Properties of Monte Carlo and Its Application to Risk Management

Li Rui-mei 보안공학연구지원센터 2015 International Journal of u- and e- Service, Scienc Vol.8 No.9

The complexity and turbulence of a project may lead to its unpredictability, so risk management is increasingly important. This paper focuses on the application of Monte Carlo method in project management as follow: first, deals with the estimated scale with Wide band Delphi method and gets the interval of prediction after making repeated samples in line with the generally adopted probability models; then figures out the workloads according to the management abilities and historical date; finally obtains the progress of the project with a method combining COCOMOⅡ method and then improves the ability to predict and control management activities with uncertainties.

A Novel Distributed Equivalent Circuit Model for Single-Core Cables

Li Rui-Fang,Hu Hao,Cao Xiao-Bin,Li Zhong-Mei,Li Jun-Hao,Zhu Chuan-Lin,Liu Le-Jia 대한전기학회 2024 Journal of Electrical Engineering & Technology Vol.19 No.1

The number of cables used for urban power supply increases rapidly. The sheath current in these cables, which is generated via induction, produces a current loss. When the situation is serious, the ground lead and the middle connector of the cable will be burned. In this paper, the existing single-core cable equivalent circuit model is used to calculate the sheath current of a 3-phase cable under the condition of non-transposition and cross connection. By comparing the calculated results with the simulation and the experimental results, it is found that the current distribution law for the sheath, which was obtained using the existing model, difers substantially from both the simulation and actual measurements. The error reason of the existing model is revealed, and it is found that the magnitude and phase of the current in the metal sheath of the cable varies with the position under the combined efect of distributed capacitances in the cable and the core-current fux, especially for a 3-phase cross connection, each section of the cable does not meet Kirchhof’s laws, but the sheath electric current in the existing models are considered equal everywhere. Therefore, a novel cable equivalent model is proposed in this paper, which is based on a distributed circuit, and an equation to calculate the sheath current is derived. The model presented in this paper corrects the problems of the existing model, which can be applied to power system, subway, high-speed rail, and any application of single-core cables.

Adaptive Neural Tracking Control for Uncertain Switched Nonlinear Non-lower Triangular System with Disturbances and Dead-zone Input

Rui-Bing Li,Xiao-Mei Wang,Xiao-Mei Liu,Ben Niu,Dong Yang 제어·로봇·시스템학회 2020 International Journal of Control, Automation, and Vol.18 No.6

This work investigates the adaptive neural tracking control problem for a class of uncertain switched nonlinear non-lower triangular systems with disturbances and dead-zone input. First, radial basis function (RBF) neural networks (NNs) serve as a flexible tool to approximate the unknown nonlinear functions. Then during the controller design, the dynamic surface control (DSC) method is used to avoid the issue of "explosion of complexity", and only one adaptive law is adopted to reduce the computational burden. What’s more, a few classical mathematical approaches are used to handle the design difficulties caused by dead-zone input, and the proposed controller guarantees the closed-loop system signals are semi-globally uniform ultimate boundedness (SGUUB). Finally, a simulation example is given to illustrate the availability of the proposed control scheme.

Quality improvement effects of electrolyzed water on rice noodles prepared with semidry-milled rice flours

Rui Liu,Zhang-Long Yu,Yuan-Lin Sun,Li-Tao Tong,Li-Ya Liu,Li-Li Wang,Xian-Rong Zhou,Su-Mei Zhou 한국식품과학회 2021 Food Science and Biotechnology Vol.30 No.6

To investigate the effects of electrolyzed watertreatment on the qualities of rice noodles prepared withsemidry- milled rice flour, pasting properties and thermalproperties of rice flour, and the cooking and texturalproperties of rice noodles were determined. Higher peakviscosity and lower melting enthalpy were observed inelectrolyzed water (EW) treated rice flour. The hardness,gumminess and chewiness of rice noodle in slightly acidicelectrolyzed water treated rice noodles with availablechlorine concentration (ACC) 20.32 mg/L were increasedsignificantly (p\0.05). The cooking loss decreased significantlyin strong acidic electrolyzed water treated noodleswith ACC 10.09 mg/L treatment (p\0.05). Theresults indicated that EW could promote the gelatinizationof rice flour, and improve the textural qualities of ricenoodles. Therefore EW was appropriate to be used in ricenoodle production.

