-Gaussian with Loop-Transfer-Recovery) 기술을 근거로 적용된다. 제어장치를 적용한 시스템의 폐루프 및 민감도 전달함수에 대한 특이 값을 주파수에 영역에서 분석하고 시간 영역에서 입력과 출력의 과도응답의 정확성과 반응속도에 대하여 알아본다. The main purpose of this study is an analysis of multi-variable control in frequency domain. This analysis is based on LQG(MBC)/LTR methodology. Target loop is designed by Kalman filter which includes the design specifications such as cross-over frequency, identification of maximum and minimum singular values, rejection of sensor noise in high frequency domain and disturbance in low frequency domain. Closed loop and sensitivity transfer function are analyzed by singular values in frequency domain and transient responses of input and output are also analyzed in time domain.

국산 Avana 인공치아와 외국산 ITI 인공치아의 악골조직내 적합성에 관한 비교연구

유재하,이지웅,백성흠,정원균,김종배 大韓顎顔面成形再建外科學會 2002 Maxillofacial Plastic Reconstructive Surgery Vol.24 No.6

The purpose of this article is to confirm the longterm biocompatibility of national Avana implant and international ITI implant in dogs. At the fourth month after extreaction of the mandibular third and fourth premolar in three dog, both implants were inserted using careful atraumatic technique and prosthetic abutments were applied onto the implants in three months. After that, the implants were examined by naked eye and radiographic image every three months during 1 year, for detection of the complications, such as, mobility, bone resorption and wound infection. At 1 year after application of prosthetic abutment, the dogs were sacrificed for the histopathologic analysis by light microscope. The results obtained were as follows; 1. All implants had the ralatively good prognosis without mobility, wound infection and moderate bone resoprtion, in clinical and radiological evaluation during one year. 2. The all histopathologic specimens at one year after application of prosthetic abutment onto the implants showed the distinct osseointegration between implant system and bone, with projection of new bone apposition onto the peri-implant tissue. But Avana implants had the less osseointegration than ITI implants in the cancellous and marrow layer of jaw bone. 3. The all histopathologic specimens at one year after application of prosthetic device showed the firm junction by dense connective tissue pattern between the implant and the gingival portion. But Avana implants had the less firmer junction than ITI implants. 4. The authors confirmed that Avana implant and ITI implant have more higher tissue biocompatibility in dental implantation, but ITI implant has the more osseointegration than the Avana implant.

유전성 대사질환에서의 동종조혈모세포이식 : 단일 기관에서의 경험 A single center experience

유건희,김흥렬,이지은,이호영,천정미,성기웅,구홍회,이문향,진동규,김종원,김대원,김형록 대한조혈모세포이식학회 2001 대한조혈모세포이식학회지 Vol.6 No.2

