河東郡地域綜合開發計劃 : 開發計劃의 基本構想

黃弘道,金秉鐸,崔震賢,李榮萬 경상대학교 지역개발연구소 1989 地域開發硏究所 資料集 Vol.1989 No.2

農外所得의 豫測模型과 增大展望

黃弘道 慶尙大學校 1981 論文集 Vol.20 No.2

In the process of Korean economic growth during the 1970's the imbalanced economic growth between agricultural and non-agricultural sector caused real income disparities between urban and farm household. The result accelerated an out migration of farm people to metropolitan cities with better non-farm employment opportunities and a higher income. In order to meet income disparities between the two sectors, economic policy makers recently would formulate rural industrialization policy as the policy instrument of increasing off-farm income, and thereby to improve farm household income. This study attempts to find economic means and policy issues of carrying out a further increase in off-farm income at the farm household level. In order to carry out this work, this study attempts to survey the sources of the past growth in off-farm income, and to derive policy variables of improving off-farm income. An attempt is made to formulate three forecasting models of off-farm income involving various independent variables, and to provide empirical estimates of their parameters based on the production function form. The important variables are measured as commuting off-farm employment opportunities, migrating employment opportunities, side business activity, and other off-farm activity. Especially, the commuting off-farm employment opportunities is measured as the most important policy variable. From the estimated three forecasting models of off-farm income, an attempt is made to estimate alternative prospects of off-farm income, and to find the effect of alternative off-farm income policy on the growth in off-farm income. However, it is evident that the highest increase in off-farm income is estimated by a forecasting Model Ⅱ, comparing with other two models. From the forecasting Model Ⅱ, it is concluded that the commuting off-farm employment opportunity is measured as an important source of the high growth in off-farm income, but the migrating off-farm employment opportunity and side business activity are measured as a minor source of the growth in off-farm income. Some implications can be drawn from the empirical results of this study. it is expected that under the constrained land resources and agricultural productivity in the small farm, off-farm income policy can be introduced as and important policy instrument of improving farm household income. Especially, the rapid growth in off-farm income can be only achieved by the expansion of commuting off-farm employment opportunities with reference to rural industrilization. The commuting employment opportunities of farm labor forces can be encouraged by improving skill of rural residents through vocational and technical training. Alternatively, further increase in off-farm income can probably be achieved by rural industrialization policy such as the improvement of welfare facilites, reasonable wage rate, rural in frastructure development, and rural industrial development which can mainly be operated too the off-farm seasons.

