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문화적 실천으로서 독일의 정치교육 혹은 민주시민교육 -제도적 이상과 현실
홍은영 ( Hong Eun-yong ),최치원 ( Choi Chi-won ) 연세대학교 유럽사회문화연구소 2016 유럽사회문화 Vol.0 No.17
Politische Bildung(Civic Education) in Germany has been recognized as a good model for Korea. It has greatly contributed to building a civic political culture and strengthening democracy in Germany. Its biggest advantage is that it is, based on a pluralistic structure, performed in an organic linkage with various political institutions. Today, however, Politische Bildung in Germany has financial problems, and is even confronted with the survival problem. Furthermore, the educational subjects has no special interest in it. Politische Bildung has to respond to the modernization of education by which it should provide practical education program. Despite the many challenges and problems facing the German Politische Bildung, it can give provide many implications for Korea which has now unsolved problems of democratization. Activation of Politische Bildung or Civic Education in Korea will play a important role in fostering the public mind and forming a democratic political culture.
박천희(Park Cheon hee),홍은영(Hong Eun young),전세혁(Jeon Se hyuk),김미리(Kim Mi ri),김서용(Kim Seo yong) 한국방재학회 2017 한국방재학회논문집 Vol.17 No.5
This study aims to explore the best technique for demand prediction about disaster relief goods. For the forecasting, we used the moving average method, average change method, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing method, and the trend projection. As a result, we found that the moving average method be the best one for forecasting the demand of disaster relief goods. By using the same technique, we predicted the quantity of disaster relief goods at the municipal level. We confirmed that the required amount is less than the actual amount. Since this study is the first test to predict the proper quantity of disaster relief, we expect that it will provide an implication for the efficient management of relief goods by local governments. 본 연구는 재해구호물품의 적정 수요예측에 관한 최적의 기법을 탐색하는데 목적이 있다. 예측 기법은 이동평균법, 평균변화법, 가중이동법, 지수평활법, 추세분석을 이용하였으며, 분석 결과 재해구호물품의 수요 예측은 이동평균법을 활용하는 것이 가장 우수한 것으로 확인되었다. 해당 기법을 활용하여 전국 자치단체의 적정 재해구호물품 수량을 예측한 결과 실제 보관량에 비해 적은 수준으로 확인되었다. 본 연구는 재해구호물품의 적정수량을 예측하기 위한 첫 시도로써 효율적인 구호물품 관리방안에 대한 함의를 제공할 것으로 기대한다.