영상단지개발을 통한 지역경제 효과 분석 - 포천 영상단지개발계획 사례를 중심으로

김영곤(Kim Young Ghon) 한국부동산학회 2006 不動産學報 Vol.27 No.-

  1. CONTENTS<BR>  (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES<BR>  Many regional governments in Korea have tried to develop movie theme park. But, a few park could operate successfully. Some planned parks drop in difficul situations. The study would try to find the real regional economic effect through developing movie theme park and important factors for each project.<BR>  (2) RESEARCH METHOD<BR>  Literature research, case study, market and policy research<BR>  (3) RESEARCH RESULTS<BR>  Movie theme park would be helpful business for the regional economy because the park could generate various field, so called windowing industry. To be a healthy business, many factors, like land problem, ideal program, crazing hardware, wonderful software have to be prepared by developers.<BR>  2. RESULTS<BR>  The result which analyzes Pochon City case actualy proof the economic effect for the region. It would also generate other industries, for example, tourism, hotel, construction and so on. But, the theme park business is very sensitive and ideal. So, to do a successful business, many parts like verity companies, regional government, educational and research institutes, broadcasting industry, IT industry could be joined for the theme park.

중산층용 영구임대주택 REITs에 관한 소고

김영곤(Kim, Young Ghon) 한국부동산학회 2012 不動産學報 Vol.49 No.-

1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The purpose of this study is to expand permanent rental house market in Korea using real market simulation. (2) RESEARCH METHOD This study was focused on feasibility analysis. The data for this analysis were collect from companies in Korea. Land value is metropolitan area price which can be located a rental apartments. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS In the results of this analysis, the most problem is the shortage of long term fund for rental house construction and management. 2. RESULTS This study offers two conditions to expand the rental house market for middle class in Korea. 1) It is strongly suggested using private sector fund through RElTs. 2) To expand the permanent rental apartments, It needs one another clasification in land-use.

지역경제활성화를 위한 물류시설 입지모형에 관한 연구

김영곤(Kim Young Ghon),성기현(Sung Kee Hyun) 한국부동산학회 2004 不動産學報 Vol.23 No.-

1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES More systematic and comprehensive research on the land traffic logistics is needed because last decade passengers and goods transportation has been increased by the metropolitan and its outskirts' concentration. So, under the observation, this study will be done on three subjects : ① reviewing on the existing logistic industry and facilities in Kyeonggi Area ; ② proposing some ideal location of logistics by developing the location models for the activation of the local economy; and ③ improving the logistic facilities that are flooded rashly. (2) RESEARCH METHOD Literature study and case approach (3) RESEARCH RESULTS Chapter one, as an introduction, gives the background, aim, methodology, and structure of this study; chapter two, as a theoretical consideration of the logistics, gives new paradigm through the critical points of the existing studies and cases (from the domestic and abroad) on the notions and industry of logistics; chapter three, as the present situation of the logistic facilities, gives the characteristics and problems of the domestic logistic industry, and the present situation of the logistic facilities in the national, metropolitan, Kyeonggi, and Yongin areas by the rapid changes of the logistic environment according to the e-business; chapter four, as selecting the location model of the logistic facilities for activating the positive local economy, examines proper models by inputting data, established in a FUZZY modeling, measuring solution of PC (Product Control) location selection, and MS(Management Science) OR(Operation Research); and chapter five searches for the task and policy of the logistic facilities by using the results of my study, and mentions a further research topics. 2. RESULTS Present study will evaluate the present situation of the logistic industry, the logistic location ofthe companies, and the data of the logistic agencies in Yongin area that are classified by the warehousing. A model for selecting a proper alternative location of logistics will be provided under the pressure of the rise of costs (that is, of the land prices and rental cost, of the transportation and delivery by the delay of the traffics), and the unbalanced development of the logistic facility areas in Kuseong and Kiheung districts in comparison with near residential places. 3. KEY WORDS Logistics Location, Regional Economy, Product Control

