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북한의 전략무기 위협과 우리의 대응방향 : 핵 및 미사일을 중심으로
김증기 대전대학교 군사연구원 2006 군사학연구 Vol.12 No.-
Since the 21st century has started, the East Asian countries surrounding the Korean peninsula have been on armed race to maintain their influence among each other. Consequently, these military power nations are currently modernizing their military strength and increasing their strategic weapons. Nuclear weapons and guided missiles are common strategic weapons and are essential for achieving general military strategic purposes. However, for surrounding nations, these strategic weapons can be significantly threatened. In this paper, strategic weapons of surrounding countries of the Korean peninsula, China, Japan, N. Korea and S. Korea, will be analyzed how much strategic weapons are developed and maintained. And then deterrence theory will be reviewed, along with the deterrence effect of nuclear weapons and missiles used during and after the World War II. The deterrence effect of strategic weapons goes beyond winning war and aims for the survivability of its own nation and people. Lastly S. Korea’s counter measurement will be suggested respond to the threat of N. Korea‘s nuclear and missile weapons.
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김증기,최광묵,서혁,Kim, Jeung-Ki,Choi, Gwang-Mook,Seo, Hyeok 한국국방경영분석학회 2005 한국국방경영분석학회지 Vol.31 No.2
As more advanced and complicated equipments are introduced, effective operation and maintenance, along with acquisition of the equipments, commands more significance lately. In order to perform effective depot maintenance, the Republic of Korea Army is continually developing the concept, cycle and method for operating the depot maintenance. Not only the high-cost testing and maintenance equipments but the highly developed maintenance technologies are required for the depot maintenance of the latest weapon system. In order to have the depot maintenance capability, this paper provides the standard and procedure for estimating the development cost of the depot maintenance elements to be utilized in the depot maintenance elements development project.
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김증기,Kim, Jeong-Ki 한국국방경영분석학회 2008 한국국방경영분석학회지 Vol.34 No.3
현대전에 있어서 첨단 정밀 고가장비가 전투력에 미치는 영향은 지대하다. 그러나 평상시 지속적인 정비활동이 이루어지지 않으면 장비가동률은 저하되고 유사시 목표하는 전투력 발휘효과는 기대하기 어려울 것이다. 따라서 적정 장비유지비 소요를 예측하여 예산에 반영하는 것은 전투준비태세 완비를 위해서 필수적인 과제라 하겠다. 본 연구에서는 K-111 1/4톤 기동장비의 야전 운영 실적자료를 분석하여 장비유지비 발생추세를 분석하고, 이 분석 결과를 기초로 장비유지비 예측모델을 설계하였으며, 이 예측모델을 적용하여 장비유지비 소요 예측 기법과 향후 발전 방향에 대한 제언을 제시하였다. Advanced high-tech weapons have enormous affect on combat strength in modern warfare. However, lack of maintenance can cause decrease in equipment operating rate as well as decrease in expectation on demonstrative effect of combat strength during wartime. Therefore it is essential for combat readiness that the optimum requirement of equipment maintenance cost are forecasted and included in the budget. In this paper, the trend of equipment maintenance cost about K-111 1/4t military vehicle is first analyzed by evaluating the performance data of field operation. Secondly, based on above analyzed results, the forecasting model of equipment maintenance cost is designed. Finally, by applying this forecasting model, suggestion and estimation method of equipment maintenance cost have presented for the foreseeable future.
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김증기 한국국방경영분석학회 2011 한국국방경영분석학회지 Vol.37 No.4
군에서 기동장비는 인원, 장비 및 물자를 계획된 시간과 장소로 이동시켜 적보다 유리한 조건하에서 전를 준비하는 중요한 수단이다.따라서 최적의 수명주기를 판단하여 적시에 노후화된 기동장비를 도태하고 신규장비를 보충하는 것은 전투준비태세 완비에 대단히 중요한 문제이다. 본 연구에서는 군의 대표적인 기동장비인 K-111 1/4톤, K-311 1 1/4톤, K-511 2 1/2톤 차량의 야전실적자료를 사용하여 연등가비용법에 의한 경제수명주기를 판단하였으, 각각 차량의 수명주기는 부대형태에 따라 11-13년, 12-17년, 16년-18년으로 차등 적용하는 것이 합리적인 것으로 평가되었다.
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김증기 ( Jeung Ki Kim ) 국방대학교 안보문제연구소 2008 국방연구 Vol.51 No.3
ROK Army will require more scientific approach in military power construction through trials of national defense reformation 2020. However acquisition of financial support will be expected more difficult to construct technology-based future army. The function of analysis & evaluation system supports more effective decision-making in military power construction by applying scientific analysis technique. In order to put forth an effective national defense reformation and secured financial support, break-through development of analysis & evaluation system is essential. In this paper, it analyzes-the world most advanced-US army`s PPBES (Planning Programming Budgeting and Execution System) and analysis & evaluation system. Then ROK Army`s PPBEES (Planning Programming Budgeting and Execution Evaluation System) and analysis & evaluation system is diagnosed, and the development direction of ROK Army`s analysis & evaluation system is suggested. First of all, a general regime and procedure regarding PPBEES and analysis & evaluation system should be systematized. Secondly, an organization and function of analysis & evaluation system should be strengthened.
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