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      • KCI등재

        Stein-type estimation in logistic regression models based on minimum Φ-divergence estimators

        M.L. Menéndez,L. Pardo,M.C. Pardo 한국통계학회 2009 Journal of the Korean Statistical Society Vol.38 No.1

        In this paper we present a study of Stein-type estimators for the unknown parameters in logistic regression models when it is suspected that the parameters may be restricted to a subspace of the parameter space. The Stein-type estimators studied are based on the minimum phi-divergence estimator instead on the maximum likelihood estimator as well as on phi-divergence test statistics.

      • 0199 Using machine learning to efficiently use multiple experts to assign occupational lead exposure estimates in a case-control study

        Friesen, Melissa C,Locke, Sarah J,Zaebst, Dennis,Viet, Susan,Shortreed, Susan,Chen, Yu-Cheng,Koh, Dong-Hee,Pardo, Larissa,Schwartz, Kendra L,Davis, Faith G,Stewart, Patricia A,Colt, Joanne S,Purdue, M BMJ Publishing Group Ltd 2014 Occupational and environmental medicine Vol.71 No.suppl1

        <P><B>Objectives</B></P><P>We applied machine learning approaches to efficiently assist multiple experts to transparently estimate occupational lead exposure in a case-control study of renal cell carcinoma.</P><P><B>Method</B></P><P>We used hierarchical cluster models to classify the 7154 study jobs with occupational history and job/industry questionnaires into 360 groups with similar responses. Each group was reviewed independently by two or three experts and was assigned probabilities of lead exposure (<5%, ≥5– <50%, ≥50%) for three time periods (<1980, 1980–1994, ≥1995). When the group’s mean response pattern suggested within-group exposure variability, experts identified programmable conditions that defined the rating differences where possible or flagged the group for further review. After splitting jobs that overlapped time periods at the calendar cut point, the 9992 job/time periods were assigned their relevant expert/group/time period estimate. Classification and regression tree (CART) models were developed to predict each expert’s expected assignment, based on previous decisions, to assign estimates for jobs in groups that expert had not assessed and for jobs requiring further review.</P><P><B>Results</B></P><P>In preliminary analyses, CART models predicted 91–96% of the experts’ pre-1995 estimates and 77–96% of ≥1995 estimates. CART estimates were assigned to 3–48% of the job/time periods, varying by expert. Overall, 92% of the job/time periods were assigned the same estimate by at least two experts.</P><P><B>Conclusions</B></P><P>Our framework reduced the number of exposure decisions needed from each expert compared to job-by-job assessment. Future work will use CART models to identify differences between experts to be resolved and incorporate frequency and intensity of lead exposure estimates.</P>

      • KCI등재

        MANTRA: An Integral Reactor Physics Experiment to Infer Actinide Capture Cross-Sections from Thorium to Californium with Accelerator Mass Spectrometry

        G. Youinou,G. Palmiotti,C. McGrath,G. Imel,M. Paul,R. Pardo,F. Kondev,M. Salvatores 한국물리학회 2011 THE JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN PHYSICAL SOCIETY Vol.59 No.23

        The principle of the proposed experiment is to irradiate very pure actinide samples in the Advanced Test Reactor at INL and, after a given time, determine the amount of the different transmutation products. The determination of the nuclide densities before and after neutron irradiation will allow inference of effective neutron capture cross-sections. This approach has been used in the past and the novelty of this experiment is that the atom densities of the different transmutation products will be determined using the Accelerator Mass Spectrometry technique at the ATLAS facility located at ANL. It is currently planned to irradiate the following isotopes: ^(232)Th, ^(235)U, ^(236)U, ^(238)U, ^(237)Np, ^(238)Pu, ^(239)Pu, ^(240)Pu, ^(241)Pu, ^(242)Pu, ^(241)Am, ^(243)Am, ^(244)Cm and ^(248)Cm.

      • KCI등재

        Neutron Studies for Dating the Universe

        F. Kappeler,A. Mengoni,M. Mosconi,K. Fujii,M. Heil,C. Domingo-pardo,The n_TOF Collaboration 한국물리학회 2011 THE JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN PHYSICAL SOCIETY Vol.59 No.23

        The neutron capture cross sections of ^(186)Os and ^(187)Os are of key importance for defining the s-process abundance of ^(187)Os at the formation of the solar system. This quantity can be used to determine the radiogenic abundance component of ^(187)Os from the decay of ^(187)Re (t_(1/2) = 41.2 Gyr) and to infer the time-duration of the nucleosynthesis in our galaxy (Re/Os cosmochronometer). The neutron capture cross sections of ^(186)Os, ^(187)Os, and ^(188)Os have been measured at the CERN n_TOF facility from 1 eV to 1 MeV, covering the entire energy range of astrophysical interest. From these data Maxwellian averaged capture cross sections have been calculated with uncertainties between 3.3 and 4.7%. Additional information was obtained by measuring the inelastic scattering cross section of ^(187)Os at the Karlsruhe 3.7 MV Van de Graaff accelerator and by neutron resonance analyses of the n TOF capture data to establish a comprehensive experimental basis for the Hauser-Feshbach statistical model. Consistent HF calculations for the capture and inelastic reaction channels were performed to determine the stellar enhancement factors, which are required to correct the Maxwellian averaged cross sections for the effect of thermally populated excited states. The consequences of this analysis for the s-process component of the ^(187)Os abundance and the related impact on the evaluation of the time-duration of Galactic nucleosynthesis via the Re/Os cosmo-chronometer are discussed.

      • KCI등재

        Evaluation of ASCE 61-14 NSPs for the estimation of seismic demands in marginal wharves

        J. Paul Smith-Pardo,Juan C. Reyes,Juan D. Sandoval,Wael M. Hassan 국제구조공학회 2019 Structural Engineering and Mechanics, An Int'l Jou Vol.69 No.1

        The Standard ASCE 61-14 proposes the Substitute Structure Method (SSM) as a Nonlinear Static Procedure (NSP) to estimate nonlinear displacement demands at the center of mass of piers or wharves under seismic actions. To account for bidirectional earthquake excitation according to the Standard, results from independent pushover analyses in each orthogonal direction should be combined using either a 100/30 directional approach or a procedure referred to as the Dynamic Magnification Factor, DMF. The main purpose of this paper is to present an evaluation of these NSPs in relation to four wharf model structures on soil conditions ranging from soft to medium dense clay. Results from nonlinear static analyses were compared against benchmark values of relevant Engineering Design Parameters, EDPs. The latter are defined as the geometric mean demands that are obtained from nonlinear dynamic analyses using a set of 30 two-component ground motion records. It was found that SSM provides close estimates of the benchmark displacement demands at the center of mass of the wharf structures. Furthermore, for the most critical pile connection at a landside corner of the wharf the 100/30 and DMF approaches produced displacement, curvature, and force demands that were reasonably comparable to corresponding benchmark values.

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