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탄소세 부과에 따른 온실가스 배출저감의 경제적 효과분석
최새힘(Sae-him Choi),홍종호(Jong Ho Hong) 한국재정학회(구 한국재정·공공경제학회) 2000 재정논집 Vol.15 No.1
Anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHGs), such as CO₂, CFCs, CH₄ and so forth, are caused by human economic activities. Burning of energy resources accounts for much of GHGs emitted to the air, and therefore we can abate the greenhouse gases by market-based environmental policies (carbon tax, tradeable permits, etc.) targeted to reduce the use of energy resources. To estimate the average abatement cost, we calculate GDP loss per CO₂ ton in 1995 based on the computable general equilibrium model using carbon tax. Our recursive dynamic CGE model contains 33 production sectors (27 industry sectors, 4 energy sectors and 2 primary factors) and 3 consumption sectors (household, government and foreign sector). The simulation of the recursive dynamic CGE model gives rise to the following conclusion. The carbon tax exerts negative effects on 13 energy intensive industries, while it exerts positive effects on 9 energy non-intensive industries. Based on the three alternative carbon tax rate scenarios of 5%, 10% and 15% considered in the model, government should charge carbon tax as large as 70-75 hundred won ($91-97 in 1995 constant dollars) per CO₂ ton for GHGs mitigation policy, resulting in GDP loss about 49-378 hundred won ($64-490 in 1995 constant dollars) per CO₂ ton.
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표희동,최새힘 한국해양과학기술원 2005 Ocean and Polar Research Vol.27 No.3
Fisheries buyback programs in Korea have been implemented since 1994, and their scales are estimated to be the present value of 930 billion won for the last 9 years since 1994. The paper attempts to identify the patterns of each fish species, of which their yields can be steadily increased or significantly decreased, and to evaluate its effective level and the optimal level for buyback programs by means of fishing capacity analysis. The paper distinguishes fish species, that there is no need to reduce the fishing efforts, such as anchovies, mackerels, squids, Spanish mackerels, and herrings, because MSY exceeds yields, from fish species to control overfishing such as file fish, yellow corvenias, young pollack, hair tail, snow crab, and pollack. The paper also suggests that 65% of the fishing efforts (total tonnages) should be cut back at the national aggregate level in order to restore fish stocks.
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탄소세 부과에 따른 온실가스 배출저감의 경제적 효과분석
홍종호,최새힘 한국재정학회 2000 재정논집 Vol.15 No.1
Anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHGs), such as CO₂, CFCs, CH₄ and so forth, are caused by human economic activities. Burning of energy resources accounts for much of GHGs emitted to the air, and therefore we can abate the greenhouse gases by market-based environmental policies (carbon tax, tradeable permits, etc.) targeted to reduce the use of energy resources. To estimate the average abatement cost, we calculate GDP loss per CO₂ ton in 1995 based on the computable general equilibrium model using carbon tax. Our recursive dynamic CGE model contains 33 production sectors (27 industry sectors, 4 energy sectors and 2 primary factors) and 3 consumption sectors (household, government and foreign sector). The simulation of the recursive dynamic CGE model gives rise to the following conclusion. The carbon tax exerts negative effects on 13 energy intensive industries, while it exerts positive effects on 9 energy non-intensive industries. Based on the three alternative carbon tax rate scenarios of 5%, 10% and 15% considered in the model, government should charge carbon tax as large as 70-75 hundred won ($91-97 in 1995 constant dollars) per CO₂ ton for GHGs mitigation policy, resulting in GDP loss about 49-378 hundred won ($64-490 in 1995 constant dollars) per CO₂ ton.
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