우리 나라 임산물무역에 대한 목재인증제의 잠재적 영향

주린원,이성윤 한국임학회 2000 한국산림과학회지 Vol.89 No.3

This study was conducted to examine the recent developments in timber certification schemes at global level such as FSC certification and ISO 14001 system and to analyze their potential impacts on the Korean forest products trade. Data and information on standards and procedure of timber certification and certified forest lands were collected from relevant papers, statistics and reports published by regional and international organizations. In order to analyze the impacts on the Korean forest products trade, questionnaire survey to the affected parties was conducted on acknowledge of key words relating to environment and trade and on the additional amount of willingness to pay for a labeled timber from environmentally sound and sustainably managed forests. Quantities of certified timbers supplied would continue to increase due to lots of timber certification schemes developed and implemented at national, regional and global levels and growing interests in certification from many countries. Demand for certified timbers, however, is far from clear at this stage. The deciding factor would be consumer reaction to the certified products. In the short run, the timber certification would have a little impacts on forest products imports into Korean markets since domestic purchasers do not have much interests in environment related trade measures and their willingness to pay price premiums for certified timbers is not high. However, it could be expected that timber certification has negative impacts on exports of forest products, such as flooring and plywood, to developed European markets where timber certification is used as a trade barrier.

경제 정책 휴양 분야 ( 농학관 ) : 우리나라 원목 , 제재목 , 합판시장의 추세 예측

주린원,이성연,전현선 한국임학회 1998 한국임학회 학술발표논문집 Vol.1998 No.-

주제발표 : WTO/DDA 농업협상의 영향과 단기소득임산물 수입관리 방안

주린원 한국임학회 2003 한국임학회 심포지엄 Vol.2003 No.-

국내의 기존 목재시장모델에 관한 이론적 고찰 및 앞으로의 연구방향

주린원,정영관 ( Rin Won Joo,Young Gwan Chung ) 한국산림경제학회 1993 산림경제연구 Vol.1 No.1

뉴질랜드의 목재생산지역별 조림투자기회 (造林投資機會)

주린원,이성연 한국산림경제학회 1995 산림경제연구 Vol.3 No.1

The objective of this study is to provide the relevant information for the judgement on the possibility of investment in radiate pine planting project in New Zealand by wood supply region. For this end, forest resources, present status and prospect of log production and export, investment environment, and overseas investment policy of New Zealnd are examined based on the open literature and reports published by Ministry of Forestry, New Zealand. Land areas available for planting radiata pine are estimated to be 9.3 million hectares throughout New Zealand. Purchase prices of lands suitable for the establishment of radiata pine plantation range from NZ $ 400/ha to NZ $ 3,500/ha, averaging NZ $ 1,200/ha. Internal rate of return(IRR) on investment is 10∼14% for Auckland region, 7∼13% for Northland region, and 7∼12% for the other wood supply regions. These profitabilities appear to be relatively high compared to those in major producers of radiata pine logs. In addition, New Zealand government welcome overseas investment in plantation forestry actively. Overseas Investment Regulations 1985, Land Settlement Promotion and Land Acquisition Act 1952, Forestry Rights Registration Act 1983, and Resource Management Act 1991 are key legislations generally applicable to overseas investment in plantation forestry. The provisions of these laws have to be examined in detail prior to entering investment phase because they regulate land purchase by foreigners and land use for the establishment of plantation in any specific zones. Large area of lands suitable for the establishment of radiata pine plantation, relatively high profitability of radiata pine planting project, short recovery period of capital invested, strong government policy on attracting foreign capital, and various investment options provided make New Zealand one of the best regions for overseas planting investment in order to secure supply source of radiata pine logs imported from New Zealand and Chile and to substitute radita pine logs for softwood logs imported from the North America.

