동북아 안보와 중국의 역할 : 중국의 안보 정책과 군사 전략을 중심으로

이태환 한국전략문제연구소 1997 전략연구 Vol.4 No.1

This study attempts to examine the question as to what role China could play in maintainining security in East Asia. Whether China can be a threat to East Asian security is not an easy question to answer. In order to explore the answer to the question, the article describes China's security policy and the trend of military buildup by examining the perceptions of Chinese leaders on the international situation, military strategies, military capability and analyzes factors affecting the future role of China in East Asia. The findings of the paper are as follows: First, China's security policies based on the perceptions on the changing international environment have changed from the defensive and military into active and comprehensive ones. The military strategic front has expanded from border areas and offshore to surrounding sea including the South China Sea and the East China sea. Second, the primary purpose of increasing defense budget is to prevent th eindependence movement of Taiwan and to prepare against the military contingencies in the South China Sea and East China Sea. Third, with its economic growth China will play an increasingly important role in restructuring the order in the world as well as Northeast Asia. However, China will not be a major threat to the East Asian security. Rather it is likely to play a balancing role in Northeast Asia. Fourth, domestic and internatoinal factors would affect the future role of China. The factors include the sustainability of China's economic development, domestic political situation, the U.S. policy toward China and Japanese policy toward China. In sum, the future role of China depends on 1) its strategy and institutions with which China will adapt itself and respond to the changing international environment and 2) international opportunities and constraints mainly derived from the interaction with major powers in the region including the United States and Japan.

노이즈가 포함된 과열증기표의 모델링에 신경회로망 적용 타당성에 대한 연구

이태환,박진현 한국기계기술학회 2014 한국기계기술학회지 Vol.16 No.1

계통한계가격 예측방법의 비교

이태환,이기준,여영구 한국에너지학회 2010 한국에너지공학회 학술발표회 Vol.2010 No.10

2005년 한해를 마무리 하면서

이태환 한국국제정치학회 2005 한국국제정치학회소식 Vol.117 No.-

논단 - '신3고(新3高)'와 한국 경제

이태환,Lee, Tae-Hwan 한국시멘트협회 2010 시멘트 Vol.185 No.-

중국국제정치학회와 교류 협력 시작과 학회 소개

이태환 한국국제정치학회 2005 한국국제정치학회소식 Vol.117 No.-

경제 개혁에 따른 중국 정치질서의 변동 : 등소평 시대를 중심으로

이태환 서울대학교 국제지역원 1996 국제지역연구 Vol.5 No.1

이 연구의 목적은 중구의 경제 개혁에 따른 정치적인 변화를 조사, 분석하고 정치적인 변동에 영향을 미치는 요인을 찾아보는데 있다. 중국 정치체제의 변동은 구조적인 요인과 제도적인 요인에 의해 영향을 받을 것이지만이 글에서는 제도적인 요인들에 중점을 두어 분석하고 있다. 개혁의 역사적인 맥락과 정치 권력 관계의 변화, 정치적 리더쉽등 제도적인 요인들이 그것이다. 시장 사회주의가 실패한 동구나 구소련과 달리 중국이 독자적인 발전 경로를 걷는 데 성공할 것인가의 여부는 이러한 제도적인 요인들이 여하히 작용할 것인가를 면밀히 분석하는데서 시작하여야 할 것이기 때문이다. 제도적인 요인 중에서 중요한 정치 권력관계의 변화를 지도부, 중앙과 지방, 국가와 사회 차원으로 나누어 분석한다. 세차원의 권력 분산이 일어남에 따라 정치적인 다원화의 노정에 있는 중국이 어떠한 정치제제로 변화할지는 제도적인 변수 하나로만 설명되기 어렵지만 지도부의 변화가 주요 요인이 될 것이다. 등소평의 개혁은 혁명원로세대가 주도한 위로부터의 개혁이었기 때문에 제도화의 수준이 낮은 상태에서 시작한 것이 특징이다. 승계제도의 미비, 당간부 및 관료 충원과정의 낮은 제도화 수준으로 개혁의 과정에서 생겨나는 정치적인 갈등요인들이 일시에 분출되지 않고 등의 강력한 리더쉽에 의해 점진적으로 조정되었다. 그러나 천안문 사태에서 나타난 정치개혁의 욕구가 충족되지 않은 상태에서 권력의 분산화 경향, 지도부내의 세대교체와 권력승계에 따르는 불안정성 등이 정치제도의 개혁을 요구하고 있어 이에 대한 지도부내의 합의 도출 여부가 주목된다. 등소평이 개혁을 시작하던 시점과는 달리, 세계 경제 속의 중국이라는 역사적인 맥락 하에서 후견-피후견 제도, 지도부내의 역관계, 중앙과 지방의 관계, 국가와 기업의 관계 변화를 제도화할 기제가 마련될 수 있는가의 여부가 향후 정치 질서 변동의 중요한 변수로 작용할 것이다. This article attempts to describe and analyze the political change occurred as a result of economic reform in Post-Mao China. Political change within system rather than systemic change is described and analyzed from the institutional perspecitve. In analyzing and explaining the political changes, institutional arrangement including historical context of reform, attributes of political system, power(authority) relations and political leadership have been examined. Although economic reform has not brought substantial changes of political system, a lot of changes within system occurred. One of the major political changes appeared as a consequence of economic reform is the trend toward decentralization of power at three levels : leadership, centr and province, state and society. Power diffused from the Party to the administrative institutions, center to provinces, and Party/state to society. The institutional elements inherent in state socialism made Deng's reform within system successful. Thefragmented bureaucracy appeared as a result of the Cultural Revolution, Deng's paramount leadership, low level of institutionalization and gradual reform strategy provided the conditions of successful reform. China is at crossroad, whether it goes capitalism or develop its own model of development. Deng Xiaoping's economic reform has been successful and yet has generated a lot of socio-economic problems such as uneven development between regions, corruption arising from the dual structure of plan and market, weakening of central control of provinces. Whether Deng's successful economic reform will be sustained without political reform is not clear. This article suggests that institutional context be considered to analyze the changing political dynamics of economic reform. The institutional variables include historical cntext of reform, low level of institutionalization, patron-client relationship, composition of leadership, elite recruitment procedure, decision-making process, changing relationship between center and province and so on. Within the institutional context, whether and how the future leadership work out a mechanism of growing market economy will be important problems and challenges China faces in its modernization process. Given the changing institutional context, China is likely to take different developmental path from that of East Asian NIEs.

