파랑후측모델링을 이용한 연안 파랑경향성 분석

강태순,박종집,엄호식,Kang, Tae-Soon,Park, Jong-Jip,Eum, Ho-Sik 해양환경안전학회 2016 해양환경안전학회지 Vol.22 No.7

본 연구에서는 파랑후측모델링을 통해 우리나라 연안에서의 장기 파랑경향성을 분석하였다. 파랑경향성 분석시 사용한 바람자료는 1979년부터 현재까지 제공하고 있는 ECMWF 바람자료를 사용하였으며, 모델수행 기간은 2001년~2014년으로 14년 동안 수행하였다. 생산된 파랑후측모델링 결과는 국립해양조사원 및 기상청에서 설치한 파랑관측부이 자료를 이용하여 검증하였다. 검증 결과, 태풍 및 폭풍이 발생한 이벤트 상황을 모델이 잘 재현하고 있으며, 정량적인 RMSE 값은 0.5 m로 유의한 결과 값을 보였다. 파랑후측모델링을 통한 최근 14년 동안의 파랑 경향성 분석 결과, 과거에 비해 권역별 파고 2 m 이상 출현율은 전해역 평균 0.082 %/year로 증가하고 있으며, 이는 고파랑이 지속적으로 심화되고 있음을 뜻한다. 이러한 연안 파랑경향성 분석자료는 최근 기후변화에 따른 연안의 취약성평가 및 연안역에서의 침식방지구조물의 방재 설계를 위한 기초자료로 사용 가능하다. The purpose of this study is to analyze the long-term wave characteristics and tendencies of coastal waters near Korea based on wave hind-casting modelling. Wave hind-casting modelling was performed with a wind data set from ECMWF (2001~2014), which provides data from 1979 to the present. The results of numerical modelling were verified with observed data collected using wave buoys installed by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency (KHOA) in offshore waters. The results agreed well with observations from buoy stations, especially during event periods such as typhoons. The quantitative RMSE value was 0.5 m, which was significant. Consequently, the results of a wave tendency analysis for 14 years (2001~2014) showed an increased appearance ratio for waves of more than 2 m in height at all regional domains. The mean appearance ratio was 0.082 % per year, which implies that coastal waves have been increasing continuously. This coastal wave tendency analysis data can be used to evaluate coastal vulnerability due to recent climate change and the design of coastal erosion prevention structures.

태풍 내습으로 인한 연안역 해일 취약성 평가

강태순,오형민,이해미,엄호식,Kang, Tae-Soon,Oh, Hyeong-Min,Lee, Hae-Mi,Eum, Ho-Sik 해양환경안전학회 2015 해양환경안전학회지 Vol.21 No.5

본 연구에서는 해일예측모델링을 통하여 연안역의 해일고를 산정하고, 취약성평가 기법을 적용하여 취약등급을 평가하였다. 해일예측모델링은 ADCIRC 모형을 적용하여 2000년~2014년까지의 27개 태풍을 모의하였으며, 상위 영향 6개 태풍에 대하여 검증하였다. 계산결과는 관측결과와 유의미한 검증결과를 보였다. 진해만, 사천만, 광양만, 천수만 및 경기만 등 주요 내만 연안역에서 해일고가 높게 나타났으며, 산출된 해일고 자료를 이용하여 표준화, 정규화 및 등급화 과정을 거쳐 해일 취약성 평가를 수행하였다. 평가결과, 진해만, 사천만, 광양만 등에서 취약지수가 4~5등급을 보였으며, 이는 해일의 특성상 영향을 직접 받는 내만역이 취약함을 의미한다. 반면 전남 서부 내만의 취약지수(1~3등급)는 상대적으로 양호하게 나타났으며, 이는 지난 15년간 이 지역을 통과한 태풍이 크게 영향을 미치지 않았기 때문인 것으로 사료된다. 따라서, 이러한 상대적 불확실성을 보완하기 위해서는 지형적 민감도를 고려한 보다 장기간의 영향누적을 통한 취약성 평가가 필요하다. In this study, we have estimated the storm surge heights using numerical modeling on coastal area, and then evaluated the vulnerability index by applying the vulnerability assessment techniques. Surge modelling for 27 typhoons affected from 2000 to 2014 were simulated by applying the ADCIRC model. The results of validation and verification was in significant agreement as compared with observations for the top 6 ranking typhoons affected. As results, the storm surge heights in Jinhae Bay, Sacheon Bay, Gwangyang Bay, Cheonsu Bay and Gyeonggi Bay were higher than other inner coastal areas, then storm surge vulnerability assessment was performed using a standardization, normalization and gradation of storm surge heights. According to results of storm surge vulnerability assessment, index of Jinhae Bay, Sacheon Bay, Gwangyang Bay etc. are estimated to be vulnerable(4~5) because of the characteristics of storm surge such as inner bay are vulnerable compared with exposed to the open sea areas. However, index in the inner bay of western Jeonnam are not vulnerable(1~3) relatively. It may not appear the typhoons affected significantly for the past 15 years. So, the long-term vulnerability assessment with the sensitivity of geomorphology are necessary to reduce the uncertainty.

