전략문서로 분석한 현대 러시아 군사전략

임철균 사단법인 한국국가전략연구원 2022 한국국가전략 Vol.7 No.2

Russia is one of the major powers influencing the Korean Peninsula and one of the most influential powers in the international community, but it is true that research on Russian military strategy has been insufficient. This study refutes the existing perception by asserting Russia's military strategy, which the West perceives as a hybrid warfare, as an 'active defense strategy'. Russia, which boasts a long history, has a well-equipped strategic ideology system as well as its depth of history. This study examines the origins and sub-components of an active defense strategy through a theoretical study of the Russian military strategy, and derives the goals pursued by the Russian military strategy in modern Russian strategic documents. As a result, it was deduced that Russia is conducting a limited offensive with the goal of securing an absolute defense zone for the defense of national interests. This study has academic value in that it is the first case in which the reality of Russia's active defense strategy has been identified in the domestic academic community by examining Russia's threat perception to achieve the derived military strategy goal and analyzing the deployment of existing military forces to respond to it. 러시아는 한반도에 영향을 미치는 주요 당사국이면서 국제사회에 영향력 있는 강대국 중 하나이지만, 그간 러시아 군사전략에 대한 연구는 미진했던 것이 사실이다. 본 연구는 서방에서 러시아 군사전략의 구성적 요소인 ‘하이브리드 전’을 러시아의 군사전략으로 인식하고 있는 기존의 통념을 반박하며 러시아의 군사전략을 ‘적극방어 전략’으로 주장한다. 유구한 역사를 자랑하는 러시아는 전략사상의 체계가 역사의 깊이만큼 잘 갖추어져 있으며 현대 전략사상의 기원을 따라 올라가면 투하체프스키(Mikhail Nikolayevic Tukhachevsky)와 스베친(Alexander Andreyevich Svechin)의 전략담론에서 출발한 적극방어 전략의 사상적 기원을 알 수 있다. 본 연구는 러시아 군사전략의 이론적 고찰을 통해 적극방어 전략의 기원과하위구성요소를 고찰하고 현대 러시아 전략문서에서 러시아 군사전략이 지향하는 목표를 도출한다. 그 결과 러시아는 국가이익 방위를 위한 절대방어 권역 확보라는 목표를 가지고 제한된 공세를 펼치고 있는 것을 도출했다. 본 연구는 도출된 군사전략 목표를 달성하기 위한 러시아의 위협인식을 고찰하고 이에 대응하는 현존 군사력의 배치를 분석하여 러시아 적극방어전략의 실체를 국내 학계에 규명한 첫 사례라는 점에 학술적 가치가 있다.

북한의 군사혁신과 전략변화 가능성이 주는 함의 - 북·중 군사혁신 간 유사성을 중심으로-

임철균 육군사관학교 화랑대연구소 2023 한국군사학논집 Vol.79 No.1

The main thesis of this study is that North Korea's military innovation has changed from the so-called 'three major military strategies' consisting of surprise-quick-splitting-combined warfare to the 'Pangari decisive battle strategy', a North Korean-style military strategy similar to the 'active defense strategy'. To assert circumstances that may have changed or circumstances that have changed. This study pays attention to the fact that North Korea's movement for change, starting from the 7th session of the Party's Central Military Commission, which has been held since 2018, is a departure from the direction it has been in the past. However, this study has a problem recognition in that previous studies have been silent about changes in North Korea due to fixed ideas about North Korea's military innovation. In order to test the three hypotheses, this study examines four independent variables and compares and analyzes cases of military innovation between North Korea and China to examine the possibility of change in North Korea's military strategy as a dependent variable. Through this, it was attempted to contribute to national defense by estimating the current address of North Korea's military strategy. 본 연구의 주요논지는 북한의 군사혁신이 현재까지 기습-속전속결-배합전으로 구성된 소위 ‘3대 군사전략’에서 ‘적극방어 전략’과 유사한 북한식의 군사전략인 ‘판가리 결전’으로 변화되었을 정황 또는 변화된 정황을 주장하는 것이다. 2018년부터 개최된 당 중앙 군사위원회 제7기를 기점으로 북한의 변화 움직임이 그간 노정 해오던 기조에서 벗어난 모습이라는 점에 본 연구는 주목한다. 그러나, 북한의 군사혁신에 관한 고정된 관념들로 인하여 그간의 연구들이 북한의 변화에 대하여 침묵해온 것에 본 연구는 문제 인식을 지닌다. 본 연구는 3가지 가설을 검증하기 위해 4가지 독립변수를 검토, 북-중 양국의 군사혁신 사례를 비교 분석하여 종속변수로서 북한 군사전략의 변화 가능성을 검토했다. 이를 통해 북한 군사전략의 현주소를 추정하여 국가방위에 기여 하고자 했다.

