부실 PF사업의 낙찰 결정 요인분석- 상호저축은행 공사중단 PF 사업장을 중심으로 -

심희철(Shim Hee Cheol),김재환(Kim Jae Hwan) 한국부동산학회 2017 不動産學報 Vol.71 No.-

본 연구는 공사가 중단된 부실 부동산 프로젝트 파이낸싱 사업장의 특성요인을 도출하고 어떠한 요인이 사업장의 낙찰에 영향을 주었는지 로짓모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 또한 공간적인 범위의 한계를 극복하기 위하여 기존 사업장의 내부요인과 함께 외부요인인 교통, 문화, 편의, 교육시설과의 연계성을 살펴보았다. 분석결과, 유의한 값을 가지는 변수로 건폐율(Exp(β)=.004), 규모(Exp(β)=1.002), 반경 5km 전철(Exp(β)=1.267), 근접한 대형마트(Exp (β)=.308), 반경 5km 초ᐧ중ᐧ고ᐧ대(Exp(β)=.968)로 나타났다. B값은 규모, 반경 5km 전철은 양(+)의 값으로 나타났으며 건폐율, 근접한 대형마트, 반경 5km 초ᐧ중ᐧ고ᐧ대는 음(-)의 값으로 나타났다. 즉, 규모가 크고 반경 5km 내에 전철역이 많이 존재 할수록 낙찰율이 증가하였고, 건폐율이 높고 근접한 대형마트가 가까이에 존재하고 반경 5km 내에 교육시설이 존재하면 오히려 낙찰율이 하락하는 결과를 도출했다. 분석결과를 통해 낙찰에 영향을 미치는 요인을 규명하였고, 또한 향후 진행 될 부실 PF 사업장에 낙찰에 영향을 미치는 요인들을 사전에 검토할 수 있는 기준을 제시할 수 있었다. 1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES In this study, the characteristic factors of the business site of insolvent real estate project financing were discontinued and analyzed by logistic model to determine what factor affected the successful bid of the business site. (2) RESEARCH METHOD The logistic regression analysis was used to identify the factors affecting the winning bid and to examine the connection between internal factors and external factors such as traffic, culture, convenience, and educational facilities in order to overcome the limits of space. (3) RESEARCH FINDING The analysis results show that variables of significant value were the building-to-land ratio(Exp(β)=.004), Size(Exp(β)=1.002) subways within a 5km radius(Exp(β)=1.267), adjacent large-scale supermarkets(Exp(β)=.308), and elementary, middle, or high schools or colleges within a 5km radius(Exp(β)=.968). The B value was positive(+) for the Size and subways within a 5km radius and negative(-) for the building-to-land ratio, adjacent large-scale supermarkets, and elementary, middle, or high schools or colleges within a 5km radius. In other words, the larger the number of subway stations within a radius of 5km, the higher the successful bidding rate. 2. RESULTS Those analysis results helped to identify factors influencing successful bidding and propose a set of criteria to review in advance factors that would affect successful bidding for insolvent PF establishments in the future.

지방재정투자사업 심사를 위한 지역개발 분야 가중치 적용에 관한 연구 : 주택개발사업을 대상으로

심희철(Shim, Hee Cheol),김재환(Kim, Jae Hwan) 한국주거환경학회 2020 주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집) Vol.18 No.2

This study examines the evaluation classification system for applying the weight of the regional development field among the areas of local financial investment project review, and allows reviewers to evaluate characteristics of housing development projects when evaluating matters such as appropriate, conditional, and re-examination when examining the actual investment project. It was intended to provide basic data for considering. To this end, a hierarchical structure diagram was established by analyzing the current status of previous studies and investment reviews. The hierarchical structure was classified into 5 hierarchies, and the structure was constructed to contain both practical and practical implications. In order to present the priority of weight for each facility, a comprehensive calibration was derived using the Fuzzy-AHP method. In the case of the regional development sector, the overall correction was in the order of whether the medium-term local financial plan was reflected (0.134), economic profitability (0.113), and the ability to bear local costs (0.101). The above result shows that in the case of housing development or industrial complex development projects, unsold problems emerge as social problems, and due to unforeseen development, debts from the local governments due to purchase commitments to the relevant parts appear continuously. It is judged that there is. Therefore, it indicates that financial and economic profitability must be accompanied by accurate demand and benefit estimation.

