기후변화가 농업부문에 미치는 경제적 영향 분석

김창길(Chang-Gil Kim),이상민(Sang-Min Lee) 한국농업경제학회 2009 農業經濟硏究 Vol.50 No.2

This paper measures economic impact of climate change on crop farming in Korea. Using cross-sectional data on climate, soil, farmland prices, and other economic and geophysical data, we employ a Ricardian approach to measure the relationship between climate and the farmland value. The study carries out a marginal impact analysis of increasing temperature and changing precipitation. The empirical analysis reveals that a rise of 1℃ in the annual average temperature (12.4℃ ) brought down the price of farmland per ha by approximately KRW 14.5~19.2 million, equivalent to a 5.7~7.5% drop in the average farmland price. On the other hand, an increase of 1㎜ in the monthly average precipitation (110.8㎜) was estimated to increase the farmland price per ha by KRW 330~360 thousand. In general, the results show that the temperature component of global warming is much important than precipitation. Findings call for monitoring and early warn-ing system of climate change and dissemination of information to farmers to encourage adaptations to climate change.

4분과 : 미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 우리나라 소나무 임부의 재적 추정

김문일 ( Moon Il Kim ),이우균 ( Woo Kyun Lee ),( Gui Shan Gui ),( Hang Nan Yu ),최솔이 ( Sol E Choi ),김창길 ( Chang Gil Kim ),권태성 한국임학회 2014 한국산림과학회지 Vol.103 No.1

본 연구는 우리나라 주요 수종인 소나무림을 대상으로 RCP(Representative Concentration Pathway)8.5 시나리오에 따른 임목 재적의 시·공간적 변이를 예측하기 위해 수행되었다. 전국 규모의 예측을 위해 5차임상도와 국가산림자원조사 자료를 이용하였으며, 기후와 공간의 변이가 임목 생장에 미치는 영향을 반영하기 위해 기상 및 지형인자를 반영한 생장모형을 적용하였다. 모형의 검증을 위해 시, 도별 산림통계와 모형 결과를 비교한 결과, 비교적 높은 적합도를 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화를 고려하였을 때, 소나무림의 임분 재적은 현재 131 m3/ha에서2050년에는 212.42 m3/ha까지 증가 할 것으로 예측되었으며, 현재의 기후가 유지될 경우에는 221.92 m3/ha까지 증가할 것으로 예측되었다. 기후변화의 영향으로 인해 일부 고산지대를 제외한 대부분의 지역에서 소나무림의 생장률이감소할 것으로 예측되었으며, 특히 해안지역과 남부지역에서 생장률의 감소가 클 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구결과를 통해 기후변화가 소나무림 생장에 미치는 영향을 시·공간에 따라 정량화 할 수 있었으며, 이는 기후변화 적응을 고려한 산림관리 및 시업계획을 수립하는데 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것이다. The main purpose of this study is to measure spatio-temporal variation of forest tree volume basedon the RCP(Representative Concentration Pathway) 8.5 scenario, targeting on Pinus densiflora forests which is the main tree species in South Korea. To estimate nationwide scale, 5th forest type map and National Forest Inventory data were used. Also, to reflect the impact of change in place and climate on growth of forest trees, growth model reflecting the climate and topography features were applied. The result of the model validation, which compared the result of the model with the forest statistics of different cities and provinces, showed a high suitability. Considering the continuous climate change, volume of Pinus densiflora forest is predicted to increase from 131 m3/ha at present to 212.42 m3/ha in the year of 2050. If the climate maintains as the present, volumeis predicted to increase to 221.92 m3/ha. With the climate change, it is predicted that most of the region, except for some of the alpine region, will have a decrease in growth rate of Pinus densiflora forest. The growth rate of Pinus densiflora forest will have a greater decline, especially in the coastal area and the southern area. With the result of this study, it will be possible to quantify the effect of climate change on the growth of Pinusdensiflora forest according to spatio-temporal is possible. The result of the study can be useful in establishing the forest management practices, considering the adaptation of climate change.

