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RISS 인기검색어
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- 저자 : 이필도 ( Phildo Lee ) (검색결과 2 건)
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이필도 ( Phildo Lee ) 한국보건사회연구원 1996 保健社會硏究 Vol.16 No.2
經濟成長 過程에서 社會脆弱階層들의 다양한 복지욕구가 분출되고 있으며 成長의 主役인 근로자들은 `삶의 질`에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 특히 零細事業場의 대다수 근로자들은 성장의 혜택에서 疏外되어, 상대적으로 불만이 높은 것으로 평가되고 있다. 本稿에서는 零細事業場을 대상으로 勤勞者福祉의 현주소와 問題點을 진단하여, 근로자 복지부문에 대한 認識轉換과 더불어 勤勞者 福祉가 國家 競爭力 强化의 純機能을 담당할 수 있도록 福祉增進 方案을 모색하는데 그 目的을 두고 있다. 근로자들의 진정한 福祉增進은 그들의 정당한 요구에 귀를 기울 이는 데에서 출발하여야 한다. 첫째, 영세사업장 근로자들도 인간다운 삶을 실현할 수 있도록 最低限의 勤勞條件을 보장해 주어야 하며, 둘째, 社會保險制度는 모든 근로자에게 擴大適用하여야 한다. 셋째, 共同型 勤勞福祉制度를 도입하여 이들의 福祉欲求를 단계적으로 충족시켜 주는 방식이 바람직하며, 國家的 次元의 財源確保와 支援體系의 强化努力이 있어야 한다. 이는 零細事業場 勤勞者들의 相對的 疏外感을 緩和하고 生活의 質을 향상시킬 뿐만 아니라, 生産性 향상에도 도움을 주어 우리 사회 전체의 福祉增進과도 直結 될 수 있을 것이다. Despite the fact that great economic strides have drastically decreased the number of people living in absoute poverty in Korea, it did not fully solve the various welfare needs of most the vulnerable groups. In Particulars, the workers in small workplaces have not been included in the distribution of economic benefits. Recently, the government has started to pay attention to the quality of life of the workers who played a leading role in the economic growth of Korea. This study tried to identify current facts and problems of employment status, focusing on the small workplaces. The study also aimed to transfer public ideas to the emphasis on employment welfare and the provision of welfare measures for the workers which will help enhance their desire to work and lead to improved productivity. The welfare measures which will promote welfare status of the workers in small workplaces are suggested as follows: First, the government and employers should pay attention to claim and secure the desireable working conditions, including the strong enforcement of the Labor Standand Law, for providing the minimum standard of living. Second, the social insurance system, which is not applied to the small workplace with inferior working conditions, should cover all workers in all workplaces. Third, a joint employment welfare system should be reduced to gradually meet the welfare needs of the workers in small workplaces. Lastly, the goverment should secure financing and establish a support system. These measures and a welfare committment will reduce the relative isolation of the the workers in small workplaces, thus increasing their productivity and their quality of life. In doing so, these measures are directly linked to the promotion of welfare in the whole society.
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계절 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 화장수요예측: 수원시를 중심으로
김혁우 ( Hyugwoo Kim ),이필도 ( Phildo Lee ) 한국보건정보통계학회(구 한국보건통계학회) 2017 보건정보통계학회지 Vol.42 No.4
Objectives: Main objective of this study was to estimate crematory facility demand of Suwon city, using Seasonal ARIMA Model. This study aims to esti mate the demand based on the number of currently operating crematory facilities, dividing into inward district and outward district of Suwon city. Methods: As the construction of crematory facilities is greatly in need of supply along with the increasing funerals, it requests more accurate estimation of the demand in specific area. This study employed Seasonal ARIMA Model which is useful to deal with time series data with small size and various pat terns, instead of the Gompertz curve and logistic curve frequently used in the past. This study did analyses in four steps, discrimination of stationarity (balance for average and dispersion), identification of functions (ACF, PACF), model diagnostic (estimation of parameter), and decision (forecasting of crematory facilities). Results: First, the demand of cremation in inward district of Suwon was estimated to be 4,051 persons in 2017 and to be 5,129 per sons in 2022 using the ARIMA (0,1,1)(1,1,0)S=12 Model, which is to be increased 31.8 percent points compared to that of 2016. Second, the demand of cremation in outward district of Suwon was estimated to be 6,731 persons in 2017 and 7,060 persons in 2022 using the ARIMA (0,0,3)(1,1,1)S=12 Model. Altogether the users of crematory facilities were estimated to be 10,782 persons in 2017 and 12,189 persons in 2022, which shows increasing trend of 3 to 4 percent points every year. Conclusions: This study proved that Seasonal ARIMA Model is a proper tools to estimate the crematory facility demand in specific area. Demand and supply of crematory facilities should be estimated based on reliable statistics and data. Suwon city should provide more facili ties to meet the increasing need of cremation. For this, Suwon city should input more investment for improving of quality of facilities and coordination of the number.
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