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        머신러닝 기반 한계기업 예측모형에 관한 연구: 3개년 간 호텔 재무비율을 중심으로

        이규태 한국관광연구학회 2023 관광연구저널 Vol.37 No.1

        This study aimed at 5-star hotels in Seoul, Gyeonggi, and Incheon to determine the predictive rate and performance evaluation of marginal companies using classification prediction models like logistic regression, support vector machine (SVM), neural network, decision tree, and Adaboost modeling by setting the financial ratio for the three years from 2018 to 2020 as an explanatory variable. A total of 14 financial ratios related to growth, profitability, stability, and activity indicators of 22 hotels were used for the empirical analysis of the study. In addition, after verifying the significance of the variables to set a model that can be classified as marginal and normal companies, nine financial ratio variables were finally selected in 2018, seven in 2019, and eight in 2020. The results of the empirical analysis are as follows. First, since this study focuses on the predictive model of marginal hotels, the predictive rates are important. It can be seen that the predictive rate of marginal companies using the confusion matrix is relatively low compared to normal hotels, and is increasing over time. This means that the financial health of hotels has deteriorated due to COVID-19. Second, after checking the performance evaluation indicators of each model by year, the logistic regression model was found to be the highest of all performance evaluation indicators, and was presented in the order of support vector machine and neural network. In particular, when it comes to AUC and accuracy, all three of the above models were shown to exceed 90%. Since the results of such an analysis can effectively grasp the characteristics of marginal companies, they can be used as a basis for rational judgment to prevent the financial distress of hotels in advance.

      • KCI등재

        비정형 빅데이터를 활용한 호텔 패키지 상품에 대한 고객 인식 조사: 코로나 19 팬데믹 기간

        이규태 한국관광연구학회 2023 관광연구저널 Vol.37 No.2

        This study performed a big data analysis using text mining to identify trends among customers regarding the use of hotel packages under the ongoing COVID-19 situation. To this end, Textom, a textual data batch solution program, was used to derive keywords related to hotel packages through Naver, Google, and Daum. The collection period was set from September 2020 to August 2022, a period when COVID-19 spread worldwide. A total of 10,749 keywords were derived, and the final 70 primary keywords were used in the empirical analysis of this study through the purification process. First, frequency and TF-IDF analysis presented in order: Seoul hotel, product, hokangs, and pool. Next, after performing the centrality analysis, the connection centrality was shown in the order of: Seoul hotel, product, hokangs, pool, central proximity, was reservation on Naver.com, Myeongdong, glad hotel, maximum discount. The intermediary centrality was shown in the order of: discount, pool, reservation, accommodation, and event. Finally, after performing a CONCOR analysis that rearranged and grouped highly correlated words, a total of four groups were found: package reservation attributes, package use plans, hotel and regional selection attributes, and hotel package product attributes. Through these analyses, we identified customer trends and key components related to hotel packages. This study also suggests directions for future research related to hotel package trends and provides implications for the implementation of competitive marketing strategies.

      • KCI등재

        국제지역연구로서 중국학의 방법론에 대한 고찰

        이규태 한국중국문화학회 2016 中國學論叢 Vol.0 No.49

        In general, International area studies integrates all the issues including culture, history, politics, and society, focusing on a certain international area like China. Therefore, this study requires comprehensive analysis capability for wide fields such as culture, history, politics, economy etc. about a certain area. Accordingly, when compared to study methodologies requested by single academic category like existing politics, economics, cultural studies, historical studies etc., it would be natural that this requires more comprehensive, interdisciplinary thinking. But limitation of study method in international area studies including sinology has always become an important issue in the study realm - related scholars mainly quoted methodology of existing academic studies because independent study methodology for International area studies is still poor. Due to such limitation of methodology, scholars with critical view in the nations where International area studies including sinology are comparatively active have discussed problems of their academic study, and suggested main issue of limitation as an independent academic studies. In Korea, International area study actively started after middle 1990s, so it can be said that study on its study methodology just actively started. In the body, the author analyzed problems of study methodology in international area studies including sinology discussed until now. Based on its results, the study intended to discuss possibility of study methodology which can overcome issue of study methodology under going and can bring more objective study results, considering integrated and interdisciplinary aspects of international area study.

