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GDP 예측을 통한 국내 외식 산업 전망에 관한 연구 - 한.미.일 비교를 중심으로 -
고재윤,유은이,송학준,김민지,Ko, Jae-Youn,Yoo, Eun-Yi,Song, Hak-Jun,Kim, Min-Ji 동아시아식생활학회 2007 동아시아식생활학회지 Vol.17 No.4
The aim of this study was to predict the development process of the Korean food service industry by forecasting the per capita GDP. Forecasting the GDP, involved two primary approaches. One was related to looking at the Korean food service industry's situation by per capita GDP and comparing it to that of the US and Japan. The other was to predict food service industry projections in Korea by quantitative forecasting models. Holt's simple exponential smoothing method and new types of the series models(Damped trend exponential smoothing method), were employed to predict the per capita GDP. The accuracy of the models was measured by MAPE. The empirical results of the forecasting models indicate that the three time series models performed fairly well. Of these Damped trend Damped trend exponential smoothing performed best with the lowest MAPE(9.9%). The results show that the time for reaching a per capita GDP level of $20,000 was 2008 with the Damped trend model and 2009 with the Holt model. Moreover, we found that a per capita GDP level of $30,000 will be achieved in 2012 from the Damped trend model and in 2013 from the Holt model. Within this study, the implications for the Korean food service industry are further discussed. It was predicted there will be a stabilization period in 2008 or 2009 in Korea with achievement of a per capita GDP of $20,000. At this time, major food service industry companies will need to invest in equipment toy external growth and there will be industry trends toward ethnic food and theme restaurants. Also, if a per capita GDP of $30,000 is achieved by 2012 or 2013, the Korean food industry will need to be highly responsive. Therefore, food industry companies should forecast and study customer values and prepare for changes.
호텔기업의 경력개발제도가 종사원의 직무만족과 조직몰입에 미치는 영향
고재윤 ( Jae Youn Ko ),권영일 ( Yung Il Kwon ),이유양 ( Yu Yang Lee ) 한국호텔리조트학회(구 한국호텔리조트카지노산학학회) 2011 호텔리조트연구 Vol.10 No.1
Career Development Program(CDP) represents the comprehensive program implemented under the plan related to an individual`s career by Human Resources department or organization-defined influence. It is primarily aimed at guiding employees towards understanding of their abilities and enhancing self-awareness on the need for the career development by optimizing employee potential with company`s interest. In order to achieve the purposes, both theoretical study and empirical research were used. Reviews of literature on ``CDP``, ``job satisfaction`` and ``organization commitment`` were considered and based on the hypothesis. The study used questionnaires to employees in the hotel industry and analyzed the investigated data statistically to verify the hypothesis. As a result of the research, ``job satisfaction`` and ``organization commitment`` were positively affected by CDP of organizational level and individual level. Therefore, 4 hypotheses were verified so that the feasibility of this study was proven. This study insists that systematic strategy, methodical operation plans, and fair opportunities will help the enhancement of employees` job satisfaction and lead to the improvement on their active participation in CDP.