Development of Performance Prediction Models in Flexible Pavement Using Regression Analysis Method

Sung-Hee Kim,Nakseok Kim 대한토목학회 2006 KSCE journal of civil engineering Vol.10 No.2

The capability to forecast future pavement condition has been questions of common interest for the economic reason for pavement management systems and the need to develop an intelligent prioritization schedule became ever more important for the sake of efficiency. If the pavement performance prediction model can be developed based on the past pavement performance data, the remaining service lives for pavements can be forecasted. It would help to optimize the scheduling of the rehabilitation activities and to determine the funding level required to achieve a predetermined level of performance. However, the results of the previous attempts to develop general pavement condition forecasting models have not been satisfied reliable because of the difficulties of collection pavement performance data, complexity of the pavement construction situation and different properties of pavement materials. The Georgia Department of Transportation (GDOT) has used the Pavement Condition Evaluation System (PACES) to evaluate the pavement conditions for the entire highway system in Georgia annually for the past 15 years. In this paper, the asphalt pavement performance prediction models for the state highways and the interstate highways have been developed applying simple and multiple regression analysis methods using the PACES data and PACES rating. The multiple linear regression model is effective to forecast pavement performance when ratings with various AADT. If this pavement performance prediction model using multiple linear regression analysis is implemented into the Pavement Management System, it could play an important role in the decision making process for the asphalt pavement management system.

국도포장 유지보수 공법 및 시기에 따른 편익산정 방안

도명식,권수안,최승현 한국도로학회 2013 한국도로학회논문집 Vol.15 No.5

PURPOSES : This study aims at proposing the methodology for benefit evaluations in pavement maintenance methods and timings using KoPMS(Korean Pavement Management System) software which was developed for efficient pavement management. METHODS : This study classified pavement sections into 4 clusters considering AADT(Annual Average Daily Traffic) and ESAL(Equivalent Single-Axle Load) using cluster analysis and used the deterioration models in each cluster. Increased user costs due to pavement deterioration as time goes by and agent costs for maintenance were estimated. Based on deterioration model and KoPMS software,Methodology for benefit evaluation was proposed in pavement maintenance methods and with/without implementation using real pavement section data. RESULTS : This study verified that considering agent costs only would be constrained to decide pavement maintenance methods and timings, and ascertained that decision making with agent and user costs would be effective. In addition, this study revealed that pavement maintenance methods and timings can be affected by AADT and ESAL and frequent pavement maintenances can be more efficient for benefits in pavement sections with more AADT and ESAL. Also this study found that user costs would be more affected to decision making than agent costs. Moreover, Delay of conducting pavement maintenance caused increased vehicle operating costs and environmental costs because of poor conditions of pavements. CONCLUSIONS: This study proposed LCCA and benefit estimation methodology of pavement with considering agent and user costs. The results of this study can be used for baseline data of efficient pavement asset management.

Angular Fuzzy Logic Application for Pavement Maintenance and Rehabilitation Strategy in Ohio

Seongdong Wee,Nakseok Kim 대한토목학회 2006 KSCE journal of civil engineering Vol.10 No.2

Pavement deterioration can lead to pavement distress, which then causes many problems to the pavement structure as well as to the pavement itself. The continued deterioration of highway pavements has led to recognition of the importance of pavement maintenance and rehabilitation (M&R) strategy in pavement management. During the maintenance and rehabilitation of pavements, experts' experiential knowledge plays an important role. This paper introduces an approach which employs an expert system and fuzzy modus ponens deduction technique to automate a pavement management system so as to produce consistent and reliable strategies for maintenance, rehabilitation, and repair of pavement.

Feasibility Analysis of Current Pavement Condition Monitoring Technologies: 3D Pavement Profiler and Infographic Pavement Management Program Using the Semi-Circular Bending Fracture Test

