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곽근재(Kwak, Keun-Jae),이희강(Li, Huiqiang) 영남대학교 산경연구소 2010 영상저널 Vol.2 No.2
두 지역 간의 경제구조의 보완성 또는 두 지역의 서로 다른 산업에서의 특화패턴은 무역자유화의 가능한 충격을 분석하는데 있어서 매우 유용한 도구이다. 경제구조의 보완성 개념은 경제통합에 관한 초기 연구에 내포되어 있었지만 아마도 무역자유화에 관한 계량적 연구의 그늘에 가려 그 빛을 잃었다. 이 논문은 한국과 중국 간의 FTA의 근거를 위한 약간의 실마리를 제시한 후 몇 가지 지표--이 논문에서는 3가지 종류의 가법형 RCA, TCI, ESI--를 이용하여 두 나라간의 경제의 구조적 보완성을 분석한 후 한ㆍ중 FTA의 실행가능성을 평가하는 것을 연구의 목적으로 한다. 분석결과 한국과 중국은 대체로 보완적인 관계에 있으므로 한중 FTA의 실행가능성은 매우 높다고 평가할 수 있다. Economic structural complementarity between Region A and Region B, or the pattern the two regions specialize in different industries is a useful tool for the analysis of the likely impact of trade liberalization. Although implicit in earlier work on economic integration, this concept has been overshadowed subsequently, probably because of the econometric studies on trade liberalization. This paper aims to discuss first the rationale of FTA between Korea and China. Second, it aims to analyze economic structural complementarity between two countries using several indicators-additive RCA, TCI, and ESI. Analysis showed that the Korea and China are on the whole structurally complementary. Consequently, we can assess that the viability of the Korea-China FTA is very high.
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곽근재(Kwak keun Jae) 한국관세학회 2000 관세학회지 Vol.1 No.2
The purpose of the paper is to interpret the implications of WTO's provisional decision on duty-free electronic commerce. The economic implication is that preferential treatment of a particular mode of delivery could lead to trade-diversion from other modes. But the future costs of such trade diversion, the revenue loss. would be small for most countries. And the prohibition of customs duties does not ensure continued open access for electronically delivered products and may even prompt resource to inferior instruments of protection. Consequently, the legal implication is that duty-free electronic commerce would be more effectively secured by deeping and widening the limited commitments under the GATS and by clarifying and strengthening certain GATS disciplines.
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車善强(Shan Qiang Che),곽근재(Keun Jae Kwak) 실천경영학회 2016 실천경영연구 Vol.11 No.1
The object of this paper is to analyse the patterns and country-specific determinants of intra-industry trade(IIT) in China’s electronics industry, and to suggest the development direction of that industry in the future. In order to explain determinants of IIT we used DPCI(difference of per capita income), AGDP(Average of GDP), DGDP(Difference of GDP), FDI, DIST(distance), and FTA as explanatory variables. The results of analysis are as follows. In case of China, the trade and IIT of electronics industry is consistently getting higher since 2008. However, the level of IIT is not so high. China’s IIT is mostly vertical IIT(VIIT), and also inferior VIIT. As the results of regression analysis, the explanatory variables which are statistically significant are DIST, FDI, DGDP, and FTA. Contrary to general expectation, DPCI and AGDP are insignificant. Among four significant explanatory variables, DIST and DGDP are negatively correlated with a dependent variable(G-L index between China and each one of selected countries). FDI and FTA are positively correlated. Consequently, in order to increase the IIT of the Chinese electronics industry, China has to try to attract FDI, enter into FTAs, increase horizontal IIT, and export superior quality products through R&D investment.
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김희열(Hee-Youl Kim),곽근재(Keun-Jae Kwak) 한국관세학회 2014 관세학회지 Vol.15 No.4
Most of previous researchers say that in order to raise consulting efficiency they have to develop consulting techniques and find the consulting improvement plan after limiting the scope of consulting to the management of origin. In this paper we tried to seek for the improvement methods of the FTA consulting efficiency through a survey of small and midsize businesses on the consulting range, the role allocation of expert consultants, and the consulting system. The results of study are as follows. We concluded that it is desirable to extend the range of consulting, to diversify the promotion method of consulting and devide roles by putting expert consultants in phases and by field. For example, we have come to conclusion that the efficiency of FTA consulting can be raised in case of carrying out a consistent(not transient) consulting, after building education infra for the consulting diversity and maintaining closer cooperation systems among the customer broker-related organization-educational institution.
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IMF體制 崩壞 이후의 換率行態 分析 : with emphasis on nations adopting the floating regime 變動換率 採澤國을 中心으로
郭槿在 慶尙大學校 1984 論文集 Vol.23 No.2
Since the breakdown of the IMF system, some major currencies have floated with great fluctuation. Namely, exchange rate changes since 1973 have been much larger than they were in the preceding 25 years. This thesis analyzes the long-run and short-run exchange rate behaviour through the survey of the four existing exchange rate determination theories, and tries whether they provide real insights into exchange rate behaviour. As a result of analyses, in the evidence for PPP the relative prices are almost consistent with the long-run change of exchange rate. But it is difficult to come to a clear conclusion on the monetarist and portfolio-balance approaches. The neo-keynsian analysis is almost consistent with the shorter-run exchange rate, but it may not be often consistent with its theory because of the offset effects among variables affecting exchange rate. It may be given as a conclusion that the exchange rate was unstable because the underlying marovariables in economy are unstable and because the time lag in adjustment is long and the initial effects associated with exchange rate changes are perverse. Then, it is not easy to politically solve the latter, but it is not difficult for policy-makers to politically solve the former. Consequently, I think it is desirable for each nation to employ a stablilization policy in order to seek the stable international monetary order.
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