정상 및 녹내장환자에서 시신경연의 변화

이태환 최신의학사 1994 最新醫學 Vol.37 No.6

정량적인 구조-활성상관(QSAR) 기법을 활용한 in silico 위해평가

이태환,김민경,김희중,이얼,이용문 대한약학회 2019 약학회지 Vol.63 No.5

The hazard testing on each chemicals which are continuously synthesized is too much task to meet the rapidindustrial development. Currently, national administrative office also prohibited the distribution and sale of cosmeticproducts under animal testing. Therefore, as an alternative hazard evaluation method, a variety of in silico programs havebeen developed and applied to predict the chemical hazard assessment. The OECD Toolbox program which database isdonated from many chemical companies and regulatory authorities of OECD nations is an excellent free software withcomparable hazard prediction ability. In this study, we exhibits the predictive evaluation on the skin sensitization for 100cosmetic ingredients domestically available. In addition, the precise assessment steps were explained as supplementarymaterial. The predicted reliability of data for the skin sensitization is 88.2% when using the data in the highest categoryof similarity (>60%). When this toolbox finds and uses more than 5 similarities for read-across, the predicted reliabilitycomes to 90%. Conclusively, the predictive ability of OECD Toolbox 4.2 were successfully applied on the hazardassessment on skin sensitization of 100 cosmetic chemicals.

Performance Evaluation of the Mindray BC-6200 Hematology Analyzer; Comparison with Sysmex XE-2100 and Manual Microscopy

이태환,김한아,박미경,허미나,이창훈 대한진단검사의학회 2022 Laboratory Medicine Online Vol.12 No.4

Background: Complete blood count (CBC) and white blood cell (WBC) differential are essential tests for various diseases. Related to this, the Mindray BC-6200 automated hematology analyzer (BC-6200, Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co., Ltd, China) was recently launched in clinical laboratories. This study aimed to evaluate the analytical and flagging performance of BC-6200. Methods: Using 688 whole blood samples, the precision and carryover of 12 CBC parameters were evaluated with BC-6200 according to the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute (CLSI) guidelines EP15-A3 and H26-A2, respectively. 11 CBC parameters of BC-6200 were compared with Sysmex XE-2100 (XE-2100, Sysmex Corporation, Japan) according to the CLSI guideline EP09c. To evaluate the flagging performance for blasts, immature granulocytes (IG), atypical lymphocytes (AL), and nucleated red blood cells (NRBC) of BC-6200, sensitivity, specificity, and efficiency to manual counts were estimated according to the CLSI guideline H20-A2. Results: Precisions of WBC, red blood cells (RBC), hemoglobin (Hb), hematocrit (Hct), and platelets (PLT) were acceptable. Carryover was less than 1% in WBC, RBC, Hb, Hct, and PLT. In WBC differentials, BC-6200 and XE-2100 showed very high correlations, except for basophils. Flagging performances of BC-6200 showed excellent results in efficiency; 91.4% for blasts, 79.4% for IG, 75.5% for AL, and 98.6% for NRBC. Conclusions: The analytical performances of BC-6200 were acceptable and comparable with those of XE-2100. The flagging performance was also comparable with that of manual counts. BC-6200 would be a competent instrument in clinical laboratories