Forecasting Market Shares of Environment-Friendly Vehicles under Different Market Scenarios

배정환,정혜영 한국환경경제학회 2013 자원·환경경제연구 Vol.22 No.1

The purpose of this study is to estimate consumer preferences on hybrid cars and electric cars by employing a choice experiment reflecting the various market conditions, such as different projected market shares of green vehicles and CO2 emission regulations. Depending on different market scenarios, we examine as to which attribute and individual characteristic affect the preferences of potential consumers on green vehicles and further, forecast the potential market shares of green cars. The primary results, estimated by a conditional logit and panel probit models, indicate that sales price, fuel cost, maximum speed, emission of air pollutants, fuel economy, and distance between fuel stations can significantly affect consumer’s choice of environment-friendly cars. The second finding is that the unique features of electric cars might better appeal to consumers as the market conditions for electric cars are improved. Third, education, age, and gender can significantly affect individual preferences. Finally, as the market conditions become more favorable toward green cars, the forecasted market shares of hybrid and electric vehicles will increase up to 67% and 14% .

지역산업과 지방대학 협력 활성화 연구

배정환,김보흠 한국부패학회 2011 한국부패학회보 Vol.16 No.02

This study analyzed practical research results on cooperation between regional industry and university and through it attempted at proposal for further study on industry-academy cooperation in our country. Of late, on a policy basis, the importance of industry-academy cooperation is being emphasized, while strengthening cooperation between regional industry and university has the most effective side in resolving the current regional problems in this regard. To this end, this study drew out suggestions for cooperation between regional industry and university by analyzing the recent foreign researches on industry-academy cooperation, proposing the future direction for research on such cooperation, together with policy proposals. To conclude, cooperation between regional industry and university should be preceded by policy support in consideration of regional features and capability of regional universities, rather than application of inclusive policies, with necessity for checking policies by stage for supporting regional small enterprises. This means that for industry-academy cooperation, political support for strengthening the capability of regional industry and university should be put before creating jobs for youths or advancement of college education.

지역경제위기 극복을 위한 테크노파크 활용방안

배정환 국가위기관리학회 2009 국가위기관리학회 학술대회 Vol.2009 No.1

충북테크노파크 기업지원이 지역경제에 미치는 영향

배정환 한국정책분석평가학회 2009 한국정책분석평가학회 학술대회발표논문집 Vol.2009 No.4

Epoxy 단위를 포함하는 컬러필터용 Binder resin의 합성 및 광경화특성 연구

배정환,최명수,김환건,이준영 한국고분자학회 2001 한국고분자학회 학술대회 연구논문 초록집 Vol.2001 No.4

관세철폐가 친환경연료 산엄에 미치는 일반균형적 파급 효과

배정환 한국환경경제학회 2009 자원·환경경제연구 Vol.18 No.1

This research aims at quantifying economic impacts of free trading policy on environment-friendly fuel industry applying a static general equilibrium(CGE) model for Korea. Theoretically, ‘polluters haven’ hypothesis had been debated as major issue on the environmental effects of trade liberalization during 1970s and 1980s but recent literature emphasizes that production, scale, structural, and regulatory effects may derive rapid diffusion of environment friendly technologies. In this study, trade liberalization policy affects output of agricultural sectors negatively while that of biodiesel as environment-friendly technology positively. The rise in the output of biodiesel is derived from the reduction in import prices of agricultural products due to the abolishment of tariff. The policy implication from the analysis is that feedstock for producing biodiesel should be exploited in the foreign countries where productivity of agriculture is quite predominant compared to Korean agriculture. 본 연구는 우리나라가 자유무역정책을 실시할 경우 경제 전반과 친환경연료인 바이오디젤 산업에 미치는 영향을 정태적 연산가능일반균형모형(CGE)을 이용하여 분석하였다. 이론적으로 자유무역과 환경 간의 관계에 대해서는 ‘공해안식처 가설’이 1970~1980년대를 풍미하였으나, 1990년대 이후 Townsend and Ratnayakee 등은 자유무역이 생산효과, 규모효과, 구조효과, 규제효과를 통해 친환경기술 도입을 촉진하는 기능이 있음을 역설한 바 있다. 본 연구는 이러한 측면에서 과연 무역자유화의 효과로서 관세철폐가 우리나라 바이오디젤 산업에 어떤 영향을 미칠 수 있는지를 정량적으로 분석했다는 점에서 의의가 있다. 연구 결과 관세가 철폐되면 농업부문 산출은 전반적으로 감소하는 반면, 바이오디젤 산업은 팽창하며, GDP와 소비자 후생이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 바이오디젤 산업이 팽창하는 것은 원료인 대두유가 해외에서 수입됨에 따라 관세를 철폐할 경우 원료 수입가격이 하락하기 때문이다. 즉, 토지 생산성 측면에서 우리나라에서 생산되는 원료를 바이오디젤 원료로 이용하기보다는 동남아나 북․중남미 등에서 원료를 개척하여 수입하는 것이 경제적 이익을 극대화할 수 있고, 자유무역은 이를 더욱 가속화시킬 수 있다는 것이다.