昌寧郡地域綜合開發計劃 : 開發計劃의 基本構想

黃弘道,崔震賢,李榮萬 경상대학교 지역개발연구소 1990 地域開發硏究所 資料集 Vol.1990 No.1

農村地域綜合開發計劃樹立硏究 : 咸陽地域 經濟部門中心

黃弘道,金京煥,金秉鐸,薛仁埈,崔震賢 경상대학교 지역개발연구소 1987 地域開發硏究所 資料集 Vol.1987 No.1

宜寧郡地域綜合開發計劃 : 開發計劃의 基本構想

黃弘道,金秉鐸,崔震賢,李榮萬 경상대학교 지역개발연구소 1989 地域開發硏究所 資料集 Vol.1989 No.1

農業成長과 技術變化의 要因分析

黃弘道 慶尙大學校 1982 論文集 Vol.21 No.3

The objectives of this study are to measure the effects of production factor inputs and technical change in the growth of total farm output during the period of 1965-1979 and to find out sources of technical change. In order to carry out this work, this study attempts to formulate four aggregate agricultural production function models involving land, labor and capital, and to estimated production elasticities of the factor inputs. In particular, and attempt is devoted to estimated magnitude of technical change and to find out factors of determining the magnitude of technical change through the four aggregate production function models. This study attempts to measure labor quality through the schooling years of farm labor forces and also to measure land quality through the irrigated paddy field. These quality adjustments of labor and land inputs are used in an attempt to explain nature of technical change. From the results of the empirical estimates for the four aggregate production function models, the magnitude of technical change as a source of the growth in total farm output is measured to average annual rate of 2.53 percent in Model I and to 1.72 percent in Model Ⅳ. As these results, the effect of technical change in the past growth of total farm output is measured to about 70.1 percent in Model Ⅰ and also to about 47.6 percent in Model Ⅳ. Thus, the rate of technical change between Model Ⅰ and Model Ⅳ is reduced by about 32 percent. This reduction in the rate of technical change id mainly due to the effects of improvement in quality of land and labor input in Model Ⅳ. That is, of this reduction in technical change between Model Ⅰ and Ⅳ, about 28.3 percent is caused by the improvement in land quality and 3.7 percent is caused by the increase in quality of labor input. The remaining 68 percent in Model Ⅳ is explained as an unexplained residual or output augmenting technical change. Apart from technical change, sources of the growth in total farm output are based on the intensive use of capital inputs such as farm supplies and equipments. On the other hand, it appears that the continuing decrease in labor input has an adverse effect of the growth in total farm output. Some policy implications can be drawn from the empirical results of this study. It is expected that under the conditions of the small farm economy and a continually decrease in farm labor forces. the growth of total farm output can be increased by the use of more and new farm supplies and equipments so as to substitute for land and the decreasing labor input. Moreover, technical change can further increase total farm output. In order to further increase the effect of technical change in growth of total farm output, it should formulate the land improvement projects through the expansion of the irrigated land and also formulated an appropriate policy for development of farmer's knowledge and skill through an education of rural school, farm research and extension organization. Finally, from the empirical result of this study, it is evident that a large part of the rate of technical change is measured as an output augmenting effect or a disembodied technical change. Therefore the nature of technical change is not fully explained by the four aggregate production function models. This implication indicates that the specific Cobb-Douglas production function form used in this study may not adequately describe the production process in Korean agriculture, and may not fully take account of the characteristics of the small farm household economy. It suggests that further research ought to be studied for a suitable model and measurement of quality in various factor inputs that fully take account of the characteristics of the small farm household economy.

居昌郡地域綜合開發計劃 : 開發計劃의 基本構想

黃弘道,崔震賢,李榮萬 경상대학교 지역개발연구소 1990 地域開發硏究所 資料集 Vol.1990 No.2

농가경제의 위기와 정책과제

황홍도 경상대학교 농업생명과학연구원 2002 농업생명과학연구 Vol.36 No.3

이 논문은 1960-2000년 기간동안에 농업부문의 경제성장과 고용, 개별 농가경제의 차원에서 농가소득의 성장과 구조변화, 농업생산성의 변화, 농업자금과 농가부채규모 및 농가교역조건을 조사분석했으며, 특히 1997년 말 IMF 외환위기 이후에 농가경제의 변화와 농가교역조건을 집중 분석했다. 이러한 연구 결과로부터, 이 논문에서는 최근년에 농가경제의 위기문제를 구명했으며, 이러한 농가경제의 위기문제를 해소하기 위한 농가소득증대의 정책과제를 제시했다. This paper investigates economic growth and employment in agricultural sector, growth of farm household income and its structural change, changes in agricultural productivity, fanning funds and farm household debt during the period of 1960 to 2000. In particular, this paper intends to analyze changes in farm household economy and price terms of trade in farm household since the financial and economic crisis of Korea in late 1997. From the results of this study, this paper finds out important factors of causing economic crisis of farm household, and suggests policy issues to improve the crisis of farm household economy.

경남 낙후농촌지역의 개발전략 : 농촌 정주생활권 개발을 중심으로

黃弘道 경상대학교 지역개발연구소 1991 地域開發硏究所 資料集 Vol.1991 No.3

공업화에 대한 농촌의 공헌 -귀미공단에 대한 노동력공급을 중심으로-

황홍도,이정한 한국농촌경제연구원 1979 농촌경제 Vol.2 No.3