가정의 개원의의 단순 흉부 방사선 필름 판독정확도에 관한 조사

임철균,황환식,김철환,유태우,허봉렬,김창엽,김정숙,정승필 대한가정의학회 1992 Korean Journal of Family Medicine Vol.13 No.6

김정은 시기 북한의 미래전 구상 연구

임철균,손한별,류의연 사단법인 한국국가전략연구원 2023 한국국가전략 Vol.8 No.3

기술결정론과 기술회의론은 과거 1960년대부터 현재에 이르기까지 끊임없는 논쟁을 야기하고 있으나, 최근 4차 산업혁명의 눈부신 발전은 각국이 군사력의 혁신적 건설에 있어 기술결정론에 더 중점을 두게 하고 있다. 북한은 핵무력 완성을 선언한 이후 일련의 군사적 혁신을 단행해 왔다. 지난 10년간의 군사혁신의 결과를 2020년 열병식과 2021년 자위-2021 방산 전시회를 통하여 선포된 괄목할 성장은 국내는 물론 전 세계를 충격에 빠트렸다. 북한의 이러한 움직임은 분명 그간의 변화양상과는 확연히 대비되는 것으로서 북한의 군사전략에 대한 새로운 평가가 필요한 시점에 이르른 것이다. 왜 이런 변화가 식별되는 것일까? 지금 선보이는 양상은 분명 북한이 추구해온 미래전의 양상을 실현하기 위한 노력이다. 따라서 본 연구의 질문은 “김정은 시기 북한이 구상하고 있는 미래전은 어떤 모습이며 어떻게 준비하고 있는가?”이다. 본 연구는 상기 연구질문을 해소하기 위하여 김정은 시기 북한이 미래전을 어떻게 구상하고 있고 그것을 실현하기 위한 군사력 현대화와 군사혁신을 어떻게 추진하고 있는가를 분석하는 것을 그 목적으로 한다. 본 연구는 상기 연구 목적을 달성하기 위하여 먼저 김일성‧김정일 시기 북한의 군사력 증강 및 현대화 경과를 분석, 결정요인을 도출한 뒤, 이를 바탕으로 수립한 분석의 틀에 따라 김정은 시기 북한의 미래전 구상과 준비를 분석한다. 이를 통해 북한이 추구하는 전략적 목표와 그것을 실현하기 위한 수단이 어떻게 변화하고 있는지를 확인, 대응방안을 제시한다.

북한의 군사혁신과 “상쇄와 강압전략” - 미국과 분한의 군사혁신 간 유사성을 중심으로 -

임철균 ( Lim Cheul-kyun ) 한국군사학회 2022 군사논단 Vol.112 No.-

DPRK has declared the completion of its nuclear force and has been carrying out a series of military innovations since then. Already in 2020 and 2021, through two military parades and one defense exhibition, the results of military innovation at home and abroad have been declared, shocking not only Korea but also the world. Such a move by North Korea, which has deviated from the basic principles it has been pursuing, is a moment that requires a new evaluation of NK’s military strategy and military innovation. This study examines the outcome of NK’s military innovation by examining the innovation of ground forces and strategic forces, and examines the historical background and necessity of implementing the 1st and 2nd offset strategies among the US military innovations, a case of repeated global military innovations. By classifying four independent variables, comparison with NK’s military innovation, similarities and differences were examined. Since NK’s military innovation is mostly similar to that of die US, NK’s military strategy can be viewed as an offsetting strategy for NK. However, unlike the United States, the United States at the time of the second offset strategy and the present NK are in an ironic situation where NK has an overwhelming advantage in nuclear power with the enemy, South Korea, but is in a starring inferiority to the extended deterrence of the ROK-U.S. alliance. Therefore, this difference was analyzed as a determinant of how NK’s military strategy in the second nuclear era differs from the strategy in the first nuclear era centered on major powers.

