인구고령화가 식음료 산업의 소비지출에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증분석

정욱영 ( Jeong Ug-yeong ),최영진 ( Choi Young-jin ) 한국호텔리조트학회(구 한국호텔리조트카지노산학학회) 2020 호텔리조트연구 Vol.19 No.6

This paper investigates the impacts of population aging on the food and beverage consumption expenditure using auto-regressive distributed lag(ADL) regression model. By estimating food and beverage consumption function introducing population aging variable, elasticities of age-specific disposable income, relative price, and interest rate were derived and the effects of population aging on food and beverage consumption were analyzed using quarterly data in 1990 to 2016. Income elasticities were shown to be the biggest value 0.62 in the forties, 0.52 in the lower thirties, 0.51 in the fifties and the smallest one of 0.41 in the upper sixties. These results implies acceleration of population aging will affects as a declining factor to the food and beverage industry. Price elasticities were found to be the most responsive value of -0.58 in the fifties and the least responsive one of -0.39 in the forties. The lower thirties and the upper sixties showed -0.49 and -0.44 respectively. Interest rate elasticity estimate, household on average, showed 0.04 which means negligible effects on the food and beverage consumption. Population aging affects food and beverage consumption as an U-shape. The critical value of changing consumption patterns is 0.29 in the population aging index. Deepening population aging will function as a positive impacts to food and beverage industry.In the seasonal effects, summer shows the highest while winter does the lowest. With accelerating population aging, this study could be a reference paper in designing policy in the food and beverage industry.

인구고령화가 의료비 지출에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증연구

정욱영 ( Ugyeong Jeong ),김병준 ( Byoung Joon Kim ) 한국생산성학회 2021 生産性論集 Vol.35 No.1

This paper analyzes the effects of population aging on the medical consumption expenditure based on auto-regressive distributed lag(ADL) model. By estimating medical consumption expenditure function, elasticities of age-specific income, price, and interest rate were derived and the impacts of population aging on medical consumption expenditure were investigated using quarterly data from 1990 to 2016. Essential estimation statistics of our model showed well as 0.85 ∼ 0.98 in R², no serial correlation, and satisfying 1% significance level in t-values. As main empirical results, first, Income elasticities were shown to be the biggest value 0.60 in the lower thirties and the smallest one of 0.29 in the upper sixties. These results means accelerating population aging will functions as a declining factor in medical industry. Second, price elasticities were found to be -1.04 in the household average and the most responsive value of -2.06 in the forties and the least responsive one of -0.52 in the upper sixties. As households older, their medical expenditure responded less to the relative price change of medical commodities which means these are near to necessities to them. If price of medical commodities will change in the declining direction, this will be a positive factor in growing of medical industry. Regardless of age groups, interest rate showed negative relation to the medical consumption expenditure. Interest rate elasticities were estimated to be -0.177 in the household average, the most responsive value -2.60 in the upper sixties, and the least responsive one -0.11 in the lower thirties. Due to recent Corona-19 disaster and low interest rat policy of U.S.A., on-going very low level of interest rate will contribute to growing demand in medical industry.

초등학교 고학년 다문화학생의 진로성숙도 향상을 위한 놀이 중심 집단상담 프로그램 개발

정욱영(Jeong, WookYoung),유형근(Yu, HyungKeun) 학습자중심교과교육학회 2021 학습자중심교과교육연구 Vol.21 No.15

목적 본 연구는 초등학교 고학년 다문화학생의 진로성숙도 향상을 위한 놀이 중심 집단상담 프로그램을 개발하여 이를 적용한 후 진로성숙도 향상에 미치는 영향을 검증하데 목적이 있다. 방법 프로그램은 박인우(1995)가 제안한 상담 프로그램 개발 모형을 토대로 개발하였고, 전문가 타당화 과정을 거친 후, 총 8회기의 놀이 중심 집단상담 프로그램으로 구안되었다. 효과검증을 위해서 정익중, 임진영, 황매향(2011)의 진로성숙도 검사를 사용하였고, 혼합변량분석(Mixed ANOVA)을 사용하여 통계적 결과를 분석하였다. 또한 양적 결과와 관련된 신뢰성의 한계를 보완하기 위하여 연구 대상자의 회기별 소감문과 연구자의 관찰 내용을 보충하여 각 구성요인별 프로그램의 효과를 분석하였다. 결과 결과 분석을 통해 초등학교 고학년 다문화학생의 진로성숙도 향상을 위한 놀이 중심 집단상담 프로그램은 유의한 효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 결론 본 연구는 초등학교에서 다문화학생이 점차 증가하고 있는 현재 상황에서 이들의 진로성숙도를 향상시키기 위하여 다문화학생들의 특성과 요구를 반영한 놀이 중심 집단상담 프로그램을 개발 후 적용하여 그 효과를 검증했다는데 의의가 있다. Objectives The purpose of this study was to develop a play-oriented group counseling program to improve career maturity of multicultural students in the senior year of elementary school and to verify how it affects career advancement. Methods The program was developed based on Park In-woo (1995) s counseling program development model. After the discussion process by experts, this program was made with eight sessions. Jeong Ik-jung, Im Jin-yeong, and Hwang Mae-hyang’s scale (2011) was used as the research tool, and after the pre and post-program tests were conducted on each experimental group and control group, the statistical results were analyzed using the Mixed ANOVA. In addition, the effects of each component-specific program were analyzed by supplementing the research subjects commentaries by session and the researchers observations to supplement the limitations of reliability associated with quantitative results. Results The analysis of the results showed that there is a significant difference between the experimental group and the control group. Conclusions This study is meaningful in that it has developed a group counseling program for multi cultural students. As the number of the multicultural students continues to grow, the demand of the program continues to grow. In addition, the this study reflected the current needs and characteristics of the multicultural students.

