세계 주요 정기선사의 선박 투자전략 비교분석에 관한 연구

전기정,전준우,양창호,여기태,Jeon, Ki-Jeong,Jeon, Jun-Woo,Yang, Chang-Ho,Yeo, Gi-Tae 한국디지털정책학회 2016 디지털융복합연구 Vol.14 No.7

본 연구는 Fuzzy-AHP방법을 활용하여 세계 주요선사의 선박투자 전략을 비교분석하는 것을 연구의 목적으로 하였다. 선박투자요인은 선행연구를 통해 1차적으로 선정한 후, 해운선사 근무경력 15년 이상의 전문가와 심층 인터뷰(Indepth-Inerview)를 수행하였다. 전문가의 지식추출이 가능한 Fuzzy-AHP를 사용하여 최종적으로 선박투자요인에 대한 가중치를 산정하였다. 선행연구에서 제시한대로 선사들을 "시황흐름 무관 선박투자" 형, "시황상승기 이전 선박투자" 형, "과다발주에 동참 후 시황하락" 형, "시황상승기 선박투자 회피" 형으로 분류하여 선박투자 전략을 비교분석하였다. 분석결과, "시황흐름 무관 선박투자" 형의 선박투자 우선순위는 해운운임(0.132), 중고선가(0.121), 선복량(0.103), "시황상승기 이전 선박투자" 형의 선박투자 우선순위는 해운운임(0.134), 선주여건(0.113), 정책금융기관의 지원(0.109)이 중요요인으로 분석되었다. "과다발주에 동참 후 시황하락" 형의 선박투자 우선선위는, 해운운임(0.173), 선복량(0.169), 국제정세 변화(0.121), "시황상승기 선박투자 회피" 형의 경우 해운운임(0.293), 선복량(0.232), 유가(0.150)가 중요한 요인으로 분석되었다. The purpose of this study was to carry out comparative analysis on the world major liner shipping companies' ship investment strategy using Fuzzy-AHP model. In this study, the ship investment factors were firstly selected by literature review and finally adopted them by in-depth interview with experts who had working experiences over 15 years in the field of shipping business. As suggested in the previous research, the liner shipping companies have been classified into four types such as 'ship investment irrelevant to market trend'(Type1), 'ship investment before market rise'(Type2), 'market decline after participation in excessive orders'(Type3), 'avoidance of ship investment during market rise'(Type4) and the comparative analysis were conducted among four ship investment types. According to the results of analysis, ship investment priority in Type1 was freight rates(0.132), price of used ship(0.121) and fleet(0.103). The priority in Type2 was freight rates(0.134), need for ship owner(0.113) and public funding(0.109). Type3 put its priority in freight rates(0.173), fleet(0.169) and the changes in international circumstances(0.121). Type4 considered freight rates(0.239), fleet(0.232) and oil price(0.150) as its priority.

논문 : 그랜저 인과관계를 활용한 세계 주요 선사의 선박발주량과 해운운임과의 상관관계에 관한 연구

전기정 ( Ki Jeong Jeon ),양창호 ( Chang Ho Yang ) 한국해운물류학회(구 한국해운학회) 2016 해운물류연구 Vol.32 No.1

