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RISS 인기검색어
- 검색키워드
- 저자 : Sami Al Kharusi (검색결과 2 건)
- 무료
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- 유료
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External Debt and Economic Growth: The Case of Emerging Economy
Sami Al Kharusi,Mbah Stella Ada 세종대학교 경제통합연구소 2018 Journal of Economic Integration Vol.33 No.1
This study investigated the relationship between government external borrowing and economic growth, prompted by continuous increases in Oman’s external debt to finance its annual budget. Time series data for the period 1990~2015 were collected from the World Bank and the Central Bank of Oman. The study employed the Autoregressive Distributed Lag cointegration approach explain the error correction mechanism to ascertain the short-run dynamic nature of external debt and economic growth. Consistent with some existing empirical evidence, the study reveals a negative and significant influence of external debt on economic growth in Oman. Further, gross fixed capital was found to be positively significant in determining growth performance in Oman. The study, therefore, recommends a more productive use of the external debt fund in order to affect positive growth.
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Financial Stability of GCC Banks in the COVID-19 Crisis: A Simulation Approach
AL-KHARUSI, Sami,MURTHY, Sree Rama Korea Distribution Science Association 2020 The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Busine Vol.7 No.12
Stability and sustainability of the biggest banks in any country are extremely important. When big banks become unstable and vulnerable, they typically stop lending. The resulting credit squeeze pushes the economy into recession or a slow growth path. The present study examines the financial stability and sustainability of the 30 large banks operating in the six Gulf Cooperation Council countries. These banks represent 70% of the GCC banking market. Monte Carlo simulation was attempted assuming that key drivers can vary randomly by twenty percent on either side of the current values. The conclusions are drawn based on 300 simulation trails of the five-year forecast balance and income statement of each bank. Year 2020 is not favorable for the GCC countries because of the COVID-19 pandemic and low oil prices, though the future years may be better. The study identifies several banks, which may become financially unsustainable because the simulations indicate the possibility of negative profitability, unacceptably low capital ratios and potential for heavy credit losses during periods of economic turbulence, which is the current situation due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Through simulation the paper is able to throw light on which factors lead to bank instability and weakness.
ScienceON
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