ECMWF 바람자료를 이용한 연안 파랑후측모델링

강태순,박종집,엄호식,Kang, Tae-Soon,Park, Jong-Jip,Eum, Ho-Sik 해양환경안전학회 2015 해양환경안전학회지 Vol.21 No.5

본 연구에서는 파랑수치모형(SWAN)을 사용하여 우리나라 연안역에서의 장기 파랑을 후측모델링하고, 그 활용성에 대하여 논하였다. 파랑후측모델링을 위한 입력 바람자료(NCEP, ECMWF, JMA-MSM)를 검토한 결과, JMA-MSM의 예측정확도가 높게 나타났지만 상대적으로 자료제공기간이 짧아 자료제공기간이 긴 ECMWF 바람자료를 채택하였다. 파랑후측모델링은 파랑관측부이가 설치되어 검증이 가능한 2001년부터 2014년까지의 ECMWF 바람자료를 이용하여 수행하였으며, 생성된 모델 결과는 기상청, 국립해양조사원의 파랑관측 부이자료를 이용하여 검증하였다. 파랑후측모델링 검증결과 파랑관측 부이자료와 잘 일치하였으며, 특히 태풍과 같은 이벤트 기간의 해역 상황을 전반적으로 잘 재현하였다. 이를 통하여 현재 파랑관측부이 자료의 한계인 결측기간 동안의 파랑자료를 대체할 수 있음을 확인하였다. 하지만 일부 정점에서는 이벤트 기간 동안의 최대파고를 과소평가하는 것으로 나타났으며, 이러한 이유는 바람입력자료의 시간간격 및 해상도, 수심자료, 격자크기 등의 한계로 파악된다. 본 파랑후측모델링 결과는 연안역에서의 침식원인규명 특히, 이벤트 시기의 파랑특성과 연계한 분석이 가능하며, 원하는 연안지점에서의 파랑후측정보를 생산할 수 있어 연안재해취약성평가 등에 활용이 가능하다. The purpose of this study is to reproduce long-term wave fields in coastal waters of Korea based on wave hind-casting modelling and discuss its applications. To validate wind data(NCEP, ECMWF, JMA-MSM), comparison of wind data was done with wave buoy data. JMA-MSM predicted wind data with high accuracy. But due to relatively longer period of ECMWF wind data as compared to that of JMA-MSM, wind data set of ECMWF(2001~2014) was used to perform wave hind-casting modelling. Results from numerical modelling were verified with the observed data of wave buoys installed by Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA) and Korea Hydrographic and Oceanographic Agency(KHOA) on offshore waters. The results agree well with observations at buoy stations, especially during the event periods such as a typhoon. Consequently, the wave data reproduced by wave hind-casting modelling was used to obtain missing data in wave observation buoys. The obtained missing data indicated underestimation of maximum wave height during the event period at some points of buoys. Reasons for such underestimation may be due to larger time interval and resolution of the input wind data, water depth and grid size etc. The methodology used in present study can be used to analyze coastal erosion data in conjunction with a wave characteristic of the event period in coastal areas. Additionally, the method can be used in the coastal disaster vulnerability assessment to generate wave points of interest.