후분양 제도에 대한 인식 연구

김기열(Kim, Ki Ryol),김영곤(Kim, Young Ghon) 한국부동산학회 2018 不動産學報 Vol.72 No.-

본 연구는 텍스트마이닝 기법을 활용하여 네이버 뉴스 댓글 공간에서의 후분양 제도에 대한 인식을 파악하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 연구방법으로는 주요 키워드인 ‘선분양’과 ‘후분양’에 대한 연관단어분석과 선행연구를 토대로 후분 양의 장단점으로 분류·분석하는 세부분류별 TF-IDF 분석을 활용하였다. 분석결과 첫째, 전반적으로 후분양 찬성에 대한 댓글이 많았으며, 그중에서도 기업위주 정책탈피가 가장 높은 비중을 차지하고 많은 공감을 얻었다. 이로 인해 기업 위주의 정책보다는 국민, 소비자를 위한 형평성 있는 정책이 필요하다는 점을 알 수 있었다. 둘째, 후분양 반대에서 는 대부분의 의견이 많은 공감을 얻지 못했지만 기업의 금융비용 등 자금조달문제는 일정부분 공감을 얻은 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 후분양 제도를 도입하기 위해서는 자금조달 문제를 해결할 수 있는 방안을 미리 마련해야 함을 알 수 있었다. 셋째, 후분양 제도 관련 댓글에서는 기업위주의 정책탈피와 주택품질개선에 대한 문제가 후분양 찬성 댓글의 80%를 넘어 가장 큰 문제점으로 지적되어 후분양 제도로의 전환이 어렵다면 차선책으로 건설사와 관련기업 등이 자신들에 대한 부정적 인식을 개선하기 위한 자정적인 노력이 필요함을 알 수 있었다. 1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The Purpose of the study is to identify Perception of After-Sales System in Naver news comments using Text Mining. (2) RESEARCH METHOD This Study used the analysis of related words for the keywords Pre-sale System and ‘After-sale System’. And the TF-IDF analysis by detailed classification was utilized to classify and analyze the merits and demerits of After-sale System based on prior studies. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS The number of people who supported the After-sale System was four times higher than that of opponents. In the ‘Empathy Comment’, the number was more than nine times higher. In an analysis of related words by keywords, After-sale System were mostly positive, and Pre-sale System was mostly negative. 2. RESULTS In order to protect consumers, it is necessary to switch to a follow-up After-sale system. Then, a measure should be made to address the financing of the After-sale system. Also, construction companies and related companies need an outdated effort to improve their negative perception of themselves.

건축물유지관리점검 제도의 효율성 제고에 관한 연구

김천규(Kim,Cheon Kyu),김경민(Kim,Kyeung Min),김영곤(Kim,Young Ghon) 한국부동산학회 2016 不動産學報 Vol.64 No.-

본 연구는 성남시 분당 환풍구 참사를 계기로 촉발 된 국내 건축물 유지관리점검 제도의 문제점을 점검항목간 비교와 실무상 점검항목간 상관관계분석 이라는 관점에서 접근하였다. 점검제도간 비교를 통해 국내 점검항목이 선진국 점검항목에 비하여 문제가 있다는 점을 적시한다. 또한 현재 점검항목을 가지고 실무에서 시행을 할 경우라도 축적된 점검결과를 바탕으로 점검항목간 상관관계분석을 통해 상관관계가 높은 항목간 연관성을 통해 점검의 실효성을 파악하여 건물주, 점검실무자 및 감독관청에 도움을 주고자하는데 주안을 두었다. 1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES This study was researched with the main objective that conducted a literature comparative analysis by maintenance inspection regime have in maintaining the architectural problem management checks have been advancing international building maintenance manual inspection manual and a comparison of the domestic building triggered by the instrument. (2) RESEARCH METHOD Document analysis were compared with previous studies related to building maintenance inspection review of the best practices of building maintenance inspection of the Japanese domestic institutional building maintenance inspection program. To carry out building maintenance inspection item was based correlations between effectiveness between the items. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS Compared to the national building codes building maintenance check of the manual advancement of the Japanese Manual of this study it was confirmed that localizes quite dull and inefficient. In addition, building maintenance, inspection results, inspection results conducted a correlation analysis based on entries correlation between high or low, it is possible to identify the topics and the fact that a detailed readjustment of them based on building maintenance Inspection Manual inevitable and its followers check in time in question, it was confirmed that the ability to compensate with the correlation result. 2. RESULTS Building maintenance checks presented evidence of the necessity of an over adjustment makers to check item institutions and policies were building maintenance checks enforcer to have provided technology for the practice to overcome the limitation on the temporal cost puts significant to point The characters long.