국방 핵심기술은 군사전략에 영향을 미치는가? - 전쟁 전 ARM-AZE 국방 핵심기술 역량 증감을 중심으로 -

임철균 ( Lim Cheulkyun ) 한국국가전략연구원 2022 한국국가전략 Vol.7 No.3

The argument of this study is that defense core technology (hereafter DCT, Defense Core Technology) and military strategy mutually influence each other and influence the establishment of an offensive strategy and a defensive strategy, respectively. Numerous examples of history from ancient times to modern times prove this. Although it is difficult to classify DCT itself as a technology for attack or a technology for defense, this study pays attention to the fact that securing a specific means enhances the advantage of attack or defense and is involved in military strategy establishment. However, with the exception of the attack-defense theory, the war theory has been silent about the effect of DCT on strategy, whether intentionally or unintentionally. In this study, as dependent variables, information surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR, Information Surveillance Reconnaissance), precision guided weapons (PGM, Precision Guided Munition), missile defense (hereinafter referred to as DCT), MD, Missile Defense) was applied to the effect of these three key defense technologies on military strategy by analyzing the quantitative increase and decrease status of the two countries in the seven years before the start of the 2020 War in Armenia and Azerbaijan, proving the claim of this study. Through this, it was intended to contribute to broadening the base of military strategy by examining the relationship between strategy and means.

일부 여자고등학교학생들을 대상으로 한 청소년기 혈압에 관한 연구

송윤미,이가영,임철균,박용우,김창엽,유태우,허봉렬 대한가정의학회 1991 Korean Journal of Family Medicine Vol.12 No.9

전공의에게 어려움을 주는 환자들의 특성에 관한 연구

최정일,조비룡,윤영호,박태진,임철균,송윤미,유태우,허봉렬 대한가정의학회 1992 Korean Journal of Family Medicine Vol.13 No.5

산림산업 활성화를 위한 종묘산업 발전방안

정호근(Ho-gun Chong),임철균(Chul-kyun Yim) 한국농촌경제연구원 2013 한국농촌경제연구원 기본연구보고서 Vol.- No.-

Seed and seedling industry is important as the basis of forestry business. The demand of forestry is growing not only for the quality of life but also for providing natural resources. As income grows, the public is looking for better environmental service as well as wooden materials for the living. Because the demand for new renewable energy is increased to cope with climate change and the CER(Carbon Emission Reduction), there is a growing interest in forest resources. However, seed and seedling industry lacks in size and capacity to allow forest business to catch up with increasing demand. Hence, after examining the current situation of production and usage of seed and seedling, we derive a development strategy for the seed and seedling industry to revitalize forestry business. The scope of the study covers seed production, seedling production, and afforestation. We found the following as the current problem in the seed industry. There isn’t an efficient control system to manage central seed orchard and seed stand. Hence, the quality degradation of seed as well as tree can occur. Even though there would be enough good seeds in orchard or stand, the shortage of good labor to harvest the seeds and the supply and demand misalignment could still cause a seed problem such as using the seeds from the un-designated seed stands. We found the following as the current problem in the seedling industry. Both public and private tree nurseries have the same single big problem. That is the shortage of labor and it has been getting worse. Tree nurseries irregularly require much labor during the short period of time and it is getting more difficult in rural areas to recruit labor especially good experienced labor. The shortage of labor is the biggest problem in planting for both public and private forests. We propose the following as the solutions for the problems of seed and seedling industry. First, it is necessary to establish a mid to long term seed supply plan. Based on this, we need to readjust seed production system. It is better to provide only the major seeds from central seed orchard and seeds for special purpose or selected area from the seed stands. Second, the formulation of the national seed management system can’t be done without proper marketing and distribution of seeds. In that sense, early settlement of the producer verification can restrict the usage of unproven seeds to grow saplings for the forestry. Third, the shortage of labor can be solved by mechanization and facility cultivating, which is less demanding in labor compared with outdoor cultivating. The expansion of facility cultivating in seedling is possible only when the number of species from facility cultivating of national afforestation is increased, not to mention facility itself and related nursery technique. When the facility cultivating is equipped with modern tools and automatic control system, it is much easier to resolve the labor problem in the seedling industry. Forth, we need to reinforce the infrastructure both tangible and intangible. In the sense, a professional education organization with specialized program would be desirable to make new seed and seedling specialists and keep them by providing supplementary education. Fifth, Expanding both the research areas and the research volume is necessary. Considering the required long period of time for growing and the difficulty for species differentiation, the application of BT technology including cloning and tissue culture is important but it is better to focus only on core, major species considering the necessary size of budget for the research.

