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      • 漸增主義의 定義와 問題點

        文仁洙 慶一大學校 1990 論文集 Vol.6 No.1

        This study is to explore various definitions of incrementalism and its problems. This research examined twelve definitions of incrementalism with descriptive analysis. The major findings are such as: (1) the definitions of incrementalism as a decision making process are the consideration of non-innovative alternatives, the restriction of alternatives, the sequential consideration of alternatives, the limited assessment of policy consequences, and means-ends dependency; (2) the other as a budgetary outcome are inattention to the base, small change, narrow-role negotiation, the absence of competition, the regularity of relationships, and the lacks of external variable effect; and (3) the simple decision rule is also a widely employed definition. However, as a model for budgetary decision, incrementalism is redefined as, "achieving an aggreement among participants who have limited roles in the budgetary decision making process, the budget outcomes are the marginal change of the base which provides criteria for requesting budget." The problems of incrementalism are inaccurate definition and inappropriate premises. The foumer factors are process and output, analytical objects, base, and small change. And the latter ones are decision criteria, independent variables, and participant's role. In short, it is necessary to establish clear limitations of definitions so as to improve validity, as well as applicability of incrementalism.

      • 韓國政府의 豫算決定 分析

        文仁洙 慶一大學校 1992 論文集 Vol.8 No.1

        This thesis is designed to analyze the outcomes of the budgetary decision-making in the Korean Government in order to review whether the budgeting is incremental or not. This study explored the outcomes of the Korean budget making with the focus on the change rate of the current year based on the previous year and the previous year's budget as a base for the current year. The analysis methods were univariate analysis, autoregression analysis, and prosperity score. With respect to the analysis of the outcomes, the major findings are as follows : First, 77.3 percent of the total Budget Expenditure of 1971-1992 fell in the range of incremental change with the application of the criteria of 30 percent incremental change. Second, the Ministry of Education and te Ministry of Agriculture, Forestries and Fisheries showed low rate of incremental change. Third, the Defense Expenditures showed a stable change. The 90.4 percent of it showed below the criteria. Fourth, in case of the Social Development Expenditures, the 59.5 percent of total budget showed below the criteria while 66.7 percent in the case of the Economic Development Expenditures. With respect to the role of the previous budget as a base for the next year's budget, the major findings are as follows : First, both the National Budget Expenditures and the Budget Expenditures by Agency relied heavily on the previous year's budget expenditures. Second, in terms of the Budget Expenditures by Function, budget categories less dependent on the previous year's budget expenditures were the Social Development Expenditures, and the Economic Development Expenditures.

      • 豫算機能에 關한 考察

        文仁洙 慶一大學校 1990 論文集 Vol.6 No.1

        This paper is designed to review and systemize the bubgetary functions with employing the descriptive approach. The analytical results of this study are as follows: First, There are two types of budgetary functions, both of manifest and latent, which imply the pursued objectives and the desired consequences of the budgetary system. Also the budgetary functions differ from the perspectives, the concept of budget, the changing patterns of organizational theories, the political leader's concerns, and the bahavior of line and staff. Second, with reviewing the budgetary functions discussed by Neumark, MaTu No, Schick, Schultze, Hyde and Shafritz, Lynch, and Axelrod, the functions were categorized by criteria of political science, public administration, and economics that are supra-disciplines for budget theory. For example, the political functions are vehicle of responsiveness to the citizen's interests(values), securing methods of supports, controlling, and/or responsibility. The management functions are tools for policy making, public relations, motivation, administrative responsibility. And the planning functions are devices for efficiency, rational allocation of resources, expedition of reform, and program evaluation. Thire, Line-Item Budgeting is suitable for accountability, legislative control over executive branch, Performance Budgeting, for public relations, motivation, and management, and Planning Programming Budgeting, for policy making, efficiency, resource allocation, and program evaluation.

      • 政府投資機關의 民營化

        文仁洙 慶一大學校 1993 論文集 Vol.9 No.1

        This study is designed to review the theories of privatization and the reality of the Government Invested Enterprises and explore the criteria, objects, and problems of privatization in Korea. This paper provides useful policy data for the reform of the privatization and for the future study in this field. This study, first, examined the theoretical background for privatization : definition of privatization, pressures for privatization : pragmatic, ideological, commercial, populist pressure, claims for and against privatization, alternative arrangements for privatization : the sale of stocks, contracts, franchises, grants, vouchers, and deregulation. Second, this paper explained the reality and administrative performance of the Government Invested Enterprieses. Third, this study attempted to explore the reality, criteria, objects, and problems of privatization. Based upon the criteria, many Government Invested Enterprises and their sub-companies should be selected as the target of privatization. In conclusion, the privatization of the Government Invested Enterprises is the world -wide trend. But, the privatization is no panacea. Therefore, the privatization policy should be implemented according to the rational, rigid criteria and objective judgement.

      • ISC3를 이용한 서울시 대기질 모델링

        정일래,권오열,안효승,문인수 서울産業大學校 1999 논문집 Vol.49 No.2

        In this study ISC3(Industrial Source Complex Ver.3) model is applied to Seoul area (1) to evaluate the applicability of ISC3 by comparing the model results and the measured results under control of Seoul City Government and Han-River Environmental Management Office, and (2) propose the direction of future air pollution management of Seoul area by looking at contributing intensity of point, line and area sources, of which each has different dispersion characteristics, to the air quality. The results of the study, of which pollutant is SO₂ and the year is 1996, are summarized as follows. First, the model results are very similar to those of the measured, showing the regression coefficient(except 4 data of which errors are big) is 0.72 in case of 10 meters height of area source and 0.71 in case of 5 meters height of area source. Therefore ISC3 is judged to be applicable to Seoul area of which comprises of a variety of source types and topographically rolling terrains. Second, for Seoul area, total SO₂emissions are 31.4% from the point sources and the rest 68.6% from the area sources, while contributing weights are 17.39% from the point sources and 82.61% from the area sources in case of 10 meters height of area source, and 16.15% from the point sources and 83.85% from the area sources in case of 5 meters height of area source. Therefore the area sources impact surface concentrations much more than the point sources. Interpreting the second result in terms of contributing intensities which we define the ratio of surface concentration X area and source emissions, contributing intensities of Seoul area are 0.55 for point sources and 1.20 for area sources in case of 10 meters height of area source, and 0.51 for point sources and 1.22 for area sources in case of 5 meters height of area source. Thus the contributing intensity of area sources appears to be approximately as twice as that of point sources. Overall results show that the control of area sources is more urgent and effective than that of point sources in view point of air quality management of SO₂.

      • 도시 대기질 모델의 상호 비교연구

        권오열,문인수 서울産業大學校 1999 논문집 Vol.50 No.2

        Two air quality models, ISCLT3 and CDM2, are inter-compared by the analysis of computer program algorithms and modeling results of Seoul Metropolitan Area. Two models use almost similar algorithm such as Gaussian type plume dispersion, meteorological consideration, plume buoyance effect etc.. The main difference is that ISCLT3 includes the rolling terrain effect but CDM2 does not. Model results of Seoul Metropolitan Area in 1996 showed that the ISCLT3 result was much closer to the measured result(under control of Seoul City Government and Han-River Environmental Management Office) than the CDM2 result in terms of the Relative Error and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) The Average Relative Error of ISCLT3 was -4.15% while that of CDM2 was -64.48%. Therefore ISCLT3 is believed to be a better option in air quality modeling of Seoul Metropolitan Area which is composed of rolling terrains.

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