빅데이터를 활용한 코로나19 이후 전국의 유동인구 및 매출액 변화 분석

이삼수(LEE, Sam-su),문준경(Moon-Jun-kyung),윤병훈(Yoon, Byung-hun) 한국부동산정책학회 2021 不動産政策硏究 Vol.22 No.2

This study analyzed the relationship between the occurrence of COVID-19 and urban space density at the city level across the country, and suggested the direction of future urban policy by referring to the population and economic activities in the city due to COVID-19. In this regard, the research results are summarized as follows. First, the 10 places with a large number of confirmed cases compared to the density of the population are mountainous areas at the county level (Gangwon-gun, Yeoncheon-gun, Bonghwa-gun, and Cheongdo-gun, Gyeongsangbuk-do), and are mass-infected areas for specific facilities such as military units and nursing facilities. Second, in the case of floating population and sales, the rate of decrease is high in metropolitan cities with high population size and population density. It can be seen that the outbreak of COVID-19 affects the floating population and sales in large cities with high population density. In large cities, the decrease in floating population and sales was large due to the direct impact of COVID-19, while in small and medium-sized local cities, the decrease in floating population and sales was smaller than in large cities. Third, various research results explain the relationship between population density and infectious diseases, and in Korea, it was analyzed that the correlation between population density in administrative districts and urban areas and the number of confirmed cases would not be statistically significant. In 2020, some regional specificities such as group infection were reflected, so the correlation with density is low, but in 2021, it is necessary to analyze the relationship with density in more depth due to the nationwide spread. This study is meaningful as a basic study that can be used as basic data to present new directions for carbon-neutral urban planning, that is, urban policy, to cope with disasters and climate change in the future.

산업단지 정책 및 입지변화 특성 고찰

이삼수(Lee, Sam-Su),이현주(LEE, Hyeon-Joo),김태균(Kim, Tae-Gyun),김선우(Kim, Sun-Woo) 한국지역개발학회 2013 韓國地域開發學會誌 Vol.25 No.4

The goal of this research is to explore policies and locational change patterns of industrial complex to suggest policy implications for industrial complex development and regeneration in Korea. The major findings of this study are as follows. First, the size and type of industrial complex are showing different characteristics depending on the region. Second, the type and economic impact of industrial complex are showing different characteristics depending on the time of the designation. Third, the changes of location center of industrial complex may appear differently according to industrial complex characteristics, Fourth, the deregulation of policy and licensing procedures of industrial complex was increased industrial complex rapidly. Finally, Since 2020, the old industrial complex is expected to increased rapidly. Accordingly, the establishment of an early industrial complex regeneration strategy is needed. Therefore, the policies for industrial complex development and regeneration are needed in consideration of spatial patterns and locational attributes of industrial complex.

개발이익환수제도의 유형과 운용사례 연구 - 일본의 제도와 유형별 사례

이삼수(Lee, Sam-Su),이재수(Lee, Jae-Su) 도시정책학회 2016 도시부동산연구 Vol.7 No.2

The study intends to examine types and cases of the restitution of development benefit system in Japan. It then presents several institutional and planning implications for securing more effective system in Korea. Above all, a variety of measures have been administered including internalization measures, direct restitution measures and indirect restitution measures. Second, public consensus about the restitution system has been achieved and various programs have been applied in Japan. In addition, administration authorities of the system and programs have been transferred from the central to local government. The beneficiary charge program is stipulated in the Local Government Act in Japan. In the long term, indirect measures for recapturing development benefits through taxation coupled with direct measures need to be established.

