신경망분석을 이용한 축구경기 승,패 예측모형 개발 -2006독일월드컵 대회를 중심으로-

김주학 ( Joo Hak Kim ),노갑택 ( Gap Taik Ro ),박종성 ( Jong Sung Park ),이원희 ( Won Hi Lee ) 한국스포츠정책과학원(구 한국스포츠개발원) 2007 체육과학연구 Vol.18 No.4

본 연구는 축구 경기 기록자료를 활용하여 축구경기의 승·패를 예측할 수 있는 모형을 개발하는 데 있다. 활용된 경기기록 자료는 2006년 독일 월드컵대회에 나타난 축구경기 전체 64경기의 FIFA TSG공식자료와 M대학교 경기분석 프로그램을 활용하여 산출된 경기기록 자료를 사용하였다. 연구기법으로는 최근에 예측연구에 많이 활용되고 있는 신경망 분석을 이용하여 예측율을 확인 하였으며, 예측율은 2개의 예측모형으로 분류하여 결과를 산출하였다. 구체적인 내용 및 방법은 다음과 같다. 2006년 독일월드컵에 나타난 기록 관련 요인 중 경기 내적요인을 중심으로 축구 경기의 승·패와 관련한 요인을 탐색하고 2006년 독일월드컵 전 경기에 대한 비디오녹화를 실시하였으며, 녹화된 비디오를 통하여 기록요인에 대하여 실시간 축구 경기분석 프로그램을 활용, 승·패와 관련한 기록요인을 점수화하였다. 점수화된 기록요인은 점유율, 성공률 관련 등 여러 가지 요인이 있었으나 실제 경기에서 예측을 할 수 있는 요인을 전문가와 회의를 통하여 선정하고 선정된 요인을 바탕으로 신경망 분석방법을 이용하여 축구경기 승·패 예측 모형을 개발하여 예측율을 확인하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 전문가회의를 통하여 기록화 할 수 있는 기록자료 요인을 중심으로 2006년 독일월드컵 전체 경기에 대하여 축구 경기분석 프로그램을 통하여 점수화하여 실제 다양한 요인이 내재된 경기에 대하여서도 내용분류를 통하여 점수화할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 둘째, 점수화된 경기 내적요인을 중심으로 신경망분석 방법을 통하여 축구경기에 대하여서도 승·패를 예측할 수 있음을 확인하였으며 타 종목에 대하여서도 실현 가능함을 확인할 수 있었다. 셋째, 축구경기의 승패에 대하여 87.5%의 예측율을 보임으로써 축구경기의 요인에 대한 중요도를 평가할 수 있는 연구의 기초를 확립하였다고 판단된다. This study was on purpose to investigate the various factors of soccer games into inner factors and classify performance factors objectively and scientifically using a soccer game analysis program and develop a model which can predict the result of the soccer games using the Neural NetWork Analysis that stands on the game graded record. The game recorded data was collected from the FIFA TSG official record and the data which was gained using a game analysis program. It has searched the factors related the game results which were focused on the game inner factors of the related factors in 2006 World cup games and recorded the whole games of 2006 World cup games, graded the recording factors related the win/lose using the video and the real time game analysis program with numbers. The graded recording factors with numbers were several; ball possession, completion, and so on. However, through the meeting with Neural NetWork Analysis, professionals prediction related factors which can predict in the real games were selected. And a soccer game win/lose prediction model was developed using the selected factors and Neural NetWork Analysis. It also was compared with the preceding researches in documents record studies. Followings are main results of this study; First, It was confirmed that it is available to grade the real factors in the games which include various factors through the professionals` meetings which implemented the analysis the 2006 Worldcup games and it was focused on the recording factors. Second, the graded recording inner-factors make it possible to predict the soccer game results using the Neural NetWork Analysis method. It was verified that it can be effective in other sports also. Third, the rate of predicting the soccer games` results was 87.5%. It is possible to understand this study contributes on the basis of the importancy of soccer game factors.

