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조사논문 : 한,칠레 FTA 국내대책에 따른 과수농가 생산성 및 효율성 개선 효과 계측
문한필 ( Han Pil Moon ),전익수 ( Ik Su Jun ),김성우 ( Seong Woo Kim ) 한국축산경영학회,농업정책학회(구 한국축산경영학회) 2014 농업경영정책연구 Vol.41 No.4
The purpose of this study is to analyze an economic effect of domestic measures related to Korea-Chile FTA which came into effect in 2004. The empirical analysis was carried out using a non-parametric Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) method and a Malmquist productivity index to evaluate the productivity and efficiencies of the farmers during the FTA periods. The farmers in the regions adopting the FTA subsidy retained higher productivity and efficiencies than the farmers in the regions that did not received the subsidy. The result shows that the investment and financial support for Korea-Chile FTA have partly contributed to the increase of competitiveness of the farmers in terms of productivity and efficiency.
한,미 FTA 오렌지 관세인하가 국재 주요 과일 가격에 미치는 영향분석
문한필 ( Han Pil Moon ),이현근 ( Hyun Keun Lee ),박한울 ( Han Ul Park ) 한국농업경제학회 2013 農業經濟硏究 Vol.54 No.1
To analyze the impact of the KORUS FTA on the domestic fruit market, this study conducted a consumer survey on the consumption substitution effects of importing oranges on domestic fruits and estimated the impact of lowering tariffs imported oranges on domestic fruit prices using a simultaneous equation based on monthly import statistics during the main orange-importing period. According to the survey results, it was found that 64% of surveyed consumers could feel the drop in orange prices and one quarter of surveyed consumers increased their purchase of oranges while decreasing their consumption of domestic fruits. Domestic fruits, The prices of domestic fruits increased sharply higher than previous years since the KORUS FTA went into effect, and the main cause this big increase in the price was due to the reduction in supply amount resulting from a bad gravest. The lowering of tariffs for oranges, on the other hand, had the erect of limiting the prices of domestic fruits such as mandarin oranges, oriental melons, strawberries, and cherry tomatoes, The tariff reduction of oranges imported from the U.S. had the effect of lowering the price of lowering the price of mandarin oranges by 10.4% and melons, strawberries, and cherry tomatoes by 3~4%.ln response to the tariff reduction for imported oranges, consumers responded to the overall reduction in welfare by increasing their purchase of imported oranges, On the other hand. The domestic fruit growers who harvest and supply their produce during the orange-importing period suffered a welfare reduction compared to previous years as they failed to sufficiently compensate the sharp drop in supply amount with a price increase.
농업경영체 등록정보를 이용한 포도와 블루베리의 폐업지원에 따른 작목전환 실태 분석
이현근 ( Lee Hyun-keun ),문한필 ( Moon Han-pil ),명수환 ( Myeong Su-hwan ) 한국식품유통학회 2020 食品流通硏究 Vol.37 No.4
This study investigated the decision-making and crop conversion of beneficiary fruit farmers after applying for the Farm-Closure Assistance(FCA) program using agricultural management registration information. The proportion of converted areas among orchards was 69.4% for field grapes, 44.1% for facility grapes, and 76.4% for blueberries. It implies that the FCA program has played a role of providing restart-up funds to the vulnerable fruit farmers. Other fruits such as peach, plum, grape, and apple are mostly chosen as converting items by the closing farmers. As of 2016, the proportion of the area where items that Farm-Closure Assistance continued to be cultivated in 2019 were 14.4% for field grapes, 15.7% for facility grapes, and 15.6% for blueberries. The percentage of the area where grape cultivation was newly grown in 2019 was 7.2% for field grapes, 10.9% for facility grapes, and 12.7% for blueberries. This study is meaningful in providing implications for overall institutional improvement in order to prevent the balloon effect and moral hazard problem while promoting substantial restructuring of agriculture.
