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      • KCI등재후보

        THE FINANCIAL CRISIS IN SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH KOREA : ISSUES OF POLITICAL ECONOMY

        Douglas Sikorski The Institute of East and West Studies 1999 Global economic review Vol.28 No.1

        Foreign capital began a mass exodus from East Asia in the summer of 1997. A run on currencies and stock markets started in Thailand and spread throughout Southeast Asia, then on to South Korea before year-end. Thailand, Indonesia and South Korea had high ratios of foreign debt to local GDP and lacked sufficient reserves to meet short-term foreign exchange obligations. All required assistance from the International Monetary Fund which imposed a long list of reforms. However, there is a perception that the IMF has not been effective in the Asian Crisis so far. Pinpointing and effecting some control over the actual forces at work, including politics and other nonmarket factors that contributed substantially to the crisis, will not be easy. Obviously, South Korea and Southeast Asian countries need to restore confidence through reform of their finalcial institutions and practices, but all Asians still tend to do things in their own characteristic manner. "Asian capitalism" has not been entirely discredited and should be seen as part of the solution rather than the problem in bringing about financial development and change.

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        How Singapore Companies in Asean Manage Political Risk

        Tracy Chan Su Yin,Douglas Sikorski,Louis Ta Huu Phuong 서울대학교 경제연구소 2003 Seoul journal of economics Vol.16 No.1

        The Asian crisis served as a reminder to businessmen how fragile the world economic and political scene can be and how dangerous it was to base foreign direct investment decisions on optimistic perceptions of unending economic boom. Perceptions, whether or not they reflect actual realities in the business environment, play a very important role in the investment decisions of many corporations. This study examines the perceptions of decision-makers of Singapore companies operating in ASEAN. What are the sorts of factors that shape their perceptions and help them form a "gut feeling" about the quality of their investments? In particular this study looks at non-quantitative, non-market aspects of investment decisions, generally defined as political risk. Political risk is measured by an assessment of how managers perceive the sociopolitical conditions in the host country and the likely effect on the business climate. Thus, we have attempted to reveal the relative importance of various factors associated with socio-political risk assessment for sample firms operating in ASEAN and the significance of particular risk factors. Likewise, we examined the risk assessment methods and risk management strategies used by Singapore-based companies.

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