문화 예술인 산재적용확대의 보완에 관한 연구

심희철(Hee-Chul Shim),양정호(Jeong-Ho Yang),김헌식(Hern-Sik Kim) 한국콘텐츠학회 2014 한국콘텐츠학회논문지 Vol.14 No.3

이 연구의 목적은 일반 근로자가 아닌 예술인에게 부여된 산재보험 확대적용의 의미와 그 개선방안에 대한 탐색이다. 연구 목적 상 두 가지 사례를 분석한다. 첫 번째 사례는 방송 보조출연자가 보조출연 60년 역사상 근로복지공단으로부터 소송 없이 바로 산재보상 승인결정을 받았고, 반면에 뮤지컬 무대 지원기술자는 근로자라기보다는 개인사업자라는 이유로 산재보상 불승인결정을 받았다. 이 두 사례를 통하여 예술인에 대한 산재보험 확대적용은 양날의 검과 같은 측면이 있음을 알 수 있다. 첫째, 보조출연자는 향후 산재보상적용이 보다 쉬워졌다는 점이다. 둘째, 뮤지컬 무대 지원기술자의 사례처럼, 보조출연자의 고용형태와 비슷하지만 근로자성 검토 보다는 산재보험 예술인 가입신청을 하지 않은 이유로 산재보상 적용이 어렵게 될 수도 있다는 점이다. 결국, 제도가 산재보상의 문호를 폐쇄할 수 있다는 점이 부각된다. 단역보조출연자부터 인지도 높은 연예인까지 예술인은 그 개념과 고용형태가 일반근로자와 비교하면 매우 다양하다. 이는 그 만큼 예술인이라는 폭넓은 범주 안에 넣어 개별 구체적으로 검토하지 않음은 산재보상을 더욱 어렵게 할 수 있음을 함의한다. The purpose of this paper is to review the meaning of extended application of workers’ compensation for artists. This study explains by giving specific two examples. The first case is about broadcasting extra who is permitted to receive compensation from Korea Workers’ Compensation & Welfare Service without filing a suit. Whereas, The second case is about musical stage crew who is not permitted to obtain compensation for accident during work. The reason why he could not receive compensation is not because he is regarded as worker, but because he is regarded as individual businessman. Extended application of workers’ compensation for artists could be a double-edged sword for workers through two cases. Firstly, Broadcasting extras could become much easier to receive workers’ compensation according to precedent. Secondly, It is more difficult to get the workers’ compensation by the reason of not applying for workers’ compensation admission like the second case, even though the second case of forms of employment is similar to that of the first. In other words, New compensation development could generate another obstacles to enter compensation systems. Extended application of workers’ compensation should be operated with covering artists’ compensation case by case.

주민편의시설의 효율성과 생산성 변화분석 - 충청북도 공공도서관을 대상으로 -

심희철(Shim, Heecehol),김재환(Kim, Jaehwan) 한국주거환경학회 2020 주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집) Vol.18 No.4

This study decomposes the local gap through the oaxaca factor analysis to find out how differences in housing prices affect the management costs with data the average value of three-year management costs between 2014 and 2016 to 536 complexes in three Gangnam and Gangbuk districts in Seoul. The results of the analysis of 290 complexes in three Gangnam and 246 complexes in three Gangbuk districts are as follows. First, housing prices did not affect administrative costs within the region, but were variables that affected data pooling. Second, when compared with the three Gangnam districts, the results of the characteristic coefficient, which can be explained by the characteristics of the complex and the external environment, showed that the gap in the management cost increased when the number of security personnel, repair and maintenance costs, elevator maintenance cost, floor area ratio, and 60m2 or more to 85m2. Third, the factors behind the gap between Gangnam 3 districts, which have higher housing prices than Gangbuk 3 districts, were confirmed to be the number of security personnel, repair costs, floor area ratio and elevator maintenance costs, and the higher the size and income of their holdings, the more they lived in Gangnam 3 districts, where local infrastructure was expanded, causing social inequality due to differences in housing welfare, such as safety, comfort and convenience.