배경: 유전성 대사질환의 치료로서 효소 요법 및 유전자 치료가 제한적인 현실에서 동종 조혈모세포이식이 현재로선 가장 중요한 치료가 될 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 단일 기관에서 유전성 대사질환에 대해 동종 조혈모세포이식을 시행한 경험을 보고하고자 하였다. 방법: 삼성서울병원 유전성 대사질환 조혈모세포이식팀에서는 1999년 12월부터 2001년 3월까지 총 6례의 유전성 대사질환을 대상으로 동종 조혈모세포이식을 시행하였다. 대상 질환은 Hunter 증후군 3례, galactosialidosis 1례, 이염성 백질이영양증 1례, 부신백질이영양증 1례였으며 성별 분포는 남아가 5명, 여아가 1명이었으며 연령 분포는 2년 9개월에서 15년 9개월이었다. 5례는 HLA 일치 혈연간 골수이식이었으며 1례는 HLA 불일치 T 림프구 제거 말초혈액 조혈모세포이식이었다. 전처치는 모두 BuCy를 사용하였으며 이식편대숙주반응의 예방에는 cyclosporine을 사용하였다. 이식된 세포는 유핵세포가 4.81×10^(8)(2.40~7.01×10^(8))/kg이었으며 CD34+ 세포는 3.65×10^(6)(0.88~10.72×10^(6))/kg이었다. 결과: 이식 후 조혈기능의 회복은 모두 조기에 달성되었으며(ANC>500: 정중 9.5일, 범위 9~14일; PLT>50K: 정중 32일, 범위 23~34일) 이식과 관련된 합병증은 Gr I의 aGVHD 3례, 국한성의 cGVHD 1례, 경증의 간정맥 폐쇄성 질환이 1례이었다. 모든 환자에서 직간접적으로 이식 후 효소의 생산이 증가함이 확인되었으며 임상적인 호전을 보인 경우가 4례, 질병 진행이 중단된 경우가 1례, 질병이 진행된 경우가 1례이었다. 질병 진행이 중단되었던 1례는 면역억제제 투여 중 수두 감염에 의한 폐출혈로 사망하였다. 결론: 유전성 대사질환에서 동종 조혈모세포이식이 가장 중요한 치료법으로 사용될 수 있고 중추신경계 증상이 나타나기 전, 가능한 조기에 조혈모세포이식을 시행하는 것이 바람직할 것이며 적극적인 지지 요법이 필요하다. 향후 더 많은 임상 경험이 필요하리라 사료된다. Background: Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) may be the most important treatment modality to cure a number of genetic metabolic disorders because of the limitation of enzyme replacement or gene therapy. In this study, we report our single center experience about HSCT in several genetic metabolic disorders. Methods: We performed 6 cases of HSCT for genetic metabolic disorders from December 1999 to March 2001. Patients' diagnoses were Hunter syndrome (3), galactosialidosis (1), metachromatic leukodystrophy (1), and adrenoleukodystrophy (1). Stem cell sources were bone marrow from HLA matched sibling donors in 5 patients and mother's peripheral blood stem cells in one patient who did not have HLA matched donors. Busulfan and cyclophosphamide for conditioning, and cyclosporine for the prevention of graft versus host disease were used in all patients. Transplanted total nucleated cell counts were median 4.81×10^(8)(2.40~7.01×10^(8))/kg , and CD34+ cells 3.65×10^(6)(0.88~10.72×10^(6))/kg. Results: All patients achieved early hematologic recovery (median 9.5 days, range 9~14 days for ANC>500/μL; median 32 days, range 23~34 days for PLT>50,000/μL). Transplant-related complications were 3 cases of grade 1 acute GVHD, a case of limited chronic GVHD, and a case of mild hepatic veno-occlusive disease. Enzyme levels were normalized in 4 patients evaluated and there were indirect evidences of enzyme production in the other 2 patients after HSCT. Four of the 6 patients showed symptomatic improvement, 1 patient (galactosialidosis) experienced disease stabilization without progression before he eventually died due to pulmonary hemorrhage, and the other 1 patient deteriorated progressively even after HSCT. Conclusions: Allogeneic HSCT can be done as the only curative treatment in a number of genetic metabolic disorders. It seems desirable to perform HSCT as early as possible before the onset of central nervous system symptoms. More experience and long term follow up is needed to evaluate the efficacy and to monitor the long term transplant-related complications.

멀티미디어 서버에서 효율적인 승인 제어 알고리즘 설계

元裕憲,朴勇,金鍾勳 弘益大學校 科學技術硏究所 1997 科學技術硏究論文集 Vol.8 No.-

A server of client-server environments has to not only minimum delay time, but also realtime processing of job. Specially, multimedia systems are need to an efficient admission control algorithm, because of clients of big-size data need to maximum processing and realtime processing. In this paper, we propose an admission control algorithm that considers both realtime requests and non-realtime requests. The proposed algorithm minimizes delay time about requests of client and efficiently uses resources of system. Using comparisons between a previously proposed algorithm and the proposed algorithm we show that the proposed algorithm improves performance in the aspect of the delay time and consumed buffer size.