아파트가격과 거래량의 상호교호작용에 관한 연구 : 서울특별시 5대 생활권역과 거시경제변수를 중심으로

조한국(Cho Han-Kook),김영곤(Kim Young Ghon) 한국부동산학회 2020 不動産學報 Vol.83 No.-

본 논문은 2006년 1월부터 2020년 5월까지 한국감정원의 실거래가격에 의한 서울시 아파트 가격 지수, 서울시 아파트거래량을 기준으로 작성되었다. 서울시 도시기본계획상의 5개의 생활권역 간 매매가격에 관하여 동태적으로 분석하여 상호간의 영향력을 실증분석하였다. 공급의 대리변수로 건축허가현황을 활용하였으며, 소비자를 자극하는 경제심리지수, 소득을 대리변수로 하는 경제활동인구, 물가의 변화를 반영한 소비자물가지수, 투자의 대리변수인 주택담보대출금리 등이 서울시 아파트 가격과 아파트거래량에 어떻게 동태적으로 상호교호작용하며 영향을 주는지를 살펴보았다. 그레인저 인과검정에서는 서울시 아파트거래량이 서울시 아파트 가격에 인과하지 않는 것으로 분석됐으며, 그렇지만 거시경제변수로서는 경제활동인구와 주택담보대출금리가 인과하는 것으로 분석?榮?. 서울시 아파트가격은 동북생활권역의 아파트가격의 충격으로 음(-)의 반응이 나타났으며 서남생활권 아파트가격의 충격으로 양(+)의 반응으로 나타났다. 또한 서울시 아파트가격과 서울시 아파트거래량의 상대적인 영향력은 서울시 아파트가격지수가 더 높은 것으로 실증분석되었다. 1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES This thesis attempted to determine whether the apartment price and macroeconomic variables dynamically influence the apartment price and transaction volume in Seoul by dividing the apartment market in Seoul into 5 living areas. We tried to empirically analyze the interaction with reaction. (2) RESEARCH METHOD The degree of influence proactively influenced by apartment prices and macroeconomic variables in the five living areas of Seoul in relation to apartment prices and transaction volumes in Seoul was verified with a dynamic model. The long-term equilibrium relationship between price and macroeconomic variables was confirmed, followed by impact response and variance decomposition. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS It was analyzed that the response of the transaction volume of apartments in Seoul, which was initially high due to the impact of the transaction volume of apartments in Seoul, was low, but maintained a long-term response to the average volume. The results of the variance decomposition analysis of the apartment price index in Seoul showed that in the long term, the effect of the apartment price index in Seoul itself was higher than that of the transaction volume. When the apartment price index and apartment transaction volume in Seoul deviate from the long-term equilibrium, it is judged that the apartment price index is more affected to return to the long-term equilibrium. 2. RESULTS In this paper, it was found that the apartment sales price in Seoul had a high influence on the apartment transaction volume in Seoul, but it was analyzed that it was not affected by the apartment transaction volume. In particular, it has been shown that the price of temporary apartments in the northeast new area is significantly negative (-), and the price of apartments in the southeastern new area is positive (+). Therefore, the apartment price market in Seoul is greatly influenced by the economically active population on the consumer side, and it has a close relationship with the mortgage interest rate.

VAR 모형을 이용한 국내 REITs와 거시경제변수들간 동태적 상관관계분석

이태용(Lee, Tae Yong),김영곤(Kim, Young Ghon) 대한부동산학회 2018 大韓不動産學會誌 Vol.36 No.4

The Purpose of this Study is to analyze the Correlations between REITs and macroeconomic variables in order to increase the accuracy and efficiency of REITs support policy. In this study, VAR model was used, and Unit root test, Johansen cointegration test, Granger causality test, Impulse Response, and Variance Decomposition analysis were used. The results of the Granger causality test show that the Construction Industry production index and the Non-residential building leasing index are the reasons for the unilateral Granger cause in the REITs Stock Index. The result of the Variance Decomposition analysis are as follows: KRW exchange rate, Goverment bonds(3 years), Construction index returns, Corporate bonds AA-(3 years) Consumer Price Index, Call Rate, and Composite Stock Price Index. As a result, REITs were influenced by Construction Industry production index and Non-residential building leasing index. The results of both analyzes provide a useful indexs for REITs companies, policy makers and investors.