DDA 農業協商의 影響과 短期所得林産物 輸入管理 方案

朱麟源 한국산림경제학회 2003 산림경제연구 Vol.11 No.1

본 논문은 WTO 농업협상 특별회의 의장이 배포한 시장접근에 대한 세부원칙 1차 초안의 수정안을 검토하고 수정안이 채택된다는 가정하에 수정안에서 제시한 관세감축과 시장접근 물량의 증량이 국내 주요 단기소득임산물 수입에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 또한 금후 DDA 협상타결에 의한 단기소득임산물의 수입증가에 대비하여 국내 단기소득임산물산업의 보호를 위한 수입관리 방안을 제시하였다. 수정안이 제시한 관세감축률은 우리나라 주요 단기소득임산물의 관세율을 큰 폭 감소시킬 것으로 분석되었고, 시장접근물량의 증량은 잣, 대추의 수입을 크게 증가시킬 것으로 분석되었다. 현재 진행 중인 DDA 농업협상은 UR 때보다 더 큰 폭의 관세감축률과 시장접근물량의 증량으로 타결될 것으로 예상되고 있다. 따라서 수입급증에 의한 국내 단기소득임산물 산업에 미치는 피해를 최소화하기 위해서는 긴급 수입제한조치를 적절히 활용하고, 탄력관세제도를 합리적으로 운영하고, 관세구조를 개선해야 하고, 밀수방지를 위한 세관검사를 강화해야 할 것이다. The study analyzes the revision of the first draft of modalities for market access circulated by the chairman of the Committee on Agriculture, WTO and the impacts of reduction in tariffs and expansion of tariff quota volume on imports of major non-timber forest products under the assumption that the draft is adopted. It also suggests the measures of import administration in order to protect domestic non-timber forest products industries from rapid increase in imports. The results show that tariffs for major non timber forest products would be greatly reduced if the rate of reduction in tariffs suggested in the draft was applied and that imports of pine nut and jujube would be significantly increased by the expansion of their tariff quota volumes. It is expected that ongoing DDA Negotiations on Agriculture would conclude to reduce tariffs and to expand tariff quota volume much greater than UR did. Thus, in order to minimize the damage to domestic industries by rapid increase in imports, Safeguard should be appropriately utilized, the flexible tariff scheme should should be rationally operated, the existing tariff structure should be improved and customs inspection to prevent smuggling should be strengthened.

특별코너 : 제주시험림의 사회,경제적 환경 조사

주린원,송영근,김재성,김철상,이성연,박경석,배재수,정병헌,김외정,강동일 한국임학회 2004 한국임학회 학술발표논문집 Vol.2004 No.-

우리나라 산림의 지속가능성 평가

주린원,이성연,김기동,정세경,김성호,성주한 한국임학회 2007 한국임학회 학술발표논문집 Vol.2007 No.-

우리나라의 목재수급 동향과 전망

주린원 한국산림경영인협회 2004 山林經營 Vol.165 No.-

WTO 농업협정의 이행평가와 단기소득임산물 시장에 미친 영향

주린원(Rin Won Joo),정병헌(Byung Heon Jung),전현선(Hyon Sun Jeon),김의경(Eui Gyeong Kim),김외정(Wae Jung Kim) 한국산림과학회 2001 한국산림과학회지 Vol.90 No.3

The objectives of this study were to assess implementation on tariff quotas and tariff cuts committed in the WTO as result of Uruguay Round(UR) negotiations and to examine impacts of reductions in agricultural protection agreed in the UR on major non-timber forest products markets. The implementation of WTO Agreement on Agriculture was analysed based on the relevant data and statistics. The impacts of implementation on tariff cuts and tariff quotas on non-timber forest products markets were estimated by using supply and demand elasticities from previous studies and data on production, consumption and trade after UR. The quantities of Chestnut, Pine nut and Jujube imported by the system of tariff quota did not exceed the committed quotas over the five years from 1995 to 1999. The current level of applied rates on imports of non-timber products is much lower than that of bound rates, which will be maintained until the year 2004. It is estimated that increase in imports after UR reduced prices and that reduction in prices led to decrease in expenditure and to increase in consumer surplus. It is estimated, however, that production level significantly decreased due to rise in imports and that the negative effects on production exceeded positive effects on consumption. Exports of most non-timber forest products decreased after UR even though non-timber forest products could gain access to the export markets at the lower tariffs as a result of UR.