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      • KCI등재

        연구논문 : 안철수 현상이 서울시장 보궐선거에 미친 영향; 미디어 노출 횟수를 통한 후보들의 인지도를 중심으로

        송근원 ( Keun Won Song ) 한국조사연구학회 2012 조사연구 Vol.13 No.2

        이 논문은 2011년 10월 26일 서울시장 보궐선거에서 나타난 안철수 열풍이 여야 후보자들의 인지도에 어떠한 영향을 미쳤는지를 측정할 수 있는 계량적 방법을 제시하고 그 영향력을 측정한다. 곧 언론에 보도된 주요 인물들의 기사 건수를 자료로 삼아 아리마(ARIMA)분석기법을 사용하여 후보들을 나는 시계열로, 다른 주요 인물들을 드는 시계열로 삼아 여러 변수 아리마 모형을 만들어 그 영향력을 분석하였다. 그 결과 안철수의 영향력은 박근혜 영향력의 한 배 반 이상으로 나타났다. 박근혜는 나경원 후보의 인지도 증가에만 영향을 미치지만, 안철수는 박원순 후보에게는 인지도 증가뿐만아니라 나경원 후보의 인지도 감소에도 영향을 미치고 있다는 것을 추론할 수 있었다. 이 논문은 후보자 중심의 연구에서 벗어나 제 3의 인물이 선거 과정에 미친 영향력을 연구하는 시발점이 되었다는 점에서 정치 연구의 지평을 넓히고 있고, 제3의 인물이 선거판에 미친 영향을 단지 막연한 추측에서 벗어나 과학적으로 측정하고 분석할 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다는 점에 그 의의가 있다. This paper attempts to express, in the quantitative terms, the influence of Chul-Soo Ahn and Keun-Hye Park on the Mayoral Election of Seoul to fill a vacancy. We test some quantitative methods to measure the influence of the third influential person on the voter`s cognition of the candidates, and discuss the advantages of the Multivariate ARIMA(MARIMA) modeling techniques to excavate the influence. Based on the relations among the empirical data, MARIMA models were made, and compared Chul Soo Ahn`s influence with Keun-Hye Park`s influence. From the models, we infer that Ahn`s influence might be more than one-and-a-half times of Park`s in the election. This paper contributes to developing a quantitative method to find out the third person`s influence on the candidates, and stimulates the study of the third person`s influence in the electoral process.

      • KCI등재
      • Research Design for the Impact of the Stupid People on the Election Result

        Song Keun-Won 서울행정학회 2003 서울행정학회 학술대회 발표논문집 Vol.- No.-

        This paper is a trial to pretest the hypothesis of idiotcracy exploratory with the concepts of "stupid people," "policy disposition," and "policy stand," and gives a useful framework to study policy-based voting in real situation. Many tips for studying policy-based voting are given such as concepts, analyzing procedures, questionnaires, measurements, etc. which can be used in main study. The findings from the pilot study in which the frame work is applied to the college students studying policy science with the electoral data of the 16th Presidential election in Korea are: The average score of the policy disposition of the students is 4.505 - in 0 to 10 scale where 0 is most progressive and 10 is most conservative in contrast to the candidate Lee's score 7.39, Jeong's 6.44, Rho's 4.01, Kwon's 1.17; The gap between the self-judged and actual policy dispositions of the students are 24.2% and the students who do not know his/her own policy dispositions are 12.1%; The students who vote for wrong persons who stand different issue positions from theirs are 30.3% and the students who do not know to whom they cast their ballots even they have actual policy dispositions are 9.1%. The reason for this is attributed, I assert, to parochialism; About more than 1/3 of the students belong to the "stupid people" who vote for the candidate contrary to their own policy stands; From these findings I conjecture ordinary people cannot show the policy-based voting behavior, but parochial voting behavior; The impact of the stupid people on the election result is guessed about 24.3% which might be reduced when the main survey is done because of the trade-off among the stupid people in the East and the West in Korea.