TIF와 BID를 활용한 도시재생사업의 자금조달 및 관리운영 방안 연구

이삼수(Sam-su LEE),이재수(Jae-su, LEE) 한국도시행정학회 2013 도시 행정 학보 Vol.26 No.1

본 연구는 도시재생사업의 공공성 확보 및 지속가능성 확보를 위하여 TIF와 BID를 연계·활용한 도시재생사업으로서 시사점을 도출하고자 하였다. 연구의 주요결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 디자인가이드라인에 의한 개발컨트롤을 들 수 있다. 강의 호안으로부터 15m이내의 전체 민간개발을 건축심사의 대상으로 하여 리버워크 가이드라인에 따르도록 유도하고, 개발자에게 물리적, 심리적, 시각적, 경제적인 4개의 접근성(access)을 통해 지역활성화를 촉진하였다. 둘째, TIF와 BID를 동시에 활용한 사업자금의 조달을 들 수 있다. 리버워크 건설비의 78%를 TIF에 의한 기채(bond inssuance), 22%를 보조금 및 기부금으로 조달함으로서 BID의 특별조세분(special tax)은 잉여금으로서 관리·운영비로 활용하였다. 셋째, BID 조직에 의한 건설 및 준공후의 지역정비, 관리·운영을 들 수 있다. BID가 준공 후의 관리·운영, 이벤트기획·광고 등의 활동 경비는 BID의 특별조세로 충당하고 있다. 따라서 리버워크 재생사업의 성공요인은 공공부문의 TIF를 통한 지속적인 재원확보를 가능하게 하고 BID조직에 의한 자립적인 건설과 운영의 실시, 그리고 시가 적극적으로 가이드라인(Milwaukee Riverlink Guidelines)에 의한 개발을 유도하는 등 명확한 목표를 설정하고 있었기 때문으로 판단된다. This study intends to suggest policy implications for making urban regeneration projects sustainable by integrating Tax Increment Financing and Business Improvement District for maximizing public interests. Major findings are as follows. First, a number of improvement and development projects are controlled by the Milwaukee Riverlink Guidelines. All private developments need to be follow the guidelines through review process when they are within fifteen-meter boundary from the revetments of the Milwaukee River. In order to facilitate regional revitalization, four accesses, i.e. physical, mental, visual and economic access are provided for developers. Second, both Tax Increment Financing and Business Improvement District are utilized to provide funds for various construction projects. 78 percent of total RiverWalk construction costs are funded by Tax Increment Financing bond issuance, and remaining 22 percent of total costs are paid off by government subsidies and contributions. Third, the organization of the Business Improvement District has consistently participated in improvement, management and maintenance activities. Business Improvement District special tax as a surplus fund is allocated to making up the costs for managements and maintenances, events and advertisements. Key elements for the success of the RiverWalk Initiative in Milwaukee include sustainable funding by the public entities through the Tax Increment Financing, voluntary construction and management activities by the Business Improvement District organization, and the city government’s leadership in encouraging riverfront construction and private development projects following the design guidelines.

서울시 정비사업의 주택공급 특성 및 공급가능 물량 분석

이삼수(Lee, Sam-Su),이석제(Lee, Seo-kje),권치흥(Kwon, Chi-hung) 한국부동산정책학회 2020 不動産政策硏究 Vol.21 No.2

This paper analyzed the contribution of housing supply based on the progress of redevelopment and reconstruction projects among the improvement project in Seoul. By analyzing the project promotion stage of the improvement project, the amount of housing available from 2020 to 2035 was calculated. The implications of the improvement project for the housing supply policy are as follows. First, housing supply characteristics accounted for over 70% of apartments compared to the total number of homes supplied in the 2000s, but fell below 50% after 2010. Second, from 2005 to 2018, the contribution of the housing supply to the improvement project compared to the new number of housing supply has been continuously decreasing to about 22.2%. Third, it is expected that total of 390,000 units will be supplied by 2035 by the improvement project. And it is expected to supply 85,000 units by 25, 16,200 units by 26-30, and 14,200 units by 30. Lastly, the amount of housing available for each period of completion of the improvement project is expected to surge to 15,000 units annually from 20 to 25 years and 32,000 units from 26 to 30 years. Therefore, the improvement project takes a long period of time, and there is a limit to the short-term housing supply policy. It is necessary to convert the old housing in the down town into a housing policy for rational housing stock management.

외국의 중심시가지활성화를 위한 BID(Business Improvement Districts)에 관한 연구

이삼수(Lee, Sam-Su),전재범(Jun, Jae-Bum) 한국지역개발학회 2010 韓國地域開發學會誌 Vol.22 No.1

There have been continuous efforts to introduce policies and measures for revitalizing local businesses and industries which became obsolete physically and economically in downtown areas. Those strategies can play a significant role for leveraging local economic growth as well as improving environmental quality of the areas. In particular, the consistency of the residents’voluntary participation and the public support made it possible to achieve local economic development and cultural and community revitalization in downtown areas of developed countries. Among a variety of relevant endeavors, BID (Business Improvement District) is considered as one of the most important measures which has become popular in the U.S., the U.K., Germany and Canada. This study introduces and compares some BIDs and similar measures which have been implemented in the U.S., the U.K. and Japan. Then, it investigates major issues related to backgrounds, purposes and specific contents of the strategies when they are put into effect. The purpose of this research is to suggest some implications for introducing innovative urban policies and measures for regenerating depressed urban areas and stagnant downtown areas physically and economically. They can include grass-roots organization and self-sustaining financing strategies through the partnership among local residents, municipalities and central authorities.