본 연구는 세계 상위 10대 정기 컨테이너 선사와 한국의 한진해운, 현대상선의 신조발주 전략과 해운운임과의 상관관계를 분석하여 해운 선사별 투자유형을 구분하는 것을 연구의 목적으로 하였다. 분석에 사용된 변수는 세계 10대 정기 컨테이너 선사와 한진 해운, 현대 상선의 2005년부터 2014년까지의 선박발주량(TEU)이며, 해운운임은 BDI, CCFI, HRCI를 사용하였다. 그랜저 인과관계와 충격반응함수를 적용한 결과 해운선사별 선박투자유형은 다음과 같이 구분할 수 있는 것으로 분석되었다. ``시황흐름 무관 선박투자``형의 Maersk, "시황상승기 이전 선박투자" 형의 China Shipping, COSCO, OOCL, ``과다발주에 동참 후 시황하락``형의 MSC, CMA-CGM, APL, UASC, Hapag-Lloyd, OOCL, Hanjin Shipping, Hyundai M.M, "시황상승기 선박투자 회피" 형의 MSC, CMA-CGM, Evergreen, APL이다. This study aimed to analyze the correlation between the shipbuilding order strategies of the top 10 global regular-container shipping companies, Hanjin shipping, Hyundai M.M and shipping charges. While Maersk, the global leading container shipping company, places shipbuilding orders before a rise in market conditions, most Asian shipping companies place shipbuilding orders when market conditions are at a peak, thus worsening business difficulties during an extended recession in the shipping industry. Based on these analysis results, the ship investment types of shipping companies were analyzed as well. The data used in this study included the ship order quantities of Hanjin Shipping, Hyundai Mrechant Shipping and global top 10 container shipping companies, as well as BDI, CCFI, HRCI. The data of the Alphaliner`s report were used for the shipbuilding order quantities of these companies while the data for CCFI, BDI, and HRCI were obtained from the Korea Maritime Institute. For the period between 2005 and 2014, every three to five months of collected data had been used, in conjunction with Granger casuality test, to analyze the correlation between shipbuilding oreder quantities and maritime freight rates. The ship investment types of shipping companies were classified through the Granger causality analysis and the impulse response function as follows. The shipping companies that did not exchange influence with any shipping charge were Maersk. This group is the ``ship investment irrelevant to market trend`` type who makes ship investments based on business judgment that is different from the market trend. The group whose ship order quantity has a positive influence on the shipping charge indicates that they order ships before a rise of shipping charge, which can be called the ``ship investment before market rise`` type. The analysis results of this study showed that this group of the ``ship investment before market rise`` type included China Shipping, COSCO and OOCL. The group whose ship order quantity had a negative influence on shipping charge included MSC, CMA-CGM, APL, UASC, Hapag-Lloyd, Hyundai, and Hanjin. This group can be called the ``market decline after participation in excessive orders`` type, meaning that they invested in ships trusting the current market condition, but the shipping charge decreased after the investment. The shipping companies whose ship order was positively influenced by shipping charge did not exist. This group can be called the ``market-following ship investment`` type, meaning that they increased ship orders when the shipping charge was high. The group whose ship order was negatively influenced by shipping charge can be called the ``avoidance of ship investment during market rise`` type, meaning that they reduced ship orders when the shipping charge was high. The results of this study showed that such group included MSC, CMA-CGM, Evergreen and APL.

중국어와 한국어 복문의 비교

全基廷(Jeon, Gi-jeong) 중국어문학연구회 2018 중국어문학논집 Vol.0 No.112

Based on the results of the research on the subject of the complex sentences, this paper analyzes the characteristics of the complex sentences between Chinese and Korean brought by the typological difference and the different views in how to construct the complex sentences between Chinese and Korean. Complex sentences in Korean are composed by conjunction and embedding, while Chinese only accepts conjunction without embedding. As a result, there are notable differences in detailed definitions, classification methods, characteristics, and main subjects of study between the two languages.

한국인 학습자를 위한 중국어 시량보어 교육

全基廷(Jeon Gi-jeong) 중국어문학연구회 2011 중국어문학논집 Vol.0 No.67

한중 지시어 대조 연구

全基廷(Jeon Gi-jeong) 중국어문학연구회 2010 중국어문학논집 Vol.0 No.61

중국어 번역교육의 현황과 향후 교육방법

全基廷(Gi-jeong Jeon) 중국어문논역학회 2009 中國語文論譯叢刊 Vol.0 No.24

현대중국어 "급(給)"의 사동 용법

전기정 ( Gi Jeong Jeon ) 中國語文硏究會 2006 中國語文論叢 Vol.0 No.31

현대중국어 용언성 대등구조의 명사화

전기정 ( Jeon Gi-jeong ) 고려대학교 중국학연구소 2017 中國學論叢 Vol.57 No.-

This paper examines the nature of predicate coordination and its nominalization in modern Chinese, which have been a field of limited research. In English and Korean, when a verb appears at the position of a subject or an object, it goes through a process of explicit nominalization by changing its form or adding a suffix, but in Chinese, it can come to the position of a subject or an object without a morphological change. This pattern also appears in the predicate coordination connected by multiple verbs or adjectives. In modern Chinese, the most common conjunctions used in predicate coordination structures are “而”, “幷” and “和”, but their usages vary considerably. While the predicate coordinate structure using “和” could be freely positioned, the predicate coordinate structure that uses “幷” or “而” can come to the predicative or adnominal position only but cannot come to the subject or object position. This paper finds that the verbal coordinate structure connected by “幷” has verbal characteristics only, but the verbal coordinate structure connected by “和” has both noun and verbal characteristics, which makes the noun or verbal characteristics stronger or weaker depending on its position. In other words, the predicate coordinate structure connected by “和” has strong noun characteristics when it comes to the position of a subject or an object, and has strong verbal characteristics when it is in the position of the predicate. However, even if it comes to the position of a predicate, it does not lose its noun characteristics completely. Its verbal characteristics could manifest with the support of other supplementary elements, such as adverb, object, and complement.

문학번역에서의 문화소와 번역 전략

全基廷(Jeon Gi-jeong) 중국어문학연구회 2008 중국어문학논집 Vol.0 No.51

지식의 창출 : 한국형 지식경영 모델 개발을 위한 사례연구 -IMF사태 분석-

전기정 ( Jeon Gi Jeong ),현우식 ( Hyeon U Sig ) 한국지식경영학회 1999 지식경영 학술심포지움 Vol.2 No.-