      • SCIESCOPUSKCI등재

        A Case of Paederus Dermatitis

        ( Song Kim ),( Ji Ho Park ),( Joo Heung Lee ),( Jun Mo Yang ),( Eil Soo Lee ),( Jung Keun Kim ),( Won Serk Kim ) 대한피부과학회 2007 Annals of Dermatology Vol.19 No.2

        Paederus dermatitis is a characteristic irritant contact dermatitis caused by paederin which is a chemical substance released by insects of the genus Paederus. Erythematous vesiculobullous eruption with a burning sensation occur within 24 hours after contact with Paederus. This dermatitis is frequently seen in regions with hot, tropical climates such as Africa and the Middle East. There have been a few reports of Paederus dermatitis in Korea. We recently had a patient with Paederus dermatitis who traveled to Kenya. We would like to highlight an awareness of this peculiar dermatitis due to the increasing numbers of travelers visiting tropical countries. (Ann Dermatol (Seoul) 19(2) 88~90, 2007)

      • KCI등재

        Staphylococcal Enterotoxin-Specific IgE Sensitization: A Potential Predictor of Fixed Airflow Obstruction in Elderly Asthma

        Won Ha-Kyeong,Song Woo-Jung,Moon Sung do,Sohn Kyoung-Hee,Kim Ju-Young,Kim Byung-Keun,Park Heung-Woo,Bachert Claus,Cho Sang Heon 대한천식알레르기학회 2023 Allergy, Asthma & Immunology Research Vol.15 No.2

        Purpose: Staphylococcus aureus enterotoxin-specific immunoglobulin E (SE-sIgE) sensitization tends to increase with age and is known to be associated with asthma and severity in older adults. However, the long-term impact of SE-sIgE in the elderly remains unknown. This study aimed to examine the relationships between SE-sIgE and fixed airflow obstruction (FAO) in a cohort of elderly asthmatics. Methods: A total of 223 elderly asthmatics and 89 controls were analyzed. Patients were assessed for demographics, history of chronic rhinosinusitis (CRS), asthma duration, acute exacerbation frequency, and lung function at baseline and then were prospectively followed up for 2 years. Serum total IgE and SE-sIgE levels were measured at baseline. Airflow obstruction was defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1)/forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio < 0.7 at baseline and FAO was defined as FEV1/FVC ratio < 0.7 over the 2-year follow-up. Results: At baseline, the prevalence of airflow obstruction was 29.1%. Patients with airflow obstruction were significantly more likely to be male, and have a positive smoking history, comorbid CRS, and higher levels of SE-sIgE than those without airflow obstruction. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that airflow obstruction was significantly associated with current smoking and SE-sIgE sensitization at baseline. After the 2-year follow-up, baseline SE-sIgE sensitization was consistently related to FAO. Meanwhile, the number of exacerbations per year was significantly correlated with SE-sIgE levels. Conclusions: Baseline SE-sIgE sensitization was significantly associated with the number of asthma exacerbations and FAO after the 2-year follow-up in elderly asthmatics. These findings warrant further investigation of the direct and mediating roles of SE-sIgE sensitization on airway remodeling.

      • SCIESCOPUSKCI등재
      • S-72 Anti-reflux endoscopic surgery for severe iatrogenic gastroesophageal reflux disease

        ( Keun Hoi Park ),( Weon Jin Ko ),( Ga Won Song ),( Joo Young Cho ) 대한내과학회 2016 대한내과학회 추계학술대회 Vol.2016 No.1

