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RISS 인기검색어
- 검색키워드
- 저자 : Andrei Golobokov (검색결과 2 건)
- 무료
- 기관 내 무료
- 유료
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Russian Naval Activity in the Asia–Pacic: The Herald for a New Alliance?
Andrei S. Golobokov 한국국방연구원 2019 The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis Vol.31 No.4
The paper evaluates Russia’s increased naval presence in the Asian–Pacic region, considering the naval interactions with China, India, Vietnam, the Philippines etc., an important component of Russia’s national strategy and maritime policy in the region. By strengthening cooperation with the navies of these countries in different parts of the world, Moscow demonstrates its political preferences and military capabilities by checking the combat readiness of its own Navy, as well as modernizing its strategy and tactics, taking into account the modern experience of combat operations among the other eets. It then presents a valuable opportunity for Russia to defend its national interests while remaining a non-aligned and predictable actor. By analyzing the dynamics, metrics and substance of Russia’s naval activities, the author tries to clarify the strategic goals of the Russian and other countries’ navies, and also to define some qualitative characteristics, such as the level of interaction between the Russian Navy and each of its partners, operational tasks of the exercises, etc. In addition, Russia’s joint maneuvers not only maintain its status as a great maritime power and raises its international authority but also may serve as a balancing factor for the U.S. and Chinese navies to improve the security situation in the Asia–Pacic.
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Bilateral Cooperation and Hedging in the Six–Party Talks
Andrei Golobokov 한국국방연구원 2022 The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis Vol.34 No.3
The relations between great and middle powers in the Six–Party Talks are a particularly pertinent case in which to discuss the success and failure of multilateral security institutions. Why was this series of negotiations successful at first, followed by a stalemate, and then collapsed after two decades? There are many studies that focus on the behavior of North Korea, China, and the United States from a power perspective. This paper argues that a high degree of cooperation at the bilateral level among the majority of participants is a determining factor for the success of the talks. Strong reciprocal engagements, which are called “thick reinforcements,” resulted in solid unity among participating states and decisive collective action. The research finds different effects caused by combinations of thick reinforcement and weak engagement across dyads. While a strong “contagion effect” contributed to the success of the talks, the occurrence of hedging generated “offsetting” and “neutralization” effects, which stagnated the discussions. This paper develops a new metric to measure the various combinations of bilateral relations among China, South Korea, Japan, Russia, and the United States. The paper finds that in addition to non-proliferation, bilateral engagement and unity are vital for resolving nuclear crises.
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