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정학균 ( Hak Kyun Jeong ),김창길 ( Chang Gil Kim ),이문수 ( Mun Su Lee ) 한국축산경영학회 2014 농업경영정책연구 Vol.41 No.2
The purpose of this paper is to present the policy implications in order to secure stable supply for new cash crops as an option responding to Climate Change. For this study we estimated what variables affect customer`s choice for the domestic mango consumption. We analyzed the factors of consumption intention for domestic mango by using the Ordered Probit Model with the results from survey on consumer`s purchase attitude and intention. The result shows some variables such as income, recognition of temperature increase, recognition of safety and contentment of quality to price are significant. Therefore it is required to develop a new variety of crops for climatic adaptation, a new cultivation technology, a strategy for marketing to higher-income consumers and considerations on safety issue in order to increase its consumption.
연구보문 : 생태환경; 기후변화가 벼 병해충 피해면적 발생에 미치는 영향분석
정학균 ( Hak Kyun Jeong ),김창길 ( Chang Gil Kim ),문동현 ( Dong Hyun Moon ) 한국환경농학회 2014 한국환경농학회지 Vol.33 No.1
BACKGROUND: It is known that impacts of climate change on damage occurrence by insect pests and diseases are increasing. The negative effects of climate change on production will threaten our food security. It is needed that on the basis of analysis of the impacts, proper strategies in response to climate change are developed. METHODS AND RESULTS: The objective of this paper is to estimate impacts of climate change on rice damage occurrence by insect pests and diseases, using the panal model which analyzes both cross-section data and time series data. The result of an analysis on impacts of climate change on rice damage occurrence by pest insect and disease showed that the damage occurrence by Rice leaf roller and Rice water weevil increased if temperature increased, and damage occurrence by Stripe, Sheath blight, and Leaf Blast increased if precipitation(or amount of sunshine) increased(or decreased). CONCLUSION: Adaptation strategies, supplying weather forecasting information by region, developing systematical strategies for prevention of damage occurrence by pest insect and disease, analyzing the factors of damage occurrence by unexpected pest insect and disease, enforcing international cooperation for prevention of damage occurrence are needed to minimize the impacts of damage occurrence on rice production.