폭염시기 인명 피해 예방을 위한 폭염특보기준 설정에 관한 연구

박종길,정우식,김은별,송정희,Park. Jong-Kil,Jung. Woo-Sik,Kim. Eun-Byul,Song. Jeong-Hui 한국방재학회 2008 한국방재학회 학술발표대회논문집 Vol.2008 No.1

Recently, occurrence frequency of natural disaster decrease but scale of damage increase remarkably by the Climate change due to global warming. Especially, extreme heat become more critical wether problem in the Korean Peninsula. But, we don`t have exact threshold about extreme heat. Therefore, to assess the influences by the extreme heat on personal injury, we analyzed statistics on the causes of the daily mortality. And we developed a threshold for extreme heat health watch warning system.

자연재해 DB를 이용한 피해항목별 취약성 분석

박종길,정우식,최효진,Park. Jong-Kil,Jung. Woo-Sik,Choi. Hyo-Jin 한국방재학회 2008 한국방재학회 학술발표대회논문집 Vol.2008 No.1

When it grasps a total property losses and relationship of damage factors, there is possibility of reducing the natural disaster damage which is a yearly repeated. Also, checking and supply to vulnerability should be presupposed. This study aims to find out a damage factor vulnerability using a natural disaster database by Park et al(2007). And added 2005 year data to database. Total 10 damage factors are deaths(person, including missing person) injury(person), victims(person), building(thousand), vessel(thousand), cultivated land(thousand), public facilities(thousand), others(thousand), total property losses(thousand). We analyzed of correlation analysis, ratio, population, area, regional character etc for damage factors.

폭염에 의해 인체가 받는 열적스트레스의 실험적 연구

박종길,정우식,김은별,송정희,Park. Jong-Kil,Jung. Woo-Sik,Kim. Eun-Byul,Song. Jeong-Hui 한국방재학회 2008 한국방재학회 학술발표대회논문집 Vol.2008 No.1

In order to examine the influences by the extreme weather changes on the human physical conditions, we need to undertake human biometeorology research such as the assesment on the extreme heat`s influences on human health. Most of the preceding studied have been found to be focused on the influences by extreme heat on the human body, they used statistics on the daily mortality. But thismethod estimate an indirectly influences by extreme heat on the human body. So, to be able to predict the possible directly influences by the extreme heat on the physical conditions. We measure thermal stress by extreme heat.

김해시 수자원관리를 위한 자연재해 현황과 피해특성분석

박종길,최효진,정우식,권태순,Park,Jong-Kil,Choi,Hyo-Jin,Jung,Woo-Sik,Gwon,Tae-Sun 한국방재학회 2007 한국방재학회 학술발표대회논문집 Vol.2007 No.1

This study aims to find the characteristics of damage and states of natural disasters at Gimhae, Gyeongsangnam-do from 1985 to 2004. Using the data of Statistical yearbook of calamities issued by the National Emergency Management Agency and Annual Climatological Report issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration. we have analyzed the cause, elements, and vulnerable regions for natural disasters. Major causes of natural disaster at Gimhae are four, such as a heavy rain, heavy rain typhoon, typhoon, storm snow, and storm. The cause of disaster recorded the most amount of damage is typhoon. The areas of Hallim-myeon, Sangdong-myeon, and Saengnim-myeon are classified the vulnerable region for the natural disasters in Gimhae. Therefore, it seems necessary to build natural disaster mitigation plan each cause of disaster to control water resources and to reduce damage for these areas.

