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- 저자 : Rudi Purwono (검색결과 5 건)
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Do Infrastructures Influence the Efficiency Convergence of the Indonesian Economy?
Rudi Purwono,M. Khoerul Mubin,Mohammad Zeqi Yasin 서울대학교 경제연구소 2018 Seoul journal of economics Vol.31 No.3
In the last 10 years, Indonesia has set its infrastructure development to support the economy. Infrastructure, as the vital part of development, contributes to economic performance proxied by technical efficiency. This research aims to examine the role of infrastructure (water, electricity, and roads) toward the convergence of technical efficiency. Data from 33 provinces of Indonesia for the period of 2008–2015 were analyzed using stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) and generalized method of moments (GMM). Results show that technical efficiency converged during the period of interest. Further investigation suggests that water, electricity, and roads exert an important influence on the emergence of efficiency growth and its convergence.
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PURWONO, Rudi,TAMTELAHITU, Jopie,MUBIN, M. Khoerul Korea Distribution Science Association 2020 The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Busine Vol.7 No.10
This study examines how the health of the banks in ASEAN-3 countries namely Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand respond to the change in exchange rates and foreign interest rates in four large economies. The transmissions of the two external factors through domestic factors in each ASEAN-3 countries eventually affects Non-Performing Loan (NPL) of commercial banks. This study uses the monthly time series data and the renowned Structural Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model comprising five variables, namely exchange rate, foreign interest rate, domestic interest rate, money supply, and non-performing loan (NPL). The results indicate that there are different effects between ASEAN-3 countries, which can be classified as short-run effect and long-run effect. In the long run effect, external factors have a dominant role in determining NPL in ASEAN-3 countries. Yuan has the biggest effect on Malaysia's NPL, while Indonesia is more affected by European interest rates rather than the fluctuation of the US currency and China's interest rates. Among ASEAN-3 countries, Malaysia is the one that is the most vulnerable to external factors. While Thailand's NPL is affected dominantly by domestic factors. This study shows that the Fed Funds Rate (US official interest rate) is not always the dominant factor affecting the health of domestic banks in ASEAN-3.
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Does Efficiency Convergence of Economy Promote Total Factor Productivity? A Case of Indonesia
Rudi Purwono,Mohammad Zeqi Yasin 중앙대학교 경제연구소 2020 Journal of Economic Development Vol.45 No.4
This study investigates the relation between the efficiency converging moment and Total Factor Productivity of Indonesia’s economy. The intriguing finding is that although efficiency convergence was speeding towards the frontier as well as the catching-up patterns, the finding showed a negative productivity at a nearly zero level. Particularly, the negative productivities were mostly exhibited by Indonesia’s eastern regions. Technical Change that experienced a statistical downturn seemed to have discouraged this productivity. Variables such as investment might have played a significant role in this case. This study recommends making regulations on investment spending in each province, so that regional productivities can be improved.
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Response on New Credit Program In Indonesia: An Asymmetric Information Perspective
Rudi Purwono,Ris Yuwono Yudo NUGROHO,M. Khoerul Mubin 한국유통과학회 2019 The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Busine Vol.6 No.2
The Indonesian government launched a new people's business credit program as part of a package of economic policy and deregulation. The interest rate is set lower than the average of the current loan interest rates, especially when compared with rural bank interest rates. To capture the social spatial aspects, quota sampling is applied to ten areas that divided based on the social culture. Further, the method utilized in this research is logit models, which designed to analyse the determinants of asymmetric information particularly on the rural bank and small micro enterprises. The study was conducted in East Java as the province with the largest number of rural banks in Indonesia. Based on the estimation of asymmetric information model to the respondent of rural banks and small businesses, the result shows that adverse selection can be avoided by strengthening the information about prospective borrowers. Regarding moral hazard, rural banks and small businessmen argued that the imposition of the collateral to the debtor has an important role to avoid moral hazard. Rural bank respondents stated that the KUR program with low-interest rates has affected their business development. The results implied the need of broadening the collaboration schemes between this people’s business credit program and rural banks.
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Rudi Purwono,Karima Mucha,M. Khoerul Mubin 한국유통과학회 2018 The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Busine Vol.5 No.2
In the globalization and free trade era, the current account deficit problem is a common phenomenon experienced by most countries, both developing and developed countries. Also with managed floating regime of exchange rate, it becomes very important to analyze the dynamics of current account balance which determine the trade. The deficit condition has lasted for four years in Indonesia, as well the deficit value above the value of the surplus that has been experienced during the period 2005-2011. This study is firstly aim to examine the condition of the deficit which happens in the export and import, manufactured goods and oil and gas, whether related to the transaction of goods and services. We try to build a predicted model which near the actual. Then, the focuses examines an exchange rate volatility impact on current account deficit. The model used in this research is a simultaneous model of Indonesia current account deficit from 2005 to 2014. The simulation result indicated that depreciation increase surplus to current account deficit. The decrease of export manufactured goods (non oil and gas) higher than the increase of import. For the oil and gas sector, depreciation of the rupiah against the US dollar results in an increased burden of higher oil and gas imports due to import transactions.
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