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장기전세주택이 아파트 매매가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구
상남규 ( Nam Kyu Sang ),오동훈 ( Dong Hun Oh ) 韓國不動産分析學會 2009 不動産學硏究 Vol.15 No.2
Because during recent five years, housing price index and housing lease index indicate similar trend, this study starts on the assumption that a drop in housing price by lease on a deposit base is a basic cause of lower housing sale price. In 2007, Seoul Metropolitan Government introduced new public rental housing policy called SHift that works as rental deposit base. The purpose of this paper is to examine respectively the effect of SHift on neighborhood housing sale price in both two each specific area and aggregated area within Seoul. Hedonic price model estimating nearby housing sale price is utilized by using individual housing characteristics as well as social characteristics in order to figure out the effect of Shift policy. According to the result of the aggregated analysis, the effects of individual housing characteristics like unit size and stairs, elapsed year, and total area size were significant at 95% significance level. And the effects of social characteristics like the exist of SHift, the distance to SHift, total number of SHift were also significant at 95% significance level. The most important result of the study showed that the increase of SHift supply has a positive effect on lowering neighborhood housing price. Therefore public housing policy increasing SHift supply in Seoul metropolitan region is required in order to make SHift policy more effective.
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임성은(Lim Sung-Eun),상남규(Sang Nam-Kyu),오동훈(Oh Dong-Hun) 한국도시행정학회 2009 도시 행정 학보 Vol.22 No.2
This paper aims at examining the external effect of Seoul Metropolitan Government’s public housing policy that changes the civilian’s common sense (commodity like buying goods) about house into a living place, on neighborhood housing rental price by deposit bases. Long-term deposit base housing called ‘ SHift’ is supplied to the civilian unable to buy a house by themselves for stabilizing housing market. In order to examine SHift policy’s effect in this study, hedonic price model estimating nearby housing rental price is employed by using individual housing characteristics as well as social characteristics. In addition, this paper carries out comparative study on both each regional effects in Jangji, Eunpyung, Balsan, Banpo district and aggregated effect in Seoul. In general, the result of the study on regional effect revealed that SHift policy does not have statistical significancy at 95% level with the exception of Eunpyung district. However the result of the study on the aggregated region showed that a measure of increasing SHift supply is an effective method to drop the neighborhood housing rental price by deposit base and these effects are significant at 95% significance level. After all, housing market’s stabilization may get accomplished by means of increasing the SHift supply in Seoul metropolitan area.
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