대구지역 미분양 아파트단지의 특성에 관한 연구

신민식(Shin, Min-Sik),한상훈(Han, Sang-Hoon) 한국부동산정책학회 2011 不動産政策硏究 Vol.12 No.1

Generally, increases of the unsold newly built housing cause financial burdens and psycholo gical disturbance over housing companies as well as associated companies. Therefore, new housing policies and instructions have very critical role in the reduction of the unsold newly built housing in the market. Based on these thoughts this study reviews the general characteri stics of the unsold newly built housing within the nation and then investigates the characterist ics of the unsold newly built housing units in Daegu city. This study aims to find a practical way to reduce the size of the unsold newly built housings throughout the examinations mentioned in above. This study finds the followings. First, price of the house entails the biggest effect on the change of the rate of the unsold newly built housing. Especially, it seems clear that the bigger difference between the sale price of surrounding apartment complex and the unsold newly built apartment complex the higher rate of the unsold newly built housing. Second, distance variable denotes that the closer the lower rate of the unsold newly built housing. Third, time variable denotes that the longer period of the sale the lower rate of the unsold newly built housing. Finally, transportation variable denotes that the better accessibility for the public transport the lower rate of the unsold newly built housing.

제주특별자치도 주택 미분양률의 결정요인에 관한 연구

양영준,유선종 한국부동산학회 2019 不動産學報 Vol.76 No.-

1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES This study researched the factors having effects on the housing unsold ratio in Jeju Special Self-Governing Province(Jeju-do). (2) RESEARCH METHOD This study received the monthly-unsold housing data from the Jeju-do and analyzed determinants of housing unsold ratio in Jeju-do using multiple Rereession Analysis. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS Compared to apartments, the unsold ratio was high in the order of detached house, multi-household house, and urban-type residential housing. As the floor got higher, the unsold ratio got increased. Compared to dong-areas in Jeju, the eup/myeon-areas in Jeju showed the higher unsold ratio. The unsold ratio of control areas was higher than the residential areas while the housing sold in the downturn of the housing market showed the high unsold ratio. In the analysis of apartments, the unsold ratio of eup/myeon-areas in Jeju was higher than dong-areas in Jeju while management area was higher than the residential areas. In the analysis of urban-type residential housing, compared to the urban-type studio, the unsold ratio was high in the order of urban-type multi-household house and urban-type tenement house. When the floor got higher, the unsold ratio was higher. When the site area was larger, the unsold ratio was lower while the housing sold in the downturn of the housing market showed the high unsold ratio. 2. RESULTS In the results of analysis, compared to apartments, the unsold ratio was high in the order of detached house, multi-household house, and urban-type residential housing. In the analysis of apartments, the unsold ratio of eup/myeon-areas in Jeju was higher than dong-areas in Jeju. In the analysis of urban-type residential housing, compared to the urban-type studio, the unsold ratio was high in the order of urban-type multi-household house and urban-type tenement house.

주택 미분양율에서 본 도시형 생활주택 제도의 개선방안에 관한 연구: - 제주특별자치도를 중심으로 -

양영준(Yang, Young Jun),오세준(Oh, Sae Joon) 한국부동산학회 2018 不動産學報 Vol.75 No.-

1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The purpose of this study is to draw the problems of urban-type residential housing and to suggest improvements, by analyzing the unsold rate of housing supplied to Jeju Special Self-Governing Province. (2) RESEARCH METHOD This study examined the problems of urban-type residential housing and suggested improvements the ways to improve by looking into the changes in the supply and unsold rate of housing supplied from Jeju-do as of March 2018, and mainly analyzed the unsold rate of urban-type residential housing among the houses supplied from January 2016 to September 2017. The results of this study are as follows. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS During the analysis period, 2,924 residential houses were sold(45.1%) and 2,365 apartments(42.5%) were sold. The number of households unsold in six months was 579(50.8%) and the number of apartments was 433(38.0%). The unsold rate was the highest at 90.9% for detached house, followed by 19.8% and 18.3% for urban-type residential housing and apartment, respectively. Urban-type residential housing showed high unsold rate in natural green areas in all types of housing. The unsold rate of urban-type studios was 30.7% and 26.2% in green areas and commercial areas, respectively. The unsold rate of urban-type tenement houses was 31.4% and 29.8% in green areas and residential areas. And the unsold rate of urban-type multi-household houses was 50.0%. 2. RESULTS According to the results of this study, the unsold rate of urban-type residential housing is high, and 10 out of the 27 urban-type residential housing complexes(637 households) were supplied to natural green areas and located on the edge of town, which can incur social costs including infrastructures. In order to solve these problems, it is necessary to make determine the allowable use of urban-type residential housing in accordance with the local government conditions through the revision of 「Housing Act」and an ordinance of local governments. It also needs to limit the supply of urban-type residential housing in natural green areas by amending the ‘Restrictions on the use, type and size of buildings in special-purpose area’.