비디오 모니터링 기법을 이용한 해운대 해수욕장 해빈변화

강태순(Tae-Soon Kang),김기현(Ki-Hyun Kim),남수용(Soo-Yong Nam),황창수(Chang-Su Hwang) 한국마린엔지니어링학회 2009 한국마린엔지니어링학회 학술대회 논문집 Vol.2009 No.-

In this study, characteristics of coastal erosions were analyzed at Haeundae beach using video monitoring technique. Real time photos obtained from a video monitoring system built in 2003 were analyzed to detect the variation of beach width and area. According to the monitoring results, the peak of erosion occurred in the summer of 2004 due to typhoons and high waves. Since then the beach width has been maintains stable conditions. The increasing trend of the area and width of beach is considered to be a result of the lack of typhoon attacks after 2005. Accumulation and erosion of sand in the western part of beach followed cycles according to season, as sand accumulated in winter and eroded in summer, repeatly. The central part of the beach changed slightly, and the eastern part of beach had opposite results compared to the western ones.

평형해빈단면이론을 이용한 해수면 상승에 따른 해안후퇴율 산정

강태순(Kang, Tae Soon),조광우(Cho, Kwangwoo),이종섭(Lee, Jong Sup),박원경(Park, Won Kyung) 한국해안해양공학회 2014 한국해안해양공학회 논문집 Vol.26 No.4

본 연구의 목적은 해수면상승에 따른 연안침식을 평가하는 데 있으며, 미래 해수면상승에 따른 해안후퇴율을 산정하였다. 해안후퇴율은 23개 사빈해안(동해안 12개소, 남해안 5개소, 서해안 6개소)에 대하여 각 해안별 3개의 단면자료를 이용하여 평가하였다. 본 연구에 적용한 방법은 평형해빈단면이론이며, 우리나라 해안에서의 적용성을 파악하기 위하여 15개 해빈단면에서 검토하였다. 미래 해수면상승의 4가지 시나리오는 38 cm, 59 cm, 75 cm 그리고 100 cm가 적용되었다. 결과적으로 우리나라 해안에 대한 해안후퇴율은 38 cm 해수면상승시 43.7%, 59 cm일 경우 60.3%, 75 cm일 경우 69.2%, 그리고 100 cm일 경우에는 80.1%로 나타났다. 동해안의 해안후퇴율은 38 cm 해수면상승시 29.6%, 59 cm 상승시 45.1%, 75 cm 상승시 56.0%, 그리고 100 cm 상승시 69.9%로 나타나 남해안(51.9%, 67.6%, 77.2%, 87.3%)과 서해안(53.8%, 71.0%, 78.5%, 86.4%)의 해안후퇴율 보다 상대적으로 낮게 나타났다. 우리나라의 모든 사빈해안은 해수면상승이 증가함에 따라 취약해지는 것으로 평가된다. 본 연구의 평가결과는 미래 기후 시나리오와 마찬가지로 평가모델의 한계, 해빈단면의 시공간적 자료부족 등의 불확실성을 내포하고 있다. 따라서, 우리나라 사빈해안의 특성을 파악하기 위한 지속적이고 통합적인 모니터링과 더불어 해안침식에 대한 과학적 불확실성을 줄이는 연구들이 지속적으로 이루어져야 할 것으로 사료된다. The purpose of this study is to evaluate coastal erosion due to a sea-level rise. The shoreline retreat rate was calculated due to future sea-level rise. Shoreline retreat rates were quantified with the cross-sectional data of 23 sandy coasts (12 sites from east coast, 5 sites from south coast, and 6 sites of west coast) and 3 cross-sectional profiles from each side of the coasts in Korea. The theory of equilibrium beach profile was employed in this study to evaluate the applicability of the theory into the coast of Korea and was tested with 15 cross-sectional beach profiles. Four scenarios of future sea level rise such as 38 cm, 59 cm, 75 cm, and 100 cm were adopted to estimate the shoreline retreat rates. Overall shoreline retreat rates for the coasts in Korea were predicted as 43.7% for 38 cm, 60.3% for 59 cm, 69.2% for 75 cm, and 80.1% for 100 cm sea level rises, respectively. Retreat rates in the east coast (29.6% for 38 cm, 45.1% for 59 cm, 56.0% for 75 cm, and 69.9% for 100 cm) showed relatively low compared to the south coast (51.9%, 67.6%, 77.2%, 87.3%) and the west coast (53.8%, 71.0%, 78.5%, 86.4%). However, all sandy coasts in Korea were assessed to be vulnerable with increasing sea-level rise. There are uncertainties in the assessment of this study, which include the limitation of the assessment model and the lack of the spatio-temporal data of the beach profiles. Therefore, this study shows that it is very important to spend integrated efforts to respond coastal erosion including comprehensive observations(monitoring) and the development of scientific understanding on the field.