FTA 직접피해보전제도와 미국 농업인 무역조정지원제도의 법・제도적 비교 연구
이현근(Hyun-Keun Lee),문한필(Han-Pil Moon),채상현(Sang-Hyen Chai) 한국농식품정책학회 2019 농업경영정책연구 Vol.46 No.4
The purpose of this study is to provide more accurate information and to seek legal and institutional measures to reduce social controversy and stakeholder conflicts related to FTA Direct Damage Compensation System. For this purpose, the similarities and differences between the US TAAF and Korea s FTA Direct Damage Compensation System were compared and the following implications were drawn. First, it is necessary to alleviate three requirements: total imports, FTA imports, and domestic prices. At the same time, individual farmers eligibility(application conditions) need to impose not only production or sales facts but also conditions that demonstrate the impact of falling prices, so that farmers with substantial income losses can be supported. Second, the HSK code for the analysis of import volume requirements, which is one of the requirements for FTA direct damage compensation, is very important. Therefore, it is necessary to increase the transparency of system operation by specifying the scope of HSK for each item in the law or the enforcement decree in detail. Third, in the case of compensation program for closing, the effect of the closing of a certain item has caused a ballooning effect, such as the increase in the cultivation area of another item of the same category, leading to a price drop. This is a simple aid, and it is impossible to control supply in the medium to long term. Therefore, rather than paying subsidies unconditionally, it is necessary to change the method to pay a certain amount of subsidies depending on whether or not to establish a conversion plan through education and consulting programs. This will free up the WTO regulations on domestic subsidies and effectively support farmers affected by FTA imports.
이현근 ( Lee Hyun-keun ),석준호 ( Seok Joon-ho ),김상효 ( Kim Sang-hyo ),문한필 ( Moon Han-pil ),채상현 ( Chai Sang-hyen ) 한국식품유통학회 2020 食品流通硏究 Vol.37 No.1
This study investigates the casual relationship between kimchi imports from China, prices of napa cabbage, dried red pepper, garlic, and onion in Korea considering the increase trend of kimchi imports from China. To analyze the level of relative explanation power between kimchi imports and prices of raw materials for kimchi, this paper utilizes the Geweke(1982) method. Furthermore, we also adapt the Directed Acyclic Graph method to capture the contemporaneous causation. While kimchi imports granger cause napa cabbage price, napa cabbage price leads kimchi imports based on the contemporaneous causation concept. Kimchi imports also granger cause prices of dried red pepper and garlic. And this granger causations’ explanation levels on bivariate linear relationship are very high. Our results imply that kimchi imports from China have an impact on kimchi producers and consumers as well as producers for raw materials of kimchi in Korea. In turn, the government should develop the general policy to maintain stability of supply and demand for kimchi’s raw materials.
박성재(Seong-jae Park),박준기(Joon-kee Park),송주호(Ju-ho Song),채광석(Gwang-seok Chae),문한필(Han-pil Moon) 한국농촌경제연구원 2011 한국농촌경제연구원 정책연구보고서 Vol.- No.-
This study is aimed to suggest how to improve performance and efficiency of government subsidy programs for agricultural sector. More specifically, it is designed to address followings: First, general definition of agricultural support and the classified catalogue of WTO domestic support are reviewed. Second, the current status of agricultural support is examined and a direction of its reform is proposed. Third, an appropriate size of agricultural support is considered. Finally, it suggests ways to revamp direct payments, individual subsidy programs, and the management system of implementing agricultural support, which are major issues in the agricultrual support reform. Agricultural subsidies have brought about a set of positive effects on competitiveness, SOC, R&D, and restructuring in the sector, even though too many subsidy programs, each having different goal and target and inefficiency of their implementation have been pinpointed as shortcomings. However, agricultural subsidies have also produced some adverse effects on the sector. First, they have spurred dependence on government aids and weaken farmers’ ability to stand on their own. Second, problems associated with direct payment are pointed out, including its concentration on rice and paddy field, overproduction of rice, a lack of incentive for upland field corps which are in short of production. Third, the projects as FTA countermeasures have so high portion of support, 74.4% that much concern is being voiced about deepening dependence on government and excess demand for the pojects. Fourth, there exist inefficient factors in the management system of budget and fund. Finally, government-oriented fiscal funds would stand in the way of private investment in agriculture. This study focuses on the reforms of direct payments, individual subsidy programs, and their implementing system. The principle of the reforms is based on the consensus from the ’Committee of Advanced Agriculture and Fishery(2009.07)’. Each subsidy program is reconsidered to determine whether it should be abolished, be integrated with other program, be changed to loan program, or be adjusted with lower share of support, and so on. In this stage, the reform of agricultural direct payments would be conducted focusing on the modification of rice direct payment. In order to mitigate overproduction of rice, the variable payment needs to be coupled with production costs. The newly discussed public-service direct payment is not widely shared opinions yet and would be difficult in securing enough fund for implementation. However, in the near future when further opening of domestic agriculture starts to lower profitability of upland crops, a comprehensive reform of agricultural direct payments will be required.