      • KCI등재

        임야가격의 현실화율 영향요인 연구- 경기 광주의 임야 거래사례를 중심으로 -

        이규태 한국국토정보공사 2023 지적과 국토정보 Vol.53 No.2

        This study empirically analyzed the determinants of the assessment ratio (hereinafter ’AR’) based on a total of 2,129 sales cases of forests in Gwangju, Gyeonggi-do. The main findings of this study through multiple regression analysis are summarized as follows. First, this study shows that regional characteristics have significantly different effects on the AR of forest land prices. Specifically, there was a significant difference in the AR depending on the location of the parcel by sub-region and the ratio of residential area, and the higher the number of development plans in progress, the more likely the officially assessed land price will be formed close to the sale price. Second, this study analyzed that location characteristics such as the proximity of the inner and outer center of the jurisdiction and traffic accessibility had a significant influence on the determination of the AR. Third, this study identified significant differences in AR depending on detailed factors such as planning management areas, production management areas, conservation areas for mountain, conservation areas for nature, and restricted development areas as land use and regulatory characteristics of forest lands. Fourth, this study found that land characteristics are a significant factor influencing the AR as an individual factor in forest land. 본 연구는 경기 광주의 임야 총 2,129건의 거래사례를 바탕으로 현실화율의 영향요인을 규명하였다. 다중회귀분석을 통해 나타난 본 연구의 주요 연구결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 본 연구는 지역특성이 임야가격의 현실화율에 유의적인 상이한 영향을 미친다는 것을 보여주고 있다. 구체적으로 대상 필지의 하위 행정구역상 위치, 택지지역 면적비율에 따라 현실화율에 유의적인 차이가 존재했으며, 진행 중인 개발사업 수가 많을수록 공시지가가 거래가격에 근접한 수준으로 형성될 가능성이 높게 나타났다. 둘째, 본 연구는 관내·외 중심지 인접성, 교통접근성 등의 입지특성이 현실화율 결정에 유의적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 셋째, 본 연구는 임야의 이용규제특성으로 용도지역상 관리지역, 보전산지, 자연보전권역, 개발제한구역 등의 법적·제도적 이용규제나 행위제한에 따라 현실화율에 유의적인 차이가 존재한다는 것을 확인하였다. 넷째, 본 연구는 임야의 개별적 요인인 토지특성이 현실화율에 유의적인 영향요인으로 나타났다.

      • 중국에서 도시문제의 학문적 접근경향 : 北京學을 중심으로

        이규태 서울시립대학교 서울학연구소 2001 서울학연구 Vol.- No.17

        This paper analyzes Chinese scientific approaches to municipal problems. Since 1980, interest in municipal science has been growing greatly as the rapid urbanization was progressing by the Opening and Reformation Policy. This paper examines the current state of Chinese urbanization and the tendency of scientific approaches to its municipal problems, and, as a practical example, analyzes achievements and problems of the Beijing studies. In Chapter 2 examines the current state of Chinese rapid urbanization and its serious problems. In Chapter 3 surveys the development of Chinese municipal science and discusses achievement though analyzing books and research papers for the problems related Chinese cities. In Chapter 4 deals with the Beijing studies which is now at the starting point as a part of Chinese municipal science. In this chapter, discusses the institutes and the present situation for researching Beijing problems, the formation and the achievement of the Beijing studies, the efforts for scientific approaches and methods as a municipal studies. Finally, In Chapter 5 of the conclusion proposes several suggestions. One of them is that we should have much interest in the Beijing studies as the comparative object for developing the Seoul studies.

      • KCI등재

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