‘경영인의 지혜(Managerial Wisdom)’ 습득을 위한 SSWB 모델의 효과성 연구

김주원(Kim, Joo-Won),박용승(Park, Yong-Seung) 한국경영교육학회 2020 경영교육연구 Vol.35 No.5

[연구목적] 본 연구는 SSWB 모델을 실제 경영학습현장에 대입하기 위해 개발된 프로그램을 소개하고 SSWB 모델의 효과성을 검증하고자 함을 목적으로 한다. [연구방법] 본 연구는 연구자가 근무하고 있는 서울소재 K와 S대학의 책임경영, 기업윤리, 그리고 리더십 수강생 110명을 대상으로 2019년 가을학기에 시행되었다. 측정 도구는 연구자가 개발한 ‘경영인의 지혜’ 이며 사전 사후 검사를 위해 SPSS 25를 활용하여 대응표본 t검증을 실시하였다. [연구결과] 본 연구를 통해 경영인의 지혜에 대한 7개의 하위요인인 고차지식, 자기성찰, 앎의 욕구, 영성 및 초월, 공감, 모순인지 모두 통계적으로 유의미하게 분석되었다. 즉, SSWB 모델을 활용한 프로그램은 경영인의 지혜 수준을 향상시키며 따라서 본 모델의 효과성은 입증되었다. [연구의 시사점] 본 연구는 지금까지의 지혜 학습에 관련된 연구가 관념적인 논증을 거치거나 인터뷰를 통한 질적 연구에 국한되어 있었던 데 반해 실제 양적인 측정을 시도하였다는 것에 큰 의미가 있다. 게다가, 국내 최초로 경영인의 지혜를 개념화하고 측정 도구와 프로그램을 개발한 연구자가 직접 프로그램의 효과성을 검증했다는 것에서도 그 의의를 찾아볼 수 있다. 이는 연구의 방향과 흐름의 일관됨은 물론 같은 주제의 맥락을 하나로 집결시켜 정확한 연구의 본질에 충실할 수 있었음을 의미한다. 또한, 본 연구의 결과로 볼 때 지혜 학습의 가능성이 타당화되었다. 이는 추상적으로 여겨졌던 지혜의 학문적 진입은 물론, 실천적 대입에 대한 촉발제가 되었다는 점에서도 큰 의의를 지닌다. [Purpose] The purpose of this study is to first introduce the program developed to apply the SSWB model to the actual management learning site. The purpose is to verify the effectiveness of the SSWB model through comparative analysis before and after implementation of the program. [Methodology] The study was conducted in the fall semester of 2019 on 110 students of responsible management, management ethics, and leadership at K and S universities in Seoul where researchers work. For this study, pretest-posttest was conducted using the ‘Management Wisdom’ measurement tool developed by the researcher, and the analysis and verification were conducted using SPSS 25. [Findings] As a result, all factors resulted in statistically significant results. In other words, the SSWB model can be interpreted as improving the level of management wisdom. Therefore, it has been verified that this is a useful program for learning the wisdom of managers. [Implications] This study is significant in that the research related to learning wisdom has been limited to qualitative research through interview or through ideological reasoning so far, while actual quantitative measurement has been attempted. Moreover, the significance of the program can be found in the fact that the researchers who have conceptualized the wisdom of managers and developed measurement tools and programs for the first time in Korea have personally verified the effectiveness of the program. This means that the direction and flow of research are consistent, as well as the context of the same subject can be brought together to be faithful to the exact nature of the study. Also, the possibility of learning wisdom has been justified. This is of great significance not only in the academic entry of wisdom, which was considered abstract, but also in the fact that it was the trigger for practical college entrance.

DJ-1 deficiency impairs synaptic vesicle endocytosis and reavailability at nerve terminals

Kyung, Jae Won,Kim, Jin-Mo,Lee, Wongyoung,Ha, Tae-Young,Cha, Seon-Heui,Chung, Kyung-Hwun,Choi, Dong-Joo,Jou, Ilo,Song, Woo Keun,Joe, Eun-Hye,Kim, Sung Hyun,Park, Sang Myun National Academy of Sciences 2018 Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Vol.115 No.7

<P>Mutations in DJ-1 (PARK7) are a known cause of early-onset autosomal recessive Parkinson's disease (PD). Accumulating evidence indicates that abnormalities of synaptic vesicle trafficking underlie the pathophysiological mechanism of PD. In the present study, we explored whether DJ-1 is involved in CNS synaptic function. DJ-1 deficiency impaired synaptic vesicle endocytosis and reavailability without inducing structural alterations in synapses. Familial mutants of DJ-1 (M26I, E64D, and L166P) were unable to rescue defective endocytosis of synaptic vesicles, whereas WT DJ-1 expression completely restored endocytic function in DJ-1 KO neurons. The defective synaptic endocytosis shown in DJ-1 KO neurons may be attributable to alterations in membrane cholesterol level. Thus, DJ-1 appears essential for synaptic vesicle endocytosis and reavailability, and impairment of this function by familial mutants of DJ-1 may be related to the pathogenesis of PD.</P>

부산.경남지역의 일부 고등학교 교사들의 물리치료에 대한 인식도 조사

김지원,박상현,주성희,김용권,안덕현,Kim, JI-Won,Park, Sang-Hyeon,Joo, Sung-Hui,Kim, Yong-Kwon,Ahn, Duck-Hyun 대한물리치료과학회 2003 대한물리치료과학회지 Vol.10 No.2

This study randomly chose 10 humanity high schools, which are located in Busan and KyoungNam province. We then examined the recognition rate of physical therapy among 378 teachers who were and still are working in the schools. 1. The recognition grade of physical therapeutics between men and women was significantly different with results of 80.7% of men and 69.7% of women(p<0.05). In the case of experiencing physical therapy, 83.6% of people said they knew the physical therapeutics and in the case of the opposite side, the result was also significantly different with a result of 67.8%(p<0.05). 2. We ranked the people on how much they knew about the physical therapeutics among men and women. With men, the actual experience of physical therapeutic came before what they heard from other people. In the case of women, what they heard from other people came first and the actual experience of physical therapeutic came after. According to the public information from Inje University, the recognition grade is recorded in the 3rd grade department as 21.5% while in the case of experiencing treatment from a physical therapist, the result was 39.1%. In the other department (the 1st grade department), what men and women heard from mass media was recorded at 17.5% and what they heard from other people, it was recorded at 33.8%(p<0.05). 3. The research about the recognition of academic ability of being a physical therapist was that 55.6% of teachers thought that 3-year-college was the best, which made the results different from the recognition grade of the experience of education(p<0.05). 4. In the recognition grade of physical therapeutics, there were significantly differences from 50.2% of men and 45.2% of women were expecting about 1mil ion won to 1.99million won. In case of 25.2% of people who have experience less than 15years at work, they expected about 2million to 2.99million won. The figures were higher than 10.1% of people who have experiences over 15years. About the recognition grade of physical therapists social level in the future is 48.8% of people who had experienced of physical therapy and 63.8% of people who never had experienced of it said it would be better in the future. From these results, the recognition about physical therapeutics and the view of its social status are optimistic and they know well about the level of academic ability of physical therapists. On the other hand, most teachers don't know exactly about physical therapists work. So we have to inform them aggressively for enhancing the recognition of physical therapy because high school students are well affected by their teachers when they face their future or major in university.

알레르기 ; 알레르기 환자에서 한방 이외의 대체 요법의 사용 현황에 대한 다기관 조사

이현정 ( Hyun Jung Lee ),이재현 ( Jae Hyun Lee ),이용원 ( Yong Won Lee ),김철우 ( Cheol Woo Kim ),동헌종 ( Hun Jong Dhong ),박해심 ( Hae Sim Park ),조영주 ( Young Joo Cho ),조진희 ( Jin Hee Cho ),조상헌 ( Sang Heon Cho ),편복양 ( 대한내과학회 2011 대한내과학회지 Vol.80 No.1

목적: 한국에서 알레르기 질환 치료를 위한 한방 치료뿐만 아니라 대체 요법이 많이 이용되고 있으며, 그 현황에 대하여 다기관 조사를 시행하였다. 방법: 10개의 대학병원 외래로 내원한 647명의 알레르기 환자를 대상으로 설문조사를 시행하였으며, 이 중 510명이 한방 이외의 대체 요법에 응답하였다. 이환되어 있는 알레르기 질환은 천식(50.0%), 알레르기 비염(36.0%), 아토피 피부염(36.0%), 그리고 두드러기(9.3%)였다. 각각 환자들에게 12 문항의 설문조사를 시행하였으며, 한방 이외의 대체 요법의 사용 빈도 및 종류, 대체 요법에 의지하게 된 이유, 비용, 그리고 치료효과에 대한 의견을 물어 보았다. 결과: 16.7%의 알레르기 환자에서 한방 이외의 다른 대체 요법을 받았으며, 평균 1.6종의 한방 이외의 대체 요법을 받았다. 가장 많이 의지하는 대체 요법은 민간 식이요법 (48.6%)이었고, 그 다음이 아로마 요법(23.8%), 지압(14.3%), 건강 호흡법(7.6%), 마인드 컨트롤(5.7%), 목욕요법(5.7%) 순이었다. 대체 요법을 받은 환자 중 마인드 컨트롤(50%), 식이요법(50%), 그리고 건강 호흡법(75%)의 경우 치료 효과가 만족스럽다는 응답이 높았으며, 목욕요법, 아로마 요법, 그리고 지압은 만족도가 각각 33.3%, 28.0%, 26.7%로 저조하였다. 대체 요법 사용자의 63.6%가 5회 미만의 대체 요법을 받았고, 91.8%가 1년 이내로 치료받았으며, 1인당 평균 연 37 만원을 지출하였다. 대체 요법을 선택한 가장 큰 이유는 체질이 개선될 수 있을까 해서(44.2%)였으며, 대체 요법이 몸에 부담이 없어서(31.4%), 면역기능이 강화되어서(22.9%) 순으로 나타났고, 15.7%는 양약치료가 도움이 되지 않아서 대체 요법을 선택하였다고 응답하였다. 결론: 한국에서 알레르기 환자의 상당수가 한방뿐만 아니라 여러 가지의 대체 요법을 사용하고 있음을 알 수 있었다. 대체 요법의 사용 빈도가 증가하고 그 종류가 다양함을 고려할 때, 의료진은 대체 요법의 현황에 대하여 정확히 인지하고 이에 대해 관심을 가지고 환자를 대하여야 하며 올바른 알레르기 질환 치료법에 대해 환자뿐만 아니라 의료인에게 교육하는 것이 필요하다. Background/Aims: The use of unproven complementary/alternative medicine (CAM) to treat allergies is popular in Korea. We conducted a multicenter survey of the current use of CAM other than herbal medication in Korean allergy patients. Methods: This study enrolled 510 adults with allergic diseases, including asthma, allergic rhinitis, atopic dermatitis, and chronic urticaria, from ten hospitals. They underwent a structured questionnaire interview and clinical assessment of the prevalence, motivation, costs, and subjective assessment of CAM. Results: Of the patients, 16.7% used at least one type of CAM to treat their allergic diseases. Common types of CAM were diet (48.6%), aroma therapy (23.8%), massage (14.3%), breathing exercises (7.6%), baths (5.7%), and mind control (5.7%). The therapeutic effects of CAM included improved in patients using mind control (50%), diet (50%), breathing exercises (75%), and baths (33.3%), but worse in patients using aroma therapy (28%), and massage (26.7%). About 36.4% of the patients used CAM more than four times per year, and the average cost per CAM user was 370,000 won/year. The main reason for trying CAM was `hope to improve my constitution`. Conclusions: CAM is used widely for treating allergic diseases in Korea. Detailed knowledge of CAM and patient education are important. Further studies of the clinical efficacy of CAM are needed. (Korean J Med 2011;80:68-77)

Regional disparities in major cancer incidence in Korea, 1999-2018

Eun Hye Park(Eun Hye Park),Mee Joo Kang(Mee Joo Kang),Kyu-Won Jung(Kyu-Won Jung),Eun Hye Park(Eun Hye Park),E Hwa Yun(E Hwa Yun),Hye-Jin Kim(Hye-Jin Kim),Hyun-Joo Kong(Hyun-Joo Kong),Chang Kyun Choi(C 한국역학회 2023 Epidemiology and Health Vol.45 No.-

OBJECTIVES: This study investigated regional disparities in the incidence of 8 major cancers at the municipal level in Korea during 1999-2018 and evaluated the presence or absence of hot spots of cancer clusters during 2014-2018. METHODS: The Korea National Cancer Incidence Database was used. Age-standardized incidence rates were calculated by gender and region at the municipal level for 4 periods of 5 years and 8 cancer types. Regional disparities were calculated as both absolute and relative measures. The possibility of clusters was examined using global Moran’s I with a spatial weight matrix based on adjacency or distance. RESULTS: Regional disparities varied depending on cancer type and gender during the 20-year study period. For men, the regional disparities of stomach, colon and rectum, lung, and liver cancer declined, and those of thyroid and prostate cancer recently decreased, despite an overall increasing incidence. For women, regional disparities in stomach, colon and rectum, lung, liver, and cervical cancer declined, that of thyroid cancer recently decreased, despite an overall increasing incidence, and that of breast cancer steadily increased. In 2014-2018, breast cancer (I, 0.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.53 to 0.70) showed a high probability of cancer clusters in women, and liver cancer (I, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.40 to 0.56) showed a high probability of cancer clusters in men. CONCLUSIONS: Disparities in cancer incidence that were not seen at the national level were discovered at the municipal level. These results could provide important directions for planning and implementing local cancer policies.

Active Molecular Chitosan (AMC-S1): Preparation and Characterization of Antibacterial Activity

( Joo Won Kim ),( Choon Geun Lee ),( You Jin Hwang ),( Jae Kweon Park ) 한국키틴키토산학회 2015 한국키틴키토산학회지 Vol.20 No.4

The aim of the present study is to prepare the chitosan hydrolysates and characterize their potential antibacterial activity. High molecular weight chitosan (CTSN-H) and medium molecular weight chitosan (MMWC, 2~10-kDa) were further degraded efficiently by using chitosanase from Bacillus subtilis JH-1122. Molecular weight (MW) of the final product was determined by MALDI-TOF MS, showed several peaks ranging from 0.8 to 2.5-kDa. Based on antibacterial activity of the hydrolysates, final products were named as active molecular chitosan (AMC-S1). AMC-S1 was evaluated as IC50 to 12.5 μg/mL of the concentration toward Candida albicans. Our present study demonstrates that AMC-S1 derived from the digestion of CTSN-H and MMWC can be selected as a potent factor affecting on antimicrobial activity against C. albicans for the industry and pharmaceutical applications.

Poster Session : PS-1576 ; Bronchoscopy : A Case of Significant Endobronchial Injury Due to Recurrent Iron Pill Aspiration

( Joo Hee Kwak ),( Gun Woo Koo ),( Sung Jun Chung ),( Dong Won Park ),( Hyun Jung Kwak ),( Ji Young Moon ),( Sang Heon Kim ),( Jang Won Sohn ),( Ho Joo Yoon ),( Dong Ho Shin ),( Sung Soo Park ),( Ju Y 대한내과학회 2014 대한내과학회 추계학술대회 Vol.2014 No.1

Gastric mucosal damage by iron pills is often reported, but cases with iron pill aspiration are not common. Through oxidation of impacted iron pill, bronchial mucosal damage can proceed to chronic bronchial infiammation and necrosis, resulting endobronchial stenosis and rarely, perforation. We report a 92-year-old woman who endured chronic productive cough with significant atelectasis at left middle and lower lung field. Bronchoscopy revealed significant luminal narrowing with exudative infiammation at left main bronchus. Bronchial washing cytology showed necroinfiammatory exudates and a few brown pigmented materials. Mucosal biopsy revealed diffuse brown pigments suggesting the presence of ferrous pigment, crystal deposition and marked tissue degeneration. After vigorous coughing, dark sediments were expectorated, and overall symptoms and radiological abnormalities were improved from then on. This case report is the first in our country, in spite of a few previous reports in the abroad. In conclusion, cautious observation of the aspiration-prone patients and early detection of iron pill aspiration might be important to prevent iron pill induced bron-chial injury.

P326 : Two cases of cutaneous sparganosis that present as subcutaneous nodule

( Won Joo Kwon ),( Jong Hyun Yoon ),( Eun Byul Cho ),( Eun Joo Park ),( Kwang Ho Kim ),( Kwang Joong Kim ) 대한피부과학회 2014 대한피부과학회 학술발표대회집 Vol.66 No.1

The Korean Academy of Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases : Slide Session ; OS-029 : Pulmonary Infection ; Comparison of Sensitivity of QuantiFERON-TB Gold In- Tube and T-SPOT.TB According to Age

( Won Bae ),( Se Joong Kim ),( Yeoun Joo Lee ),( Jong Sun Park ),( Young Jae Cho ),( Ho Il Yoon ),( Choon Taek Lee ),( Jae Ho Lee ) 대한내과학회 2014 대한내과학회 추계학술대회 Vol.2014 No.1

Background: Interferon gamma release assay (IGRA) has been used for detection of latent tuberculosis (TB) infection. There are two types of IGRA, one is the QuantiFERON- TB Gold In-tube (GFT-GIT) and the other one is the T-SPOT.TB. There were somecontradictory reports that result of IGRA was or was not associated with age. We aimed to evaluate whether there are different sensitivity of these tests according to age. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of patients who were diagnosed with TB and examined by either QFT-GIT or T-SPOT.TB from Feb 2008 to Dec 2013. The positivity of two tests was analyzed and compared with true TB infection. True TB infection was defi ned as active TB that is positive mycobacterium culture or positive polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for TB.Results: QFT-GIT group included 192 and T-SPOT.TB group included 212 TB patients. The pulmonary TB patients were 76 (39.6%) and 143 (67.5%), pulmonary TB with extra-pulmonary TB were 34 (17.7%) and 31 (14.6%), and extra-pulmonary TB were 82 (42.7%) and 38 (17.9%) at each group. The overall sensitivity was 80.2% for QFTGIT and 91.0% for T-SPOT.TB. The sensitivity of QFT-GIT and T-SPOT.TB according to age group was that 93.3% and 96.7% below 29-year-old, 86.5% and 94.7% in 30 to 49-year-old, 76.8% and 87.5% in 50 to 69-year-old, and 68.3% and 85.7% above 70-year-old. Age-related changes in sensitivity was signifi cant in QFT-GIT (p=0.033) but not in T-SPOT.TB. Mean absolute lymphocyte count, level of serum protein and albumin were signifi cantly lower in older age group in both IGRA patients groups. Conclusions: This result suggests that T-SPOT.TB is more useful test for TB infection than QFT-GIT in old age group.