Stirling Engine의 開發을 위한 電算化에 관한 硏究

劉赫濟,李鍾元 慶熙大學校 1986 論文集 Vol.15 No.-

A Stirling engine is a mechanism used to convert heat into power and operates an a closed regenerative thermodynamic cycle with compression and expansion of the working fluid at different temperature. According to the classical theory the performance of a stirling cycle machine is a function of six independent parameters. namely; (1) speed (2) pressure of the working fluid, (3) ratio of the temperatures in the compression and expansion space, (4) ratio of the swept volumes in these two space, (5) phase angle, (6) volume of the heat exchangers and regenerator. The four parameters (3)∼(6) must be selected at the design state of the machine. The paper describes the procedure and presents the results of computations earned out to establish the optimum combinations of these for parameters for maximum engine output for the machine acting as a prime mover, over a combined temperature range from 300∼3000。K. The output of a stirling cycle machine can be expressed m terms of nondimensional power in several different ways. Four methods were studied in detail, the parameters optimized and design charts and shaft power charts prepared. Wide variations in the optimum parameter combinations were obtained and a partial explanation of this phenomenon is offered.

내시경적 절제로 진단된 폴립 형태의 심재성 낭종성 위염 2예

허종현,조영화,성용완,유재훈,구동영,김갑식,노지훈,문원 고신대학교의과대학 2008 고신대학교 의과대학 학술지 Vol.23 No.2

Gastritis cystica profunda (GCP) is a disease characterized by hyperplastic and significant extension of cystic dilatation of the gastric mucous glands, which results in a cystic lesion in gastric submucosa. It often occurs on the part of gastroenterostomy, but can be found in the stomach without any previous surgery. GCP has variable gross finding including solitary polyps, diffuse ones, submucosal tumors, and rare giant gastric mucosal fold. It is difficult to tell GCP from a cancerous lesion by gross finding that the disease demands a necessary tissue biopsy, though GCP is commonly showed as a benign in the progress. We report a case of GCP in polypoid types diagnosed by endoscopic polypectomy.

다종의 Pulse Oximeter에서 측정된 산소 분압도의 차이와 상호 비교 결과에 대한 보고

유승훈,김응학,권순원,김종수 대한소아치과학회 2000 大韓小兒齒科學會誌 Vol.27 No.4

진정요법하의 치과치료에서 환자의 상태를 지속적으로 감시하는 것은 매우 중요하다. 여러 방법 중 가장 널리 사용되는 것중 Pulse Oximeter가 있다. Pulse Oximeter는 비침습적 방법으로 계속해서 동맥혈액의 산소포화도를 측정할 수 있도록 고안된 장치로서 기기에 나타나는 산소포화도(SpO₂)는 실제로 측정한 동맥혈액의 산소포화도(SaO₂)와 거의 일치하는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 진료실에 있는 세종류의 Pulse Oximeter를 이용하여 한 환자에게 동시에 두 개의 기기를 적용하였을 경우, 산출값을 상호 비교한 결과, 짧은(3회) 맥박수를 평균하는 기기가 낮은값이 나왔으며, 다른 두개의 Pulse Oximeter와 유의한 차이가 있는 것으로 밝혀졌다. 짧은 맥박수를 평균하는 기기는 반응이 빠르나, 산소포화도의 값이 작게 산출되고, 외부의 신호에 더욱 민감하여, 오류가 존재할 가능성 또한 높다. 기기의 특성을 알아, 술자는 적절한 기기를 선택하는 것이 중요하다. A major concern in pediatric dentistry is maximizing risk mangement through optimal monitoring of respiratory function during sedation techniques, and Pulse Oximeter is one of the most popular devices for these purpose. Pulse Oximeter is non-invasive device for detecting the sensitive fraction between the saturated & desaturated hemoglobin. Several Studies proved that there is no significant difference between the SpO2 and SaO2 . In this article, We examined three Pulse Oximeter (3300MXR, OX90R, BPM200R). The Pulse Oximeter using shorter pulse beat averaging showed more sensitive reaction to the statue of the patient and lower saturation data. We compared pair of Pulse Oximeter applied to one patient at one time. And BPM200R (using shorter pulse beat averaging) showed statistically low saturation