http://chineseinput.net/에서 pinyin(병음)방식으로 중국어를 변환할 수 있습니다.
변환된 중국어를 복사하여 사용하시면 됩니다.
- 中文 을 입력하시려면 zhongwen을 입력하시고 space를누르시면됩니다.
- 北京 을 입력하시려면 beijing을 입력하시고 space를 누르시면 됩니다.
RISS 인기검색어
- 검색키워드
- 저자 : 全寅永 (검색결과 79 건)
- 무료
- 기관 내 무료
- 유료
-
전인영 한국전략문제연구소 1996 전략연구 Vol.3 No.2
The objective of this paper is to examine current North Korea's crisis situation created by complex and accumulated problems such as economic difficulties and food shortages, and then to examine and evaluate conceivable scenarios or pathways to North Korean reforms or collapse. This paper also attempts to find a desirable and safe pathway to deal with the North Korean socialist system in trouble. South Korea and the major powers surrounding the Korean peninsula worry about a possibility of sudden collapse of North Korea because it can create chaotic and unstable situation in the Northeast Asian region, including the Korean peninsula. Like it or not, many outside specialists express pessimistic views on North Korea's capability to overcome difficulties and to successfully change. For instance, Commander of the U. S. Forces in Korea General Luck, in his testimony at the House of Representative on March 13, stated that the collapse of North Korea is not a matter of probability, but a matter of 'when' and 'how' He maintained that due to the deteriorating economic situation in the North, the breakdown of the North Korean socialist system is a foregone conclusion, and the remaining issue is when and how North Korea will collapse. Most specialists on North Korean affairs seem to agree on that North Korea is experiencing serious economic difficulties. But their prospects for the survival and changes in North Korean socialist system and their viewpoints regarding North Korean pattern of change are different.. Western as well as South Korean scholars usually hold pessimistic views about North Korea's future, anticipating early or sudden collapse in the near future, whereas Chinese and Russian specialists maintain relatively optimistic view with regard to North Korea's ability to adapt to changing security environmnet. Despite apparent weakness and signs of collapse, in an uncertain post-cold war era, North Korea so far survived, and it does not show any sign of immediate danger. Domestically, the North Korean leadership and the party effectively wield power and demonstrates firm control over the military organization and the police forces as well as over the people's daily life. It is fair to say that the North Korean socialist system did not lose, albeit weakened, such system capabilities as regulatory and penetrative capabilities, although it suffers from insufficient extractive and distributive performance. North Korea's change is inevitable, but it is not easy to correctly guess how North Korea will be changed. There are many contending pathways to reforms or collapse of North Korea. Julian Birch examines four possible pathways to the end goals: reform initiated from above, bottom up reform, revolution from below, and external intervention. Harding argues that limited reform initiated by the North Korean leadership become more aggressive, and then the system began to decline, leading to ultimate collapse of the system in crisis. Brzezinski suggests, in his book 'Grand Failure'(1989), four phases in the retreat from communism: Communist Totalitarianism(phase 1), Communist Authoritarianism(phase 2), Post-Communist Authoritarianism (phase 3), and Post-Communist Pluralism( phase 4). North Korea rejected and resented Gorbachev style reform from above which soon became uncontrollable. It expresses its concern about Chinses reform, but its leadership has showed misgivings about the undesirable consequences of aggressive Chinese economic reforms and opening. North Korea despised the Hungarian and the Polish reforms, and shocked by the outbreak of the brief Romanian civil war and the followed swift execution of Ceausescu and his wife. North Korean leadership presumably appreciate the necessity of reforms, but radical reform means political risk-taking. North Korea seems determined not to repeat the Gorbachev s mistakes, and it is still reluctant and cautious to apply the Deng' s Chinese reform model. The legacy of Kim Il Sung, the Stalinist economic system, the shortcomings in political and practical activities, and rigid bureaucracy make it difficult for Kim Jong Il to attempt a significant change. Since Kim Jong Il has ruled the country with his deceased father for the last twenty years, he can not correct what kim Il Sung did or said at his will. As a matter of fact, he is also responsible for policy failures and mismanagements. As for Kim Jong Il, he does not have promising alternatives. In short, It is unlikely that he can take drastic reform measures to revitalize the North Korean socialist system in stalemate. He shall probably muddle through as the internal and external environments dictate. Believe it or not, South Korea should be prepared against the sudden collapse of North Korea, although such a possibility is slim. In the mean time, we would be better act as though the North Korean system can last for a considerable period of time, and need to further develop our North Korea policy in a long-term national interest perspective. If we can have transparent vision and objectives on our relationship with North Korea and on the unified Korea, we can avoid unnecesary confusion and wasting invaluable resources and time. If North Korea is a disabled aircraft, all the neighbors, South Korea and the four major powers, should help North Korea's soft landing, which in turn promotes peace and stability in the Northeast Asian region.