조영오,Augusto Cannone Falchetto,문기훈,손덕수 한국도로학회 2023 한국도로학회논문집 Vol.25 No.5

PURPOSES : The evaluation of the low-temperature performance of an asphalt mixture is crucial for mitigating transverse thermal cracking and preventing traffic accidents on expressways. Engineers in pavement agencies must identify and verify the pavement sections that require urgent management. In early 2000, the research division of the Korea Expressway Corporation developed a three-dimensional (3D) pavement condition monitoring profiler vehicle (3DPM) and an advanced infographic (AIG) highway pavement management system computer program. Owing to these efforts, the management of the entire expressway network has become more precise, effective, and efficient. However, current 3DPM and AIG technologies focus only on the pavement surface and not on the entire pavement layer. Over the years, along with monitoring, further strengthening and verification of the feasibility of current 3DPM and AIG technologies by performing extensive mechanical tests and data analyses have been recommended. METHODS : First, the pavement section that required urgent care was selected using the 3DPM and AIG approaches. Second, asphalt mixture cores were acquired from the specified section, and a low-temperature fracture test, semi- circular bending (SCB) test, was performed. The mechanical parameters, energy-release rate, and fracture toughness were computed and compared. RESULTS : As expected, the asphalt mixture cores acquired from the specified pavement section ( poor condition – bad section) exhibited negative fracture performances compared to the control section (good section). CONCLUSIONS : The current 3DPM and AIG approaches in KEC can successfully evaluate and analyze selected pavement conditions. However, more extensive experimental studies and mathematical analyses are required to further strengthen and upgrade current pavement analysis approaches.

Sustainable Management Framework for Transportation Assets: Application to Urban Pavement Networks

Cristina Torres-Machi,Cristina Torres-Machi,Pablo Godoy,Alondra Chamorro,Claudio Mourgues,Carlos Videla 대한토목학회 2018 KSCE JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING Vol.22 No.10

Transportation assets play a crucial role in the development of society, being the backbone of socio-economic development but also a key contributor to climate change. Transportation asset management systems include a set of tools to support agencies in the decision on which infrastructure of a network should be preserved, maintained and/or rehabilitated. However, the evaluation of these networks has traditionally focused on economic and technical aspects of interurban networks. Considering the direct impacts on the evolution of social and natural environments, management of these assets needs to be sustainable. This article proposes a methodology for the sustainable management of transportation assets, by integrating technical, economic, environmental, social and political aspects in the Life Cycle-Assessment of a network. The methodology proposes a framework that integrates these aspects in the various components and processes considered in a management system. It incorporates a Geographic Information System as the main platform to pursue the socio-political analysis based on geographical referencing of formalized variables. The proposed framework is applied to a case study for the management of an urban pavement network. Outcomes demonstrate that it is possible to integrate sustainable aspects, despite their diverse nature, in a management system supported by a Geographic Information System.

한국형 포장관리시스템을 활용한 장수명 아스팔트 포장의 경제성 분석

도명식,권수안,백종은,최승현 한국도로학회 2016 한국도로학회논문집 Vol.18 No.4

PURPOSES : Long-life asphalt pavements are used widely in developed countries. In order to be able to devise an effective maintenance strategy for such pavements, in this study, we evaluated the performance of the long-life asphalt pavements constructed along the national highways in South Korea. Further, an economic evaluation of the long-life asphalt pavements was performed based on a life-cycle cost analysis. We aimed to devise a model for evaluating the performance of long-life asphalt pavements using the national highway pavement management system (PMS) database as well as for analyzing the economic feasibility of such pavements, in order to promote their use in South Korea. METHODS : The maintenance history and pavement performance data were obtained from the national highway PMS database. The pavement performances for a total of 292 sections of 10 lanes (5 northbound lanes and 5 eastbound lanes) of national highways were used in this study. Models to predict the performances of hot mix asphalt (HMA) and long-life asphalt pavements under two distinct traffic conditions were developed using a simple regression method. Further, the economic feasibility of long-life asphalt pavements was evaluated using the Korea Pavement Management System (KoPMS). RESULTS : We developed service-life prediction models based on the traffic volume and the equivalent of single-axle load and found that long-life asphalt pavements have service lives 50% longer than those of HMA pavements. Further, the results of the economic analysis showed that long-life asphalt pavements are superior in terms of various economic indexes, including user cost, delay cost, total cost, and user benefits, even though their maintenance cost is higher than that of HMA pavements. A comparison of the economic feasibilities of the various groups showed that group A is superior to HMA pavements in all aspects except in terms of the maintenance criterion (crack 20% or higher) as per the NPV index. However, the long-life asphalt pavements in group B were superior in terms of the maintenance criterion (crack 25% or higher) regardless of the economic feasibility. CONCLUSIONS: The service life of long-life asphalt pavements was found to be approximately 50% longer than that of HMA pavements, regardless of the traffic volume characteristics. The economic feasibility of long-life asphalt pavements was evaluated based on the KoPMS. The results of the economic analysis were the following: long-life asphalt pavements are exceptional in terms of almost all factors, such as user cost, delay cost, total cost, and user benefit; however, the exception is the maintenance cost. Further, the economic feasibility of the long-life asphalt pavements in group B was found to be better than that of the HMA pavements (crack 25% or higher).