Sorafenib Continuation after First Disease Progression Could Reduce Disease Flares and Provide Survival Benefits in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma: a Pilot Retrospective Study

Fu, Si-Rui,Zhang, Ying-Qiang,Li, Yong,Hu, Bao-Shan,He, Xu,Huang, Jian-Wen,Zhan, Mei-Xiao,Lu, Li-Gong,Li, Jia-Ping Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention 2014 Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention Vol.15 No.7

Background: Sorafenib is a promising drug for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); however, treatment may be discontinued for multiple reasons, such as progressive disease, adverse events, or the cost of treatment. The consequences of sorafenib discontinuation and continuation are uncertain. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively analyzed 88 HCC patients treated with sorafenib from July 2007 to January 2013. Overall survival (OS), post-disease progression overall survival (pOS), and time to disease progression (TTP) were compared for survival analysis. Cox proportional hazard regression was performed to assess the effect of important factors on OS in the overall patient population and on pOS in patients who continued sorafenib treatment. Results: Sorafenib was discontinued and continued in 24 and 64 patients, respectively. The median OS (355 vs 517 days respectively; p=0.015) and median post-PD OS (260 vs 317 days, respectively; p=0.020) were statistically different between the discontinuation and continuation groups. Neither the median time to first PD nor the time to second PD were significantly different between the 2 groups. In the discontinuation group, 3 of the 24 patients (12.5%) suffered disease outbreaks. In Cox proportional hazard regression analysis after correction for confounding factors, BCLC stage (p=0.002) and PD site (p=0.024) were significantly correlated with pOS in patients who continued sorafenib treatment. Conclusions: Sorafenib discontinuation may cause HCC flares or outbreaks. It is advisable to continue sorafenib treatment after first PD, particularly in patients with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage B disease or only intrahepatic PD.

Stanniocalcin-1 protects bovine intestinal epithelial cells from oxidative stress-induced damage

Li-ming Wu,Rui Guo,Lin Hui,Yong-gang Ye,Jing-mei Xiang,Chun-yun Wan,Miao Zou,Rui Ma,Xiao-zhuan Sun,Shi-jin Yang,Ding-zong Guo 대한수의학회 2014 JOURNAL OF VETERINARY SCIENCE Vol.15 No.4

Chronic enteritis can produce an excess of reactive oxygenspecies resulting in cellular damage. Stanniocalcin-1(STC-1)reportedly possesses anti-oxidative activity, the aim of thisstudy was to define more clearly the direct contribution ofSTC-1 to anti-oxidative stress in cattle. In this study, primaryintestinal epithelial cells (IECs) were exposed to hydrogenperoxide (H2O2) for different time intervals to mimic chronicenteritis-induced cellular damage. Prior to treatment with 200μM H2O2, the cells were transfected with a recombinantplasmid for 48 h to over-express STC-1. Acridine orange/ethidium bromide (AO/EB) double staining and trypan blueexclusion assays were then performed to measure cell viabilityand apoptosis of the cells, respectively. The expression of STC-1and apoptosis-related proteins in the cells was monitored byreal-time PCR and Western blotting. The results indicated thatboth STC-1 mRNA and protein expression levels positivelycorrelated with the duration of H2O2 treatment. H2O2 damagedthe bovine IECs in a time-dependent manner, and this effectwas attenuated by STC-1 over-expression. Furthermore, overexpressionof STC-1 up-regulated Bcl-2 protein expression andslightly down-regulated caspase-3 production in the damagedcells. Findings from this study suggested that STC-1 plays aprotective role in intestinal cells through an antioxidant mechanism.

Prospective comparison of hybrid capture 2 and SPF10-LiPA for carcinogenic human papillomavirus detection and risk prediction of cervical cancer: a population-based cohort study in China

Li Dong,Rui-Mei Feng,Li Zhang,Xiao-qian Xu,Xue-Lian Zhao,Margaret Zhuoer Wang,You-Lin Qiao,Fang-Hui Zhao 대한부인종양학회 2017 Journal of Gynecologic Oncology Vol.28 No.5

Objective: To investigate the extent of the cross-reactivity of hybrid capture 2 (HC2) assay andevaluate the potential effect of cross-reactivity on the long-term risk for cervical cancer andprecancers. Methods: Based on the Shanxi Province Cervical Cancer Screening Study-I (SPOCCS-I)cohort from 2005 to 2014 in Shanxi, China, SPF10-line probe assay (LiPA) was performedin all 598 HC2 positive and 300 random-selected HC2 negative cervical specimens. Tenyearcumulative incidence rate (CIR) of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse(CIN2+) of these two tests was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier methods. Possible humanpapillomavirus (HPV) types to be cross-reacted by HC2 were also analyzed. Results: The overall agreement between HC2 and SPF10-LiPA for detecting carcinogenic HPVwas 73.27%. The highest 10-year cumulative risk of CIN2+ was observed in both HC2 positiveand LiPA-carcinogenic HPV positive women (25.70%; 95% confidence interval [CI]=23.55%–27.91%), followed by HC2 positive but LiPA-non-carcinogenic HPV positive women (9.97%;95% CI=8.57%–11.50%), HC2 negative but LiPA-carcinogenic HPV positive (2.56%; 95%CI=2.44%–2.70%) and HC2 positive but LiPA-HPV negative (1.85%; 95% CI=1.78%–1.92%)women. The proportion of cross-reactivity of HC2 with untargeted carcinogenic types was8.9%, most of which were attributable to HPV26, 73, 82, 69, 71, 53, 11, 43, and 54. Conclusion: The noticeable high risk of CIN2+ in women infected with cross-reacted noncarcinogenicHPV and low risk in those with miss-to-detective carcinogenic HPV supportedan overall good clinical performance of HC2 for a general cervical cancer screening.

