시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 정부출연연구기관의 위상강화 방안: K 연구기관 사례

최영출 ( Choi Young-chool ) 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2017 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 Vol.18 No.1

This paper aims to discover causal relationships among determinants associated with the status of government-funded research institute, to build a causal loop diagram explaining the complex and dynamic issues on its status change, to construct a system dynamics model by which policy scenarios regarding its status can be simulated and policy implications to strengthen it can be derived, and to put forward policy-related and theoretical suggestions. The method employed in this study is System Dynamics approach which is believed to be beneficial to understanding the structure and dynamics of factors affecting government-funded research institutes, and an institute (`K` institute) in Korea is used for case study. The model developed in this analysis is tested, and three optimistic and pessimistic scenarios are simulated to forecast future results regarding the status of the Institute. The tested scenarios seem to be satisfactory within a certain range of conditions. However, further validation of the model constructed in this analysis is required before relying on its results for decision support with regard to its status-enhancing strategy.

시군통합이 자치단체 공무원 승진에 미치는 영향분석: 시스템다이내믹스의 작용

최영출 ( Young Chool Choi ) 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2007 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 Vol.8 No.1

지방분권의 적정수준 분석

최영출(Choi, Young-Chool) 한국도시행정학회 2013 도시 행정 학보 Vol.26 No.4

This paper aims to analyze current level of decentralisation of Korea in comparison of OECD countries, especially utilizing fiscal decentralization indicators developed by OECD research group, and to explore the optimal decentralization level which can be applied to Korea. This paper should be read in conjunction with the author’s earlier paper titled Measuring Decentralization and Analysing Its Relationships with Associated Variables Using Structural Equation Model, which is cited in the reference. In theory, it is not easy to search for optimal decentralization level of each country, and nevertheless it is also necessary to find out it in a quantitative way for policy purpose. The dependent variables to be considered in this process are two: national happiness and national competitiveness. They are selected as policy target variables which are to be taken into account. The study results put forward four scenarios regarding local decentralization level which can be applied to Korea. It is hoped that four scenarios containing structural causal relationships model will be of great benefit to policy makers and practitioners for seeking optimal decentralization level in Korea.

System Dynamics 를 이용한 분권화와 국민행복도 영향관계 분석

최영출 ( Choi Young-chool ) 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2016 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 Vol.17 No.4

This paper aims to statistically discover the relationships between decentralisation and happiness which has been continuously discussed up until now, to build a causal diagram enabling to understand the structure containing the independent, the mediating, and the dependent variables involved in it, to construct policy scenarios beneficial to policy-makers, and to forecast future conditions to which policy scenarios can lead under a certain circumstance. In doing so, the author employs System Dynamics approach which is a method to enhance learning in complex systems and also is grounded in the theory of nonlinear dynamics and feedback control. The variables included in the analysis are one dependent variable (level of happiness) and four independent variables (GDP per capita, level of regulation, level of decentralisation, and level of political democracy). The analysis results show that happiness is closely statistically related to four independent variables employed in this analysis, can be structurally understood by a causal diagram and also the policy scenarios regarding it can be forecast by using System Dynamics approach.

영국 케임브리지 지역혁신정책상의 거버넌스 구조: 혁신주체간 협력관계를 중심으로

최영출 ( Young Chool Choi ) 한국경제지리학회 2006 한국경제지리학회지 Vol.9 No.1

시군통합의 예산절감효과 추정

최영출(Choi Young Chool) 한국도시행정학회 2005 도시 행정 학보 Vol.18 No.3

This paper attempts to estimate the financial savings associated with potential city-county consolidation, with particular reference to nine major public facilities operating within the four local authorities in Jeju Province. These facilities have traditionally functioned independently within each local authority and have not shared their resources with each other, mainly because they have been viewed as existing solely for those residents living within their own area of jurisdiction. For this and other related reasons, some have argued that city-county consolidation might present an alternative to the high operation costs and low service quality afflicting local authorities in Korea. To date, however, very little research has been done on the financial aspects of the city-county consolidation programme. This paper attempts to put right this omission. Nine local public services were selected for empirical analysis. The research findings show that around 263 billion won (200 million US $) a year could be saved following consolidation into one unitary authority, which accounts for approximately 10 per cent of the total budget of the four local authorities concerned.

제주특별자치도 시군통합의 성과평가

최영출 ( Young Chool Choi ) 한국지방행정연구원 2009 지방행정연구 Vol.23 No.2

지방분권 수준과 영향요인 관계 분석

최영출(Choi, Young-Chool) 한국지방정부학회 2013 지방정부연구 Vol.17 No.2

본 연구의 목적은 첫째 우리나라의 현재 분권수준이 어느 정도 되는지를 OECD 국가와의 비교를 통하여 객관적으로 분석해 보고, 둘째, 분권화가 종속변수로서의 국가경쟁력 및 국민행복도 수준에 어떤 영향을 미치는 지를 변수 간 영향관계 분석을 통해서 파악해 보며, 셋째, 분권화가 국가경쟁력과 행복감에 영향을 미치는 과정에서 매개변수들의 역할은 어느 정도 인지를 확인해 보는 것이다. 분석결과, 우리나라의 분권수준은 재정분권을 중심으로 해 볼 때 OECD 국가들 평균의 88% 수준에 있다. 아울러, 분권화와 관련된 변수들을 이용한 구조방정식 모형을 설정해서 분석해 본 결과, 분권화가 높다고 해서 직접 국가경쟁력이나 국민행복도와 같은 종속변수에 영향을 미치는 것은 아니라는 것도 나타났다. 분권화와 국가경쟁력의 관계에서는 규제의 완화와 국민들의 개인책임의식의 강화와 같은 매개변수의 역할이 중요하다는 것을 알 수 있었다. 이 같은 분석을 통해서 볼 때, 우리나라의 분권화 수준은 현재 낮은 수준이기 때문에 구체적인 목표설정과 같은 과정을 통해서 지금보다 향상시킬 것이 필요하며, 동시에 규제완화와 개인책임의식의 향상과 같은 매개변수에 대한 정책적 고려가 동시에 필요하다고 생각한다. This article aims to objectively measure decentralization level of Korea in comparison with that of OECD countries, especially with regard to fiscal decentralization, to analyze relationships between decentralization with its related dependent variables, and to identify the role of mediating variables involved in structural equation model in which dependent and independent variables regarding decentralization are hypothetically inter-related. The analysis result shows that decentralization level in Korea is below the average of OECD countries, reaching only 88 per cent of its average. It also shows that decentralization is not directly related to national competitiveness or national happiness level, but rather is indirectly related to them by mediating variables including deregulation level. The author argues that decentralization should be accompanied by increase of social capital such as consciousness of individual responsibility so that decentralization could be connected to strengthening national competitiveness. In conclusion, assuming that decentralized government institutions are doing more of the work of government than ever before, this paper puts forward theoretical and practical measures in relation to decentralization decisions facing Korea.

시스템다이나믹스 방법론에 의한 국가경쟁력 요인분석

최영출 ( Young Chool Choi ) 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2006 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 Vol.7 No.2

This article aims to develop a model for analysing the relationships among the factors affecting the national competitiveness and to explore the future trend of Korea`s national competitiveness using a system dynamics approach. For this purpose the article examines the national competitiveness indexes being published by the international institutions such as IMD and WEF. The article also demonstrates how national competitiveness may be strengthened and finally suggests that the national competitiveness should be studied systematically in the future.

원자력행정체제의 지속가능성 강화방안

최영출 ( Young Chool Choi ) 한국시스템다이내믹스학회 2009 한국시스템다이내믹스 연구 Vol.10 No.1