자연재해 평가를 위한 방재기상 DB 정보

박종길,정우식,최효진,Park. Jong-Kil,Jung. Woo-Sik,Choi. Hyo-Jin 한국방재학회 2007 한국방재학회논문집 Vol.7 No.3

자연재해로부터 야기되는 피해를 줄이고 자연재해저감활동을 전개하기 위해서는 기상정보와 재해자료에 근거한 정확한 예보와 방재활동이 요구된다. 또한 사전방재활동을 위해서는 방재기상정보로의 처리가 필요하다. 이를 위하여 본 연구에서는 행정자치부에서 발행하는 통계연보와 재해연보, 중앙재해대책본부에서 발행한 최근 10년간 자연재해 피해 현황, 기상청에서 발행한 기상연보를 이용하였다. 이들 4가지 자료를 이용하여 자연재해의 원인과 피해요소, 발생빈도, 취약지역 등을 분석하였는데, 이들 자료는 피해내역과 기상현상에 대한 분류 및 용어가 일치하지 않으므로, 재해의 종류와 피해액을 비교 분석한 결과, 기상재해 원인과 피해 요소, 피해액, 피해지역 등과 같은 재해 변수를 선정하고, 재해연보를 이용하여 database를 구축하였다. 이렇게 구축된 database는 앞으로 자연재해 저감계획과 risk model을 개발하고 자연재해를 평가하는데 유용하게 쓰일 수 있다. In order to reduce the amount of damage from natural disasters and perform the natural disaster mitigation program, the prevention activities and forecasting based on meteorological parameters and disaster datas are required. In addition, it is necessary to process prevention meteorological information for prevention activities in advance. For this, we have analyzed four data, such as Statistical yearbook of calamities and Statistics Yearbook issued by the Ministry of Government Administration and Human affairs. And Annual Climatological Report issued by the Korea Meteorological Administration and Recently 10 years for natural disaster damage from the Central Disaster and Safety Countermeasures Headquarters. We analyzed the causes, elements, occurrence frequencies, and vulnerable areas of natural disaster, using the 4 disaster datas, but these datas was not consistent with their terminology and items. Through the analysis of a kind and damage of disaster, we have selected the disaster variables, such as causes and elements, the amount of damage, vulnerable areas of natural disaster, etc and made a database. This database will be used to assess the natural disasters and develop the risk model and natural disasters mitigation plan.

인명.재해 피해 저감을 위한 폭염특보기준 검토 및 보완에 관한 연구

박종길,정우식,송정희,김은별,Park. Jong-Kil,Jung. Woo-Sik,Song. Jeong-Hui,Kim. Eun-Byul 한국방재학회 2008 한국방재학회 학술발표대회논문집 Vol.2008 No.1

The extreme heat watch warning system(EHWWS) that Korea Meterological Administration carried out a preliminary from July 1, 2007, considered both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum heat index simultaneously. It was requested revision of the standard level of EHWWS to solve the difficulty of forecasting occurred when we were considering two parameters simultaneously and we did not considering heat index according to areas. For this, we established three type standard, such as type 1 that considered both daily maximum temperature and daily maximum heat index, Under the extreme heat day that daily minimum temperature was more than <TEX>$25^{\circ}C$</TEX>, type 2 that considered daily maximum temperature and type 3 that considered only daily maximum heat index and then analyzed whether these 3 types satisfies the excess mortality of the extreme heat warning or not. As a results, type 1 and 2 were more explain away excess mortality each warning step than type 3. type 2 could also apply case of not to consider heat index according to areas and had a merit for extreme heat forecasting easily because the standard was simple. Therefore we think type 2 is more suitable and reasonable standard for Korea extreme heat watch warning system(KEHWWS) than type 1. In addition, we need to develop model that exactly predicts the excess mortality will be take place during the extreme heat warning and construct KEHWWS.

