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      • 組織·環境關係의 理論에 對한 個體群 生態學 模形의 考察

        宋錫勳 慶尙大學校 1985 論文集 Vol.24 No.2

        This paper takes account not only of the internal influence of organizations but also the forces in their environments that set limits to the organizational discretion, for the purpose of developing the population ecology model systematically and supporting the theory construction of organization -environment relationships. Therefore, this paper surveys literature in' reference to the model. The applied orientation of humanist social psychologists of the 1950s, and the glorification of management implied in the equally functionalist open-systems view-point which dominated the late 1960s and the 1970s, give way to some degree under the weight of the population ecology model. In the conventional view there are three main subjects: people, organizations, and environments. In the population ecology model a fourth subject is added: organizational populations. The model rooted on the evolution, especially reform Darwinism. The model provides a comprehensive framework within which the organizational change and persistence can be studied, calling on attention to a level of analysis often overlooked in traditional approaches. The model explains the organizational change by examining the nature and distribution of resources in organizations' environmrather than on internal problems. Studying variations over time in organizational forms requnot only longitudinal research designs but also knowledge of historical trends and changes in political systems, modes of the economic production, law, patterns of international trade, and other topics often neglected in the traditional view-point. Investigators using the population ecology model cannot avoid dealing with the societal context within which organizations are created, survive or fail, and rise to prominence or sink into obscurity. In this paper the model is analyzed and put in order by deviding into three elements: variation, selection, retention.

      • 組織論發展의 辯證法的 觀點과 그 理念的 背景의 槪觀 : 傳統的 理論부터 個體群生態學觀點까지

        宋錫勳 慶尙大學校 1986 論文集 Vol.25 No.2

        In intnetion Hegel's dialectic was rational and an extention of logical method, although the intention defied exact formulation. The divergent interests and values represented by thesis and antithesis are assumed to stand in a relaction of flat contradiction to each other. Each must be developed to its last consquences before the contradictions can be sublimited in the synthesis. Concilation and compromise occur indeed and emerge with the evolution of the idea. So the dialectic is a more inclusive perspective applicable to the concepts of progressive change and development of the organization theory. From this point of view, this article will suggest the evolution of organization theory from traditional views, through modifications of the behavioral and quantitative sciences, to the development of systems concepts and contingency views, and finally to the emergence of population ecology model. The organization theory emerging in a pattern of progressive logical development, is like a spiral that mounts as it turns. In the alte 1960s and 1970s, a central position in organization theory is that organizations must adapt to their environments if they are to survive. There is, however, some debates as to whether organizations do adapt. Some others suggest that organizations do not adapt but are selected out(the population ecology model idea). Others suggest that adaptation is a function of strategic choice and enactment. One explanation for the differences in these perspectives is that they have different assumptions about organizations' environments. Therefore, some other integrative framework would allow for both perspectives to exist simultaneously. In fact, the opposition is never absolute. As stated above, the destruction of one position in a controversial situation is never complete. Both sides are partly right and partly wrong, and when the rights and the wrongs have been properly weighed, a third position emerges which unites the truth contained in both.

      • 人力效用을 爲한 勞動移動의 多次元的인 統制方案

        宋錫勳 慶尙大學校 1982 論文集 Vol.21 No.3

        Labor turnover is inevitable or desirable to some degree. But excessive turnover is wasteful in money, human values, and friction within and between business organizations, and insufficient turnover can sap its vitality and stultify the needs of individual members. Excessive or insuffcient turnover represents not only a loss to the employer but also is often a loss to the worker or society as a whole. The purposes of the present research are to analyze the causes and problems of turnover(accession and separation) in conjunction with several personal characteristics(age, education, and tenure, etc) and to design more effective control policies and practices of turnover. To achieve the purposes of this paper, I used some existing data and interviews. So the results are as follows in Korea. First, in depression turnover rates have been generally lower and separation rates have been relatively higher than accession rates. Therefore I could forcast shortage of man-power in prosperity and unemployment in depression. Second, age has demonstrated fairly consistent negative relationships with turnover, but education was expected to relate positively to voluntary turnover. Third, as one is in and organization longer, one is less likely to leave voluntarily. But within two years almost workers have separated and organization because of inadequacy and dissatisfaction. Fourth, nepotism could be a matter of difficulty, because a large percentage of employees have been entered profession by a relative. For the reasons mentioned above, I considered multi-dimensional counterplans to control turnover effectively. They are divided according to fields of problems. In business organization it's important to apply HRA for getting out of nepotism and laying stress on performance and also improve QWL for maintenance of competent-man-power. And then it's increasingly necessary that employer put to the multilateral tests for selection before applying the age-limit system in order to eliminate incompetent-man-power. Socially, employment security offices have to be closely connected with business organizations and workers to reduce normal unemployment, and they have to be done with training and development agencies to meet technical or structural unemployment. Moreover it's necessary to implement unemployment insurance not only to stirup the consciousness of coexistence and coprosperity between society, enterprises and workers but also th get rid of unemployment and utilize manpower. Systematically enterprises have to send information of man-power plan to employment security agencies that ought to function as lease systems of man-power, and if there were technical gaps between supply and demand of man-power they would have to coordinate the gaps with the agencies in charge of training and development. Therefore all the agencies and departments of business organization, with relation to demand and supply of man-power, would keep in close relationship reciprocally and cooperate each other to control effectively as a whole, synthetically, and multidimensionally.

