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불확실성과 누적환경영향하에서의 환경영향평가를 위한 방법론의 새로운 개발
Pietsch, Jurgen 한국환경영향평가학회 1995 환경영향평가 Vol.4 No.3
At both international and national levels, such as in the Rio Declaration and the EU's Fifth Environmental Action Plan, governments have committed themselves to the adoption of the precautionary principle (UNCED 1992, CEC 1992). These commitments mean that the existence of uncertainty in appraising policies and proposals for development should be acknowledged. Uncertainty arise in both the prediction of impacts and in the evaluation of their significance, particularly of those cumulative impacts which are individually insignificant but cumulatively damaging. The EC network of EIA experts, stated at their last meeting in Athens that indirect effects and the treatment of uncertainty are one of the main deficiencies of current EIA practice. Uncertainties in decision-making arise where choices have been made in the development of the policy or proposal, such as the selection of options, the justification for that choice, and the selection of different indicators to comply with different regulatory regimes. It is also likely that a weighting system for evaluating significance will have been used which may be implicit rather than explicit. Those involved in decision-making may employ different tolerances of uncertainty than members of the public, for instance over the consideration of the worst-case scenario. Possible methods for dealing with these uncertainties include scenarios, sensitivity analysis, showing points of view, decision analysis, postponing decisions and graphical methods. An understanding of the development of cumulative environmental impacts affords not only ecologic but also socio-economic investigations. Since cumulative impacts originate mainly in centres of urban or industrial development, in particular an analysis of future growth effects that might possibly be induced by certain development impacts. Not least it is seen as an matter of sustainability to connect this issue with ecological research. The serious attempt to reduce the area of uncertainty in environmental planning is a challenge and an important step towards reliable planning and sustainable development.
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Weiland, U,Pietsch, J,Mubner, M 한국환경영향평가학회 1993 환경영향평가 Vol.2 No.2
Aims of the EXCEPT project and tasks and characteristics of the EXCEPT system are presented based on an analysis of urban planning EIAs. The methodology of evaluation in EIAs, which had to be developed in order to program the system, is based on a model of evaluation processes. Evaluation principles, evaluation rates, an environmental model and a model of the projects being planned are presented. The evaluation concern re-unifies the different components of evaluation again.
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Weiland, U.,Pietsch, J.,Hubner, M. Korean Society of Environmental Impact Assessment 1993 환경영향평가 Vol.2 No.2
Aims of the EXCEPT project and tasks and characteristics of the EXCEPT system are presented based on an analysis of urban planning EIAs. The methodology of evaluation in EIAs, which had to be developed in order to program the system, is based on a model of evaluation processes. Evaluation principles, evaluation rates, an environmental model and a model of the projects being planned are presented. The evaluation concern re-unifies the different components of evaluation again.
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과정기반 모형을 활용한 산림의 순일차생산성 평가: 남북한 소나무 및 참나무 임분을 중심으로
송철호,최현아,손지원,고영진,Stephan A. Pietsch,이우균 한국환경생물학회 2023 환경생물 : 환경생물학회지 Vol.41 No.4
본 연구에서는 과정기반 생지화학모형 중 하나인 BGCMAN (Biogeochemistry Management) 모형을 남북한에 적용하여 산림생태계의 생산성을 나타내는 지표인 순일차생산성 (Net Primary Productivity, NPP)을 평가하였다. 기상자료의 경우에는 우리나라 기상청 기후정보포털의 실측 및 동아시아 시나리오 자료를 병행하여 활용하였다. 식생정보로는 소나무 (Pinus densiflora) 및 참나무 (Quercus spp.) 임분을 대상으로 우리나라의 광릉 및 설마천 유역과 북한 내 양묘장이 있는 것으로 알려져 있는 사리원, 서흥, 해주, 정주, 원산을 대상지로 선정하였다. 생물리적 정보 중 경위도, 고도, 사면 방향 등의 지형정보는 SRTM (Shuttle Radar Topography Mission)의 수치표고모델을 활용하였으며, 토양정보 등의 경우에는 HWSD (Harmonized World Soil Database)의 정보를 활용하였다. 관리 요인의 경우에는 1950년의 한국전쟁으로 인한 남북한 산림파괴와 이후 산림의 재조림 과정을 고려하였다. 1991년부터 2100년까지 모의된 NPP의 전체 평균 값은 5.17 Mg C ha-1이었으며, 범위는 3.30~8.19Mg C ha-1로 도출되었다. 또한 기후 시나리오의 변동성이 커짐에 따라서 산림 생산성의 교란이 커졌으며, 소나무 임분의 생장 둔화가 두드러지게 나타났다. 기후변화에 따라 생태계 과정기반 모형의 중요성이 커지는 시점에서 BGC-MAN 모형의 한반도 적용성이 검토되었다. 본 연구의 제한된 자료를 통해서 기후변화에 대한 교란이 산림생태계에 미치는 여러 요인들이 분석된 만큼, 향후 모델링 방법의 보완을 통해 보다 한반도 전역의 정밀한 생태계 변화를 과정기반 모형을 통해 모의할 수 있도록 해야 할 것이다. In this study, the biogeochemistry management (BGC-MAN) model was applied to North and South Korea pine and oak forest stands to evaluate the Net Primary Productivity (NPP), an indicator of forest ecosystem productivity. For meteorological information, historical records and East Asian climate scenario data of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) were used. For vegetation information, pine (Pinus densiflora) and oak (Quercus spp.) forest stands were selected at the Gwangneung and Seolmacheon in South Korea and Sariwon, Sohung, Haeju, Jongju, and Wonsan, which are known to have tree nurseries in North Korea. Among the biophysical information, we used the elevation model for topographic data such as longitude, altitude, and slope direction, and the global soil database for soil data. For management factors, we considered the destruction of forests in North and South Korea due to the Korean War in 1950 and the subsequent reforestation process. The overall mean value of simulated NPP from 1991 to 2100 was 5.17 Mg C ha-1, with a range of 3.30-8.19 Mg C ha-1. In addition, increased variability in climate scenarios resulted in variations in forest productivity, with a notable decline in the growth of pine forests. The applicability of the BGC-MAN model to the Korean Peninsula was examined at a time when the ecosystem process-based models were becoming increasingly important due to climate change. In this study, the data on the effects of climate change disturbances on forest ecosystems that was analyzed was limited; therefore, future modeling methods should be improved to simulate more precise ecosystem changes across the Korean Peninsula through process-based models.
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Semi-Insulating 4~6-Inch GaAs Crystals Grown in Low Temperature Gradients by the VCz Method
P.Rudolph,M.Czupalla,Ch.Frank-Rotsch,F.Kiessling,M.Neubert,M.Pietsch 한양대학교 세라믹연구소 2003 Journal of Ceramic Processing Research Vol.4 No.2
The results of growth of semi-insulating GaAs crystals with diameters of 100-150 mm and lengths up to 200 mm from the melt with starting charges up to 25 kg by the low-temperature gradient Vapour Pressure Controlled Czochralski method (VCz) are given and compared with the state of art of LEC growth. The methodical process optimization was assisted by global numerical simulations. A slightly convex interface morphology has been found to be the most suitable for moderate EPD of ~104 cm-2 in 150-mm crystals whilst simultaneously depressing the probability of dislocation bunchings. The carbon concentration was controlled down to values below 1014 cm-3. Electrical properties, including the EL2° content, are discussed. The first results of GaAs VCz crystals grown without B2O3 encapsulant are given. A reduced boron concentration but enhanced carbon and vacancy concentrations have been observed.
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