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- 검색키워드
- 저자 : ( Harald Nitsch ) (검색결과 3 건)
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서울 오피스의 월세 및 전세시장: 통합된 시장인가 아니면 분리된 시장인가?
( Harald Nitsch ),( Kyung Sun Park ) 한독경상학회 2008 經商論叢 Vol.26 No.2
한국의 오피스 임대시장은 전세와 월세가 공존하고 있다. 최근 오피스시장에서 오피스 임대시장의 통합된 지수산출과 관련하여 이 두 시장을 하나의 시장으로 볼 수 있는가가 관심의 대상이 되고 있다. 본고에서는 이를 위해 지금까지의 접근법과는 달리 새로운 두 단계 접근법으로 전세와 월세 오피스시장에서의 임대료결정구조가 동일한지를 분석하고 있다. 첫째, 전세와 월세가 혼합된 서울의 오피스 임대시장에서 우선 월세 오피스시장을 설명하는 헤도닉모델을 구성하고, 이를 이용하여 전세 계약 오피스 임대의 가상적인 월세를 도출한다. 둘째, 전세 보증금과 가상적인 월세와의 관계를 회귀분석을 통하여 분석하였다. 회귀분석 결과 월세가 전세보증금에 대해 통계적으로 유의한 영향을 미친다는 것을 발견할 수 있었다. 전세보증금과 가상적 월세간의 비교에 근거해서 통합된 오피스 임대 지수 산출을 위한 전세보증금의 월세 전환식을 제시하였다. In the Korean office market, the “Jeonse” deposit and a monthly rental payment scheme coexist. An ongiong discussion is whether the markets for real estate under these two arrangements are integrated or separated. The practical relevance of this question lies in the necessity to make the contracts comparable-converting the Jeonse deposit into equivalent rents -, when they are to be integrated in an indicator of the office market. We propose a new two stage approach to this problem: For a mixed data set comprising rented and Jeonse offices in Seoul, we construct a hedonic model of office rents. This model is used to construct hypothetical rents for those offices in the data set, that are let under an Jeonse arrangement. In a second step we regress the Jeonse deposits on the hypothetical rents. In these regressions, we find a significant impact of rent on Jeonse deposits. Based on the comparison of Jeonse deposits and hypothetical rents we propose a formula for converting deposits into rents for the purpose of aggregation in an office rent index.
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Interregional Migration and Real Estate Markets Evidence from German Case
( Harald Nitsch ),( Kyungsun Park ) 한국EU학회 2018 EU학연구 Vol.23 No.1
Demography is a driving force in the demand for real estate. However, demography is only partly driven by natural population growth, but also by migration, and there is the potential, that the interregional shift of population causes similar effects as changes in natural growth - but at a higher speed. With this prospect, we want to observe the impact of demography on a regional level. In order to do this, we choose a case study of relatively high interregional migration: German reunification. Using a modified model by Mankiw and Weil (1989) we derive the following implications. First, that rents should be positively related to monetary policy rates. Second, rents should be positively related to the business cycle. Third, rents are positively related to the development of the local population. We test empirically with data set from IVD (Immobilien Verband Deutschland) from 1989 to 2009. We found that rents are positively related to monetary policy and business cycle. And also population change has impact on rent in West Germany cities and states after German reunification.
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The Growing Competition of Sea Ports in Europe
( Harald Nitsch ),( Kyung Sun Park ) 한국EU학회 2013 EU학연구 Vol.18 No.2
Seaports are an important component of infrastructure, providing the logistic backbone for the competitiveness of national industries. In this paper we discuss the challenges that the increasing volume in containerized trade poses to the four largest container harbors of Europe. Especially the increased draft of post panamax vessels challenges the seaside accessibility of seaports. The possible strategies are deepening of estuary waterways or the creation of new deep sea harbors. In the case of the first strategic option there are many problems in northern Europe. Abstracting from the costs of the deepening estuary waterways, there are two more potential fields of conflicts. First, the question of the fiscal burden in a multinational or federal environment. Second, the deepening of the estuary water ways causes concern on the side of ecological NGOs, which engage in legal measures against the projects. On the other hand, the second strategic option has the problem of low development of the hinterland. In this paper we consider the example of the creation of new deep sea harbors, namely the case of Jade-Weser Port at Wilhelmshaven, which opened in fall 2012.
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