서울시도 SPI를 활용한 서초구 도로포장상태 평가모형 개발

이상염(Sang-Yum Lee),박미연(Mi-Youn Park),김균태(Kyoon-Tai Kim) 한국산학기술학회 2016 한국산학기술학회논문지 Vol.17 No.11

서울시도의 경우 자치구 관할 도로에 비해 관리상의 중요도에 차이가 있고, 교통량 및 포장두께가 다르며 도로파손으로 인한 포장상태 저하율이 상이하기 때문에 기존 서울시도의 엄격한 관리기준을 자치구도에 적용하는 것은 바람직하지 않다. 본 연구에서는 서초구의 한정된 도로포장 유지보수 예산으로 보다 합리적이고 효율적인 포장상태 평가 및 관리를 위해 서울시도 PMS(Pavement Management System) 체계인 SPI(Seoul Pavement Index) 평가방법에 기반 하여 자치구도 포장평가방안을 제시하였다. 기존 시도SPI의 주요 변수인 균열율(Crack), 소성변형(Rutting), 평탄성(IRI)에 대한 관리기준을 구청 도로관리 기준에 맞도록 완화시키고, 제안한 각각의 포장파손 공용성 모형에 적용하여 포장상태계수를 산정하였으며, 또한, 설계시 공용성과 실제 공용성과의 차이점과 함께 준공 시 도로포장 상태도 반영되도록 수정하였다. 최종적으로 서초구 포장종합평가 모형식은 서울시의 모형식과 동일하게 각각의 공용성능 항목인 균열, 소성변형, 평탄성을 동등한 비율로 설정하여 도로포장의 전체 공용성에 영향을 주도록 설정된 제안 SPI를 개발하였다. 따라서 시도SPI보다 완화된 기준 및 설계와 시공현장상태를 반영한 구도SPI를 활용한다면 보다 합리적인 서초구도 포장의 합리적인 유지보수를 시행할 수 있을 것이다. Adapting the maintenance criteria of Seoul City pavement is not applicable for borough pavement due to differences between the pavement of Seoul city and the borough, such as priority of maintenance, traffic volume, thickness of pavement, and pavement deterioration rate by distresses. To develop an efficient and reasonable evaluation method of the Seocho borough pavement condition within a limited budget, this study suggested the borough pavement condition evaluation model based on the PMS (Pavement Management System) of Seoul Metropolitan SPI (Seoul Pavement Index). The SPI was modified to predict the remaining life and determine the proper maintenance method for the pavement in Seocho borough. This was suggested to reflect the rate of the designed performance life and field performance life of pavement as well as the pavement condition at the stage of the completion of construction. Primary variables, such as crack, rutting and IRI in the final model affect the overall performance life due to their even composition. Therefore, the suggested model considering the lowered criteria, design performance factor, and construction factor can be used for the more efficient maintenance of Seocho borough pavement.