Translating transnational capital into professional development: a study of China’s Thousand Youth Talents Scheme scholars

Mei Li,Rui Yang,Jun Wu 서울대학교 교육연구소 2018 Asia Pacific Education Review Vol.19 No.2

Over the past decade or so, Chinese government has been strategically luring back overseas Chinese high-fliers to strengthen science, technology, and higher education. One of the major initiatives is the Thousand Youth Talents Scheme (TYTS) launched in 2011. By 2017, 2980 Thousand Youth Talents Scheme scholars (TYTSs) had been recruited into China’s universities, research institutes, and enterprises (Retrieved from http://www.1000plan.org). Enjoying favorable policies and possessing their unique capital, they are well positioned to transfer the knowledge, skills, and experiences obtained overseas to their home institutions, while at the same time face challenges and difficulties in their professional development at home. While China’s overseas talent policies, at both governmental and institutional levels, have been well documented, the lived experiences of such elite scholars have been little understood. Employing a qualitative method of semi-structure interviews, this article examines how they mobilize domestic and international resources and networks to construct their professional development spaces and navigate their careers in the Chinese academic environment. It reports that TYTSs have established advantageous conditions for their professional development in both national and global environment and participated in transnational knowledge production. They have made significant contributions to the development of their affiliated institutions by producing compelling publications, extending new research directions, and uplifting domestic academic communities.

Inhibition of Microcystis aeruginosa by the Extracellular Substances from an Aeromonas sp

( Yu Mei Liu ),( Ming Jun Chen ),( Meng Hui Wang1 ),( Rui Bao Jia ),( Li Li ) 한국미생물 · 생명공학회 2013 Journal of microbiology and biotechnology Vol.23 No.9

Growth of Microcystis aeruginosa could be inhibited significantly within 24 h by the extracellular substances prepared from Aeromonas sp. strain FM. During the treatment, the concentration of extracellular soluble carbohydrates increased significantly in algal culture. Morphological and ultrastructural changes in M. aeruginosa cells, including breakage of the cell surface, secretion of mucilage, and intracellular disorganization of thylakoids, were observed. HPLC-MS analysis showed that the extracellular substances of Aeromonas sp. strain FM were a mixture of free amino acids, tripeptides, and clavulanate. Among these, the algaelysis effects of lysine and clavulanate were confirmed.

Hybridization Using a New Male-sterile Germplasm as the Female Parent in Chinese Jujube

Jiu-rui Wang,Xiu-mei Cui,Li Dai,Ping Liu,Jin Zhao,Meng-jun Liu 한국원예학회 2015 원예과학기술지 Vol.33 No.3

This study identified a new male-sterile germplasm of Chinese jujube, named male-sterile No. 2 (JMS2), and achieved controlled hybridization using that germplasm as the female parent. The anthers of JMS2 before flower bud opening became shrunken, dingy yellow and much smaller than normal ones, and they changed to brown after anthesis. No pollen was observed in anthers of JMS2 and its male-sterile trait remained stable over different years. A total of 1,642 fruits were obtained from ten intra- and interspecific cross combinations via controlled hybridization from 2008 to 2012 using JMS2 as the female parent. Of those, 27.3% produced seeds, on average (0-72.6%). The rate of fruit with seed (RFS) was significantly different between cross combinations or years. Compared to other cross combinations, the RFS in the combination of JMS2 × ‘Xingguang’ (a Chinese jujube cultivar with high resistance to jujube witches’ broom disease) and JMS2 × ‘Xing16’ (a sour jujube genotype) remained high in different years and reached means of 48.7 and 58.1%, respectively. Finally, 150 plantlets were regenerated from immature embryos, and 51 of them were randomly selected and identified to be authentic hybrids using amplified fragment length polymorphism (AFLP) markers. This is the first report of hybrids obtained from a cross between Chinese jujube and sour jujube.