곰솔(Pinus thunbergii )에서 소나무재선충병 예방을 위한 나무주사용 약제선발

이상명(Sang Myeong Lee),김동수(Dong Soo Kim),이상길(Sang Gil Lee1),박남창(Nam Chang Park),이동운(Dong Woon Lee) 한국농약과학회 2009 농약과학회지 Vol.13 No.4

울형성 심부전증에서 심혈관계 보상기전의 지표로서 저나트륨혈증의 의의에 관한 연구

김경환,김미경,이우형,홍사석,신길자,장일중 대한내과학회 1986 대한내과학회지 Vol.31 No.3

In patient with congestive heart failure, it is well known that the sympatho-adrenal system and the renin angiotensin system are activated to compensate for the reduction of cardiac output and the redistribution of blood flow. Although Lilly, et al. (1984) and Francis, et al. (1985) have insisted that the induction of these circulatory compensation mechanism by pastura1 changes is closely related to the concentration of plama sodium in congestive heart failure, it is still controversial. Thus, in an effort to clarify this hypothesis, present study was designed to determine the relationship between the existing sodium concentration in plasma and the changes of the plasma catecholamine concentration and renin activity during postural alterations in patients with congestive heart fai1ure and normal subjects. Ten patients with congestive heart failure who had been admitted to the Ewha Womans University Hospital from May, 1985 to July, 1985 and five normal volunteers were chosen. Patients with more than one year history of congestive heart failure belonging to class 3 or 4 as the criteria set by the New York Heart Association have been selected for this study. Among these ten patients, 5(3 males and 2 females) had low plasma sodium concentration(below 135mEq/l) and 5(3 males and 2 females) had normal plasma sodium concentration(above 135mEq/l). The observed results are as follows: 1) In the normal subjects, the observed plasma renin activity was 1,2±0.4ng/ml/hr and the concentrations of norepinephrine and epinephrine were 177.5±27 and 150.0±8pg/ml, respectively, at supine position. However, these values were increased by about 2 times by changing to upright position. 2) In patients with hyponatremic congestive heart failure, the values of plasma renin activity and catecholamine levels were significantly higher than those patients having normonatremia. 3) The increase in the plasma renin activity and catecholamin levels induced by upright position were minimal in patients with congestive heart failure having normonatremia. 4) However, in patients with hyponatremic congestive heart failure, the plasma renin activity and the levels of plasma catecholamines were not altered, or rather decreased, by the same postural changes. Based on the results, the levels of plasma sodium concentration in patients with congestive heart failure could provide an index for the induction of circulatory compensation mechaniams and may have important significance in determining the severity and prognosis of the disease. Particularly in the congestive heart failure patients with hyponatremia, as the circulatory compensation mechanism appear to be operating at maximum already, they would not be able to utilize the reflex compensation mechanism inducible with the changes of body position.

미래 기후변화 시나리오에 따른 우리나라 소나무와 참나무 임분의 탄소흡수량 추정

김문일 ( Moon Il Kim ),이우균 ( Woo Kyun Lee ),최솔이 ( Sol E Choi ),유동훈 ( Dong Hoon Ryu ),김창길 ( Chang Gil Kim ) 한국임학회 2014 산림과학 공동학술대회 논문집 Vol.2014 No.-

본 연구는 우리나라 주요 수종인 소나무와 참나무를 대상으로 RCP 8.5 시나리오와 산림 생장모형, 제5차 임상도를 이용하여 2020년에서 2050년까지의 미래 탄소 흡수량 변화를 예측하고, 이에 따라 두 수종의 미래 탄소 흡수량의 감소가 나타나는 취약 지역을 예측하기 위하여 수행되었다. 시 도별 산림통계와 모형의 결과를 비교한 결과, 비교적 높은 적합도를 보이는 것으로 나타났다. 이에 본 모형을 이용하여 추정한 탄소 흡수량은 현재와 기후가 같다고 가정하였을 때, 2050년 소나무 4.01(std. 1.42), 참나무는 4.38 tCO2/ha/year(std. 1.42)으로 2020년과 비교하여 각각 18.7%, 27.6% 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화를 고려하였을 때에는 2050년 소나무 3.00(std. 2.42), 참나무가 5.82(std. 2.51) tCO2/ha/year으로 나타났다. 본 연구를 통하여 소나무와 참나무의 탄소 흡수량 변화를 추정할 수 있었으며, 이를 이용하여 미래 탄소 흡수 기능 취약지역을 분석 할 수 있었다. 이는 향후, 기후변화 적응을 위한 산림 분야의 정책 및 산림 관리 계획에 있어 기초 자료로서 활용될 수 있을 것이다. The purpose of this study was to predict of the carbon sequestration about Quercus spp. and P.densiflora 2020 to 2050 and vulnerable area such as decrease carbon sequestration by using RCP 8.5 scenarios and forest growth model, 5th forest type map. The comparison result between the province forest statistic data and predict data which is data from growth model showed a high suitability. The carbon sequestration was estimated using by two assumption. one of the result, which was assumed the future climate same current climate was appeared P.densiflora 4.01 (std. 1.42), Quercus spp. 4.38tCO2/ha (std. 1.42) in 2050. Each result decrease 18.7, 27.6 percent compared with 2020. another result, which is assumed the climate change in the future was appeared P. densiflora 3.00 (std. 2.42), Quercus spp. 5.82 (std. 2.51) tCO2/ha. Through this study we predicted not only carbon sequestration change but also, the vulnerable area about carbon sequestration function. The result of the study can be useful for the adaptation policy and forest management of climate change.