        Introduction: The first-line treatment of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is antacids or acid reducers, generally including proton pump inhibitors(PPIs). When PPIs are not effective, other anti-reflux treatments such as laparoscopic fundoplication or Stretta are considered. But most of those treatments are not well accepted due to their invasiveness or in relation to cost-effectiveness. Here, we report the first case of treating iatrogenic GERD resulted from esophageal stent by anti-reflux endoscopic surgery (ARES). Case : A 58-year-old male was diagnosed with Boerhaave syndrome due to severe vomiting one year ago. The esophageal perforation was treated with a covered stent and it was removed after 20 days and no mucosal break at esophagogastric junction(EGJ) was found. He progressively presented reflux symptoms and needed to take PPI. Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy showed four mucosal breaks suggesting acid reflux. In ambulatory 24-hour esophageal pH monitoring, acid percent time clearance was delayed. We diagnosed iatrogenic refractory GERD associated with prior stent. We planned anti-reflux endoscopic surgery. Multiple endoscopic mucosal resection(EMR) was performed at cardia 2 cm below EGJ encompassing 75% of the circumference. 25 days after the surgery, the patient's symptom was considerably improved and the previous mucosal breaks disappeared on the endoscopy. Conclusions: ARES is a treatment method using well-known EMR. It is comparatively safe and can yield excellent therapeutic results in case of refractory GERDs.

      • KCI등재

        The Introduction of Long-term Care Insurance (LTCI) in China and Lessons from the Policy in South Korea: Focusing on the LTCI Pilot Programs of Shandong Province in China

        Keun-hong Kim,Xiangqi Meng,Eun-whee Kang,Koung-won Seo,Song-hee Lee,Soon-deok Lee 한국사회적질학회 2021 사회적질연구 Vol.5 No.3

        중국은 1979년 이후로 한자녀정책을 주요 정책으로 추진해왔고, 이로 인해 저출산 사회로 전환되었 다. 또한 발전된 보건과 의료기술로 노인들의 수명이 급격히 늘어나면서 중국의 고령화율 역시 급증하 였다. 이렇듯 수발이 필요한 고령인구는 급증하였으나, 현재 중국에는 이들을 돌볼 돌봄인력이나 인프 라가 턱없이 부족한 상태이다. 본 연구는 이러한 노인수발 문제를 해결하기 위한 제도적 해법으로 노인 장기요양보험에 주목한다. 본 연구는 중국 노인장기요양보험제도의 도입과정과 시범사업 등을 살펴본 후, 노인장기요양보험제도 도입의 선도국가인 한국으로부터 어떤 정책교훈을 얻을 수 있는지 살펴보았 다. 본 연구는 연구를 수행함에 있어 주로 문헌연구 분석을 사용하였다. 본 연구는 두 가지 의의를 갖는다. 첫째, 중국 노인장기요양보험제도의 시범사업을 개관함으로써 그 흐름은 물론 그에 관한 기초 자료를 제공하고 있다. 둘째, 중국의 노인수발 문제를 연구함에 있어 기존 연구들에서 찾아볼 수 없는 비교사회정책학적 접근법, 특히 동아시아 사회복지에 대한 비교연구를 수행하였다. China implemented the one-child policy in 1979 and has experienced its various negative effects since then. In particular, the social phenomenon during the transition of its society to an aging one is a representative example of the negative effects. During its transition to an aging society, China has been in a situation where it has had to deal with problems related to the elderly and family support that some East Asian countries such as Japan and South Korea has also experienced. With this as background, this study tried to focus on long-term care insurance for the elderly as an institutional solution for solving various problems that arose during its transition to an aging society. Specifically, the introduction process of long-term care insurance system for the elderly in China was examined, and some implications were obtained from the policies in South Korea, which is known as an advanced country regarding this system. Through various related literature and prior research, the study summarized the background to the introduction of the long-term care insurance system for the elderly in China, the progress of the trial program of the long-term care insurance system for the elderly in China, the expansion of the trial program, and implications of the long-term care insurance system for the elderly in South Korea. The implications of this study are as follows: First, this research is significant in that it will show how the pilot operation of China's long-term care insurance system flowed along with basic related data. Second, it is meaningful as South Korea’s long-term care insurance system was explored as an institutional way to address problems related to providing support for the elderly in China.

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