태풍으로 인한 강풍 피해 추정을 위한 지상풍 산정 연구(Ⅰ)

박종길,정우식,최효진,Park. Jong-Kil,Jung. Woo-Sik,Choi. Hyo-Jin 한국방재학회 2008 한국방재학회 학술발표대회논문집 Vol.2008 No.1

Damage from typhoon disaster can be mitigated by grasping and dealing with the damage promptly for the regions in typhoon track. What is this work, a technique to analyzed dangerousness of typhoon should be presupposed. This study estimated 10m level wind speed using 700hPa wind by typhoon, referring to GPS dropwindsonde study of Franklin(2003). For 700hPa wind, 30km resolution data of Regional Data Assimilation Prediction System(RDAPS) were used. For roughness length in estimating wind of 10m level, landuse data of USGS are employed. For 10m level wind speed of Typhoon Rusa in 2002, we sampled AWS point of <TEX>$7.4\sim30km$</TEX> distant from typhoon center and compare them with observational data. The results show that the 10m level wind speed is the estimation of maximum wind speed which can appear in surface by typhoon and it cannot be compared with general hourly observational data. Wind load on domestic buildings relies on probability distributions of extreme wind speed. Hence, calculated 10m level wind speed is useful for estimating the damage structure from typhoon.

태풍 접근에 의한 바람 환경 변화가 건물에 미치는 영향

박종길(Park, Jong-Kil),정우식(Jung, Woo-Sik),최효진(Choi, Hyoj-In) 한국신재생에너지학회 2009 한국신재생에너지학회 학술대회논문집 Vol.2009 No.06

In order to reduce damage from natural disasters, prevention activities through analysis and predicting based on meteorological factor and damage data is required. Other countries already have continuously studied on natural disasters and developed reducing disasters damage. But the risk assessment model for natural disaster is not to Korea. Therefore, a previous model of hurricane, Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model(FPHLM), is the basis and is applying to domestic situation. Accordingly, this study introduces the variables selecting process because input variables should be selected under Korea present state and be used. The estimating representative damage method would be necessary along with selecting housing types representing relevant areas because estimating damage amount of all over relevant areas housing was very hard during damage estimating process. But there is no exact representative housing types in the Korea. Therefore, we select housing types applicable to risk assessment model for natural disasters representing the Korea through previous studies and literature reviews. We using ASCE 7-98(Minimum Design Loads for Buildings and Other Structures, 1998) standard which estimated wind load using 3-second gust. ASCE 7-98 divided Main Wind Force Resistance System(MWFRS) and Component and Cladding(C&C) and it estimated wind load. Therefore, we estimate wind load affected by 3-second gust of a typhoon Maemi through calculating wind load process using selected representative detached house types in the process of selecting input variables for previous disaster predict model. The result of houses damage amount is about 230 hundred million won. This values are limit the 1-story detached dwelling, 19~29pyeong(62.81~95.56 m²) of total area and flat roof. Therefore, this process is possible application to other type houses.

노선별 철도기상사고의 통계적 특성 및 사례분석

박종길(Jong-Kil Park),정우식(Woo-Sik Jung),이재수(Jae-Su Lee),김은별(Eun-Byul Kim) 한국철도학회 2011 한국철도학회논문집 Vol.14 No.1

해상기상정보의 활용도 향상을 위한 설문조사분석

박종길 ( Jong Kil Park ),정우식 ( Woo Sik Jung ),김은별 ( Eun Byul Kim ),최수진 ( Su Jin Choi ) 한국환경과학회 2011 한국환경과학회지 Vol.20 No.9

A survey of professionals employed in marine related fields was conducted on subjects related to marine meteorological forecasts and special reports. The outcome of the survey indicated that the respondents were overall satisfied with the determination of the zones related to marine meteorological forecasts and special reports and with the number of forecast factors, but in regards to the questions about specific adjustment methods, it was found that the respondents perceived a need for adjustment. In addition, although there was a high consensus among the respondents that the criteria for watch and warning in the marine special reports were suitable, they voiced the opinion that it will be necessary to implement changes in the current criteria for watch and warning in order to further improve the compatibility of the criteria. The survey found that there was a high level of utilization for the marine meteorological information provided by the Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA), and that respondents mostly acquired this information via internet and TV. On the other hand, however, the satisfaction level regarding the accuracy of the marine meteorological information was low in comparison to the utilization level. The survey regarding areas for improvement in the forecasts and special reports also indicated that the need for ``improvement in the accuracy of forecasts`` was cited most frequently.