냉기치료후 슬관절강내의 온도변화

백승석,최기섭,박시복,이상건,김영호,양길태,장윤희 大韓再活醫學會 1998 Annals of Rehabilitation Medicine Vol.22 No.2

냉기 치료에 따른 둔근에서의 피부 및 근육내 온도 변화

정우성,김미정,박시복,이상건,김영호,양길태,장윤희 大韓再活醫學會 1998 Annals of Rehabilitation Medicine Vol.22 No.2

엔드밀을 이용한 곡면모델 NC절삭경로의 가공성능향상에 관한 연구

이상기,맹희영,서창길 서울산업대학교 산업대학원 1999 大學院論文集 Vol.6 No.-

A demand for the machining of aesthetic fuctional sculptured surfaces increased nowerdays owing to the adavnces in CAD/CAM technology. A comparative evaluation of machining performance is analyzed in this study between a conventional machining methodoly unsing ball endmill and a new strategy using flat endmill under the criterion of machining efficiency, and its quantitative results are used to scheme the further recommendable cutter paths for the machining of curved surfaces. A commercial CC-Cartesian method using at ?? 5.2 system is applied as a representative conventional machining methodology, and an another method named Steepest Directed Tree (a SDT mehod) is applied as a new methodology using flat endmill which is machining the curved surfaces along the steepest paths on them. The curved surface models are tested to prototype the practical workpieces, and it is investigated the evaluation criteria quantitatively, such as surface roughness, total length of cutter paths, fillet radius of uncut volume at intersection regions of material, cutting state, and the total machining time.

납기와 조립가능 시점을 고려한 병렬기계의 스케쥴링을 위한 발견적 해법

이동현,이경근,김재균,박창권,장길상 한국경영과학회 2000 한국경영과학회지 Vol.25 No.2

In this paper, we consider an n-job, non-preemptive and identical parallel machine scheduling problem of minimizing the sum of earliness and tardiness with different release times and due dates. In the real world, this problem is more realistic than the problems that release times equal to zero or due dates are common. The problem is proved to be NP-complete. Thus, a heuristic is developed to solve this problem. To illustrate its suitability, a proposed heuristic is compared with a genetic algorithm for a large number of randomly generated test problems. computational results show the effectiveness and efficiency of proposed heuristic. In summary, the proposed heuristic provides good solutions than genetic algorithm when the problem size is large.

작업의 특성에 종속되는 병렬기계의 일정계획을 위한 발견적 기법

이동현,이경근,김재균,박창권,장길상 한국경영과학회 2000 經營 科學 Vol.17 No.1

In the real world, situations that some jobs need be processed only on certain limited machines frequently occur due to the capacity restrictions of machines such as tools, fixtures, or material handing equipment in this paper, we consider n-job, non-preemptive and m parallel machines scheduling problem having two machines group The objective function is to minimize the sum of earliness and tardiness with different release times and due dates The problems is formulated as a mixed integer programming problem The problem is proved to be NP-complete Thus, a heuristic is developed to solve this problem To illustrate its suitability and efficiency, a proposed heuristic is compared with a genetic algorithm and tabu search for a large number of randomly generated test problems in ship engine assembly shop Through the experimental results, it is showed that the proposed algorithm yields good solutions efficiently