공공개발사업의 추진 여부에 영향을 미치는 외부 요인에 관한 연구

심희철(Hee cheol Shim),김재환(Jae hwan Kim) 한국주거환경학회 2023 주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집) Vol.21 No.2

생활 SOC사업의 투자심사 가중치 적용에 관한 연구 : 주민편의시설을 대상으로

심희철(Shim, Hee Cheol),김재환(Kim, Jae Hwan) 한국주거환경학회 2021 주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집) Vol.19 No.3

In this study, the overall investment review field was identified in order to apply the investment review weight of the living SOC project. For variables for weighting, weights were assigned to each selected field based on the unified examination criteria currently presented by the Ministry of Public Administration and Security. The hierarchical structure diagram was classified into a total of 5 layers, and the structure diagram was structured to contain practical implications as well as academic implications. Comprehensive correction was derived using Fuzzy-AHP method in order to present weight priority of living SOC project. As a result of the analysis, in the case of the living SOC field, the ability to secure local expenses, the degree of project demand, and the number of beneficiary areas and residents were found to be important factors, and economic profitability was derived as a major factor in both the cultural tourism field and the education and sports field. In other words, the characteristics of each business field may be different, but when viewed in a large scale as a living SOC project, most of the results were consistent in importance. Therefore, in the case of life SOC sector, it is judged that the project can be promoted quickly if the investment evaluation weighs the relevant factors and judges whether or not the pass has passed.

DEA와 Malmquist 지수를 활용한 주민편의시설의 효율성 및 생산성 분석 : 충청북도 문예회관을 대상으로

심희철(Shim, Hee cehol),김재환(Kim, Jae hwan) 한국주거환경학회 2021 주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집) Vol.19 No.1

This study attempted to check the operational status and derive improvement plans by measuring the efficiency and productivity of 12 literary centers in Chungcheongbuk-do among resident convenience facilities (11 in DMU). As a result, first, in the CCR model analysis result, the average efficiency in 2016 increased from 81.34% in 2019 to 86% in 2019, and as of 2019, there were 4 public libraries that were efficiently operated. Second, the BCC model analysis results show that the most efficient operation can be achieved if the current level of production is achieved while reducing the input to an average of 84.34% assuming CRS and 91.83% assuming VRS. Third, out of the total 44 literary halls for 4 years, 18 (41%) were found to be in a state of unchanged harvest, and the diminishing returns were 9 (20%), and the increase in harvest (17) was 39%. As a result of tracking the flow between factors, it was found that the productivity improvement of the literary arts hall increases with the improvement of efficiency through technology improvement rather than operational problems. 본 연구에서는 주민편의시설 중 충청북도 문예회관 12개소(DMU는 11개소)의 효율성 및 생산성 측정을 통해 운영실태를 점검하고 개선방안을 도출하고자 하였다. 먼저, 2016년도부터 2019년도까지 4개년간 효율성을 측정하기 위해 DEA의 산출지향 CCR 모델과 BCC 모델을 통해 기술효율성, 순수기술효율성, 규모효율성을 분석하고 결과를 도출하였다. 다음으로, 추세분석을 위해 Malmquist 생산성 지수 분석을 통해 4개년의 3개 시기에 걸쳐 기술적 효율성 변화지수, 기술변화지수, 순수효율성변화지수, 규모효율성 변화지수를 측정하였으며 생산성 지수를 파악하였다. 본 연구의 결과를 정리하면 첫째, CCR 모델 분석결과에서는 2016년 평균 효율성이 81.34%에서 2019년 86%로 증가된 것으로 나타났으며 2019년도 기준 효율적으로 운영되는 공공도서관은 4개소로 나타났다. 둘째, BCC 모델 분석결과에서는 CRS를 가정하면 평균 84.34%, VRS를 가정하면 평균 91.83%의 수준으로 투입량을 감소시키면서 현재 수준의 생산이 이루어지는 경우 가장 효율적인 운영을 달성할 수 있음을 나타냈다. 셋째, 4년간 전체 44개소의 문예회관 중 18개소인 41%가 수확불변의 상태인 것으로 나타났으며, 수확체감은 9개소인 20%, 수확체증은 17개소인 39%로 나타났다. 2016년부터 2019년까지 각각 5, 4, 5, 3, 17개소가 수확체증 상태로 분석되었으며 이는 충청북도 공공도서관의 약 39%가 규모를 확대시킴으로써 효율성을 증대시킬 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 반대로 약 20%는 규모를 단축함으로써 효율성을 증대시킬 수 있는 것으로 해석할 수 있다. 또한, 41%의 문예회관은 수확불변으로 최적의 규모를 가지고 있는 것으로 나타났다. 수확체증이 필요한 문예회관이 39%라는 것은 대규모 생산에서 가능한 비용절감이 주된 요인이다. 즉, 초기 투입비용은 규모가 큰 것에 비례하여 상승하겠지만 지속적인 운영을 통해 상대적으로 비용이 줄어든다는 것이다. 넷째, 생산성 측면의 경우 전반적으로 생산성이 향상과 하락을 반복하는 경향이 나타났다. 다만, 2016년도에 비해 2019년도에는 생산성이 평균 약 5%정도 감소했음을 파악할 수 있었으며 각 요인간 흐름을 추적한 결과 문예회관의 생산성 향상은 운영상의 문제보다는 기술향상을 통한 효율성 향상이 이루어 질 때 함께 상승하는 것으로 나타났다.

