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玄公南 濟州大學校 亞熱帶農業硏究所 1990 亞熱帶農業硏究 Vol.7 No.-
The purposes of this paper are to analyse trends and factors affecting on, and to predict demands for fresh mandarines which are the most important farm products in ChejuDo area. The semi-logarithmic forms of consumption functions for fresh mandarines and for all fresh fruits were estimated by the OLS technique using 1975-1989 time series data in Korea. Income elasticities of the fresh mandarin consumptions and all fresh fruits were estimated for both to have been decreased over time, and to be around 0.8 and 0.7 respectively in the late 1980's. The relative consumer's prices remaining unchanged, per capita consumption of fresh mandarines were predicted to be 12kg in 1991, and to reach to the level of 16.6kg in 2001, while all fresh fruits are expected to be consumed 44.7kg in 1991 and 60.5kg in 2001.