비디오 영상 기반의 해운대 해빈 변동특성

강태순(Tae-Soon Kang),김종범(Jong-Beom Kim),김가야(Ga-Ya Kim),김종규(Jong-Kyu Kim),황창수(Chang-Soo Hwang) 한국해양공학회 2017 韓國海洋工學會誌 Vol.31 No.1

In this study, we analyzed the real time video image obtained from the video monitoring system to grasp the shoreline, beach width, and area change of Haeundae beach. The video monitoring techniques enabled continuous monitoring for a long period at a much lower cost than general survey methods. It was possible to grasp quantitative beach variation characteristics of Haeundae beach through image acquisition, rectification, and image processing of video images. According to the monitoring results, the erosion rate of Haeundae beach in spring and summer was –19.8% in 2014 and –6.7% in 2015. The erosion rate in 2016 was -6.4%, which showed that the erosion rate in spring and summer continued to decrease. In particular, the influence of the erosion at the time of typhoon CHABA was revealed to be smaller than in the past. It can be concluded that these variations were due to beach width expansion by beach nourishment and the installation of submerged breakwaters.

표본추출법을 이용한 연안주민의 재해대응능력 평가 및 특성 분석

강태순(Tae-Soon Kang),오형민(Hyeong-Min Oh),김종규(Jong-Kyu Kim),정광영(Kwang-Young Jeong),황순미(Soon-mi Hwang),김수민(Soo-Min Kim) 한국해양환경·에너지학회 2017 한국해양환경·에너지학회지 Vol.20 No.1

연안거주민에 대한 재해대응능력 평가 연구

강태순(Tae-Soon KANG),이승록(Seung-Rok LEE),이종섭(Jong-Sup LEE),김종규(Jongkyu KIM) 한국수산해양교육학회 2014 水産海洋敎育硏究 Vol.26 No.5

해일/범람에 따른 해안 매립지의 취약성

강태순(Tae-Soon Kang),문승록(Seung-Rok Moon),남수용(Soo-Yong Nam),심재설(Jae-Seol Shim) 한국해양공학회 2010 韓國海洋工學會誌 Vol.24 No.1

Recently, the intensity and frequency of typhoons have been on the increase due to unusual weather phenomena and climate change. In particular, on September 13, 2003, typhoon MAEMI (0314) caused heavy damage in the provinces of Busan and Gyongnam, but also provided an opportunity to perform a variety of studies on storm surge. According to investigation reports on the damage resulting from typhoon MAEMI, the areas where coastal inundation occurred were located in reclaimed land under coastal development. In this study, through an image data analysis of historic and present day typhoons affecting Masan, we found that the inundation damage areas corresponded to reclaimed lands. Therefore, using the area around Busan, including the southeastern coast of Korea where typhoons lead to an increased storm surge risk, we performed a storm surge/inundation simulation, and examined the inundation effect on reclaimed land due to the intensified typhoons predicted for the future by climate change scenarios.

해양재해의 효율적 관리를 위한 제도적 고찰

강태순(Tae-Soon Kang),윤성순(Sung-Soon Yoon) 한국연안방재학회 2015 한국연안방재학회지 Vol.2 No.4

As maritime disasters caused by storm surge, large swell wave, coastal erosion damage etc. recently have increased, in other to resolve this problems many engineering and technical measures are being studied. However, to respond to the increasing maritime disasters proactively and to restore the damages effectively, the engineering and technical measures as well as the systematic hegislation are needed. So, the aim of this study was to investigate the problems in the current legislation system related to maritime disaster on jurisdiction of government departments and to propose the countermeasures against maritime disasters accordingly. Therefore, this study defines the maritime disasters and its coverage(risk factors), proposed establishment of countermeasures against maritime disasters act, control tower, countermeasures projects on jurisdiction of government department especially the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries.