원룸형 도시형생활주택 공급에 영향을 미치는 도시공간특성 연구

김리영 ( Lee Young Kim ),서원석 ( Won Seok Seo ) 한국부동산분석학회 2012 不動産學硏究 Vol.18 No.4

This study aims at analyzing the decision factors affecting the studio type of urban-life housing supply among 230 cities, and the differences between cities supplied the studio type of urban-life housing and cities with no housing supply. The results of this study are as follows. First, the cities with housing supply and no supply have their unique urban characteristics in terms of household, economic and industrial, housing and infrastructure features. Second, the decision characteristics affecting studio type of urban-life housing supply are more likely related to housing, economic and industrial, and infrastructure characteristics. Third, the housing supply is strongly related to younger working households rather than aged or students. Fourth, it has been argued that the housing supply may worse urban residential environment because the urban-life housing law alleviates parking space regulation for increasing the urban-life housing supply. However, this study finds that it may not be a big problem because the cities constructed the housing have higher rate of public transportation use. Finally, this study gives a good understanding that housing policy should focus on the inherent urban characteristics of each city. Moreover, a drastic switch in housing policy is necessary, so that many legal authorities for housing owned by the central government should be transferred to local governments.

공동주택 초기계약률의 결정요인 분석연구

김리영(Lee-Young Kim),서원석(Wonseok Seo) 경기연구원 2016 GRI 연구논총 Vol.18 No.3

수도권 연담도시 간 인구이동과 주택시장의 변동성 분석

김리영(Kim Lee Young),서원석(Seo Won seok) 한국부동산학회 2017 不動産學報 Vol.71 No.-

본 연구는 주택가격에 중점을 두고 주택시장과 인구이동의 관련성과 영향을 확인하는 목적을 가지고 수행되었다. 구체적으로 수도권 내 인접한 연담도시의 주택가격 변동은 인구이동의 원인으로 작용하는 지, 주택가격 변동과 인구이동의 관계는 유사규모의 연담도시 간에 차별적인 특성을 보이는지를 그랜저인과분석과 벡터자기회귀모형을 통해 파악하고자 하였다. 연구결과 주택가격 변동과 인구이동의 관련성 및 영향이 확인되었는데, 특히 해당지역의 가격변동 뿐만 아니라 인접한 연담도시와의 영향이 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 전세가격 변동에 의한 주변지역으로의 인구이동이 나타난 것을 확인하였는데, 이 과정에서 임차가구의 이동이 중점적으로 이루어졌음을 파악하였다. 이 결과는 인구이동 과정에서 임차가구의 비자발적 이동일 수 있다는 사실을 보여주고 있으며, 이에 따라 본 연구는 주거이동에 따른 임차가구의 주거안정에 대한 관심이 필요함을 시사하고 있다. 또한 주택정책의 효율성을 위해서는 해당지역 뿐만 아니라 인접한 연담도시의 주택시장 모니터링이 함께 이루어질 필요가 있다는 점을 함께 확인하였다. 1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The Purpose of this study is to analyze the relationship between housing market volatility and population migration. In particular, this study focuses on whether housing price fluctuations in metropolitan conurbation cities cause population migration, and whether housing market volatility and population migration have different features between the conurbation. (2) RESEARCH METHOD This study analyzed the research purpose using the granger casuality analysis and VAR(Vector Auto Regressive) analysis. For the analysis, this study focuses on adjacent conurbation cities in seoul metropolitan area. (3) RESEARCH RESULTS This study found that there is a significant relationship between housing market volatility and population migration in metropolitan conurbation. In addition, it is confirmed that the migration to the adjacent cities is caused by the rent price change. Specifically, it is found that the rent price is more relevant to the migration than the house sale price. 2. RESULTS This study suggests that involuntary movements of renter household may be involved in the migration, indicating that interest in residential stability of the renter household is necessary. It also confirms that it is important to monitor the housing market of the adjacent cities as well as the local city for the efficient housing policy.

대규모 개발과 주변지역 부동산 시장의 인과관계 및 영향 분석

김리영(Lee-Young Kim),양광식(Kwang-Sik Yang) 충남대학교 사회과학연구소 2014 사회과학연구 Vol.25 No.2

Aiming to identify the impact of the main factors such as changes in real estate prices or influx of the population of large-scale development areas etc. on the real estate market of surrounding areas, this study analyzed the cities and counties of Chungcheongnam-do near Naepo New Town and Sejong City. The major findings of this study are as follows. The impact on the real estate market caused by large-scale development turned out to be differential by region. Also, factors such as changes in the influx of the population or land price turned out to have a greater influence than economic factors. The research findings presented that appropriate policy response needs to be built by local government. In particular, considering that if people working in public institutions move, surrounding areas may be significantly affected by large-scale development, it was presented that continuous monitoring and comprehensive management of surrounding areas need to be done even when the development is completed.

연령별 인구이동이 주택가격 변화에 미치는 영향 연구

김리영(Kim, Lee-Young) 대한국토·도시계획학회 2013 國土計劃 Vol.48 No.5

서울시 재건축 사업지역 내 초등학교 학생수 변동요인 분석

김리영(Lee Young Kim) 한국주거학회 2023 한국주거학회 논문집 Vol.34 No.6

도시관리를 위한 인구이동의 공간적 특성과 영향요인 분석: 고양시와 성남시를 중심으로

김리영(Kim, Lee-Young),김성연(Kim, Seong-Yeun) SH도시연구원 2020 주택도시연구 Vol.10 No.3

연구는 신도시개발로 성장한 고양시와 성남시의 인구이동 특성을 비교하였다. 특히 인구이동의 공간적 측면에서 내부이동의 네트워크와 도시간 이동에 영향을 주는 요인의 시계열적 변화를 통계적으로 확인하였다. 두 도시의 인구이동 특성을 분석한 결과, 도시 내에서 이루어지는 내부이동은 생활권 내에서 주로 이루어진다는 점은 공통적이다. 그리고 신도시와 기존 구도심간 인구이동의 네트워크는 매우 약하게 나타났고, 이러한 이동의 네트워크는 대체적으로 도시기본계획에서 설정한 생활권과 유사한 측면을 보였다. 반면, 두 도시는 도시간 이동지역의 공간적 특성은 차이를 보였다. 공간적 집중 정도는 성남시는 강화되고 있는 반면, 고양시는 분산화 정도가 강화되는 것으로 나타났다. 도시간 이동에 영향을 주는 요인도 두지역은 차이를 보이며, 고양시는 교육이나 문화시설의 영향이 강화되고 있으며, 성남시는 주택가격 등 주택시장의 요인보다는 일자리의 영향이 나타나고 있다. 또한 두지역 모두 인구이동을 설명하는 영향요인은 과거 다른 요인으로 변화하는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 연구결과 주택가격이나 주택공급 등 주택시장 요인의 영향이 점차 감소되는 것으로 판단되며, 이외의 요인이 이동에 영향을 주고 있음을 유추해볼 수 있다. 따라서, 향후 연구에서는 인구이동에 영향을 주는 요인이 어떻게 변화하고 있는 지 탐색하는 후속연구가 이루어질 필요가 있다. This study compares the factors driving migration in two new towns (Goyang City and Seongnam City) through the analysis of time-series changes of internal migration factors which influence migration from both outside of the cities and between the cities. The analytical results show that internal migration occurring within the city was mainly clustered within residential areas. In addition, the network of migration between new towns and old town was weak, and this migration network pattern was generally similar to the migration pattern occurring within the residential areas of the urban master plan. However, the two cities showed differences in spatial characteristics when it came to the migration areas between the two cities, as Seongnam City increased in spatial concentration, while Goyang City increased in spatial decentralization. The factors affecting migration differed greatly between the two cities, with educational and cultural facilities holding more significance in Goyang city, and job placement holding greatest significance in Seongnam city, even moreso than housing market factors such as housing price. In addition, the factors affecting migration in the two cities have changed greatly over time, as housing market factors such as housing price and housing supply have gradually decreased in influence, indicating that other factors have taken precedence in influencing migration.

시기별 자가로 이동한 임차가구의 생애주기 특성 연구

김리영(Kim, Lee-Young) 대한국토·도시계획학회 2013 國土計劃 Vol.48 No.2

인구 유입과 유출을 결정하는 지역 특성 요인에 관한 연구

김리영(Kim, Lee-Young),양광식(Yang, Kwang-Sik) 한국지역개발학회 2013 韓國地域開發學會誌 Vol.25 No.3

The aim of this study is to inquire into the characteristic factor in the regions where the inflow or outflow of the population arise, and the regional characteristic factors having an influence on the inflow of the population by dividing the regions into metropolitan, city, and non-urban area. The results of this study are as follows. First, there was a difference in the factors related to the population inflow or outflow of a metropolitan area, small and medium city, and non-urban area; in addition, a lot more factors were found to have an influence the population inflow of a small and medium city or non-urban area in comparison with a metropolitan. However, the results revealed that the increase in the number of businesses had an influence on the influx of the population in all regions commonly. In addition, this study confirmed that a small&medium city or non-urban area differs from a big city in that the correlation between, or influence of the mass transportation, population size and the housing price change rates was found to be statistically significant. On the basis of these results, this study suggested the implication as follows: First, it"s very necessary to link the population policy for local small & medium cities or non-urban areas with the job-creating policy. Further, the correlation of the mass transportation on the inflow of the population was statistically significant as revealed in this study, so it"s important to improve the mass transportation system in non-urban areas.

소비자전망지수가 서울시 주택매매 및 전월세 거래량 변화에 미치는 영향 분석

김리영(Kim, Lee-Young) SH도시연구원 2015 주택도시연구 Vol.5 No.2

The purpose of this study is to analyze the relation between the consumers' expectation and trade volume, and also the effects of the consumers' prospects on housing transactions. Recently it has been argued that the consumers' expectations can have influence on the housing market, however it is extremely rare to find research on the relation between the consumers' prospects and important factors of the housing market. Thus this study analyzed the Seoul Metropolitan area where the recover of the housing market. The main results of the analysis are as follows: First, the consumers' survey index is effect on the housing transactions. Second, expectations of improving economic conditions impact is larger than the housing market. In addition, the consumers' expectations had a positive influence on trade volume. The result indicates the consumer's positive prospects of economic situation increases the trade volume. The better home buyers' outlook on the economic conditions, the higher the market activity.