비수도권 중소도시의 택지개발사업에 따른 아파트 미분양에 관한 연구

홍성조(Hong, Sung Jo),김용진(Kim, Yong Jin),안건혁(Ahn, Kun Hyuck) 한국부동산학회 2009 不動産學報 Vol.36 No.-

1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES This study aims to find factors that influence unsold new housing. (2) RESEARCH METHOD Multi-linear regression analysis was used to find factors that influence unsold new housing. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS According to analysis result, 'change of business', 'change of employment', 'distance from center of mother city' and 'price difference between old and new housing' have a significant effect on unsold new housing. 2. RESULTS From the results of this study, three suggestions are made. 1) Local mid-small cities' housing-land development should consider economic situation of mother city. 2) Local mid-small cities' housing-land development should be integrated with mother city. 3) Government should carry out housing price control policy. 3. KEY WORDS Unsold new housing, Non-capital region, Local city, Housing market, Housing-Land development, New Town Development

Relationship Between Demand-supply in the Housing Market and Unsold New Housing Stocks

Jang, Sewoong,Lee, Sanghyo,Kim, Juhyung,Kim, Jaejun Architectural Institute of Japan 2010 JOURNAL OF ASIAN ARCHITECTURE AND BUILDING ENGINEE Vol.9 No.2

<P>The phenomenon of unsold new housing stocks is an important indicator in the housing market system; it is directly related to the profitability of the construction business and appears as a result of an imbalance in the demand and supply of houses. Changes in demand-supply because of various factors are another phenomenon that occurs in the housing market. It is considered that these changes in demand-supply are closely related to the unsold new housing stocks. Therefore, we analyze the relationship between demand-supply in the housing market and unsold new housing stocks using the vector error correction model. We used data from Seoul as the spatial scope of this study, and the temporal scope of time series data ranged from July 2001 to July 2009. To obtain the time series data, databases of the Ministry of Land, Transport and Marine Affairs, Statistics Korea, CERIK, and Kookmin Bank were utilized. The results of variance decomposition analyses indicated that for changes in unsold new housing stocks, the explanatory powers of housing selling price indexes and housing loans were high while the explanatory powers of production factors were relatively low. Based on the results of impulse response analyses, the quantity of unsold new housing stocks showed larger changes in response to the impulses of housing prices and housing loans than to the impulse of production factors. Also, it was indicated that, among the production factors, unsold new housing stocks showed a pattern of continued change in relation to the financing status of suppliers while showing impromptu responses to the impulses of the material or manpower situation but no continued change.</P>

주택매매가격 및 전세가격과 미분양주택량의 관계성 분석

김상기(Kim Sang-Ki),이상효(Lee Sang-Hyo),김재준(Kim Jae-Jun) 대한건축학회 2010 대한건축학회논문집 Vol.26 No.1

Residential housing projects are core of domestic construction industry. However, recently, the housing market is going through a serious recession as many new houses remain unsold. Unsold housing stocks can pose a serious problem as it directly leads to liquidity crisis of construction companies. And yet, previous researches regard the matter merely as an indicator to foresee condition of the future housing market. In-depth research for the phenomenon of unsold housing stock is almost non-existent. This research attempts to analyze relations between housing sales (or rent) price and amount of unsold housing stocks, using VECM (Vector Error Correction Model). The analysis result shows that presence of unsold houses is related to lower sales price. However, primarily, supply-demand imbalance in housing market first lowers housing sales price before damaging house sales. Once the housing price goes down, it leads to a large amount of unsold housing stocks.

미분양 아파트 해소 방안 모형에 관한 연구

조영선(Jo, Young-Sun),김종진(Kim, Jong-Jin) 한국주거환경학회 2010 주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집) Vol.8 No.2

The purpose of the study is to establish a solving model of unsold houses(apartment) in Korea. To do so, we have conducted a survey on the experts of the housing markets with a view to establish an AHP (multi-layered decision making model) to calculate an effective and efficient solution for the unsold houses. The conclusions and the implication of this study are as follows; Among the five major categories, the economic supports gained the highest value in its importance, followed by the facilitation through legal or regulatory supports, roles by the public sectors, roles by the private sectors, and the marketing. This implicates that the experts view the economic subsides as the most effective solution for the current problem of the unsold houses, and thought the legal and regulatory supports also important. On the other hands, the roles of the private sectors and the marketing received less attention in terms of their importance, which means that as the problem of the unsold houses is a combined result of various factors, such as, not only the problem of over-supply but also the financial, and the affordability of the houses for its potential purchasers. The effort of the private sector alone is no enough to cope with these factors, and the conventional marketing and promotion would not help to mitigate the situation, as they view the matter.

