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우루과이 라운드(UR) 協定 시장개방조치의 國民經濟 및 農業部門 效果
金忠實,李相昊 한국국제경제학회 2003 국제경제연구 Vol.9 No.1
본 논문에서는 다국간 일반균형 모형을 이용하여 우루과이 라운드 협정이 국민경제 및 농업부문에 미친 영향을 분석하였다. 분석결과 UR 이행에 따른 후생효과는 경제규모가 큰 선진국이 크게 증가하는 것으로 분석되었다. 우리나라는 UR 이행에 따른 영향으로 농업부문의 산출이 감소하였고, 이로 인해 농업부문 GDP도 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한, 수입농산물과 국산농산물의 대체성이 커질수록 농업부문 GDP 감소폭은 더욱 커지는 것으로 분석되었다. This paper focuses on the impact of the Uruguay Round (UR) implementation on Korean economy and agriculture using a multi-regional general equilibrium model. The main results of this study as follows. The impact of the UR on welfare increases in developed countries more than developing countries. The results of this study show that the Uruguay Round has had a negative impact on agricultural production in Korea. As expected from a high value of substitutability among agricultural sectors, there are considerably more losses to the agricultural GDP in Korea.
김충실 한국농업정책학회, 한국축산경영학회 2000 농업경영정책연구 Vol.27 No.1
The purpose of this study is to suggest rational direction with basic requirements for developing a successful Direct Payment Program in farm sector from considering foreign and domestic cases of the Direct Payment as well as policy criteria in accordance with policy position of Korean agriculture simultaneously. In the basic requirements, there are some normative and realistic conditions and some policy technical conditions. The normative conditions emphasize the justice of income distribution for the poor farmers as well as the steady-state dynamics in farm policy system for agricultural macro-function in Korean economy. It is also one of the most important requirements to develop multi-objective policy decision making model for successful decision making to consider normative and realistic criteria, multi-policy goals, budget constraint and the order of policy priority simultaneously.
자유무역협정과 농업부문 변화 : NAFTA이후 멕시코의 사례분석
김충실 한국농업정책학회, 한국축산경영학회 2001 농업경영정책연구 Vol.28 No.2
The purpose of this study is to review the changes of agricultural production and trade with agricultural policy due to NAFTA using RCA in Mexico. After NAFTA, although Mexico government enforced the Direct Payment(PROCAMPO), the production of primary crops has declined gradually, while the productions of some vegetables and fruits including tomato, water melon increased in Mexico. This study shows that NAFTA has negative impact on the agricultural sector and the situation of food self-sufficiency in Mexico.
김충실,이현근 경북대학교 농업과학기술연구소 2008 慶北大農學誌 Vol.26 No.-
The purpose of this study is to describe some common upland cropping system in Youngnam and Honam region and to analyze it's income by the system. The main results are as follows; First, there are common cropping systems consisting of「sweet potato+barely」,「com+barely」and「bean+barely」. Second, the highest earning system in Youngnam region is a 「sweet potato+barely」(934,544won/10a) and that in Honam region is a「sweet potato+barely」(1,210,523won/10a) respectively. Third, in the differences of the cropping system's income level between Youngnam and Honam region, the former is higher than the latter in 「com+barely」 and 「bean+barely」 respectively.
농업의 특성을 고려한 자유무역 일반균형효과 분석모형의 체계
김충실,이상호 한국농업정책학회, 한국축산경영학회 2000 농업경영정책연구 Vol.27 No.3
The main purpose of this study is to construct Multiregional General Equilibrium Model which is generally used to analyze general equilibrium effects of trade liberalization and changes in various international or national economic variables like as Free Trade Agreement, WTO new Round, and changes of price, exchange rate, and tariff rate. This multiregional general equilibrium model handles the multilateral trade liberalization and various kinds of policy shocks. Especially, this model emphasizes the speciality of agricultural demand and production system. Key words : 아밍턴 함수(Armington Function), 불변전환탄력성 함수(CET Function), 다국간 일반균형모형(Multiregional General Equilibrium), 소비체계(Demand System), 생산체계(Production System)
김충실 한국농업정책학회, 한국축산경영학회 2001 농업경영정책연구 Vol.28 No.3
The purpose of this study is to analyze the economic effects of korea-chile free trade agreement using multiregional computable general equilibrium model. In the mail results, the Korea-Chile FTA increased slightly the welfare and GDP in both countries, but balance of trade is decreased and the price level is increased. Especially, agricultural sector in Korea is decreased radically. Therefore, if the korea-chile FTA should be contracted, it is reasonable that agricultural sector should be pending or excluding.