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좋은 위기(Good Crisis)를 활용한 한국의 성장공식 혁신 전략
임영훈(Younghun Lim),박찬수(ChanSoo Park),정일영(Ilyoung Jung),오윤환(Yoonhwan Oh),추수진(soojin Choo),김가은(Gaeun Kim),이아람(Aram Lee) 과학기술정책연구원 2021 정책연구 Vol.- No.-
We are facing economic and social crises due to the low-growth global economy, the New Normal, the worsening struggle for hegemony between the US and China, accelerating climate change, and prolonged COVID-19. How to recognize, prepare for, and utilize crises is critical to future growth. Therefore, in this study, the perspective of ‘growth’ is reviewed and growth strategies are sought. This study is divided into two main categories. First, it explores and proposes growth engines (industry and technology) considering existing growth engines (market competitiveness, technological competitiveness, job creation effects, investment conditions) and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) perspectives, and finally A plan for fostering growth engines was proposed. Second, the current status and problems of organizational issues (promotion system) as an implementation basis for the stable implementation of growth engine policies and legal system issues (promotional legislation) as a basis for implementation were reviewed, and improvement measures were suggested. Chapter 1 introduced the background and necessity of the study, the purpose of the study, and the structure and method of the study. In Chapter 2, the preceding literature on crisis and growth and domestic and foreign policy trends were reviewed. In Chapter 3, the ‘Green Economy’, ‘Digital Economy’ and ‘Bio Economy’ were divided into promising growth engines (industry, technology) candidates for each economy, and a survey was conducted on related experts. Through the survey results, a promising growth engine for each module was finally proposed. Chapter 4 analyzed the growth issues (current status, issues, etc.) for each module, and suggested policy nurturing plans for each growth engine in terms of technology, industry (company), legal system, and manpower. Chapter 5 dealt with organizational and legal system issues separately from the final proposed individual growth engines. Chapter 6 draws general conclusions and implications.
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최종화(Jonghwa Choi),임영훈(Younghun Lim),정일영(Ilyoung Jung),윤정섭(Jungsub Yoon),윤정현(Junghyun Yoon),진설아(Seola Jin),김가은(Gaeun Kim),김단비(Danbi Kim),이예원(Yewon Lee),추수진(Soojin Choo),박정호(Jeongho Park),김지은(Jieun Kim) 과학기술정책연구원 2020 정책연구 Vol.- No.-
This study examines future scenarios from various angles particularly focusing on staggering incidents profoundly impacting on our today’s society. It is axiomatic that this study has a significant implication in consideration of recent unexpected and unpredictable changes in our lives, triggered by the global COVID-19 pandemic since its first outbreak in December 2019. The proliferation of COVID-19 worldwide has shown radical changes such as boarder closures. Thus, it is inevitable for the whole countries to find out alternatives to various public services and a way of life we took for granted before the pandemic. Despite these warning signs from all levels of society, we have been losing many values. For instance, our transition to global economy enabled easier interactions between people from different societies in a cost-efficient way, and it led to the better standard of life with the increase of efficiency. However, such easiness of mobility has now become a threat with a high level of contagiousness in the global pandemic. For this reason, people cannot help pioneering diversion routes to continue their routine and existing work practice. Finally, contactless economy has been the new norm across the entire organizations. Such change has accelerated ‘digital transformation’, and it is highly likely to be continued to more deliberate and disruptive innovations. Given that movement, our future society can be predicted as the era of ‘New Normal’ beyond traditional forms of transaction. At this point in time this study envisages our future images by developing future scenarios caused by the COVID-19. In order to predict the changes in the future, we focus on the pandemic-driven megatrends, and discuss whether or not the expected future can be realized. As identified in 「STEPI Outlook」 published in 2020, our future research method follows that the image of the future can be realized through the notion of ‘Created future’ - not by ‘Accepted future’.
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정일영(Ilyoung Jung),정미애(Miae Jung),윤정섭(Jungsub Yoon),송명진(Myung Jin Song),박병원(Byeong-Won Park),윤정현(Junghyun Yoon),김가은(Gaeun Kim),김지은(Jieun Kim),추수진(Soojin Choo),손은정(Eunjung Son),시새롬(Saerom Si),황윤하(Yunha 과학기술정책연구원 2021 정책연구 Vol.- No.-
Korean society is experiencing a severe level of polarization that has not been experienced before in the overall society and in each area of industry due to the prolonged aftermath of COVID-19. The polarization phenomenon in society as a whole is a factor that accelerates the imbalance between individuals and groups, and between metropolitan areas and regions. Therefore, This study has two research questions related to the prospect of polarization in the post-corona era that Korean society is facing from a mid- to long-term perspective. - What are the aspects of polarization that Korean society is likely to face? - What is the policy direction that should be prepared at the system level, which is closely related to the key drivers of deepening this polarization? The scope of this study was focused on digital, which has accelerated the non-face-to-face society and is a driving force for polarization in the COVID-19 situation, region in the spatial sense where polarization occurs, and company. This study was conducted in part 1 and part 2. Part 1 predicts the polarization of the post-corona era. Chapter 2 looked at the concepts of inequality and polarization for the future outlook of polarization, and dealt with methodologies and research methods for polarization projections. In Chapters 3 to 5, policy alternatives were derived by analyzing the current situation of digital, regional and corporate polarization, and predicting the future. A future theme based on big data was derived, and citizen workshops and surveys were conducted based on this. In addition, we imagined the future of polarization through sci-fi ultra-short stories and illustrations. Finally, policy alternatives for each module were proposed. Chapter 6, Comprehensive Prospects and Conclusions, draws on the previously discussed future vision as one, and examines the mid- to long-term policy direction for resolving it through the system causal map. Part 2 is about building a knowledge base for future research and disseminating results. In order to proceed with this study, a future issue search program system was used, and a knowledge base for future research was established through a network of related experts. In order to spread the results of future research to society, 『Future Horizon+』 was published, and a book is about to be published.
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