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- 저자 : 정부균(Jeong, Bu Gyun) (검색결과 3 건)
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정부균 ( Bug Yun Jeong ),최민섭 ( Min Seub Choi ) 한국부동산분석학회 2013 不動産學硏究 Vol.19 No.1
The purpose of this study is to predict the future housing demand through classifing household into 12 different types. This estimation is done by using the revised Mankiw-Weil model. This study estimated house demand by inviting household structure change as a factor and by classifyinghouseholds into 12 types, separating different age groups by taking householders` age as a standard. The overall house demand was similar to that of advanced research, on the rise up until 2035, but its increase rate declining. Generally, house demand is influenced by population,household, income and housing cost; especially it is greatly affected by household change, therefore 12 household types` house demand increase(+) or decrease(-) as the number of household changes. However, even when the numbers of households are the same in different household types, there were differences in increase/decrease of its future household number depending on the age of householder, that is, even when the same single-person household is projected to continuously increase, groups where householder is located in 25~49 age span are expected to decrease in their number after 2027, where householder is in 50~64 age span after 2034, but on the contrary where householder is in 65 or more age span, they are projected to increase greatly in their number. As the result of overall housing demand estimation and housing demand estimation of different household types, where the classification of different household types depended on number of household members and householder`s age shows, the changes and special characteristics in housing demand of different household types, apart from change in the overall housing demand, should be reflected on housing supply plans and housing policies.
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정부균(Jeong, Bu Gyun),김유경(Kim, Yoo Kyoung) 한국부동산학회 2012 不動産學報 Vol.51 No.-
1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The purpose of this study is to predict the future housing demand through classifying household into 15 different types. (2)RESEARCH METHOD This estimation is done by using the revised Mankiw-Weil model. The flexibility of the rate of wage gains increase, the rate of change in housing expenses were taken into consideration. (3) RESEARCH FINDINGS The overall outcome of housing demand estimation, which was done by classifying different household types, inferring the rate of wage gains increase in regard to economically active population change and using Schwabe’s index in calculation of housing demand’s change, is similar to that of prior research. However some household types have distinguishing character. 2. RESULTS The result of estimation through classifying household into 15 types is similar to that of prior research. However, the addition of wage gains increase factor and expenses factor has brought the long term housing demand’s increase rate to fall more gradually.
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부동산학의 연구 경향 분석 : 「부동산학보」에 게재된 논문을 중심으로
김유경(Kim, Yoo Kyoung),정부균(Jeong, Bu Gyun),최민섭(Choi, Min Seub) 韓國不動産學會 2011 不動産學報 Vol.47 No.-
1. CONTENTS (1) RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The purpose of this study is to find research trends in real estate field by analyzing the papers published in journal of the 「Korea Real Estate Academy」. (2) RESEARCH METHOD This study used a statistical research methods for previous studies's historical framework, records. They were analyzed with the SPSS 12.0 program. (3) RESEARCH RESULTS The major outcome of this study is the analysis result of the research background and objectives. research methods and data collection methods, a number of researcher and funding and support organization. 2. RESULTS Az a result of the research, The major research were real estate policy, legal framework, the real estate market analysis, real estate development. In addition, Survey method were mainly used and descriptive research purposes were important. The researchers were mostly part of the University.
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