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이학노(Hak-Loh Lee) 한국관세학회 2009 관세학회지 Vol.10 No.4
The article attempts to analyze the legal requirement and economic effect of Korea's tariff-quota policy, studying the case of the synthetic resin products. The products at issue, synthetic resins, arouse very serious socio-political and economic conflicts among producers and consumers. Korea's adoption of the tariff-quota on synthetic resins does not seem to meet the legal requirements of the Customs Law in that the domestic supply was quite excessive beyond apparent domestic demand. The policy, however, aimed to mitigate the price hike in the domestic market by the potential import pressure. The policy seemed to contribute to stabilizing the price of the synthetic resins in the Korean market. In three year implementation, the policy reduced the volume of the import quota and returned the tariff to almost pre-tariff-quota level. The retuning of the policy to the pre-tariff-quota regime seems to lack the economic senses although it went an inch to meet the legal requirements of the law.
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이학노(Hak Loh Lee),한진현(Jin-Hyun Han),이명훈(Myung Hoon Yi) 에너지경제연구원 2010 에너지경제연구 Vol.9 No.2
전력피크 방정식의 회귀분석 결과와 분산분해분석 결과에 의하면 전력피크는 과거의 관성적인 전력사용 행태에 가장 큰 영향을 받는 것으로 분석됐다. 그리고 전력피크는 고온과 저온 및 GDP와 양의 관계를 갖고, 전기요금에 음의 관계를 가지며, 전기와 도시가스는 대체재의 관계를 갖는 것으로 분석됐다. 단기예측 결과 2010년의 하계 전력 피크는 8월에 68,993∼69,732㎿의 수준을 보일 것으로 예측되어 전력예비율은 7.4∼8.4%수준으로 전망됐다. 이러한 전력피크에 대한 체계적인 관리를 위해서 수요관리정책, 절전정책, 가격정책, 전력 감축 기자재 보급정책, 에너지 효율화정책, 직접부하관리 정책 등 전통적인 기법에 기초한 수요관리정책뿐만 아니라 인센티브 기반 수요반응, 요금제 기반 수요반응, 스마트그리드 기반 수요반응 등 시장경제원리에 기초한 수요반응정책도 함께 추구해야 할 것이다. Regression analysis and variance decomposition on electricity peak show that electricity peaks are mainly affected by their past behaviors, and also show that electricity peaks are positively related with the hot and cold weather and GDP, negatively related with electricity price. And electricity is a substitute for city gas. According to the short run prediction, summer electricity peak of 2010 will happen in August and it will range from 68,993∼69,732㎿, which corresponds to 7.4∼8.4% reserve margin. The policy responses on electricity peaks will be not only the demand management of electricity, saving electricity, electricity price increase, but also incentive compatible demand response, price compatible demand response, smart grid based demand response.
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이학노(Hak-Loh Lee),김미정(Mea-Jung Kim) 한국관세학회 2011 관세학회지 Vol.12 No.4
We can not recognize all the problems in global business without talking about the importance of FDI(foreign direct investment). In particular, Korea can not overlook the importance of China even in the aspect of economic dependence as well as geographical location. China as the largest exporter and largest importer of Korea is the country that gave the current account surpluses of $52.8 billion to Korea in 2010. Therefore, Korea should increase the FDI volume considering the two sides, that is trade and investment sides at the same time by changing the economic dependent manner. Korea should also increase the FDI from China in order to make trade-investment balance between two countries. The results of this study can bring up the basic strategies for FDI incentives as follows: 1) preparing productive FDI strategy from China, 2) recognizing win-win cooperation with China, 3) establishing standing FDI inducing system, 4) creating FDI demand for Korea and China, 5) making the FDI service system by close contact and customizing service. It is important not only to analyze the two-side-characteristics of potential investment power of China money correctly but also to increase the trustworthy between China and Korea in order to succeed the FDI strategy from China. And increasing the competitiveness of Korean economy should also be supported. In particular, FDI strategy for China money needs to approach with rule-breaker style and to develop new business or item for China money.
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국제통상 ; 러시아와의 통상분쟁 해결의 협상론적 분석 -시안화나트륨에 대한 세이프가드 사례를 중심으로-
이학노 ( Hak Loh Lee ) 국제지역학회 2009 국제지역연구 Vol.13 No.1
2005년 10월 러시아 정부는 한국 시안화나트륨 수입에 대해 세이프가드 조치를 검토하기 시작하였다. 한국측으로서는 양국간 통상마찰 전례가 별로 없었고 WTO 미가입국인 러시아와의 통상협상에서 선진국 등 WTO 가입국과는 이질적인 협상 환경에 놓이게 되었다. 러시아와의 협상에서도 목표의 설정, 협상력의 제고, 정보의 획득, 관계의 개선 등 일반적인 통상협상의 요소들이 적용될 수 있었지만 정보접근의 제약, 제도와 절차의 불확실성이라는 새로운 제약요인이 나타났다. 한국측은 이러한 제약요인을 극복하고 협상력을 제고하기 위하여 정부간 협상을 제의하였고 러시아 수요업계의 협조, WTO규정과 러시아 관련법규의 해석, 수집된 정보의 활용 등을 통해서 러시아측의 시안화나트륨 조사가 기각되는 결과를 유도하였다. 향후 WTO 미가입국과의 통상마찰에 대비하기 위하여 상시적인 정보 수집채널이 구축될 필요성이 있다. 본 연구가 러시아와 유사한 협상 환경을 가진 국가와의 통상협상에서 활용되기를 기대한다. In October 2005, the Russian government started an investigation if safeguard measures against the importation of Korean sodium cyanide products could be taken. With Russia being a non-WTO member country, the Korean side found themselves in different situation from previous negotiation cases with developed or WTO member countries. Although several elements of trade negotiation theories such as goal setting, bargaining power, and relationship could apply, new constraints of limited information access and uncertainty of administrative procedures should be overcome. Combination of the governmental negotiation, assistance of the Russian consumer group, and the application of related laws led the Russian authority to dismiss the case. I suggest that there be some built-in channels for gathering information of non-WTO member countries.
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석유개발 교섭력 결정 단계 및 중동지역 교섭력 강화 방안 연구
이학노(Hak-Loh Lee) 한국무역연구원 2010 무역연구 Vol.6 No.4
Korea imports most of the crude oil it consumes. Korea has been pursuing active overseas exploration and production(E&P) in such areas as Middle-East, Central Asia, Latin America, and Africa in order to mitigate eco-political uncertainties stemming from oil price peaks. Relatively modest attentions has been paid to the Middle East where oil reserves and productions have been the most in the world. Korea has been in good relationship with the Middle-East than the USA and the European countries have. Korea has recovered from cruel war and complete destruction of economic bases, has been importing most of crude oil from the Middle-East, and have long participated in the construction project in the Middle-East. Korea has been the primary provider of de-salination plants in the Middle-East and has been operators of petroleum and petro-chemical plants there. The Middle-East countries keep controlling stakes in Korea's refinery companies and wish to acquire Korea's hi-tech industrial development. The paper introduces Oil Development Bargaining Stages and suggests that Korea use some ways to enhance bargaining powers in E&P negotiations with the Middle-East countries.
ScienceON
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