이미지프로세싱기법을 이용한 포장이미지의 특성과 노이즈제거를 위한 알고리즘 선정

김정용,조윤호 한국도로학회 2001 한국도로학회논문집 Vol.3 No.4

포장유지관리시스템에 있어서 포장표면 정보는 가장 중요한 인자 중의 하나이다. 따라서 일찍부터 선진국들은 자국의 현실에 알맞은 포장표면 조사장비와 프로그램을 개발하여 사용하고 있다. 국내의 경우 고가의 외국장비와 프로그램을 수입하여 사용하고 있으나 많은 문제점으로 인해 국산 장비와 포장표면 분석 프로그램 개발의 필요성이 대두되고 있다. 본 연구는 아스팔트 포장표면 분석 프로그램 개발을 위한 선행연구이다. 본 연구의 초점은 이미지프로세싱 기술을 이용한 포장표면 분석 원리를 규명하고 포장이미지의 특성 및 포장이미지의 노이즈를 효과적으로 제거하기 위한 알고리즘을 실험하는 것이다. ARAN(Automatic Road Analyser)의 균열맵을 분석 샘플로 이용하였으며, 포장이미지의 통계적인 특성, 히스토그램, FFT(Fast Fourier Transform)영상을 분석하여 일반적인 이미지에 비해 노이즈와 고주파 성분이 많고, 배경과 균열 분리가 어려운 특성을 규명하였다. 또한 노이즈 제거를 위해 다양한 필터를 적용하여 실험한 결과 마스크 크기가 3X3인 중간값 필터가 가장 효과가 좋은 것으로 나타났다. Pavement distresses are one of the most important data for pavement management systems. Inspection machines and its related programs have been used for operating tools in PMS developed in advanced countries. In Korea imported machines and programs for the length price ale utilized to get information of pavement condition from the field This study is launched for developing the program which can detect cracks on asphalt pavement due to many drawbacks in current PMS operation such as improper maintenance work and long resting period when it was broken. The focus of this study is to define principles to analyze pavement surface with digital image processing techniques, to test property of pavement images and to suggest an algorithm that reduces noises at test. To test images, the camera attached on the Automatic Road Analyser(ARAN) was used. Through the FFT images, histogram and statistical values of pavement images, it was found that the images had many noises with high-frequency components against general images, and it was difficult to subdivide pavement images into background or crack. Through several testing with various filters for noise reduction a 3X3 median filter was suggested to reduce noises effectively.

강원도 포장관리시스템 구축 방안

이혜교,임경재 강원대학교 농업생명과학연구원 2023 강원 농업생명환경연구 Vol.35 No.4

This study aimed proposes application methods that serve as technical alternatives for a Pavement Management System (PMS) that reflects road management characteristics in Gangwon-do to achieve provincial road PMS. After the rapid growth of Korean road facilities in the 1970s and 1980s, the need for a maintenance budget has been emphasized due to aging infrastructure. Consequently, a proactive approach for pavement preservation, the PMS, was introduced. However, local governments managing provincial roads are experiencing difficulties in constructing and operating the PMS. To resolve these issues, this study analyzed the composition and operation methods of the PMS in Seoul City and National roads. Using these results, we suggested proposed developed solutions to challenges such as database construction, professional manpower and organization, budget and manpower shortages, and the absence of decision support systems that fail to reflect local characteristics budget and manpower. These results can assist local autonomous entities, such as Gangwon-do, in performing efficient road maintenance with limited budget and manpower. Furthermore, it the proposed system construction method resolves the existing PMS problems and enhances accessibility by utilizing the latest ICT technology, aiming which will contribute to establishing a future-oriented local road management system.

대규모 보수공사를 위한 고속도로 아스팔트 포장의 대표구간 선정

김하영,김동혁,최기효,정진훈 한국도로학회 2021 한국도로학회논문집 Vol.23 No.1

PURPOSES : The type and degree of structural conditions and influencing factors distributed across representative sections should be similar to those distributed across entire sections as the representative sections have been predominantly used for developing performance prediction models, which substitute entire sections of road pavement. Therefore, a logic that selects the representative sections with similar distributions of structural conditions and the influencing factors with those of entire expressway asphalt pavement sections requires development. METHODS : The logic developed in this study to select the representative sections of asphalt pavements comprised three steps. First, the data on the structural conditions of the pavement and the influencing climate conditions and pavement materials were collected and organized. Consequently, in the second step, the candidate sections were selected, with the severity of the structural conditions of the pavement distributed widely and evenly. Finally, in addition to the widely and evenly distributed pavement conditions, the representative sections with climatic conditions and pavement materials were selected. RESULTS : A total of 6,352 ordinary asphalt pavement sections and 596 composite asphalt pavement sections were selected as entire expressway asphalt pavement sections and the data were collected and organized according to the logic developed in this study. Three times the representation sections were selected as candidate sections and, finally, 85 sections were selected as representative sections. The distribution of structural conditions and influencing climate conditions and pavement materials in the representative sections were similar to those in the entire sections. In addition, the representative sections were spread evenly across the country. CONCLUSIONS : The sections presenting similar distributions of structural conditions and the influencing factors of entire expressway asphalt pavement sections could be selected in this study. Using the representative sections selected in this study, a remodeling index model will be developed for predicting the asphalt pavement sections that require large-scale repair.