창원시 준공 후 미분양 아파트의 결정요인에 관한 연구

정진욱,정상철,성주한 한국부동산학회 2019 不動産學報 Vol.79 No.-

1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The purpose of this study is to investigate what factors affect the unsold apartment after completion and how they have the greatest influence. (2) RESEARCH METHOD This study employed the Vector Error Correction Model(VECM) to achieve the major objectives of this study. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS It is very interesting to select Changwon City, which has the largest number of unsold units, as its research area. In this study, the economic situation such as Unsold Apartment After Completion, supply situation, demand situation, and price aspect was studied separately before 2016 and after 2016. This study can grasp the difference between the two periods. 2. RESULTS According to the results of this study, the unsold after completion in Changwon was most affected by the change in apartment sale price before 2016 and the biggest change in apartment transaction volume after 2016. In other words, before 2016, when the sale price of apartments rises, the performance of housing construction permits increases as the standard of pre-sale price increases. When the economy is good, the demand for housing construction increases. Post-mortem sales increased. On the other hand, regardless of the reason for the increase in housing prices since 2016, the increase in unsold housing after the completion of the construction, despite the increase in housing transactions due to the increase in the demand for housing by the consumer, is more than the effective demand for the housing of citizens in Changwon. It can be seen that there is an oversupply of housing. 3. KEY WORDS Changwon City, The Unsold Apartment After Completion, VECM, The Performance of Housing Construction Permits, The Apartment Transaction Volume

미분양 아파트 마케팅 전략과 마케팅 요소의 중요도 분석

유지수,이재우 한국부동산분석학회 2018 부동산분석학회 학술발표논문집 Vol.2018 No.-

우리나라의 선분양 제도 아래 미분양 발생은 불가피하며 미분양 아파트에 대한 다양한 마케팅 전략과 수법이 적용되고 있음에도 체계적인 검토와 마케팅전략의 중요 요소 등에 대한 연구 분석은 미흡하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 사례 조사, 전문가 FGI 등을 통해 미분양 아파트 마케팅 구성요소와 전략들을 도출, 체계화하고 실무 전문가가 인식하는 구성요소들의 상대 중요도를 분석하여 지방도시 미분양 아파트 문제 예방과 해소를 위한 전략적 시사점을 도출 하고자 한다. Occurrence of unsold apartments is inevitable under the pre-ordering system in Korea. Despite the various marketing strategies and methods applied to unsold apartments, many have not been effective. This is due to the insufficient amount of research available to determine the underlying reasons behind unsold houses. This study will reason out and systematize the marketing components and strategies used for unsold apartments through case studies as well as expert’s FGI. Important components recognized from a practical person will also be analyzed in order determine the strategic implications for preventing and solving the unsold houses problem.

수도권 미분양 주택 감소방안에 대한 수요자와 전문가 의식분석

이윤홍(Lee, Yun-Hong),이주형(Lee, Ju-Hyung) 한국산학기술학회 2013 한국산학기술학회논문지 Vol.14 No.9

최근 수도권을 중심으로 미분양주택이 다시 증가하고 있다. 이에 본 연구는 미분양 구매의사가 있는 수요자 와 전문가 집단을 대상으로 효과적인 해소방안에 대해 분석하였다. 연구방법은 기존 연구의 미분양주택 해소방안과 전문가 FGI를 통해 미분양 해소방안들을 설정하고 컨조인트분석(Conjoint Analysis)을 활용하여 미분양 해소를 위해 효율적인 방안을 분석하였다. 분석결과, 첫째, 수요자 그룹에서는 ‘금융지원’과 ‘건설사 자구책 유도’, ‘세제지원’ 등과 관련된 해소방안을 보다 중요하게 고려하는 것에 비해 전문가 그룹은 ‘공공매입’과 ‘신규 정책’ 관련 해소방안을 보다 중요하게 평가하였다. 그리고 공통적으로 ‘금융지원’에 대한 중요성을 인정하였다. 둘째, 금융지원 측면에서 완화된 LTV, DIT 적용하는 방안과 LH공사가 미분양주택을 매입하는 것이 효과적인 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 수도권 내 주택 공급물량을 관리하여 신규 공급물량을 억제하는 방안과 건설사의 적극적인 구매조건 완화(분양가 인하, 이자면제 등) 가 효과적이 것으로 분석되었다. Currently the number of unsold housing is rapid increasing over again in the Seoul Metropolitan area. So this research analyzed effective and possible solutions focus on the potential customers and professionals. There was a research method setting up alternative solutions from the existing researches and the other suggestions though FGI (Focus Group Interview) by professionals. And then it investigated the efficient ways to resolve those problems through Conjoint Analysis. According to the result of this paper, firstly the customers considered 'financial supports', 'self-rescue efforts for construction companies' and 'taxation support' than the other. On the other hand, professionals evaluated 'publicly purchased housing' and 'new housing policies' were more essential solutions besides, both of them recognized the importance of ;financial support'. Secondly there were some ideas that it was necessary to more less control LTV (Loan to Value ratio) and DIT ( Debt to Income) and the LH (Korea Land and Housing Corporation) buy unsold housing. Finally the government and housing association had to manage and intervene the supply of housing within metropolitan area and restrict to building new properties and the construction companies actively provide less strict standard terms and conditions in contract for purchasing housing for instance, the decline of housing sale price or interest-free and so on.