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임종두,최경환,윤봉규 한국국방경영분석학회 2012 한국국방경영분석학회지 Vol.38 No.1
Recently, Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAVs) play a key role in battlefield. Many researchers analyzed operational characteristics of UAVs with mathematical model as well as simulation. However, previous analysis were carried out on the assumption of poisson process(Bernoulli arrival process) for stochastic events, which may not reflect the real characteristics of UAVs operations conducting with a group of 4~6UAVs. In order to accomodate the operation as a group we suggest Discrete-time Markovian Arrival Process(DMAP) in modeling shoot down process instead of Bernoulli arrival process, which reflects the correlation of individual UAVs in a group. In conclusion, we could give information regarding the UAVs operation time till shoot down numerically.