지방대학 교육역량을 활용한 방과후 학교 활성화 방안 : 대학주도 방과후 학교 사회적기업을 중심으로

배정환 국제개발연구소 2013 사회적기업과 정책연구 Vol.2 No.2

본문 참고

사회적 책임 경영을 위한 공공기관의 역할 연구

배정환 한국지방행정학회 2011 한국지방행정학보 (KLAR) Vol.8 No.2

Sustainability management and Corporate social responsibility are accepted as appropriateness and inevitable issue. But, the Korea's Sustainability management and Social responsibility is mainly led by large enterprises. Now a days, Sustainability management and Corporate social responsibility are not a problem of declaratory slogan any more in all organizational management and supervision including not only the private business sector but also public sectors. So This Study aim is finding a way to Strengthening Social Responsibility in Public Sector, specially Public Enterprises. As a result of study, Public Enterprises SR should be strengthened, and the head of each organization should judge the merits and deficiencies of each organization, which after SR examination and evaluation, the following; establishment of strategy, designing of organization. Second, for Public Sector, specially Public Enterprises, the government's role should be strengthened, and a SR model should be made. Third, SR report, annual report, Sustainability management report, and report of management evaluation result are evaluated by expert group or government.

Economic Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Biodiesel Production: The Complementarity of Biodiesel and Petroleum

배정환 재단법인 에너지경제연구원 2012 에너지경제연구 Vol.11 No.1

The increasing volatility of international crude oil prices has induced petroleum-addicted countries to increase the production of alternative fuels. In the initial stage of alternative fuel promotion, a careful institutional mechanism is crucial for the commercial success of alternative fuels. Koreahas successfully commercialized biodiesel as an alternative to petrodiesel. Most of the biodiesel distributed in Korea has been in the formof BD5 (blend of maximum 5% biodiesel), not BD20 (blend of 20% biodiesel and 80% petroleum diesel). Whereas BD5 is used as intermediate inputs to petrodiesel, BD20 is directly consumed by car drivers. This study attempts to quantify the economic effects of increases in international oil prices on Korea’s energy and biodiesel industry by using a small open computable general equilibrium (CGE) model for Korea. The results indicate that increases in oil prices would dramatically reduce GDP and consumer welfare. Biodiesel and petroleum production as well as the transportation sector could decline dramatically because biodiesel (BD5) would be consumed mainly as intermediate inputs to petrodiesel. These results suggest that because the Korean economy is vulnerable to the volatility of crude oil prices, an independent and separate alternative fuel industry should be fostered to improve the substitutability of alternative fuels.

Supply Portfolio of Bioethanol in the Republic of Korea

배정환 한국경제학회 2014 The Korean Economic Review Vol.30 No.1

Despite the co-benefits of bioethanol, such as energy security, environmentalimprovement, CO2 emission reduction and development of associated industry, bioethanolblendedgasoline without subsidy is more expensive than pure gasoline in Korea. Therenewable fuel standard (RFS) can contribute to the development of a bioethanol market. However, without controlling the portions of domestic bioethanol, it is highly plausible thata new bioethanol market will be filled with imported bioethanol. If the entire supply ofbioethanol is imported, Korea can no longer expect those co-benefits. This study aims atsimulating the desirable ratios of domestic versus imported bioethanol as well as domesticversus imported feedstock for producing bioethanol in Korea by combining the marginalsocial benefit (MSB) with the marginal social cost (MSC) for bioethanol supply. MSB isderived from a choice experiment and the MSC is derived from the differences in thebioethanol production costs and the petroleum price. The simulation results show thatconsiderable portions of bioethanol should be produced domestically under the conditionthat MSB is equivalent to MSC in bioethanol production. Thus, the upcoming RFS policyshould allow for some quota on behalf of domestic bioethanol with domestic feedstock ormore credit should be given to the petroleum companies that use domestic bioethanol withdomestic feedstock.