공공용재산 개별지가 산정기준에 관한 연구 - 철도용지를 중심으로 -

조현진(Jo, Hyeon-Jin),김영곤(Kim, Young-Ghon) 대한부동산학회 2015 大韓不動産學會誌 Vol.33 No.1

국･공유재산에 대한 정책 패러다임이 소극적 유지･보존에서 적극적 개발･활용으로 전환되면서 사용, 수익, 처분에 제한이 되어 있는 공공용 재산에 대해서도 공공목적으로 이용하는데 제한되지 않는 상태에서 사용, 임대되는 경우가 증가하고 있다. 국･공유 재산은 영리목적이 아닌 공공의 이용 목적으로 인한 토지이용 상의 활용제약을 감가요인으로 하여 개별공시지가가 일반토지보다 낮게 산정되어 있다. 이와 같이 낮게 산정되어 있는 개별지가를 기준으로 국･공유 재산을 공익 외 목적으로 이용하는 경우 임대료가 낮게 산정되어 국고손실이 발생할 수 있다. 따라서 폐선부지를 공익 외 목적으로 임대할 경우 현실 이용상황을 지자체와 철도시설공단이 상호 공유할 필요가 있으며, 임대목적에 맞는 개별지가 재산정기준을 규정하거나 감정평가하여 재산가액을 결정할 수 있는 제도가 필요하다. 또한 동일한 용도지역이거나 이용상황이 동일할 경우 일단지로 조사될 수 있도록 ｢개별공시지가의 조사･산정지침｣을 강화할 필요가 있다. 이러한 제도개선이 되면 유휴철도 용지도 정확한 개별지가가 산정될 수 있으며, 임대에 사용하는 재산가액이 적정하게 되므로 국고손실이 발생하는 것을 방지하자는 것이 본 연구의 목적이다. As national and public property policy paradigm changed from “passive preservation” to “active development,” use and lease of public property, whose use, proceeds and disposition are restricted, within the limit that its public use would not be hindered, has become more frequent. The use of national and public land is restricted for public interest and not for profit, therefore officially assessed individual land price of the land is estimated lower than of ordinary land. Determining the rental fee of public property is based on the lower-estimated land price when the national and public property is leased to a private business, which is loss to the exchequer. Therefore, in the case that abandoned rail track is leased to a private business, the present state of use ought to be shared between the local government and Rail Network Authority; and it is necessary to define criterion for reassessing the land price or to introduce an institution to appraise the property value according to the purpose of leasing. Furthermore, the Officially Assessed Individual Land Price s Survey･Calculation Guideline should also be amended to consider the lands as a grouped site when they have common use or common state of use. If these improvements are done, the individual land price of unused railway land and the property value of the leased land would be calculated accurately, thus the loss to the exchequer could be prevented; which is purpose of this study.

아파트 가격 및 거래량과 거시경제변수 간의 동태적 관계연구 : 서울특별시를 중심으로

조한국(Cho, Han-Kook),김영곤(Kim, Young Ghon) 한국부동산학회 2020 不動産學報 Vol.82 No.-

본 논문은 2006년 1월부터 2020년 3월까지 서울시 아파트 거래가격과 아파트거래량의 상관관계와 설명변수인 거시경제변수의 영향을 EVIEWS 8를 활용하여 실증분석하였다. 본 분석에 활용된 거시경제변수는 건설수주액, 취업자수, 주택담보대출금리, 코스피지수이며 이들 대부분은 서울시 아파트 가격과 아파트거래량에 영향을 주는 변수로 분석되었으며, 다만 코스피지수는 그랜져인과검정 결과 전혀 관련성이 없었으며 특히 공급의 대리변수인 건설수주액은 서울시 아파트매매시장과는 강력한 쌍방향 인과하며 아파트거래량은 건설수주액에 영향을 미치는 변수로 분석되었다. 주택담보대출금리는 아파트 거래가격과 아파트거래량에 쌍방향 인과하는 것으로 분석되었다. 서울시 아파트거래량은 서울시 아파트 거래가격에 영향을 주지 못하고 서울시 아파트거래가격은 서울시 아파트거래량에 강력하게 영향을 주는 것으로 실증되었다. 따라서 서울시 아파트거래량감소를 위한 수요억제 정책은 새로운 측면으로 재고하여야 하며 서울시 아파트 가격상승 요인을 새로운 척도로 중점을 두어야 할 것으로 판단된다. 1.CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH METHOD This paper analyzed the correlation between the apartment sales market in Seoul and the trading volume and how much the macroeconomic variables influenced it, and proved it with the purpose of helping participants to decide on the apartment sales market and transaction volume in Seoul. (2) RESEARCH METHOD In this paper, the relationship between the Seoul apartment sales market and the trading volume and macroeconomic variables were analyzed using the VECM model. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS In this paper, the exogenous and endogenous variables affecting each region were analyzed by performing the Grandeur causality test. VCOR and MR were analyzed to have an interactive effect with SAPN. 2. RESULTS In this paper, it was analyzed that the Seoulsi apart trading market is receiving a long-term positive response due to the impact of apartment transaction volume and supply variable construction orders, and that the rate of employment and mortgage loans is negative.

국내 대형할인점의 효율성 분석에 관한 사례연구 : A Case Study

김태웅,임영록,김영곤 한국경영과학회 1999 經營 科學 Vol.16 No.2

A well-designed location strategy is an integral and important part of corporate strategy for retail firms The last five years witnessed major changes in retailing industry A growing city population, rising income levels, and the emergence of suburb areas presented retailers with new challenges Mass discount merchandisers and supermarkets expanded rapidly, spreading from Seoul into smaller cities The rapid increase of mass discount stores raised new concerns and gave rise to the need from a systematic approach to location analysis in this paper, we present the mathematical background and characteristics of DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) model, and give a short case study where we apply the DEA model to compute the relative efficiency of 11 Korean mass discount merchandisers interpretation of the result is also provided