20대의 악력 정도와 한국산 악력 측정기의 신뢰도 분석

이효택,노효련,김다정,이지온,이한민,박윤아,김혜미,임철균 사단법인 한국융합기술연구학회 2023 아시아태평양융합연구교류논문지 Vol.9 No.11

본 연구는 국내산 악력 측정기와 국외 제품 간의 차이를 알아보고, 20대의 악력 정도와 차이를 비교해 보고자 하였다. 이를 통해 국내산 제품의 기술력과 신뢰도를 확인하고 활용도를 높이고자 한다. 악력 측정기는 일본산 디지털 악력계, 중국산 디지털 악력계, 한국산 디지털 악력계를 사용하였으며, 오른손과 왼손에서의 악력을 각각 2회 측정하여 평균값을 사용였다. 연구 대상자들은 20대 성인 63명(남자:36명, 여자:27명)으로 상지질환이나 신경계 질환이 없으며, 인지 장애와 당뇨병이 없는 대상자로 하였다. 한국의 두 지역에서 자료를 수집하였으며, 측정자 간 신뢰도는 .971로 나타나서 신뢰도가 확보되었다. 여자의 오른손의 악력은 26.27±4.94 Kg이었고 왼손 악력 정도는 23.75±4.99 Kg이었다. 남자의 오른손 악력은 48.09±9.47 Kg 이었고 왼손 악력은 45.15±8.47 Kg으로 나타났다. 국내산 악력 측정기와 일본산 악력 측정기와 중국산 악력 측정기를 이용하여 측정한 20대 성인들의 악력 정도는 악력기의 종류에 따른 성별과 오른손 및 왼손에서의 차이가 나지 않았다. 악력의 최소값과 최대값의 범위는 국내산이 가장 적었다. 또한, 손 길이와 악력과의 상관관계에서는 손 길이가 길수록 악력도 높아지는 것으로 나타났으며, 서양인의 악력에 비교하면 한국인의 악력이 낮은 것으로 보인다. 20대 성인들의 악력 정도는 국민건강영양조사의 20대의 악력 결과와 본 연구 의 결과는 유사하였으며, 중국산 및 일본산 악력 측정기와의 악력 측정값과도 차이가 나지 않았으나, 최대값과 최소값의 차이가 많았다. 그러므로, 한국산 악력 측정기는 대규모의 측정에는 사용이 가능하나 작은 인원의 측정에는 한계가 있는 것으로 보인다. 다만, 20대 성인들의 악력 정도가 외국인과 한국인에서 10Kg 가량 차이가 나타나 외국에서 제시한 자료를 기준으로 삼는 것에는 주의할 필요가 있는 것으로 보인다. The purpose of this study is to find out the differences between domestic grip strength measuring instruments and foreign products and to compare the differences with the level of grip strength of people in their 20s. Through this, we aim to confirm the technological powers and reliability of domestically produced products and increase their usability. The grip strength measuring instruments used were a Japanese digital grip dynamometer, a Chinese digital grip dynamometer, and a Korean digital grip dynamometer. The grip strength on the right and left hands was measured twice each and the average value was used. The study subjects were 63 adults in their 20s (men: 36, women: 27) with no upper extremity disease or neurological disease, cognitive impairment, or diabetes. Data were collected from two regions in Korea, and the inter-rater reliability was .971, ensuring reliability. The woman's right hand grip strength was 26.27±4.94 Kg and her left hand grip strength was 23.75±4.99 Kg. The man's right hand grip strength was 48.09±9.47 Kg and his left hand grip strength was 45.15±8.47 Kg. There was no difference in the grip strength of adults in their 20s measured using a domestic grip measuring device, a Japanese grip measuring device, and a Chinese hand grip measuring device, depending on the type of grip device used by gender and in the right and left hands. The range of minimum and maximum grip strength was the smallest in domestic products. In the correlation between hand grip and grip strength, it was found that the longer the hand grip, the higher the grip strength, and compared to the grip strength of Westerners, the grip strength of Koreans appears to be lower. The grip strength of adults in their 20s was similar to the grip strength results of people in their 20s from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and the results of this study, and there was no difference between the grip strength measurements of Chinese and Japanese grip strength measuring instruments, but there was a large difference between the maximum and minimum values. Therefore, the Korean grip strength measuring device can be used for large-scale measurements, but it appears to have limitations in measuring small numbers of people. However, the grip strength of adults in 20s differs by about 10kg between foreigners and Koreans, so it seems necessary to be careful about using data presented by foreign countries as a Korean standard.