-
-
전인영,호정훈 이화여자대학교 사범대학 교과교육연구소 2004 교과교육학연구 Vol.7 No.3
The 21st century is a time of information, globalization and opening. In this trend, there has been a big change in the quantity of education informationization for the students. But now it is time for the development of quality rather than the quantity. In this social trend, an evaluation of the educative effect of linking the cyber-space with the teaching and learning of history is needed. Therefore, in this study, the teacher herself developed an online learning program for online studying and analysis of the interest and accomplishment of the individual student to see how effective can this type of education can be, and see if it is possible to be realized in the real field of education. The study was made in the following process. For the 1st step, discussed about the theories of cyber education, and analyzed previous cases and studies. For the 2nd step, for the design of teaching-and learning of history by cyber education, a survey has made to analyze the environment of the student. For the 3rd step, based on the analysis from the previous steps, a model for teaching-and learning of history by cyber education was developed and carried out for 12 weeks. For the 4th step, 2 types of a 2nd survey was done after the test operation of the program, One with the students about the program itself, and another with the teachers about the reputation. For the 5th step, there were two test of the same degree of difficulty on different chapters. One chapter which online education was applied and another which conventional class education was done. The degree of accomplishment was evaluated based on the percent of correct answers for comparatively analysis. The result was as the followings. 1st, teaching-and learning of history by cyber education showed a very affirmative change in fields of accomplishment such as the learning, ability and attitude. 2nd, teaching-and learning of history by cyber education promoted the interest and understandings of the students for voluntary participation in class for realization of self-directed learning. 3rd, by the teacher herself making and operating the cyber education, this solves the problem of lack of affection between the teachers and students. Therefore, it could be seen that this can be a teaching-and learning tool which can realize the merits of both the face to face education and cyber education. 4th, teaching-and learning of history by cyber education can complements the problems such as deviation of learning or lack of understandings through the internet. 5th, teaching-and learning of history by cyber education itself demands ability of a high level and time for the development of the model. But, if the contents are well developed. it can be easily applied as a data for achievement evaluation, and maybe used as a reference at class through modification and supplement. The teaching-and learning of history applying cyber education can be an effective model for getting out of the one-side grinding for an active and self leading learning model focused on the student. For this, there is a need for comparative analysis through development of various methods and tests on a subject of a larger number of students. And a model best for each school or grade should be systematically developed. Also, for the maximization of the educative effect, improvement of the condition of the fields and system is very needed so that teachers can work together for construction of education contents and flexible operation of the program.
-
-
-
-
Multi-block Analysis of Genomic Data Using Generalized Canonical Correlation Analysis
전인영,최우리,박미라 한국유전체학회 2018 Genomics & informatics Vol.16 No.4
Recently, there have been many studies in medicine related to genetic analysis. Many genetic studies have been studied to find genes associated with complex diseases. To find out how genes are related to disease, we need to understand not only the simple relationship of genotypes but also the way they are related to phenotype. Multi-block data, which is summation form of variable sets, is used for enhancing analysis of different block’s relationship. By identifying relationships through multi-block data form, we can understand the association between the blocks is effective in understanding the correlation between them. Several statistical analysis methods have been developed to understand the relationship between multi-block data. In this paper, we will use generalized canonical correlation methodology to analyze multi-block data from Korean Association Resource (KARE) project which has combination of the SNP blocks, phenotype blocks, and disease block.
-
-
-
연관 검색어 추천
이 검색어로 많이 본 자료
활용도 높은 자료