인구고령화에 따른 음식숙박 소비지출 변화 분석

정욱영(Jeong, Ug-yeong),지계웅(Ji, Ke-yung) 한국호텔외식관광경영학회 2016 호텔경영학연구 Vol.25 No.5

숙박산업의 소비지출에 관한 실증연구

정욱영(Jeong, Ug-Yeong),지계웅(Ji, Ke-Yung) 한국호텔외식관광경영학회 2018 호텔경영학연구 Vol.27 No.8

강릉단오제 방문객의 만족도 및 재방문의사 결정요인 분석

정욱영(Ug Yeong Jeong),지계웅(Ke Yung Ji),한진영(Jin Young Han) 한국관광연구학회 2015 관광연구저널 Vol.29 No.6

Recently in order to stimulate the stagnant regional economy, the local governments support strongly to hold diverse and differentiated local festival competitively. Even though Gangneung Dano is the biggest nationwide cultural festival, tourist behavior researches on the Dano festival is very poor. This paper analyzes determinants of festival participants’ satisfaction and revisit intention in the case of 2013 Gangneung Dano, based on factor analysis and logit regression model. 14 determinants of satisfaction and revisit intention such as demographic and satisfaction factors are set as explanatory variables. Three types of dependent variables such as satisfaction level, revisit intention, and recommendation intention are investigated. Main findings are the followings. First, three variables such as festival environments, festival experience services, and festival programs are categorized as factors of subjective satisfaction level. Second, metropolitan area, family accompanying, participation days positively but male and own expense lodging negatively influence satisfaction. Festival environmental factor shows positive effect on satisfaction. Third, participation days, staying days, and family accompanying positively but male and own expense lodging negatively influence revisit intention. Festival environment and program factors show positive effect on revisit intention. Fourth, while participation days shows positive but male and own expense lodging show negative effect on recommendation intention. Festival environment and program factors also influence positively recommendation intention like revisit intention. Main findings of this paper suggest invention of diverse festival programs, enhancement in group tourist services and general festival environments such as lodging, shopping, and price level are necessary to develop Dano festival. This paper analyzed comprehensively both subjective tourist satisfaction factors and objective tourist characteristics such as age, marital state, and residence. These results can be applied for the Gangneung local government and tour industries to invent and implement efficient marketing strategies such as market segmentation.

조리종사자의 식자재구매시스템 인지와 비재무적 성과의 영향 관계

정욱영(Wook Young Jeong),오영섭(Young Sub Oh) 한국조리학회 2012 한국조리학회지 Vol.18 No.3

This study aims to analyze how the perception of a food purchasing system affects non-financial performance and job satisfaction among the kitchen employees of contract foodservice companies in Taegu·Gyeongbuk area. By a convenience method, 197 copies(85%) out of 230 copies of the questionnaire were used for analysis. For data processing, the SPSS WIN Version 14.0 statistical package program was used and the frequency analysis reliability analysis, factor analysis were conducted so the hypothesis was verified through the multiple regression analysis. The results are as follows: First, the perception of a food purchasing system affected job satisfaction as a whole, which was significant in food ingredients management factors of sub-hypothesis1-2. Second, the perception of a food purchasing system affected non-financial management performance, which was significant in food ingredients management factors of sub-hypothesis2-2, and food ingredients supply and demand factors of sub-hypothesis2-3. Third, job satisfaction affected non-financial management performance of a company as suggested by hypothesis 3. From these results, it was found that kitchen employees` perception of a food purchasing system can induce their positive attitude, which exerts positive effects on business performance.

인구구조 변화가 외식산업의 소비지출에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증분석

정욱영(Ug-yeong Jeong),지계웅(Ke-yung Ji) 한국관광연구학회 2017 관광연구저널 Vol.31 No.9

인구구조 변화가 오락문화 서비스 소비지출에 미치는 영향 분석

정욱영(Ug-Yeong Jeong),지계웅(Ke-Yung Ji),최영진(Young-Jin Choi) 한국관광연구학회 2021 관광연구저널 Vol.35 No.11

2011 강릉단오축제의 경제적 파급효과에 관한 연구

정욱영(Jeong, Ug-Yeong),김영표(Kim, Young-Pyo) 한국관광레저학회 2012 관광레저연구 Vol.24 No.5