수도권 노후공동주택 현황 및 재건축 수요분석

이삼수(Lee, Sam-Su),주현태(Joo, Hyun-Tae) 한국부동산정책학회 2019 不動産政策硏究 Vol.20 No.2

This study closely analyzes the status of old multi-family housing complexes in Korea, especially the Seoul Metropolitan Area(SMA). Accordingly, this study attempted to derive implications related to the regeneration of old apartment complexes by empirically analyzing the change of reconstruction volume according to the project promotion. The results of this study are as follows. First, the regeneration policy related to aging apartments, that is, the reconstruction policy, has been extended from 40 to 30 years. This has a direct impact on the regeneration of old apartments due to delays in actual business promotion despite the increase in target volume. Second, In the case of more than 20 years in the past year, more than one-third of multi-unit housing complexes in the SMA are subject to reconstruction projects, which is likely to cause housing problems. Third, In our view, there will be limits to the regeneration projects such as reconstruction of old multi-family housing complexes. Lastly, the reconstruction volume was calculated based only on the number of years of construction of old multi-family housing complexes. And it is time to systematically manage inventory housing.

MB정부의 토지규제개선 추진실적 및 성과에 관한 연구

이삼수(Sam-su LEE),정연우(Yeun-woo JEONG),임동빈(Dong-bin LIM) 한국도시행정학회 2011 도시 행정 학보 Vol.24 No.1

The incumbent administration has been performing a number of regulation reforms throughout the whole national system, one of which was to reform land use regulations for enhancing the competitiveness and the territorial quality of our country. The study intended to assess the achievements and performance outcomes of the reform drive through examining the whole process and relevant petitions. The Presidential Council on Nation Competitiveness has brought forth 136 out of about 1,300 tasks examined for the land use regulation reforms through 24 meetings since its launch. It has also made an attempt to improve the regulatory system by receiving 263 petitions related to land use regulations that were faced by business people, residents and other stakeholders. One achievements of its institutional reforms was to make better overall administrative procedure that was connected with land use controls; however, other institutional reforms such as revising relevant laws and rules was not properly accomplished in time due to difficulty in the legislation procedure and the problems inherent in the institutional system itself and so on. In order to achieve higher national competitiveness and territorial quality, the land use regulation reforms should take short-term and mid and long-term perspectives into consideration. It is necessary to resolve simple petitions and reform the legal procedure in the short run; on the other hand, it is vital to make land use regulations pragmatic and rational in the long run. This research concentrated on the short-term performance assessment of the land use deregulations; the mid and long-term performance assessment, however, needs to be conducted in terms of social and economic effects through the regulation reforms.

개발부담금 개발비용의 특성 분석을 통한 표준비용 확대 적용방안 연구

이삼수(Lee, Sam-Su),이상준(Lee, Sang-Jun),정다운(Jeong, Da-Woon) 한국지역개발학회 2014 韓國地域開發學會誌 Vol.26 No.3

This study aims to analyze the traits of development cost by types of regions and development projects. For the purpose, this study investigates the difference of development cost per unit area(㎡) among regional groups and development project types. It also xamines the correlations between the development cost and its major components. Major findings are as follows. First, a significant difference is observed among the development costs by regional groups and development project types. Second, although the difference is statistically significant based on one-way ANOVA test, the post-hoc comparative result implies that the development cost cannot be completely separated by regional groups and development types; rather, they seem to be continuous by their types. Lastly, the development cost has relatively high correlation with net construction cost(0.760) and management cost(0.715). It is inferred that the difference of the development cost among regional and development types is resulted from either comparative high net construction and incidental costs, or high development cost per unit area due to regional attributes. However, both detailed database and continued monitoring are necessary for setting up and charging reasonable development cost.

지속가능한 도시재생을 위한 Area Management 적용 방안 연구 일본의 오사키 역세권과 요코하마 역세권의 사례

이삼수(Lee, Sam-Su),이재수(Lee, Jae-Su) 도시정책학회 2017 도시부동산연구 Vol.8 No.1

The study intends to investigate the area management of both Ohsaki and Yokohama station areas in Japan and make policy implications for sustainable urban regeneration in Korea. Attention is mainly paid in the study to the process, relevant plans and strategies and the mechanism of the area management. Major characteristics of the area management are as follows. First, the area management consists of both hardware and software activities, while focusing on software programs and activities. It is important to ensure public involvement including residents, landowners and businesses as well as the major role of public entities. They also need to work in close collaboration and cooperation with each other. In order to do it consistently, it is necessary to determine area management district; then, decisions on goals, contents and process should be made based on the characteristics of the target area. In addition, it is important to organize stakeholder groups, establish operation and activity contents, and ensure various funding resources.