      • 韓國의 證券市場의 株價變動에 關한 技術的 分析 : 投資指標의 圖解를 中心으로

        宋錫勳 慶尙大學校 1981 論文集 Vol.20 No.2

        The difference between investment and speculation is only a matter of degree of risk. But modern world is an exceedingly complex and dynamic one in which many forces affect the value and productivity of investments. Careful investors try to identify these forces and profit from them, if they can, or at least avoid losses from them. The business risks inherent in the enterprise naturally fall with full force on the stock holder who bears them because he may also hope for the extraordinary gains which success may bring him. The market risk i obviously high in stock ownership. In fact the stock market is notorious for wide and almost irrational variation in stock prices. Although careful investors find it convenient to sellect stocks for investment by comparing price-earnings ratio, yields, and asset values per share in the light of available information on quality, growth, and market factors, many investors as usual seem more concerned with the volatile behavior of stock prices than with the normal values the stocks represent. These market factors are put emphasis on by the technical analysts, even if the fundamental analysts lay stress on the internal value of a business. There is quite possibly some truth in each creed. As a matter of fact, vertical-bar, point&figure and line charts on either arithmetic or semilogarithmic scales are widely used by all types of investors and speculators. They can depict the trends of earnings, dividends, stock prices, short interest, or any other factors capable of numerical expression. The analysis reported here is a study on the nature and forecasting of stock price movements in the Korea stock market. The method in this analysis was to compare the graphic techniques of a few investment indexes with the degree of bullishness or bearishness in the Korea stock market, from 1972 until about 1980. In this paper the best-known investment indexes adapted for the technical analysis were Korea composite stock price indexes(day-to-day, week-to-week, month-to-month), volume of trading stocks, key statistics for listed stocks, and Korea stock market indicators: on-balance volume, advance-decline line, moving average line, ratios of day-to-day indexes to 25 or 75 days average indexes of composite stock prices, and ratio of money loans to stock loans, etc. According to applying these indexes or indicators in the Korea stock market, the results of technical analysis suggested the following conclusions to us. First, in vertical-bar charts distribution patterns have shown clearly within 1-2 months upper sloping up, but they have been ambiguous for long-term up trends in stock prices. Second, moving average long term lines have represented in the capacity of warning indexes at peaks and troughs pretty clearly rather than vertical-bar charts. Third, ratios of day-to-day indexes to 25 or 75 days average indexes of composite stock prices have been correct to predict timing of distribution or accumulation better than any other indexes. From August, 1979 until July, 1980, these correct predictions were 11 reversal points through 25 days average, 5 reversal points through 75 days average. Fourth, since advance-decline line has been moving almost similar with stock price fluctuations, it couldn't be drawn respecting the extent and timing of market changes. Fifth, looking into the relationship of volume of trading stocks, stock price movements, and unbalance volume, they have indicated manipulative short-term phenomena in accumulation and distribution. And also because volume of trading stocks has been the increase in the Korea stock market, OBV analysis could be used appropriately in forecasting only a stable and individual short-term stock price movement but a general long-term trend. Sixth, ratio of money loans to stock loans couldn't be made practical application of significant indexes on account of unbalance between money loans and stock loans in the Korea stock market. Seventh, there was the intermediate-term tendency, presumably conforming to business cycle stages in normal times, for the market to move in a general upward or downward direction for 3 years to 4 years at a time. Bull markets appeared in 1972-1973(July), 1974(October)-1976(January) and 1977(July)-1978(August), bear markets appeared in 1973(July)-1974(October), 1976(January)-1977(July) and 1978(August)-1981. Therefore, we have to grasp stock market movements through technical analysis in relation to fundamental analysis. That's we have to carefully determine what to select and when to buy or sell in considering all the following factors-stock market credit conditions, speculative psychology, changes in the tax laws, labor legislation, foreign relations, the distribution of national income, the level of prosperity, etc-which affect the supply and demand for all stocks. Particularly, in technical analysis stock price movements could be forecasted correctly by grasping all the investment indexes and indicators totally, systematically and synthetically.

      • KCI등재

        응급실에서 급성 췌장염 환자의 선별을 위한 actim pancreatitisR검사의 유용성

        송석훈,도병수,이삼범 대한응급의학회 2001 대한응급의학회지 Vol.12 No.4

        Background: Acute pancreatitis is a fairly common abdominal disorder that can be easily confronted in the emergency department(ED) and is one of the most complex and clinically challenging of all abdominal disorders. Currently, there is no gold standard for the diagnosis of acute pancreatitis. We evaluated the usefulness of the actim Pancreatitis□ rapid test, which has been recently developed in Europe, as a screening test of acute pancreatitis in our emergency department. Methods: We prospectively studied the urinary trypsinogen-2 dipstick tests(actim Pancreatitis□, Medix Biochemica, Kauniainen, Finland) of 200 patients with acute abdominal pain who were treated at our ED. All urine samples were collected from the patients within 12 hours of arrival at ED. We also measured serum amylase assay in the laboratory and compared the sensitivities and the specificities of the two test. Acute pancreatitis was diagnosed by authors according to standardized criteria. Abdominal USG or CT was performed when a patient with a normal serum amylase level had a typical clinical presentation. Results: The actim Pancreatitis□ rapid test was positive in 22 of the 25 patients with acute pancreatitis(sensitivity, 88.0 percent). The test was also positive in 6 of 175 patients without pancreatitis(specificity, 96.6 percent). The serum amylase assay had a sensitivity of 68.0 percent(with a cutoff value of 300 U per liter for the upper reference limit) and a specificity of 90.9 percent. But there were no statistical differences between the correlation coefficients of the two tests as diagnostic tool Conclusion: In patients with acute abdominal pain who are seen in the emergency department, the actim Pancreatitis□ urinary dipstick test has a high degree of probability as a screening test for acute pancreatitis. Also it can easily and rapidly be use at the bedside.

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