입지적 변화에 따른 농협 하나로 마트의 경영성과에 영향을 미치는 요인분석

김교남(Kim, Kyo Nam),김재환(Kim, Jae Hwan),심희철(Shim, Hee Cheol) 한국주거환경학회 2017 주거환경(한국주거환경학회논문집) Vol.15 No.3

In Chungcheongnamdo, competitors such as department stores, large-scale marts, and SSMs are emerging due to the launch of Nippo New City and Sejong Special Municipality. In addition, it is urgent to maximize the management efficiency of existing Hanaro Mart, as the existing distribution structure changes in the study area. The study was conducted to investigate the factors affecting the management performance of 48 Hanol Mart in Nonghyup, Gongju, Seosan, Asan and Cheonan in Chungcheongnamdo using Analytic Hierarchy Process. Priority analysis results and easiness of walking use 0.137, convenience of parking space 0.080, image of the store and cleanliness 0.778, convenience of use of public transportation (subway, bus, etc.) 0.072, product differentiation 0.065, distribution of Hanaro Mart stores by region 0.047, and the overall ease of travel with Mart was 0.437. In terms of ease of use, ease of use of public transportation(subways, buses, etc.), distribution of Hanaro Mart stores by region, and convenience of mobility with overall shopping mall, It is seen as a related problem. Based on the results of the analysis, we suggest suggestions and improvement plans to utilize Hanaro Mart as basic data for efficient and rational operation and planning.

퍼실리테이션 기법에 의한 마을 발전계획수립 방안

배성의(Bae Sung-eui),정남수(Jung Nam-su),김성록(Kim Seong-rok),김두순(Kim Doo-soon),김형주(Kim Hyung-ju),심희철(Shim Hee-cheol),권지윤(Kwon Ji-yoon),김윤수(Kim Yoon-soo) 한국지역사회생활과학회 2013 한국지역사회생활과학회 학술대회 자료집 Vol.2013 No.11

농촌 현장포럼을 통한 마을 갈등관리

배성의(Bae Sung-eui),정남수(Jung Nam-su),김성록(Kim Seong-rok),김두순(Kim Doo-soon),김형주(Kim Hyung-ju),심희철(Shim Hee-cheol),권지윤(Kwon Ji-yoon),김윤수(Kim Yoon-soo) 한국지역사회생활과학회 2013 한국지역사회생활과학회 학술대회 자료집 Vol.2013 No.11