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- 저자 : Yudhika, Riza Teddy (검색결과 2 건)
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Yudhika, Riza Teddy,유태환,배성일 경성대학교 산업개발연구소 2019 산업혁신연구 Vol.35 No.4
This study analyzes the effects of trade liberalization on economic growth under the assumption that the effects occur both instantly and persistently for a certain period of time. Therefore, this study differentiates between the static and cumulative effects of tariff reductions. In particular, it examines the effects of tariff reductions on the manufacturing sector using industrial level data for 39 sub-industries in Indonesia. Also, Indonesia is chosen for this study because Indonesia has become one of the most important trading partners for Korea. The empirical results show that tariff reductions do not only affect manufacturing sector production for a single year, but they also persistently affect production for the next three years. That is, a 1% tariff reduction increases the manufacturing sector value-added by 0.22%. In addition, the static and cumulative effects of a 1% tariff reduction on manufacturing sector productivity are 0.22% and 0.29%, respectively. The estimated results indicate that the effects of a tariff reduction do not disappear immediately; rather, they continuously influence the economy for a certain period of time.
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An Empirical Investigation of the “Internally Driven Growth” Hypothesis in ASEAN Countries
Denu Lemma Tsegaye,유태환,Riza Teddy Yudhika 경희대학교(국제캠퍼스) 국제지역연구원 2014 아태연구 Vol.21 No.2
This study examines the relationship between trade liberalization and economic growth in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations member countries by using time series data from 1971 to 2010. We extend the cross-country static panel analysis to a dynamic model to capture the persistent effect of trade liberalization for a longer period. The results of static and dynamic panel analyses are consistent in that trade liberalization, that is, exposure to exports and imports, is not a critical factor of economic growth and productivity improvement in ASEAN countries. In addition, we examine the causal relationship between exports, imports, and economic growth based on a Vector Error Correction model, Granger causality test, and Generalized Impulse Response Function(GIRF) analysis. The results show there is weak evidence in support of the export-led as well as import-led growth hypothesis—instead, a growth-led trade pattern is distinct in most ASEAN countries. In addition, GIRF analysis reinforces the internally driven growth hypothesis that economic growth in ASEAN countries is driven by internal factors rather than international trade.
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